NZDJPY: Bullish Continuation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Here is one of the setups that we discussed on a live stream today.
NZDJPY will likely continue rising after a confirmed
break of structure BoS and a retest of that.
Goal - 0.5958
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New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen
No trades
Market insights
NZDJPY - Immediate Bullish OpportunityNZDJPY presents a compelling buying opportunity right now. The pair has recently shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above a key resistance level at 89.636
Trade Setup:
* Entry: Buy at current market price // 89.208
* Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at // 89.071
* Target: Aim for a target at // 89.656 which aligns with a key resistance level and a potential Fibonacci extension.
Risk Management:
Remember to manage your risk appropriately. This trade offers a good risk-reward ratio, but always size your position according to your risk tolerance.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Hashtags: #NZDJPY #forex #trading #technicalanalysis #bullish #tradeidea
NZDJPY - Separating Good from Bad Double TopsTop Trading Idea of the Week #3 takes us to NZDJPY, where we’re eyeing a potential bearish opportunity. Price action has just formed a classic double top—a pattern often associated with reversals or at least periods of market relief. But double tops don’t mean much on their own, and trust me, it took me losing plenty of money early in my career to truly learn that lesson.
So how do we filter out the strong setups from the weak ones? By building a case for entry. That means stacking additional technical tools, clues, and market observations on top of the pattern to see what else supports the bearish idea. In this video, we’ll walk through exactly how to do that and what traders should be looking for before taking action.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share you view, please do so in the comment section below.
Akil
NZDJPY December 2025 fundamental analysisThe fundamental outlook for NZD/JPY in December 2025 is moderately bearish, with forecasts suggesting a modest decline or sideways movement for the pair during the month.
Recent Price Levels and Forecasts
Most current projections place NZD/JPY in the 83.1 to 86.5 range for December 2025, with an average near 84.8.
Other sources foresee a slightly higher average, around 90.8 for the month, with the beginning rate near 89.6 and the possibility of a bounce up to 94.4, though the consensus supports a weaker tone overall.
Economic Fundamentals
The New Zealand dollar has underperformed against other majors in 2025, as rate cut expectations and sluggish growth weigh on the kiwi.
For the yen, there is support from occasional speculation about Bank of Japan rate hikes, especially as Japanese inflation data has been stronger than expected and markets are on alert for possible BOJ intervention or a surprise policy tightening.
Short-Term Technical Sentiment
After a spike higher last week, NZD/JPY is now forecasted by some technical analysts to face selling pressure, meaning any rallies may be short-lived and likely to be sold into.
Broader market commentary also anticipates a test of lower support levels for the pair before any potential recovery toward the end of the month or into early 2026.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Given the prevailing economic fundamentals, technical outlook, and the expectation for weaker New Zealand dollar prospects versus a potentially stabilizing or stronger yen, NZD/JPY appears to be a sell for December 2025.
Falling towards key support?NZD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 88.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 87.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 90.19
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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NZDJPY to continue in the rally?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
15min EMA is at 89.45.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our bespoke resistance of 89 has been clearly broken.
We look to Buy at 89.45 (stop at 89.05)
Our profit targets will be 90.65 and 90.95
Resistance: 89.56 / 90.00 / 90.50
Support: 89.00 / 88.65 / 88.40
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZDJPY | RBNZ Signals End of Cutting Cycle – Watching Bull-Flag RBNZ’s decision to cut rates but signal a pause in further easing has shifted the macro tone for the Kiwi. Markets now see New Zealand as nearing the end of its cycle, which contrasts with Japan’s still-uncertain path as the BoJ balances weak domestic data with the risk of further currency stabilisation efforts.
Technical Lens:
NZDJPY has spent the past months forming a broad ascending structure, now testing the upper boundary of a bull-flag channel. The price has repeatedly respected the lower trend line and is leaning towards a breakout attempt at the top of the formation.
Scenarios:
If the top of the flag continues to hold, the pair may consolidate or rotate back into the channel.
If momentum carries the break, the move could extend towards the wider resistance band around 92, where the last major supply cluster sits.
Catalysts:
Shifts in Japanese risk sentiment, safe-haven flows, or any fresh signals from the BoJ could alter JPY dynamics quickly. Conversely, confirmation that RBNZ remains comfortable with a pause may keep rate-differential support in NZD’s favour.
Takeaway:
The focus is on whether NZDJPY can clear the upper boundary of this flag as the market adjusts to RBNZ’s “end-of-cuts” stance.
NZD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the NZD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 88.001 level.
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NZD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup | TMA & Pullback PlayNZD/JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT & LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY 🚀
Hey TradingView Community! 👋 Get ready for a potential move in the Kiwi Dollar vs. the Yen. A clean technical setup is forming, and here’s my professional plan to capitalize on it.
