US100 / NASDAQ TodayNasdaq 100 (NDX) Analysis - December 3, 2024
Based on today's market data, here's a comprehensive analysis of the Nasdaq 100:
Today's Performance
The Nasdaq 100 is currently trading around 25,513 points. The index closed at 25,555.86, gaining 213.01 points (+0.84%) as of 5:16 PM EST on December 2.
Today's Trading Range:
Opening: 25,449.87
High: 25,622.58
Low: 25,369.36
Volume: 380,862,001
52-Week Performance
Over the past 52 weeks, the index has ranged from 16,542.20 to 26,182.10, representing an 18.91% gain over the past 12 months.
Technical Signals
Based on technical indicators and moving averages, the daily buy/sell signal is "Strong Buy".
2024 Performance Context
The Nasdaq-100 finished 2024 higher by 25% following a return of nearly 54% in 2023—its best two-year stretch since 1998 and 1999—and eclipsed 20,000 for the first time.
However, December saw a reversal with approximately three out of every five indexes experiencing losses, averaging down 4.0%. This followed the Fed's hawkish tone, as it reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2025 to two from four.
Recent Index Reconstitution
On December 13, 2024, Nasdaq announced that Palantir Technologies, MicroStrategy, and Axon Enterprise will be added to the index effective December 23, 2024, while Illumina, Super Micro Computer, and Moderna will be removed.
Market Context
The index is currently navigating a period of consolidation after reaching near-record highs. Key factors influencing the market include Federal Reserve interest rate policy, valuations of mega-cap tech stocks (particularly the "Magnificent 7"), and ongoing developments in AI technology.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in financial instruments involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the information provided may not reflect real-time market movements. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not a financial advisor and assumes no responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this analysis.
Market insights
Nasdaq Hits Resistance: Pullback Before the Next Bullish Move?📊 Nasdaq – Technical Setup & Market Catalysts
The index recently tested a previously unfilled Fair Value Gap (H1 timeframe) and swept liquidity from last week’s accumulation — a process that often precedes new directional moves. The move cleared many trapped positions and reset the orderbook.
Currently, Nasdaq is sitting below a strong resistance zone; price appears to be weakening, which increases the probability of a short-term pullback toward the Previous Day Low (PDL) to collect more liquidity before any further upside attempt.
Momentum indicators and price structure suggest caution: while the general uptrend remains, a lack of upward acceleration and signs of hesitation point toward a possible consolidation or retracement.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Optimism remains in markets thanks to rising investor expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this December. This sentiment supports risk assets, and tech stocks in particular — historically sensitive to interest rates and discounting future earnings.
However, some analysts warn that valuations in the tech sector — which heavily influence Nasdaq — are rich relative to earnings. The forward P/E ratio sits well above long-term averages, increasing vulnerability if economic data disappoints or if rate cuts are delayed.
Broader macro conditions remain fragile: global yield curves and bond markets show signs of stress, which could add volatility. Also, inflation trends and upcoming U.S. data releases could shift sentiment quickly.
🎯 What to Watch Next
Pullback zone: Look for support near the PDL or recent liquidity area — potential buying zone if price stabilizes.
Breakout zone: If Nasdaq breaks above resistance with strength and volume, upside is open toward higher targets set pre-rally.
Catalysts: Fed rate-cut expectations, upcoming economic data (inflation, employment, PMI), and tech sector earnings will influence direction strongly.
NAS100How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
USNAS100 | Fed Uncertainty & Data Releases Drive Market SetupUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
Risk assets are showing renewed signs of recovery on Wednesday after the broad selloff that began the month, though bonds continue to hold their recent losses.
The U.S. dollar is also easing as attention shifts back to the Federal Reserve, with markets reacting to President Trump’s decision to delay naming the next Fed Chair until 2026.
With the November Nonfarm Payrolls report still pending, investors will closely watch today’s data releases for direction:
Key Events Today
- ADP National Employment Report (November)
- U.S. Industrial Production (September)
- ISM Services PMI (November)
- S&P Global Services & Composite PMIs (Final, November)
Technical Analysis
USNAS100 maintains bullish momentum as long as the price trades above 25570, with upside targets at 25730 and 25980.
