CRI - Is Children's Clothing In High Demand ?Good Afternoon,
Hope all is well. Remember to always trade with risk assessment in mind. I use 7% as my stop loss for my trades. Small losses big wins is my moto.
Analyst forecasts and price targets
Average price target: $28.80 (based on 5 analysts) or $29.50 (based on 6 analysts).
Price target range: The high forecast is $34.00, and the low is $25.00.
Consensus rating: "Reduce" or "Hold," with 3 analysts rating it a "Sell" and 3 a "Hold".
Recent ratings: In late October 2025, analysts from UBS, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Barclays all updated their price targets.
Technical analysis
Short-term trend: The stock is in a wide and rising trend in the short term, but if the lower trend floor of $29.09 is broken, it could signal a trend shift.
Recent signals: Technical analysis has indicated several negative signals recently, leading to a downgrade from a "Buy" to a "Sell" candidate.
Expected trading range: For the upcoming trading day, the price is expected to move within a range of +/-$1.64 from the last closing price.
Company outlook and risks
Positive growth signals: Carter's expects to see growth in both net sales and earnings in fiscal year 2026, supported by strategic initiatives and increased marketing spend.
Restructuring: The company is undergoing a restructuring to improve efficiency and profitability, but this carries risks, including unexpected costs and challenges in implementation.
Tariffs: New tariffs could impact pre-tax earnings significantly, and while the company plans to offset costs, the uncertainty remains a risk.
Sales and profitability: Recent quarters have seen mixed sales results, with US wholesale net sales up but US retail and international sales down in the fourth quarter of 2024. Profitability has also faced pressure from lingering lower pricing and elevated product costs.
Dividend: The company continues to declare quarterly dividends, with the most recent being $0.250 per share
Scenario 1: Optimistic Growth
Assumptions: Strong consumer spending, successful new product launches, and favorable economic conditions.
Forecast: Carter's stock price could increase by 15-20% over the next 12 months.
Key Factors: Increased demand for children's apparel, expansion into new markets, and robust online sales.
Scenario 2: Moderate Growth
Assumptions: Steady economic environment, consistent sales performance, and no major disruptions.
Forecast: Stock price may see a modest 5-10% growth within the next year.
Key Factors: Stable market conditions, ongoing brand loyalty, and gradual expansion efforts.
Scenario 3: Pessimistic Outlook
Assumptions: Economic slowdown, supply chain issues, or increased competition.
Forecast: Stock could decline by 10-15% or remain flat.
Key Factors: Decreased consumer spending on non-essential goods, rising costs, or market share losses.
Trade Safely
Enjoy!
