Potential bullish rise?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 18,950.55
1st Support: 18,467.08
1st Resistance: 20,258.77
1st Resistance: 34.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US100 trade ideas
NASDAQ Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 19,400 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
How important is the time frame when you investWe’ve been discussing the possibility of a recession in the US for some time now, along with tariffs and the impact of Trump’s policies. This has led to declines of up to 25% in the US NASDAQ index, sparking panic among many investors. When investing for the long term, it’s important to be aware of where we are within the same time frame as our investment horizon—a 25% drop in the short term doesn’t necessarily have to be a concern for long-term investors.
In this case, we can see that the NASDAQ has established a massive uptrend over the years. As long as the main trend levels remain intact, we can’t even say the market is moving sideways. The market has provided one of the best opportunities to enter the NASDAQ, bouncing right off previous highs and demonstrating the strength of the trend.
By buying in the previous highs or near the long term trendline, means a very low risk with returns up to 30%.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDQhe image shows a daily chart (1D) of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) on TradingView, with a detailed technical analysis suggesting a possible continuation of the long (bullish) trend, supported by various price levels, trendlines, and visual cues. Here's a description based on the chart:
🟦 Current Context
The price has recently broken above a key resistance area around 20,016 – 20,038, which may now act as support.
The current candle is bullish (green) and closes above this range, showing buyer strength.
There is a clear upward trend starting mid-April, with higher lows and consecutive bullish candles.
📈 Key Technical Elements
A target is marked at 21,009.5, highlighted by an orange horizontal line.
A light blue rectangle represents a potential projected move range, starting around the 20,000 zone and aiming toward 21,000.
A red box below the current price likely indicates the invalidation area or stop-loss zone.
Intermediate support levels include:
19,756.0 (blue line)
19,226.9 (orange line)
18,304.8 (deeper support)
🔁 Potential Long Continuation Scenario
If price holds above the 20,000 – 20,038 zone, we may see an acceleration toward the 21,009 target.
The overall pattern suggests a breakout from a consolidation phase, followed by a retest of the broken level (now support), and a potential upward continuation.
The diagonal trendlines indicate the formation of a broad ascending channel.
📅 Timing
The projected target may be reached within the coming weeks: a vertical black line is marked on May 21, 2025, possibly indicating the expected timeframe for the move.
✅ Conclusion
There is a clear bullish market structure, with a resistance breakout and well-defended supports. Unless there’s a false breakout or negative macro news, the long projection toward 21,009 appears technically valid.
a strategy i made with chatgpt in the works before market openThe strategy involve the use of to EMAs. The 10 and 20 EMAs. and i have an alert on Tradingview that tells me when the golden cross occurs and on the next candle after the golden cross thats where i am supposed to enter the trade but since i am working at this time i missed my entry but still got a good entry on the next reset and took a 2.5:1 trade and it panned out.
NAS100USD: Bearish Confluence Builds as Market WeakensGreetings Traders,
Despite the broader bullish context on NAS100USD, current confluences suggest a potential short-term move to the downside. As we enter the New York session—with a key news release on the horizon—we anticipate heightened volatility. The critical question now becomes: where is price most likely to draw?
Key Observations:
1. Shift in Market Structure:
Price failed to break above the previous high and instead formed a lower high, signaling weakness and suggesting a possible reversal. This lower high, marked by multiple rejection wicks, forms what we identify as a rejection block—a zone often used by institutions to initiate sell orders.
2. Displacement and Bearish Arrays:
Following this rejection, the market displayed strong displacement to the downside, confirming a market structure shift. This supports the likelihood of bearish continuation and increases the validity of bearish institutional arrays holding as resistance.
3. Current Zone of Interest:
Price is now trading within a fair value gap (FVG) aligned with a reclaimed order block—a strong confluence area for potential bearish continuation. Just above this zone lies a bearish order block and another FVG, which may act as a secondary resistance should price wick higher before moving down.
Trading Plan:
Wait for confirmation at the current resistance zones before considering entries. If validated, look to target the liquidity pools resting at lower, discount price levels.
Stay patient, trade with precision, and let the market confirm your idea.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NS100 IS BULLISHPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 , The journey to NAS100 ATH is all about to kickstart, and it will do us good not to miss this moves. On this post, i shared analysis about NAS100 combining both H4, Daily and WeeklyTF together to form this analysis, for further details, see the content of the post.
