NMDCrend Overview
Overall Trend: Strong UP across all timeframes (Yearly → Daily → Intraday).
Key Averages:
HTF Avg: 43
MTF Avg: 66
ITF Avg: 68
Trade Plan
Entry: 70
Stop Loss: 66
Targets:
First Target: 106
Positional Target: 142
Quantity: 20,000 shares
Risk/Reward (RR): 11.1
Financials
Total Buy Value: 1,400,000
Capital at Risk: 490,000
Net Profit if Targets Hit: ~943,395
Net Loss if Stop Hit: 86,863
ROI:
12 months: ~9.7% p.a.
4 months: ~193%
Key Points
Trade aligns with strong multi-timeframe uptrend.
Risk is well-defined; RR is highly favorable.
Targets offer significant upside potential (~167 from current levels).
Trade ideas
MINING CO. GOVT.HOLDING NMDC READY TO ROAR BUT KEEP IN MIND???Now rare earth process done by NMDC too.. Recently iron price is also rise... Result is good cash rich NMDC ready to roar .. Almost 120 days not close below 67.50 consolidate in range of 67.50-73.95 once try 2-3 time cross this hurdle but fail seems in next leg cross with volume.. Once cross 75.90 big hurdle and sustain it close above it tiredness removed and entered in new territory .... So, keep in mind buy on dip counter.... Update if cross hurdles....
NMDCNSE:NMDC
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
Disclaimer :
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NMDC (navratna psu)NMDC Ltd. (currently trading at ₹72.80) is India’s largest iron ore producer and a Navratna PSU under the Ministry of Steel. With mechanized mining complexes in Chhattisgarh and Karnataka, NMDC supplies high-grade iron ore to steelmakers across India and abroad. It also operates the country’s only mechanized diamond mine in Panna, Madhya Pradesh, and is expanding into value-added products like pellets and sponge iron.
NMDC Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
Sales – ₹25,965 Cr → ₹17,667 Cr → ₹21,294 Cr → ₹26,000 Cr Volatile topline due to iron ore price cycles and volume shifts
Net Profit – ₹9,448 Cr → ₹5,529 Cr → ₹5,632 Cr → ₹6,800 Cr Margin compression visible in FY23–24; recovery underway
Operating Performance – Strong → Moderate → Moderate → Strong EBITDA margins dipped but remain above industry average
Dividend Yield (%) – 4.20% → 2.10% → 2.25% → 2.50% Healthy payouts aligned with PSU norms and cash flows
Equity Capital – ₹293.06 Cr (constant) No dilution; Government of India holds 60.79%
Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) Fully equity-financed operations
Fixed Assets – ₹36,929 Cr → ₹38,200 Cr → ₹39,450 Cr → ₹41,000 Cr Capex focused on pellet plants, beneficiation, and automation
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 60.79% via Government of India. FIIs and DIIs maintain moderate exposure due to PSU structure and commodity cyclicality. Delivery volumes reflect accumulation by infra and metal-linked funds during price dips.
Business Growth Verdict
NMDC remains a strategic resource provider with scale and cost advantage Margins are stabilizing post price volatility and cost pressures Debt-free structure enhances dividend visibility and financial flexibility Capex supports long-term value addition and downstream integration
Management Con Call
Management reported a 9.8% YoY rise in August iron ore production to 3.37 million tonnes, with sales up 8% to 3.39 million tonnes. Cumulative FY26 (Apr–Aug) production reached 18.45 MT vs. 14.43 MT last year, showing strong volume momentum1. Q1 FY26 revenue rose 24.5% YoY to ₹6,739 Cr, beating estimates; net profit was ₹1,968 Cr. Margins narrowed to 36.8% from 43.2% YoY but remained above expectations1. A potential ₹13,975 Cr tax liability from Karnataka’s Mineral Rights Bill remains a contingent risk, pending Presidential assent.
Final Investment Verdict
NMDC Ltd. offers a strategic commodity play with strong volume visibility, robust cash flows, and zero debt. While regulatory risks and price cyclicality persist, its scale, cost efficiency, and dividend profile make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s infrastructure and steel-linked growth. With rising production and downstream expansion, NMDC remains a durable value creator.
NMDC Swing Trade Setup📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
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NMDC – Bullish Trend Reversal with Breakout Setup📈 NMDC – Bullish Trend Reversal with Breakout Setup (For Study Purpose Only)
NMDC has displayed a bullish trend reversal following a prolonged 6-month consolidation between ₹60–68. The stock broke out decisively above this range and has since retested the breakout zone successfully, confirming it as a strong support.
Subsequently, the stock entered a 1-month sideways consolidation between ₹67–73, forming a tight base—typically a sign of strength and potential continuation.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
✅ Breakout Zone: ₹68 (now acting as strong support)
🔁 Retest Completed: Post-breakout pullback respected support
🧱 Current Range: ₹70–73 (tight consolidation near highs)
📊 Volume: Gradual increase near resistance, indicating accumulation
📈 RSI & MACD: RSI climbing steadily; MACD shows bullish crossover
🎯 Trade Setup (for study purpose only):
Watch for strength above: ₹73
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹69
Targets: ₹75 (initial), ₹80–82 (extended)
📌 Note:
This analysis is intended for educational and study purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Review and plan for 28th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
[Diary] NMDC Stock SplitThe issue arises when you rely solely on a webhook as your exit strategy, especially in scenarios like today's with NMDC. TradingView’s webhook mechanism, while efficient for many tasks, can create havoc if used indiscriminately for entries, exits, or modifications without human oversight. Today, NMDC is generating a cascade of signals—short, long, SL hit, TGT hit, and more—because the platform hasn’t yet adjusted for the stock split properly. Algorithms dependent on such incomplete or inaccurate data can spiral into a disaster, executing trades based on flawed inputs. This is a clear reminder to always validate your data sources and integrate fallback mechanisms to avoid such pitfalls.
Moreover, this kind of situation can lead to reverse signals that algorithms tuned for mean reversion might latch onto, seeing the seemingly favorable risk-reward (Rr) ratio. However, because the source data lacks significant market influence, the resulting trades could prove inconsequential or even misleading. The broader market may ignore such anomalies, leaving your algorithm chasing shadows.
This highlights the importance of understanding market psychology and herd behavior. Traders often move in predictable patterns, and seemingly unrelated factors can trigger unexpected market reactions. For example, Berkshire Hathaway’s stock once saw price spikes correlating with the release of Anne Hathaway’s movies—not because of any fundamental connection, but due to name-based algorithmic trading. Such quirks underscore the need to approach automated trading with caution, ensuring a robust system that accounts for anomalies and prevents over-reliance on any single data source or strategy.
Plan for 12th November 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Result analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NMDC--Long Oppurtunity ??A strong impulsive move is observed from the support area 200 levels,
A corrective pullback is observed to the support levels, and with consolidation price creates a demand zone at 205-210 levels and giving us pullback to enter in long side, look for long opportunities in this stock for upside continuation.
If price takes the liquidity on bottom side, add more quantity to the long side.
NMDC NSE 12Y 10M Breakout on MTFNMDC had Broken out this @12Year high in Feb 24 forming a Rounding Bottom Curve , since then it has hovered around this level of 234 since then. There has been a renewed buying at this level again sustaining above 242 a strong support on DTF.
Volumes have been growing consistently for the past week after its Ex dividend on 17th Sept.
ADD quantity when it closes above 285 WTF.
Entry above 245 DTF close, First Target 286.. SL 204






