A breakout above 25980 could extend the rally toward 26170.
However, a 1H close below 25570 will trigger a corrective move toward 25430, with deeper downside potential into the 25210 support zone.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25570
Resistance: 25730 · 25980 · 26170
Support: 25430 · 25210
NAS100 LONG setupNas has been ranging for over a month back in Sep-Oct, buyers won the battle and pushed price to 26,3k.
Sellers kicked in again and price corrected for another month.
Recently price has broken back above the level and from here I'm looking for buys, as long as it keep making HHs and HL's during the next couple of weeks, during next New York sessions.
BUY ZONE NAS100All timeframes are bullish
On 4 hr there is a CHoC - buyers took control
The CHoC comes from the OB that is imbalanced (30 min OB - IMB)
Inside the OB imbalanced 30 min fair value gap making zone a POI (point of interest)
Looking to take buys from 30 min OB - IMB
Before taking buys, will drop to lower time frame for execution
Consider the liquidity zone when taking an entry
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE & NOT WHAT YOU FEEL - GOOD LUCK
2 DEC 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
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NAS100 4h SELLchart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects your expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
NAS100 DAILYNAS100 Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
chart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Key Zones Identified)
chart uses multiple retracements:
Current swing retracement levels
0.25 – 23,869
0.5 – 21,383
0.75 – 18,993
These levels match the projected downward path.
Major support zone
Large green rectangular zone near 16,300 – 17,000
This is aligned with:
Long-term Fibonacci support
Previous accumulation zone
Blue dotted long-term rising trendline
This zone is likely the macro bottom of the cycle.
3️⃣ Moving Averages (Trend Signals)
using:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue MA (200-day long-term)
Current price is:
Breaking below the green and red MAs
Approaching the 200-day MA around 21,000
A break under the 200-day MA confirms a total trend shift to bearish.
4️⃣ Cycle Timing (Bars/Days)
chart marks three key cycles:
🔹 From the top to first support:
31 bars, 43 days
🔹 Next consolidation period:
30 bars, 42 days
🔹 Full correction phase to the bottom:
105 bars, 147 days
This indicates a highly structured time cycle, showing the correction may last until August–September 2026.
5️⃣ Expected Bearish Phase (Primary Scenario)
red path suggests:
Continued decline from current levels
Multiple lower highs and lower lows
A temporary bounce around 21,800
Then deeper drops toward 18,600 – 19,000
Extended capitulation down to the 16,300 zone (major support)
This zone is highlighted heavily, suggesting it is final bearish target.
6️⃣ Recovery Phase (Bullish Scenario)
After the bottom:
🟦 Bullish reversal zone: 16,300
The blue dotted line indicates:
A multi-month recovery
Strong upside momentum
Reestablishment of a long-term bullish trend
Possible return to previous highs later
This forms a textbook "macro correction → macro rally" cycle.
7️⃣ Summary of Your Market View
📉 Short-Term Bias: Strongly Bearish
Market breaking structure
Cycle timing supports continued decline
Price heading for deeper Fibonacci levels
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Bearish
Expecting multiple waves of selling
Target zone: 18,600 then 16,300
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
After the cycle completes, NAS100 should resume its uptrend
Blue dotted projection shows a long rally into late 2026 and 2027
✔️ Final Outlook
chart shows a well-planned, detailed scenario:
A multi-leg correction
Followed by a strong, long-term bullish cycle
The 16,300 zone is the “macro bottom”
Timing suggests bottoming around August–September 2026
analysis is consistent, logical, and follows smart technical principles.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 taps into a well-defined horizontal supply zone after a strong bearish displacement, confirming smart money distribution. Price failed to reclaim the supply cluster and is now respecting bearish order flow, with downside liquidity resting below recent lows.
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Stop Loss: 25,283
Take Profit: 24,891
Entry: 25,123
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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Battle of the trendsThis short term action today, appears to me to be the battle over whether to break the orange trend line, or brake out up to the blue (At least).
Im generally long term short, as per my previously published idea. I think this thing is going to 16-12k maybe in the next year. But keeping an eye on short term rallies to look where to increase or decrease position size.
