NZDJPY I’m watching NZD/JPY closely this week as the market approaches my Point of Interest (POI). This area has shown multiple strong reactions in the past, which makes it a key zone to monitor again.
The higher timeframes are still in a downtrend, so I’ll be waiting to see if the market gives a clear bearish engulfing candle once it enters the POI. That confirmation would signal a strong potential continuation to the downside.
If we get that reaction, I’ll be looking for entries aiming toward the next lower low. This setup could become a highly probable and profitable move if the market respects the zone once again.
New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen
No trades
Market insights
Is NZD/JPY Ready for Lift-Off? Breakout + Layered Entries🚀 NZD/JPY Swing Trade Plan | Thief Strategy Layers ⚡
NZD/JPY Market Snapshot 📊 | September 2, 2025
Exchange Rate 💸
24-Hour Change: +0.18% ⬆️
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊😟
Retail Traders: 62% Long (Bullish) | 38% Short (Bearish)
Institutional Traders: 55% Long (Bullish) | 45% Short (Bearish)
Investor Mood 🌡️
Overall Mood: Neutral, leaning cautiously optimistic
Fear & Greed Index: 48/100 (Neutral with a slight greed tilt) 😐
Fundamental & Macro Score 📈
Fundamental Score: 60/100 (Moderately positive, supported by NZ economic stability)
Macro Score: 55/100 (Stable, though global uncertainties weigh)
Market Outlook 🐂🐻
Bias: Neutral with a slight Bullish lean
Key Driver: Expectations of Fed rate cuts supporting NZD strength vs JPY safe-haven flows.
📌 Trading Plan – Thief Layer Strategy 💎
Plan Type: Swing / Day Trade
Bias: Bullish (Pending Breakout Setup)
Breakout Entry Zone: Watch 87.100 ⚡
Set an alert on TradingView (OR) Your Personal Trading Platform to catch the breakout easily.
🔑 Thief Layer Entries (scaling in with limits):
86.600
86.800
87.000
(Add more layers if needed, but confirm with breakout above 87.100)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief Style): ~86.200
Place after breakout confirmation.
Adjust based on personal risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Plan):
Police barricade spotted at 88.400 🚓
Safer exit at 88.200 to lock in profit before resistance.
✨ Summary
NZD/JPY is showing bullish momentum with positive sentiment and macro support. The Thief Strategy focuses on layered limit entries + breakout confirmation, paired with disciplined SL & TP.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch 🔎
OANDA:AUDJPY
FX:USDJPY
OANDA:NZDUSD
OANDA:GBPJPY
#NZDJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #Breakout #TradingStrategy #ThiefMethod #JPY #NZD #FXAnalysis
NZD/JPY: Bearish Reversal ConfirmedIt appears quite probable that the 📉NZDJPY pair may experience a further decline.
This analysis is based on the confirmation of a change of character on a 4-hour timeframe, along with the presence of a bearish imbalance candle.
The subsequent support level is anticipated to be at 87.60.
Bearish reversal setup?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 88.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 88.85
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 87.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZDJPYThis looks like a solid setup to the downside. I believe patience will play to your advantage. I missed GBPJPY this week due to a wild spike ,it was crazy. But if you wait long enough, the setup always reveals itself. Just stick to your rules. I’m anticipating a retest and continuation to the downside, provided I get clean price action. This move could easily transition into next week.
NZDJPY: Is That a Trap?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
It looks like with have a bull trap on NZDJPY after a test of a key
horizontal resistance.
A selling imbalance candle that was formed after a false violation
leaves strong bearish clues.
I think that the price may retrace to 87.6 level.
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Inverse Head & Shoulders (NZD/JPY)Setup: possible long term bottom and bullish trend reversal
- inverse head and shoulders (pattern incomplete)
Signal:
A) At current breakout
B) Buy on gap fill during pullback
Nornally I follow trends - but seems like FX market bottoming out in several places...
Is this a bottom? or trend still lower, and better sell?
NZDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 88.173
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 87.931
Recommended Stop Loss - 88.340
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The previous swing high is located at 88.36.
88.13 has been pivotal.
Trading volume is increasing.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
The primary trend remains bearish.
