NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, Iโve been watching to see how price reacts here again.
We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and Iโll be looking for short setups from the zone again.
๐ฅ My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously.
But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then Iโll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and Iโd consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
NZDCAD trade ideas
NZDCAD at Resistance: Will the Bearish Pattern Repeat?NZDCAD at Resistance: Will the Bearish Pattern Repeat?
NZDCAD has faced a strong resistance zone, and it shows no signs of a clear direction.
Looking to the left side of the chart, we can observe that despite occasional upward movements, the pair has repeatedly followed a similar bearish pattern.
This repeated behavior suggests that the current setup may once again lead to a downside move.
If history repeats itself, NZDCAD could initiate another bearish wave from this zone, potentially targeting the 0.8300 and 0.8280 levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
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NZDCAD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDCAD analysis ๐
๐ขThis Chart includes_ (NZDCAD market update)
๐ขWhat is The Next Opportunity on NZDCAD Market
๐ขhow to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZD-CAD Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD keeps growing
In an uptrend but the pair
Will soon retest a wide
Horizontal resistance level
Around 0.8350 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bearish pullback
Sell!
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NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.26
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZD_CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
โ
NZD_CAD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.8320
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 0.8267
SHORT๐ฅ
โ
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โจโจ
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NZD/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
NZD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.827
Target Level: 0.818
Stop Loss: 0.832
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
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NZD/CADSince April, NZD/CAD has been consolidating within a defined range between 0.83198 and 0.81597. Recently, price has broken below the 0.81597 support level, indicating a potential shift toward a bearish trend. I am currently monitoring price action for confirmation through bearish engulfing candles or other reversal patterns before considering a short position.
While this setup appears promising, I remain cautious of potential false breakouts and will ensure continued bearish momentum before entering. I will be observing this pair closely over the coming sessions.
"Patience is not the ability to wait, but how you act while you're waiting." โ Joyce Meyer
BANK JOB: NZD/CAD LOOT GRAB (Swing Heist Plan) ๐ฆ "Market Heist: NZD/CAD Long Before Trap Closes! ๐ฐ
๐ฆนโ๏ธ Attention All Market Thieves!
(Hola! Oi! Salut! Hallo! Ahlan!) ๐ญ๐ธ
๐ฅ Thief Trading Intel Confirmed!
The NZD/CAD "Kiwi vs Loonie" vault is primed for cracking! Our bullish heist blueprint targets the red zone - but we escape before the bears set their trap!
๐ ENTRY: CRACKING THE SAFE
"Resistance wall at 0.83150 is the vault door!"
โ Option 1: Buy Stop above resistance (breakout play)
โ Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low (15m/30m pullback)
๐ Pro Tip: Set breakout alerts - don't miss the heist!
๐จ STOP LOSS: POLICE EVASION PLAN
๐ Thief SL: 0.82200 (below 4H swing low & MA)
โ ๏ธ Warning: No SL before breakout! You'll trigger the alarms!
๐ TARGET: ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT
๐ฏ Primary Take: 0.84400
๐ฐ Scalpers: Long-only! Trail your SL like a getaway car!
๐ MARKET CONDITIONS
๐ Bullish Trend (but overbought - time it right!)
๐ Key Intel Needed: COT reports, macro data, sentiment
๐ Full Briefing: Check bi0 linkss ๐๐
๐ฆ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOLS
โข โ Avoid news event heists
โข ๐ Always use trailing stops
โข ๐ฃ Position size = explosive potential
๐ฆพ SUPPORT THE SYNDICATE
๐ฅ SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON!
๐ฌ Comment your heist results below!
๐ Next job coming soon - stay tuned!
๐ค Remember thieves: Book profits before the cops arrive!
