PHA Main trend since 2020. Hype Web3 AI 07 2025Cryptocurrency as an example. This applies to all similar assets by liquidity. Logarithm main trend. Time frame 1 week (smaller time frame, to understand the shown and described, is not necessary). Cryptocurrency is an imitation of utility with a good legend, which is traded on liquid exchanges (in the decline phase in the next cycle) most likely there will be delists, if they do not make a “restart” (rebranding). A big plus in the crypto legend of this project is that it is mentioned as the basis of the legend of Web3 and AI.
What is it. Phala Network is an execution layer for Web3 AI. By allowing AI to understand blockchains and interact with them, it removes the barrier for the first billion users joining Web3.
Phala Network's multi-security system is a solution to the problem of AI execution. Based on Phala Network, you can easily create hack-proof and unstoppable AI agents tightly integrated with on-chain smart contracts using AI-Agent Contract.
Agentize smart contracts: create AI agents for smart contracts using natural and programming languages.
End of participation phase. Created a project at the end of the participation phase in 2020 09 before entering the distribution zone of the last cycle with the highs of 2021.
Market distribution . Then, under the hype of alts, very aggressive convincing marketing and pumping over +1500%. Long distribution (more than 9 months) with price retention at a huge profit and publication of convincing fairy tales-news for “pouring” fresh fuel (mass pipel) through info wires in the market distribution zone of 2021.
Phase of decline to the recruitment zone. (partial change of hands, those who created, they do not need it). Phase of decline from the sales zone (advertisement is good), to the purchase zone (no advertising, no activity) -93%. That is, the “fresh fuel” money of investors turned into “dust” on the spot (conditionally $ 1000 of super promising next "shit", in $ 50-100), on futures still in the distribution zone “disappeared”.
Phase of accumulation (use of many short alt seasons to shake the price and “shake out”). Upon reaching the recruitment zone, — reverse. They made a reversal, pump-buyout of liquidity (their heavy orders) by a large % (+580%), which served as the starting points for the formation of the horizontal pump / dump channel range, that is, conditional accumulation.
Now another wedge is being formed locally in the horizontal channel — its breakthrough, the beginning of the pumping and another altseason, which can develop into the participation phase.
It is worth noting that they can enter the long stop loss and long liquidation zone when forming a wedge (this often happens). Take this into account in your money management in advance. Accept risks, or distribute entry money when implementing force majeure in advance, even if you do not lie that this is possible. The capitulation phase (part of accumulation, liquidity collection), that is, “dumping passengers” and the final liquidation of their faith, does not always happen, which is logical.
On weak assets (very old, low liquidity), outright scams that have "outlived their usefulness", the capitulation phase sometimes ends in a complete scam.
Alt-seasons of accumulation and capitulation zones . During this time, there were 3 average alt seasons, which naturally affected the price of this cryptocurrency (3 pumping waves in the channel +580%, +300%, +650% (average gain/drop conditionally in half), price movements in the median zone of a large trend channel.
Participation phase — most likely, there will be a series of pumps with sticks under the market trend as a whole, and most importantly, the hype of everything related to AI.
Distribution phase — most likely will be shorter in time than before, and still I would exit mostly under the mirror zone of the previous distribution, as the project is “old”, the hype "the chart remembers the deceived investors". Then two options, the development of the paths of which depends on the market as a whole, and not on this candy wrapper.
a) Consolidation and exit from it to the second zone of the final distribution ("the hamster is not scared", "it will grow forever").
b) Transition to the decline phase, then the fading of marketing, the final loss of liquidity (supporting the project with money), and a gradual (delists, regulation, norms) or sharp scam (hacking, etc.).
It does not matter which path we take in the distribution phase, the final path, like everything similar created under the hype, is the loss of liquidity, oblivion and scam. Therefore, do not forget to sell such (99.999% of the crypto market) at high prices, despite the positive news deception creeping into the mind through the ears and eyes.
Rebranding. Restart. Resetting price charts. If they do it like EOS and similar "old" scams — rebranding (preparing for a new market hype in advance), and remove all charts from exchanges, so that for the new market hype as a whole, the project would be “fresh” according to the chart, new, that is, the previous scam of "few experienced investors" would not be visible, then pumping up more than +1000% is possible, but this is irrational... As you need to spend a lot of money, it is easier to create a new imitation of something useful...
The market phases are clearly visible on the chart. I also described everything in detail.