Technical Breakdown on US 100 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,080
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,720
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session: 19,828.32
Previous Session: 19,760.96
High-volume nodes: Between 19,750 – 19,830 (acceptance zone with strong historical interest).
Low-volume gaps: 19,840 – 19,950 and above 20,100 (potential fast-move areas).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters Likely at:
Above 20,100 (psychological level and channel top).
Below 19,720 (value rejection zone).
Order Absorption Zones:
19,828 – 19,850 shows thick absorption based on CVD response and price stall.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,080 (volume spike with slight wick rejection).
Swing Low: 19,700 (demand step-in area).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend (strong green candle series with rising CVD).
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + bullish price action → Strong demand from market buyers, aligning with breakout above POC.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 19,720
POC (Current): 19,828.32
POC (Previous): 19,760.96
Resistance:
VAH: 20,080
Round number & psychological level: 20,100
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Gann Swing Low: 19,700
Gann Swing High: 20,080
Key Retracement Levels (Range: 19,700 – 20,080):
1/2: 19,890
1/3: 19,827
2/3: 19,953
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX + CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation range above POC (strong volume confirmation).
Ascending channel structure supporting higher lows.
No divergence in CVD → healthy trend continuation signal.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,828 – 19,850 (retest of POC/consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 20,080 (VAH/Swing High)
T2: 20,200 (Channel Top)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,700 (below swing low)
RR: ~1:2.3 minimum
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX flip bearish later):
Entry Zone: 20,080 – 20,100 (failure to break channel top)
Target:
T1: 19,828 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (above channel breakout zone)
RR: ~1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade. Avoid oversized trades in extended trends.
Understanding the Crab's Potential Ascent Before the DescentCurrent market analysis suggests a potential temporary surge in the Nasdaq index, colloquially referred to as a "crab walk," possibly reaching a level of 20.4 before a significant correction.
While this upward movement may present short-term opportunities, it is crucial to recognize its potential transience.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY awaits Fed Rate Decision Macro & Central Banks
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Officials say policy is well-positioned, despite political frustration.
China is adding stimulus: cutting rates, reducing bank reserve requirements, and increasing gold reserves for the sixth month in a row.
Markets
U.S. stock futures are higher.
The U.S. dollar is recovering after three days of declines.
The U.S. and China will restart trade talks — the first since the Trump-era tariff war.
Companies
Novo Nordisk shares are rising on expectations of less competition for its obesity drug Wegovy.
WeightWatchers has filed for bankruptcy.
Earnings reports this morning: Walt Disney, Uber, Barrick Gold.
Earnings reports this afternoon: Arm Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Carvana, Flutter.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,190
Resistance Level 2: 20,510
Resistance Level 3: 20,930
Support Level 1: 19,330
Support Level 2: 19,020
Support Level 3: 18,570
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22
Point of Control (POC):
Recent POC: 19,979.52
Prior POC: 19,845.22
High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium.
Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high)
Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection)
Absorption Zones:
Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle).
Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias
ADX Strength:
ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend.
DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure.
CVD Confirmation:
Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,845.22 (POC + VAL)
19,800 (swing low and absorption)
Resistance:
19,979.52 (POC)
20,000 (psychological + rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing High: 20,000
Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845
Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000):
1/2: 19,922
1/3: 19,896
2/3: 19,969
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish
Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown.
b) Notable Patterns:
Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000.
Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC.
Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance):
Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest)
Targets:
T1: 20,100
T2: 20,300
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure)
Target:
T1: 19,700
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
NQ: Prior to the FEDAs expected, NQ is consolidating.
Tomorrow is a big day in terms of looking forward. What should we expect from the FED?
1- FED Mandate is: Employment and Inflation
2- FED has always said: FED policy is data related.
The latest data on both Employment and Inflation were not sufficiently bad to rationalize the rate cuts and feed Trump's pressure.
Hence, I think the FED won't give any hint tomorrow about the rate cut on June. This will disappoint market and a Sell-off of stocks and equities will be massive. The start of Wave 3.
The other scenario will send stocks and equities up in a zigzag move: Down then up.
Gold as a lead indicator has resumed up its direction. This might be a sign of what is coming for equities.
Have a good evening/night!
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook.
One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240.
That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.