PALLADIUM trade ideas
PALLADIUM Strong buy signal on the Channel Up bottom.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up, which priced its most recent Higher Low exactly a month ago (Dec 31). This coincided with a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a formation that was also present during the pattern's previous Higher Low on August 05 2024.
This resulted in a similar Channel rebound, that initiated the new Bullish Leg, which eventually peaked after a +49.28% rise. We expect a similar technical reaction, thus turning bullish on Palladium, targeting 1330.
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PALLADIUM - In a significant resistance levelOANDA:XPDUSD is approaching a significant resistance level that has previously seen bullish momentum. This area aligns with a notable supply zone and could present a potential selling opportunity.
If bearish signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, appear, the price may decline toward 993,000. Crossing above this resistance zone would diminish the bearish perspective and indicate bullish continuation.
Key Takeaway: Monitor price action closely at this level and prioritize strong risk management. What’s your perspective on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments!
XPD/USD "Palladium CFD" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XPD/USD "Palladium CFD" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any price level.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 1040.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental & macro analysis, I would expecting a bullish outlook for XPD/USD.
Supply and Demand:
Supply constraints: Palladium is a rare metal, and supply constraints can lead to higher prices.
Increasing demand: Growing demand from the automotive industry, particularly for hybrid and electric vehicles, can drive up prices.
Low above-ground inventory: The limited availability of palladium in above-ground inventory can lead to price increases.
Industrial Uses:
Catalytic converter demand: The increasing use of palladium in catalytic converters for vehicles can drive up demand.
Jewelry and investment demand: Growing demand for palladium jewelry and investment products can also support higher prices.
Diversification of industrial uses: The expanding use of palladium in various industries, such as aerospace and electronics, can reduce dependence on traditional markets.
Geopolitical Factors:
Russian supply disruptions: As Russia is a significant palladium producer, any supply disruptions due to geopolitical tensions can impact global supply and drive up prices.
Trade agreements and tariffs: Changes in trade agreements and tariffs can influence the global supply chain and impact palladium prices.
Macro Economic Factors:
Global economic growth: A growing global economy can lead to increased demand for palladium, driving up prices.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations can lead to increased investment in precious metals like palladium.
Central bank policies: Expansionary monetary policies by central banks can lead to higher inflation expectations and increased demand for palladium.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
PALLADIUM - Key zone to Watch for the Next MoveOANDA:XPDUSD is present in a key resistance zone, a level that has previously acted as a turning point for strong bearish reversals. The recent upward momentum leading into this zone increases the probability of heightened selling interest.
This could set the stage for a potential decline toward the 957.900 level. But If the resistance is decisively broken, it could mean further bullish advances, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend.
In other words, XPD/USD is at a critical point, with the resistance zone likely to determine the market's next direction.
-Price to watch 957.900,
-A breakout would indicate further bullish continuation.
Remain disciplined, wait for definitive confirmation before entering positions. This shows the importance of careful analysis and adherence to trading plans.
XPDUSD is BullishPrice was moving in a descending wedge, however a bullish divergence hinted the control of bulls. The sentiment was further confirmed by the break of falling wedge. If the price breaks lower high successfully then we can expect a bullish rally as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
XPD/USD "Palladium vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XPD/USD "Palladium vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 956.000 (or) escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the XPD/USD (Palladium/US Dollar) pair is : Bullish
Reasons:
Growing demand from the automotive industry: Palladium is a key component in the production of catalytic converters, which are used to reduce emissions in vehicles. The growing demand for vehicles, particularly in China and other emerging markets, is expected to drive up demand for palladium.
Supply chain constraints: South Africa, the world's largest producer of palladium, has been experiencing supply chain disruptions due to labor strikes and power outages, which is expected to reduce global supply and drive up prices.
Investment demand: Palladium is also used as a store of value and a hedge against inflation, which is expected to drive up investment demand and prices.
Russian sanctions: The sanctions imposed on Russia, a major producer of palladium, are expected to reduce global supply and drive up prices.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for palladium and drive down prices.
Substitution with other metals: The use of other metals, such as platinum or rhodium, in place of palladium could reduce demand and drive down prices.
New mining projects: The development of new mining projects could increase global supply and drive down prices.
Bullish Scenario:
Growing demand from the automotive industry and supply chain constraints drive up prices
Investment demand and Russian sanctions support prices
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XPDUSD is BullishPrice was in a strong downtrend for a couple of years and since past one year the asset is trading in the accumulation box. However, a matured weekly divergence has emerged on the weekly timeframe, indicating the control of bulls. If the accumulation box is broken then we can expect a bullish reversal as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
P.S Analysis is done on weekly time frame and may take a year to play out
Palladium: A Rare Trading Opportunity Palladium is currently trading at levels last seen in 2014 and 2018, hitting an extremely low support level. From here, I anticipate a bounce back to at least the previous high of $1,200 per unit.