We look to Sell at 88.10 (stop at 88.60)
Our profit targets will be 86.60 and 86.23
Resistance: 87.94 / 88.13 / 88.36
Support: 87.42 / 87.25 / 86.71
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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NZDJPY – Retesting Upper Channel: Looking for Shorts!NZDJPY remains inside a falling channel on the 4H.
Price just spiked back into the upper trendline / supply (87.40–87.80), where sellers have reacted before.
As long as this red zone holds, I’ll look for lower-high + break-of-structure sell setups toward 86.30, then the 85.40–85.00 channel low.
A clean 4H close above ~88.00 would invalidate the idea and open room for 88.70–89.00.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
NZDJPY SELL PROJECTION As we can boldly see , my strategy is very easy and self explanatory...I built this strategy with thoughts. Let's dive into it.
NZDJPY as you can see is respecting a supply zone which forms from a breakout from a mini uptrend and then retest to FVG and then sells again
Trendline breakout + retest + FVG + POI + SELL
Ready For The Kiwi To Run? NZD/JPY Bullish Setup Unfolding >🚨 NZD/JPY | “Kiwi vs Yen” Thief Layer Strategy 🎭 (Swing/Day Trade)
📝 Trade Idea: Bullish Breakout Pending Plan
Asset: OANDA:NZDJPY (Kiwi vs Yen)
Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)
Breakout Trigger: Price breakout above 87.900⚡ — bullish candle close beyond Ichimoku Cloud confirms the plan activation.
Entry Style (Thief Layer Strategy):
Using layered buy-limit entries → (87.200), (87.500), (87.700), (87.900).
Layers are adjustable based on trader preference.
Tip: Set a TradingView alarm at breakout zone (87.900) to easily catch activation.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss (Thief SL): Suggested @86.700 (after breakout confirmation).
Adjust your SL according to your own strategy & risk.
Take Profit (Escape Target): First barricade @89.500.
Exit before resistance traps the move.
Reminder: SL/TP levels shared are for educational reference — please adapt to your own risk tolerance.
🔎 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy + Market Data)
📊 Real-Time Market Data (Sep 9, 2025)
Spot Rate: 87.57 JPY per 1 NZD
Daily Change: +0.05% 📈
Trend: Slightly bullish intraday
😊😟 Trader Sentiment
Retail Traders → Long: 45% 🟢 | Short: 55% 🔴
Institutions → Long: 50% 🟢 | Short: 50% 🔴
Retail lean bearish, institutions balanced → setup may favor breakout traps.
😨😄 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 52 → Neutral 😐
Market mood balanced, no extreme fear/greed force at play.
📋 Fundamental Score → 60/100
NZD drivers: RBNZ steady policy + resilient commodity exports 🧀🌾
JPY drivers: BoJ normalization + strong wage growth 💴
Overall: Balanced, slight NZD edge from steady exports.
🌍 Macro Score → 55/100
Global risk appetite: Neutral 📊
Japan wage growth (+4.1% YoY) → supports JPY 💪
NZ exports stable despite weather risks ☁️
Macro balanced, no strong bias but breakout setups viable.
🐂🐻 Overall Outlook
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias: Fundamentals and macro are balanced, but Ichimoku breakout with thief layering adds bullish opportunity window.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:AUDJPY | OANDA:NZDUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:CADJPY
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NZDJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Ichimoku #Breakout #LayerStrategy #KiwiVsYen #ThiefTrader
Bullish momentum to extend?NZD/JPY could fall toward the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 86.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 86.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 88.04
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDJPY | BullishHTF: Strong bullish momentum with significant highs broken, confirming clear continuation intent.
MTF: Waiting for price to mitigate a key order block after the liquidity sweep. A confirmed CHoCH here is 🔑 — it will validate continuation from the higher timeframe.
LTF: Once mitigation occurs within the higher-timeframe OB, I’ll wait for another CHoCH on tap to finalize entry execution.
Patience is key — timing the confirmation is what separates precision from impulse. ⚔️
NZDJPY: Another Confirmed Pullback?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
AUDJPY dropped as I predicted.
Another Yen pair that looks bearish to me is NZDJPY.
The price has just violate a support line of a consolidation range
on an hourly time frame.
It indicates a highly probable pullback.
Goal - 85.72
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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