NZDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.58900 zone, NZDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.58900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD trade ideas
NZD/USD Heading Lower? Key Resistance is being RejectedLooking at the NZD/USD chart, I find it quite interesting right now.
Take a look at this: price has been trapped inside a clean descending channel, making lower highs and lower lows, respecting both boundaries like clockwork.
Right now, price has pushed back into the upper edge of the channel, and this is where things get exciting. Sellers have stepped in here multiple times before, and the structure suggests another rejection could be on the way.
If that rejection plays out, the short setup is crystal clear: ride it back down toward the lower boundary of the channel, with a potential target around 0.577.
Remember, in a channel like this, trading with the trend is always higher probability than fighting it. Until the channel is broken, sellers have the upper hand.
Do you agree? Drop a comment below. Engaging with the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and grow as traders.
Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
NZDUSD Hits Strong Resistances – Bearish Reversal Ahead?NZDUSD ( OANDA:NZDUSD ) is currently trading near the Resistance zone($0.6000-$0.5958) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, NZDUSD seems to be completing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective, NZDUSD seems to have completed the microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave B . So we should wait for the next bearish waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect NZDUSD to drop to at least $0.5890(First Target) .
Second Target: $0.5865
Third Target: $0.5828
Stop Loss(SL): $0.5983
Note: Today's US data release could cause a shock to NZDUSD, but ultimately, NZDUSD will continue its downward trend (at least to the first target).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
New Zealand Dollar/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (NZDUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NZDUSD Pullback Toward 0.59300 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.59300 zone. The pair is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, though price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 0.59300 — an important area where buyers may look to step in and resume the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Broader USD weakness and improving risk sentiment continue to favor commodity-linked currencies like NZD, making this level one to watch closely.
Trade safe,
Joe.
NZDUSD → Correction before bull run to 0.600FX:NZDUSD , after breaking the downtrend, is forming a consolidation, the goal of which is the potential for continued growth...
The dollar is forming a small countertrend correction, to which the market is reacting, but overall sentiment on currencies is relatively bullish amid expectations of interest rate cuts...
NZDUSD is forming a trading range (consolidation) after breaking through the resistance of the downtrend. 0.5915 - 0.596. Before the growth, MM may form a liquidity capture at 0.5915 - 0.5f.
Support levels: 0.5915, 0.5884
Resistance levels: 0.5960, 0.5996
Interest rate cuts, especially aggressive ones, could trigger a fall in the dollar, which in turn would support forex currency baskets. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD could trigger medium-term growth from the specified support zone.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Channel Still Intact – Bears in ControlOANDA:NZDUSD Looking at the chart, price is locked inside a textbook descending channel — clean lower highs, lower lows, and clear respect for both boundaries.
Right now, price is retesting the upper edge of that channel. Historically, sellers have defended this zone multiple times, and the structure hints we may see another rejection here.
If that happens, the short setup is straightforward: target the lower boundary near 0.577XX.
The trend remains bearish, and in channels like this, going with the flow beats fighting it.
Until bulls break this channel convincingly, the bears are in control.
Do you see it the same way? Drop your thoughts below
Not financial advice — just sharing my chart view. Trade safe!
Bearish reversal off major resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5941
1st Support: 0.5789
1st Resistance: 0.6095
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Is.PossibleTrading with First Principles: From Mindset to Market Execution
In financial markets, many traders search endlessly for the perfect indicator or secret formula. But when viewed through the lens of first principles thinking, trading is far simpler: prices move because of the flow of capital and the psychology of participants. Once we understand this, trading becomes less about prediction and more about disciplined execution.
1. The Market is Fair
At its core, the market is a neutral arena. Buyers and sellers meet, each armed with their own motivations, fears, and expectations. No single participant controls the entire market indefinitely; price movement emerges from the aggregate push and pull of supply and demand. Recognizing this fairness frees us from blaming “manipulation” or “bad luck.” Instead, we focus on adapting to what is.
2. Mindset: Breaking the Psychological Barrier
The real battle is not against the market but against ourselves. Human emotions—fear, greed, overconfidence, and the fear of missing out—are the invisible enemies of consistent trading.
Common psychological pitfalls include:
Refusing to accept losses and delaying stop-loss execution.
Adding to losing positions in the hope of a reversal.
Chasing price moves out of fear of missing out.
The breakthrough comes when traders accept uncertainty as a permanent feature of markets. No strategy guarantees success on every trade. The key is to build a system where the long-term expected value is positive, supported by strict risk management.
3. Technical Execution: Trading with the Trend
From a first principles perspective, price only trends when capital concentration shifts. Large-volume zones (high-volume nodes or accumulation areas) represent where most participants are positioned. These zones are powerful because they show where conviction was highest.