Trade Idea: Sell NZD/CAD (Short-Term Pressure)### **๐ก Why Sell NZD/CAD?**
**๐ณ๐ฟ NZD โ New Zealand Dollar:**
* **Global risk-off + weaker China demand**
โ *๐๐ NZD struggles when investors avoid risk and China slows โ both are happening.*
* **RBNZ cut rates to 3.25% and may cut again**
โ *๐ฆ๐ A dovish central bank puts downward pressure on the Kiwi.*
* **June 23 GDP could move the market**
โ *๐
Until then, expectations are low โ and that weighs on NZD.*
* **Dairy prices + China still weak**
โ *๐๐จ๐ณ These are key parts of NZโs economy โ and both are underperforming.*
* **Sentiment: Bearish**
โ *๐ Traders are positioned short โ not much appetite to buy Kiwi right now.*
---
**๐จ๐ฆ CAD โ Canadian Dollar:**
* **Oil above \$80 helps CAD**
โ *๐ข๏ธ Canadaโs economy benefits from higher oil โ thatโs a natural support for the loonie.*
* **BoC held rates at 2.75%, not rushing to cut**
โ *โ๏ธ Slightly dovish, but still firmer than NZโs approach.*
* **Core inflation still above 3%**
โ *๐ฅ Keeps the BoC cautious โ good for CAD strength.*
* **Retail sales data coming soon**
โ *๐งพ A strong print could give CAD a further push.*
* **Sentiment: Neutral to bullish**
โ *๐ Among commodity currencies, CAD is holding up the best right now.*
---
### **๐ Outlook:**
The **fundamentals clearly favor CAD over NZD** โ stronger inflation, oil support, and no aggressive easing. Unless NZ GDP surprises big on June 23, this pair likely continues to drift lower.
---
**๐ Note:**
> *โStill one of the cleanest cross plays โ NZD weak, CAD stable. Slow but steady sell setup as long as the story holds.โ*
Is the NZDCAD uptrend still strong?NZDCAD has broken the trendline structure and is heading towards the resistance at 0.83500
0.827 has become a confluence of support and trendline. The pair is looking for more buying momentum at the support zone.
2 zones to watch are 0.827 and 0.823
If the 0.823 zone is broken, the uptrend is broken and the market turns to a downtrend. The target of the downtrend and the market finds the bottom of last month around 0.812.
Confirm SELL signal when breaking 0.823
NZDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! ๐ณ๐ฟ๐จ๐ฆ
There is a high chance that NZDCAD will bounce
after a false violation of a significant daily support cluster.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
leaves a strong bullish clue.
Goal - 0.818
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Trade Idea: Buy NZD/CADWhy NZD?
โ
Strong Exports: NZ posted a $1.2B trade surplus (dairy & goods booming).
โ
Economy Improving: GDP growing at 1.4%, RBNZ supportive.
โ
USD Weakness: NZD rising as the US dollar loses steam.
Why CAD Could Struggle?
โ ๏ธ Oil Dependency: If crude prices drop, CAD suffers.
โ ๏ธ US Trade Risks: Trump tariffs could hurt Canada.
โ ๏ธ High Unemployment: 7% and risingโpressures BoC.
Trade Setup
๐น Buy NZD/CAD (expect NZD to rise vs CAD).
๐น Watch: NZ trade data, oil prices, US-Canada trade news.
What Could Go Wrong?
โ Oil spikes โ CAD strengthens.
โ US-NZ trade issues โ NZD weakens.
Verdict: NZD looks stronger short-termโgood odds for this trade. ๐
NZDCAD: High-Conviction Long - Fundamental Strength & TechnicalThis analysis identifies an extremely high-conviction long opportunity in the NZDCAD currency pair ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ. Our conviction is primarily driven by a significant divergence in monetary policy outlooks and economic fundamentals between New Zealand and Canada. New Zealand's economic resilience, underpinned by robust dairy prices and a less dovish central bank stance, contrasts sharply with Canada's decelerating growth, rising unemployment, and a central bank poised for further rate cuts amidst trade policy uncertainties. Technically, NZDCAD appears poised for an upward move from key support levels, supported by bullish momentum indicators on the 4-hour chart. This is a medium-term trade expected to play out over days to weeks. ๐๏ธ
I. Fundamental Rationale: Diverging Economic Trajectories ๐๐
The core of this trade lies in the starkly different economic paths New Zealand and Canada are currently on, creating a compelling fundamental case for NZD appreciation against CAD:
Monetary Policy Divergence:
New Zealand (NZD): The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintained its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 3.25% in June 2025. Analysts anticipate a hold at the upcoming July 9 meeting, balancing growth concerns with an "uncomfortably high near-term inflation outlook". This signals a less aggressive easing path. ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ
Canada (CAD): In contrast, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate steady at 2.75% in June 2025, after nine consecutive 0.25% cuts since June 2024. Market expectations for the upcoming July 30, 2025 meeting indicate a 33% chance of a further 25 basis point cut, with economists anticipating gradual cuts to 2.25% by mid-2025. This clear easing bias is driven by consistently below-target inflation (1.73% in May 2025). ๐๐จ๐ฆ
Impact: This creates a clear and widening interest rate differential fundamentally favoring the NZD. ๐ฐ
Inflation Outlook:
New Zealand: Annual inflation accelerated to 2.5% in Q1 2025, exceeding market expectations and marking the highest rate since June 2024. This reinforces the RBNZ's cautious stance. โฌ๏ธ
