Palladium Slowly Waiting For A Break!Palladium failed to hit the $3000 mark during the bull run that ended in early 2020. Price created an
all-time high at $2875, which occurred just before the peak of the global pandemic and was followed
by a decline.
The 50 simple moving average on the weekly timeframe was there to cushion the sharp fall and has
been acting as a ladder ever since, slowly helping price to creep back towards the all-time high.
The previous trend ran from June 2016 to February 2020, going from $454 to $2875, which was a
rise of 540%. After such a big move in a long-term trend, it is no surprise that price is consolidating
as it has now run out of steam.
We can not sleep on Palladium because it has the potential to trend again once we have a breakout.
And usually, when price consolidates for a long period of time, we can expect to see a strong move
in the direction of the breakout. Hence, we need to ensure that we remain ready for any opportunity
that presents itself.
As for now, we need to wait patiently until that breakout occurs and avoid jumping in too hastily.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
PALLADIUM trade ideas
Entry points, supports and resistances.For the last published palladium idea: Entry points, resistances and supports.
If it breaks resistance upwards, using new support as entry for a sure entry.
It is possible to entry on the actual support (S1) and "hope" for a break upwards with a strict SL right bellow range. Risky. But for a scale in strategy, could work.
As there is a small RSI divergence (red dotted), support can break downwards to any fib support and ultimately to S2.
For future reference.
For future reference on FractalsPalladium.
Trend usages (today):
Catalysis
Electronics - The second greatest application of palladium in electronics
Technology - Hydrogen easily diffuses through heated palladium
Hydrogen storage - Palladium readily adsorbs hydrogen at room temperatures.
Looks like the usage will make it pricier. Palladium will continue the trend? Fractal to a long term investment considered. Consolidating the price ATM.
Palladium breaking out?On both price chart and SMA50% we can see a breakout from 12+ months resistance lines. Both were hit several times and did hold. Not this time. There was a breakout and the lines are being backtested now.
If breakout is succesfull we could see a swift up move with $3200 price target mid 2021.
I would put a SL just under 23 Feb wick witch is $2312.
PALL s'moreMacro economic climate Suport the end of metals manipulation.
"loss of confidence in government produces monetary crisis Monetary Crisis, pushes metals higher."
M. Armstrong.
Political self destruction and ruin of the republic causes loss of confidence in government.
this is simple platinum.
I have matured a little as a technician. this rule set combines Gann fan , Fibonacci levels ( zoom out on the 2 day chart ) and fitted Ellipses
Retest then Pump - Long IdeaHello friends, today I bring you the 4hr chart of Palladium which recently broke the downtrending line and reversed from the important support around $2200. Palladium is running now into resistance around $2365 while RSI turning oversold. I expect the price to pullback to retest the downtrending line which could be a nice opportunity to add long positions after formation of bullish candlestick. As long as the price stays above 2288 on closing basis, Palladium can go higher to the targets outlined in the chart in the next few days/week.
Please share your thoughts and ensure proper money management. Thank you for the support and good luck with your trades.
PALLADIUM 1D BEAR FLAGBear Flags are a Range type of chart pattern.
Bear Flag Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Bear Flag chart patterns will have a directional bias (Short) depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of volume average for a full position size.
b - If 75% of volume average then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
If not 75% then stand aside from the trade.
2 – If candle breaks out of a trendline, 15m before the close of the day prepare your buy/sell order.
Enter two trades. 1st trade will have a SL & TP. It will close automatically when the 1st TP is hit. 2nd
trade only has a SL and will be allowed to run. When 1st TP is hit move the SL to breakeven. Look
at ATR and prepare SL at 1.5 of ATR. Prepare 1st trade TP at 1 of ATR.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade don't wait for SL to be hit.
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.