A robust strategy follows this sequence:
Wait for a breakout: Price must escape a high-volume zone, confirming new directional intent.
Wait for a retest: Price often returns to test the broken zone, seeking confirmation of support or resistance.
Use Fibonacci retracement (0.618 level): This level often aligns with market psychology, where many traders subconsciously act, making it a high-probability entry zone.
By aligning technical entries with psychological and structural principles, traders increase the probability of catching sustainable moves.
4. The First Principles Formula
When stripped down to essentials, successful trading can be expressed as:
Mindset (discipline over emotions) + Technicals (trend and retest) + Risk Management (capital preservation) = A sustainable trading system.
Conclusion
Trading mastery does not come from chasing indicators or predicting the future with absolute certainty. It comes from applying first principles: recognizing the fairness of markets, overcoming our psychological weaknesses, and executing proven strategies with discipline. When mind and method align, the path to consistent performance becomes clear.
NZDUSD: Important Breakout & Bullish Outlook 🇳🇿🇺🇸
I spotted a confirmed breakout of a resistance line of a falling
parallel channel on NZDUSD on a daily time frame.
The next strong resistance is 0.597.
With a high probability, it is going to be reached soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5950 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
Pivot support is at 0.5820.
We look to Buy at 0.5915 (stop at 0.5895)
Our profit targets will be 0.5970 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5970 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5915 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZD/USD Rally Attempts, Will Buyers Stay in Charge?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rally Attempts, Will Buyers Stay in Charge?
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5920.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5880 pivot level.
- There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5870 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from 0.5830. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5855 barrier to start the recent rally against the US Dollar.
Moreover, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5870. The pair settled above 0.5875 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested 0.5920 and is currently consolidating gains.
There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5833 swing low to the 0.5917 high. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is stable above 50.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5905. The next major resistance is near the 0.5920 level. A clear move above 0.5920 might even push the pair toward 0.5965. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6000 handle in the coming days.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5875 level. The first key zone for the bulls sits at 0.5855 and the 76.4% Fib retracement. The next key level is 0.5840. If there is a downside break below 0.5840, the pair might slide toward 0.5800. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5750.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD H1 | Strong buy level confirming bullish riseKiwi (NZD/USD) has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is 0.5882, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5867, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5914, which acts a a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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KIWI H4 | Pullback resistance signals bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to he sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.6003, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6055, which is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.5941, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Can NZD/USD Push Higher? Bullish Setup Explained!💹 NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Day Trade Plan 🥝✨
🎯 Plan Overview
This setup is designed with a bullish outlook on NZD/USD.
Think of it as a tactical layering strategy, where we sneak entries step by step (like clever market thieves 🎭), stacking multiple limit orders for precision.
Trend Context:
🔴 & 🟢 Moving Averages = Dynamic Levels (MA flips from resistance ➝ support 🔄)
📊 William %R = showing a golden bullish signal ✨
💥 Bulls & traders smashing through MA = momentum shift 🚀
🛠️ Trade Setup
Entry:
Layered buy limit orders at:
👉 0.59300 | 0.59400 | 0.59500 | 0.59600
(Scalable — add more layers if market structure allows 📈)
Stop Loss:
Recommended safety net: 0.59100
🛡️ Reminder: Adjust SL according to your own risk management & style.
Target:
🎯 Profit zone near 0.60400
⚠️ Key note: Resistance = “Police barricade 🚓” (strong supply zone + overbought risk).
Exit before the trap closes & secure the bag 💼.
🧠 Notes for Traders
This is a strategy-style setup, not financial advice.
SL/TP levels are flexible — adapt based on your own risk & money management rules.
Market = battlefield. Respect your plan, don’t get greedy.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:AUDUSD (high correlation with NZD/USD — Aussie often shadows Kiwi moves 🪙)
OANDA:NZDJPY (risk sentiment driver — Kiwi strength shows here 🔥)
TVC:DXY (Dollar Index — strong inverse correlation ⚖️, watch USD tone for confirmation)
FX:EURUSD (broad USD flow impact 🌍)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NZDUSD #Forex #DayTrading #Kiwi #PriceAction #ForexStrategy #MarketAnalysis #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #FX
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA Retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 0.59500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels
Entry 115
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Markets look for rate clues from RBNZ's Hawkesby, US PPI contracThe New Zealand dollar has renewed its upward move after a pause on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5957, up 0.52% on the day. Earlier, NZD/USD rose as high as 0.5964, a two-month high.
The markets will be keeping a close eye on Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Christian Hawkesby, who will discuss the RBNZ's August Monetary Statement at an event in Auckland on Thursday.