NAS100 ChoppySupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declines hortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
NAS100 Intraday Rebound Setup (1H)After a strong downside sweep into the lower liquidity pocket, NAS100 is showing its first signs of stabilization on the 1-hour chart. Price has tapped directly into a confluence of demand and prior inefficiency, creating conditions for a corrective bounce back toward the nearest redistribution zone above.
The sharp wick and immediate reaction signal that sellers may be exhausting into support, giving buyers an opportunity for a short-term recovery move.
🔹 Entry: CMP
🔹 Target (TP): 25,818.90
🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): 25,064.75
This setup aims for a retracement into the mid-range supply cluster, offering a favorable reward relative to the tight invalidation below. A clean close above 25,560–25,620 would confirm early strength and increase the probability of continuation toward the main target.
However, a breakdown beneath 25,064 invalidates the bounce thesis outright and suggests deeper expansion toward the next demand levels.
Trade Management
Take partials as price enters 25,560–25,620
Move SL to break-even once price closes above 25,620
Full TP at 25,818.90 unless momentum shows signs of exhaustion earlier
⚠️ Financial Disclaimer (fun version):
Not financial advice. Just colorful candles and hopeful arrows. If you trade this without risk management, NAS100 may personally introduce you to high-speed downside action. Always DYOR.
US100 (NDQ): Breakdown Risk Below Neckline — Sellers in ControlSummary :
US100 is showing clear topping behavior after a strong rally, with price now trading below recent highs and pressuring a key neckline support. Momentum favors a continuation lower unless buyers reclaim critical resistance quickly.
Technical Analysis:
The broader trend was bullish, but recent price action shows loss of momentum and distribution. The chart forms a Head & Shoulders / M-top structure, with the neckline around 23,980 already tested and weakly defended.
The last rebound failed to make a higher high, confirming lower high structure. Daily candles show strong bearish bodies from the right shoulder, signaling seller dominance. A clean daily close below the neckline increases the probability of continuation toward the next demand zone.
Fundamental Context:
US equities remain sensitive to Fed rate expectations and macro data (inflation, employment). Any repricing of rate cuts or renewed risk-off sentiment could accelerate downside pressure, especially on tech-heavy indices like US100.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 25,100 – 25,300 (right shoulder / breakdown zone)
Neckline Support: 23,980
1st Downside Target: 23,000 (major support zone)
Extended Target: 22,500 if selling pressure expands
Takeaway:
Bearish while price remains below 25,100. A confirmed daily close below 23,980 opens the door toward 23,000. Bullish recovery only if price reclaims the neckline and holds above it.
#US100 #Nasdaq #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #MarketStructure
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
Price has reacted from the sell entry, aligning with pullback resistance.
Sell Entry: 25,088.86
Overlap resistance
Stop Loss: 25,371.64
Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 24,437.79
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
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25.12.16 Nasdaq Continues Lower / Short-Only Strategy Explained Welcome to ACID TRADE.
Hello everyone, today is December 16, 2025, and this is my Nasdaq chart analysis.
My name is Acid.
Reference chart:
Monday’s Nasdaq Result
Following the break below the lower boundary of the range, Nasdaq dropped an additional 250 points.
This downside move has continued into the Asian session, confirming sustained bearish momentum.
For those who took short positions, this move represents a profit zone of approximately $5,000 from entry.
Reference chart:
Current Nasdaq Outlook
At this point, I consider Nasdaq to have entered the blue-box range marked on the left side of the chart.
A strong rebound would normally be expected from this area, but so far, there is no clear sign of a meaningful bounce.
If price continues to make lower lows, short positions remain the only valid trading approach at this time.
Downside levels remain open toward 24,564 and 24,331.
For today, I do not see a favorable long setup, so I will not be sharing a buy scenario.
Conclusion
Nasdaq is currently moving in a step-by-step bearish structure with continued lower lows.
Today’s strategy is to focus on short positions only, but limit trades to up to one hour before the U.S. market opens, as economic data will be released at that time.
Market conditions may change after the data release, but at the moment, long positions appear too aggressive.
For those looking for longs, I recommend waiting and observing for now rather than forcing entries.






















