LOADS (PSX) – Monthly Breakout Setup + Auto Sector Seasonality LOADS is completing a multi-year rounded bottom and preparing for a major structural breakout above 21.00 on the monthly chart. Volume is the highest since 2019, price is above both 20 & 55 EMAs, and RSI has entered a bullish regime above 60 — all confirming a long-term trend shift.
🚗 Pakistan Auto Sector Seasonality (Important for LOADS)
Historically, Pakistan’s auto industry shows recurring strength in:
🔵 March, April, May, June → strongest sales/production months (corporate fleet purchases, year-end financing, pre-budget buying)
🟡 Sept–Oct → moderate strength
🔴 Weak months: July–Aug, Dec–Jan, Ramadan period (demand dips)
Since LOADS is an auto-parts supplier, price action often strengthens ahead of these high-demand months, which aligns with the current breakout structure.
📊 Risk–Reward Structure
🟢 Buy Zone (Accumulation): 15–18 PKR
Price holding above EMAs with strong demand zones.
🟦 Breakout Trigger: Monthly Close > 21.00
Unlocks higher timeframe bullish continuation.
🎯 Upside Targets
T1: 28 PKR → initial swing target
T2: 35.21 PKR → major 2018 resistance
T3: 47.53 PKR → full rounded-bottom measured move
🔴 Stop-Loss
< 13.50 (Monthly Close) → structure invalidation
R:R ranges between 1:2 → 1:6+ depending on target selection.
📌 Why This Setup Stands Out
Multi-year rounded bottom + higher-low structure
Strong volume expansion during right-side breakout
RSI in a bullish regime for the first time since 2017
Earlier Fan Principle breakout (Feb–Mar) validated the trend shift
Sector seasonality supports continuation into the next fiscal cycle
