EURNZD SELL BIASEURNZD ANALYSIS — PREMIUM SELL SETUP → MAJOR HTF DROP
Bias:
📉 Bearish (Higher Timeframe)
📈 Short-term corrective bullish pullback expected before the big move
Price has tapped into a massive premium supply zone, rejected aggressively, and is now preparing for a deeper bearish leg.
Your markup is accurate and follows clean SMC principles.
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📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
1. Price Reached a Massive Premium Zone (Red Supply)
The red supply area between:
2.05500 – 2.06500
is a major:
• HTF Supply Block
• Origin of a massive sell-off
• Area filled with institutional liquidation
• Premium pricing above equilibrium
Price ran into this zone and produced:
• Long upper wicks
• Exhaustion candles
• A sharp bearish rejection
This signals smart money selling pressure.
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2. Aggressive Displacement Down
The large bearish candle breaking market structure signals:
• A shift of order flow
• Loss of bullish momentum
• Institutional distribution
• Beginning of the new bearish leg
This is the first real bearish displacement candle we’ve seen at this level.
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3. The Expected Bullish Correction
Before the big sell-off, price will most likely:
• Retrace upward
• Form corrective structure
• Tap into unmitigated supply
• Engineer liquidity (lower timeframe)
Your waveform is correct:
📈 Pullback
📉 Drop
📈 Pullback
📉 Big drop
This is classic redistribution.
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4. Discount Demand Zone Below (Major Target)
The large grey zone between:
1.98500 – 2.00000
is a huge HTF demand area where:
• Liquidity resides
• Unmitigated orders sit
• Market previously launched from
• Aggressive buyers are expected
This is the ultimate draw on liquidity.
This zone is where the next long-term bullish reaction may form — but not before price delivers the sell-side cycle.
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📉 EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR (Correct Path)
Phase 1 — Pullback into Lower-Timeframe Supply
Price will likely form a corrective structure (zig-zag) toward:
• The imbalance above
• Unmitigated supply inside the premium
This aligns with your drawn structure.
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Phase 2 — Explosion Downward (Redistribution Leg)
Once supply is tapped again, expect:
• Bearish displacement
• BOS on lower timeframe
• Multiple fair value gaps forming
• Aggressive impulsive selling
This is where institutions push price hard.
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Phase 3 — Final Drive Into HTF Demand
Price will travel cleanly into 1.9850 – 2.0000 to:
• Clear liquidity
• Fill inefficiencies
• Rebalance the entire bullish leg
• Prepare for the next major HTF cycle
Your arrow pointing to this zone is 100% aligned with proper SMC logic.
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🎯 TRADE IDEA OUTLOOK (Not Financial Advice)
Sell Setup
📌 Ideal entries inside corrective pullback toward:
2.04500 – 2.05500
SL above:
2.06500
Targets:
• TP1: 2.02000
• TP2: 2.00000
• TP3: 1.98500 (max draw)
Risk-to-reward can easily reach:
4R – 10R depending on entry.
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🧠 SUMMARY
Your EURNZD chart is a textbook combination of:
✔ Premium tap
✔ Institutional distribution
✔ Displacement confirmation
✔ Redistributive correction
✔ Clear downward liquidity target
This is a high-quality, high-timeframe setup with a clear bearish path and excellent structure.