At the August meeting, the Reserve Bank cut rates by a quarter-point to 3.0%, its lowest level since August 2022. The central bank hinted at further rate cuts due to expectations of lower growth both domestically and globally. The monetary rate statement said that if inflation pressures continued to ease, "there is scope" to continue lowering the cash rate.
The Bank's dovish tone surprised the markets and sent the New Zealand dollar tumbling 1.2% on the day of the meeting. As well, two of the six committee members voted for a 50 basis-point cut, reinforcing market expectations that the Reserve Bank will cut at least one more time this year. Investors will be looking for clues from Hawkesby on Thursday.
US wholesale prices for August declined for the first time in four months. Both headline and core PPI fell 0.1%, down from 0.7% and shy of the market estimate of 0.3%. Annualized, headline PPI eased to 2.6% from 3.1%, below the market estimate of 3.3%. Core PPI slipped to 2.8% from 3.4%, below the market estimate of 3.5%.
Will we see a similar miss from consumer inflation on Thursday? The markets expect headline CPI to rise to 2.9% from 2.7% and core CPI to remain steady at 3.1%. If consumer inflation surprises to the downside, the US dollar could lose ground as rate cut expectations would likely increase.
NZDUSD has pushed above resistance at 0.5936 and is testing 0.5950. Above, there is resistance at 0.5973
0.5913 and 0.5899 are providing support
NZDUSD BUY TRADE PLANPAIR & DATE: NZDUSD – 2025-09-10
PLAN ID: NZDUSD_2025-09-10_v1
⸻
PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Intra-Day / Swing
• Trade Type: Liquidity Sweep Reversal → WITH-trend continuation
• Direction: BUY
• Confidence: 74%
• Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2)
• Status: ✅ VALID
⸻
MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE (Mandatory)
• Trend: WITH (vs W1/D1/H4 structure – current leg bullish from Aug swing low)
• Macro Bias: COUNTER (NZ macro softer than USD, but DXY is showing short-term weakness post-data)
• Implication: Technicals favor a bullish continuation, but macro headwind means targets beyond TP2 require active management.
⸻
LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
Primary Setup (Higher Probability) – BUY
• Entry 01: 0.5925 – 0.5932 (H4 demand + D1 bullish OB retest)
• Entry 02: No valid Entry 02 — omitted.
• Stop Loss: 0.5902 (below OB & liquidity shelf)
• TP1: 0.5962 • TP2: 0.5994 • TP3: 0.6035
• Order: Market (after H1 bullish engulf / pin bar confirmation)
• Session: London / NY
⸻
Alternate Setup: No valid alternate setup meets ≥70% confidence — omitted.
⸻
Future Setup (Pre-Mapped) – WITH-Trend Continuation
• Bias Tag: WITH-trend continuation
• Entry: 0.5995 – 0.6005 (next D1 supply flip)
• Stop Loss: 0.5970
• TP1: 0.6045 • TP2: 0.6080 • TP3: 0.6125
• Session: London / NY
• Trigger: H1/H4 bullish engulf
• Zone Status: Fresh Tap Pending
⸻
EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red USD/NZD events.
2. Price taps 0.5925-0.5932 zone during London/NY.
3. Confirmation on H1/H4 (engulf / pin).
4. Execute order type as defined.
5. Partial at TP1 → SL BE → trail by structure.
6. Exit on invalidation close below 0.5902.
7. Skip if no trigger.
8. If EMA stack flattens at zone, skip.
⸻
FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
• CB Bias: RBNZ on hold; Fed still restrictive but data softens USD.
• Key Data (7d): US CPI, NZ GDP.
• Cross-Asset: DXY softening, US yields pulling back; risk sentiment mixed-positive.
• Macro Lean: Tactical bullish window before US CPI event risk.
⸻
MARKET MAP
• W1: Bullish corrective leg from Aug swing low inside mid-term range.
• D1: Impulse leg up from 0.5860 demand zone; premium space not yet filled.
• H4: Demand at 0.5925-0.5932; liquidity sweep last session.
• Play Type: Liquidity Sweep Reversal → WITH-trend continuation.
⸻
RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Risk 1% per idea; basket cap 2%.
• R:R ≥1:3 to TP2; ATR/spread OK.
• Trailing by structure after TP1.
⸻
CONFIDENCE
74% — HTF bullish leg intact, clean demand retest, but macro slightly counter.
⸻
FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY
• On Primary trigger: Buy 0.5925-0.5932, confirm on H1 close, manage actively beyond TP2.
• No Alternate.
• Zone Status: Fresh tap pending.