📌 Next Target:
My projection is a rise to $1,500, which marks a strong resistance level.
Palladium is a highly demanded commodity, and at these low prices, it presents traders with an extraordinary opportunity to capitalize on its rebound potential.
PALLADIUM has started a massive 3-year rally. Don't miss it.We first published this Palladium (XPDUSD) chart exactly 4 months ago (August 06, see chart below) and it is the appropriate time to update it now:
As you can see, we gave the buy signal exactly on the market bottom which was in fact a Triple Bottom. The rebound broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a Resistance that was unbroken since the week of October 10 2022, and technically confirmed the uptrend and the trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The pattern that is carrying this uptrend is a Channel Up and in November in fact, it respected both the Higher Highs and Higher Lows trend-lines.
As mentioned on that August analysis, Palladium formed the very same Channel Up after both previous major market bottoms (Bear Cycles) since the December 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. All Channel Up patterns (the current is the 3rd one), started after the 1W RSI formed Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence. They broke out once the 1W RSI made the first pull-back on the Arc shapes you see on the chart, indicating a normalization on the initial buying pressure at the bottom.
Obviously, this is a recurring technical cyclical pattern, formed on a 6-year Cycle. With the use of the Sine Waves we can accurately display the previous bottoms (January 11 2026 and December 01 2008) and to a fair extent the tops (we can argue that those are formed on the 3rd Lower High (red circles) on the 1W RSI Lower Highs trend-line).
Needless to say, we still expect Palladium to reach at least the 'Russia-Ukraine war peak' at 3450 by mid 2026 - mid 2027. If you want to go beyond that, technically, it can extend as high as $4780, which would represent a +451.52% rise from the recent 2024 bottom. The previous two Bull Cycles rose by +533.56% and 451.52% respectively, which also represents they high degree of symmetry within Cycles.
In any event, the current levels remain a unique buy opportunity on a 3 year horizon if you are a long-term investor.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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Palladium: The Metal in Reversal
Palladium has gone through a difficult 2024, standing out as the worst performing precious metal. Until November, it accumulated a drop of more than 12%, driven by the strength of the dollar and structural changes in its demand, especially in the automotive sector.
Relevant Short-Term Factors:
1. Automotive Market in Transition: Although the electrification of vehicles is advancing, sales of hybrid vehicles have maintained a significant demand for this metal, which is key in automotive catalysts.
2. Supply Reduction: A recent restructuring at a U.S. mine will reduce global production by approximately 150,000 ounces, creating a tighter market in 2024.
Long-Term Challenges:
The palladium horizon faces fundamental challenges due to gradual displacement by platinum in industrial and automotive applications. The increasing adoption of electric vehicles could further decrease demand, while catalyst recycling will increase secondary supply, exacerbating the risk of an oversupplied market.
Despite certain temporary factors that could stabilize prices in the short term, the market remains in a downtrend, with projections placing the metal below USD 900 per ounce over the next 12 months.
Technical Aspect:
On a technical level, palladium (Ticker AT: PALLADIUM) has its current support at $923.36. Its control zone (POC) is located around $1034.06. RSI is at 45.34% slightly oversold. If we look at the crosses of averages, during the month of November there has been a change and the 50 average has fallen below the 100 and 200. And the 100 average has fallen below the 200. So a clear downtrend has formed.
Conclusion:
Palladium continues to be a volatile choice in the precious metals market. Its performance depends on both supply adjustments and the dynamics of the automotive industry. Although there are opportunities in the short term, the long-term outlook indicates a challenging scenario for this metal, driven by its structural transition.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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PALLADIUM - XPD is there a decisive decision to be made ?Hi investors we are going to take a look at the current situation with Palladium / XPD. The last steam run which Palladium happened from 18th of November gave quite a solid showcase that we could be running on a very good bullish run, but afterwards on the 26th of November we had a big retracement to the strong support level, so right now I am looking into a strategic entry in two specific scenarios.
Scenario one - Entry from the level of 975 and have a stable target at the level of 1038
Scenario two - Entry from the level of 920 and have a stable target again at 1038
Both scenarios have a stable potential but as usual it is based on your personal Risk Tolerance / Risk Management strategy. But currently the Fundamentals carrying Palladium are there and so we would definitely look at a stable opportunity focused on bullish runs.
PalladiumLong, Short, Long
This is how I see Palladium playing out over the next few days.
It’s a forecast but the first leg up is no trading opportunity.
The short trade however is a good opportunity and I will be taking this trade if it plays out as expected.
Same for the long after the move down is completed, but only if done in the manner the forecast depicts.