Canada: Canada's CPI registered 1.73% in May 2025, notably below the BoC's 2.0% target, providing ample justification for further monetary easing. โฌ๏ธ
Economic Performance & Labor Market:
New Zealand: GDP is projected to grow by 1.9% in 2025. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in March 2025, with average hourly earnings increasing by 4.5% annually. ๐ผโจ
Canada: Real GDP contracted by 0.1% in April 2025, with a flash estimate pointing to another 0.1% decline in May, implying an annualized loss of 0.3% in Q2 2025. The unemployment rate rose to 7.0% in May 2025, its highest since September 2016 (excluding pandemic years). ๐๐ญ
Impact: New Zealand demonstrates greater economic resilience and a more stable labor market. ๐ช
Commodity & Trade Dynamics:
New Zealand: Benefits significantly from surging dairy prices, its top export commodity, which saw a substantial 10% increase in Q1 2025, with Fonterra forecasting record milk prices and production volumes. This contributed to a robust monthly trade surplus of $1.2 billion in May 2025. ๐ฅ๐ง๐ฐ
Canada: While the CAD maintains a strong positive correlation with oil prices, energy exports decreased by 5.6% in May, with crude oil exports falling 4.0%. Furthermore, Canadian exports to the US have declined for four consecutive months due to ongoing US tariffs. ๐ข๏ธ๐
Impact: Strong commodity tailwinds and a healthy trade surplus for NZD, versus tariff-induced headwinds and declining energy exports for CAD. ๐ฌ๏ธ
Yield Differential: The New Zealand 10-year government bond yield (4.57% as of June 30, 2025) is notably higher than Canada's (3.38% as of July 3, 2025). This provides a positive carry for holding NZD over CAD. ๐
II. Technical Rationale: Chart Insights (4-Hour Timeframe) ๐๐
The technical picture on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish reversal from current levels, complementing the fundamental outlook:
Current Price Action & Long-Term Trend: NZDCAD is currently approximately 0.8277 (as of July 1, 2025). While short-term analyses may show a "sharp bearish trend," the pair is described as "trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase" as it approaches a key support area. The 1-month change for NZDCAD is +0.13%, and year-to-date is +2.45%, indicating a longer-term bullish bias despite recent fluctuations. This corrective dip presents a favorable entry point. ๐โก๏ธ๐
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Entry Point (0.8270) is strategically chosen near the immediate support cluster, specifically around the Pivot Point 1st Support of 0.8276 and an identified buying opportunity zone around 0.82700. โ
Take Profit (TP) of 0.8350 is positioned just below the Pivot Point 3rd Level Resistance of 0.8356. ๐ฏ
Stop Loss (SL) of 0.8220) is carefully placed below the key support levels of 0.8240 (Pivot Point 3rd Support) and 0.8236 (Pivot Point 3rd Support). A sustained break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. ๐
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (14): The 14-day RSI for NZDCAD is around 41.78 to 54.33, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, with room for upward movement. ๐
MACD (12, 26, 9): A "bullish divergence" has been identified on the hourly timeframe, often signaling a return of buying interest. The MACD line is also observed to be slightly above its signal line, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. โฌ๏ธ
Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is positioned slightly above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This configuration suggests a potential bullish crossover of longer-term moving averages, generally considered a positive long-term signal. ๐
III. Trade Setup: ๐โจ
Currency Pair: NZDCAD ๐ณ๐ฟ๐จ๐ฆ
Direction: Long (Buy) โฌ๏ธ
Entry Point: 0.8270
Take Profit (TP): 0.8350
Stop Loss (SL): 0.8220
Calculated Risk (in pips): 50 pips
Calculated Reward (in pips): 80 pips
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.6:1 (A favorable ratio for a high-probability setup!) โ
Key Considerations: Always adhere to strict risk management principles, risking no more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on this single trade. Be mindful of potential volatility around upcoming high-impact economic events in July, particularly the RBNZ and Bank of Canada interest rate decisions, and inflation data. ๐๏ธ๐
NZDCAD: Market of Buyers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy NZDCAD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
NZDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Bearish divergence followed by the most recent uptrend line breakout.
No opposite signs.
Expecting pullbacks and bearish continuation until the strong resistance zone holds.
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NZDCAD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.08
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPCAD 10 weeks of Consolidation/buildup ready for breakout ?GBPCAD has nearly 10 weeks consolidated at the box and each week got rejected from the resistance. The wig of the candle can tell you the story of rejection and now last week this wig has been overcome by strong bullish solid candle and high chances of breakout possible. let us see...