📈 TRADE IDEA: BULLISH
Asset: NZD/JPY ("Kiwi Dollar vs. Yen")
Type: Day Trade / Swing Trade
Bias: Bullish 🟢
Core Concept: Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout confirmed, now looking for a pullback to the Moving Average for a high-probability entry.
⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION
✅ Confirmation & Trigger:
Price has broken above a key Triangular Moving Average, signaling a shift in momentum.
The trigger for entry is a pullback and bounce from the moving average support.
🎯 "Thief" Layered Entry Strategy:
This strategy uses multiple buy limit orders to scale into the position at favorable prices, averaging your entry cost.
Buy Limit 1: 87.500
Buy Limit 2: 88.000
Buy Limit 3: 88.500
💡 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and price levels based on your capital and risk appetite.
❗ Stop Loss (Risk Management):
A hard stop loss can be placed below the recent swing low at 87.000.
IMPORTANT NOTE 👇
"Dear Thief OG's & Fellow Traders – This is MY stop loss based on MY strategy. You MUST adjust your position size and SL level based on YOUR own risk management rules. Protect your capital first!"
🎯 Take Profit Target:
Primary Target: 90.200
Reasoning: This level aligns with:
A strong ATR-based resistance line.
Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes.
A historical "trap zone" where reversals can occur.
KEY NOTE 👇
"Take profits based on your own style! You can scale out partials on the way up or wait for the full target. The market gives, the market takes – manage your profits according to your own plan!"
🔍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS
Understanding the context is key! Here are related instruments to keep on your radar:
AUD/JPY: The "Aussie" and "Kiwi" are often correlated due to their similar economies (commodity-based). A strong NZD/JPY move is often mirrored here.
AUD/NZD: Watch this for relative strength. If NZD is strengthening, this pair should move down.
NZD/USD ( OANDA:NZDUSD ): The direct Kiwi-Dollar pair. A strong NZD here will likely fuel strength in NZD/JPY.
USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ): This is critical! JPY pairs are heavily influenced by U.S. Treasury yields. A rising USD/JPY (meaning a weaker Yen) will provide a strong tailwind for this NZD/JPY long trade.
✅ Summary:
Strategy: "Thief" Layered Entries
Setup: TMA Breakout + MA Bounce
Risk: Defined & Managed
Target: Logical Resistance Zone
If you found this idea helpful, don't forget to smash that LIKE button and leave a comment! ✅ Your support helps with visibility. Let's get this bread! 🍞
Disclaimer: This is my personal trade idea, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot whic acts as a pullback resitance and could fall to the 1st support.
Pivot: 87.74
1st Support: 87.33
1st Resistance: 88.03
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NZDJPY Forming Falling WedgeNZDJPY has recently broken down from a rising support line, forming a classic falling wedge structure that signals a potential bearish continuation in the short term before a possible bullish reversal. Price has struggled to hold above the previous supply zone near 88.300, where repeated rejections indicate strong selling pressure. The recent break below the trendline confirms that buyers have lost momentum, giving sellers room to push price lower toward the next liquidity zone around 86.800 – 86.900, where demand previously stepped in.
Fundamentally, market sentiment on the New Zealand Dollar continues to weaken as traders price in slower economic growth and the expectation that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may approach a more neutral stance after a period of tight monetary policy. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to gain support from safe-haven demand as global volatility remains elevated. Yen strength combined with NZD weakness gives additional confluence to this downward move, aligning well with the technical breakout now visible in the structure.
As price approaches the next support area, this falling wedge suggests that once the downside inefficiency fills and momentum cools, a bullish reversal may develop. Falling wedges often mark the end of a corrective phase, so traders will be watching closely for bullish reaction candles or breakout volume to signal buyers stepping back in. Until then, momentum remains bearish and short-term continuation toward the lower zone remains the most probable scenario.
If price stabilizes at support and forms higher lows, a strong recovery rally could follow, especially if the Yen strength eases or NZD economic sentiment improves. This combination of technical structure and macro sentiment creates a high-value trading setup that can deliver strong profitability with proper risk positioning.
NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDJPY tapped the discount zone inside horizontal demand after sweeping liquidity, signalling accumulation. If bullish order-flow sustains, expect a repricing toward the premium buy-side target above. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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NZDJPY: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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NZDJPY — Channel Breakdown Opens the Door for Further Downside📉 NZDJPY — Channel Breakdown Opens the Door for Further Downside
NZDJPY has finally slipped below the ascending channel after multiple failed attempts to hold structure. Price also rejected the upper supply zone before breaking the trendline — a clean shift in momentum.
As long as price remains below the broken channel and the 87.90–88.00 zone, bearish pressure stays valid with room for continuation toward the 86.80 area.
Watching how price reacts on the retest to confirm sustained bearish intent.
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NZDJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 88.243.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 87.685 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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