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SPX 6300 Highs to 6200 Lows - Watch Key LevelsThis week earnings season kicks off -Notables include JPM, GS, BAC, WFC, NFLX, KMI, PEP and others US Inflation (CPI and PPI) this week -forecasts are showing HIGHER inflation -consumers care, but markets may not 6300-6350 key resistance area for SPX 6200 key support area for SPX If we break the 6200 floor, there's room to fall to 6000-5700 to find stronger support I discuss the 50 day moving averarages on the S&P and Nasdaq as levels to watch For the remainder of the month... 7/18 July Monthly Expiration 7/30 US FOMC (with Press Conference) 8/1 US Non-Farm 8/1 US Tariff Deadline (per Trump) Markets will have to really love a slew of good earnings and good news to see more highs and melt-ups through this typically bumpy season (Aug-Sep) Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
US 500 – A New Record Peak or Reversal in the Week AheadSo far in July, the US 500 has recorded multiple all-time highs on its way to an eventual peak of 6294 on Thursday (July 10th), from which it finally succumbed to some profit taking into the weekend, leading to a small Friday sell off to close at 6255 (-0.4%). Along the way traders have ignored mixed US economic data, and more importantly they have, for the most part, shrugged off President Trump’s increasingly aggressive approach to tariffs, choosing instead to focus on economic resilience, renewed AI optimism and an improving outlook for the Q2 corporate earnings season that kicks fully into gear in the coming days. In terms of tariffs, the fact that there is now a new August 1st deadline to concentrate on may be taking away some of the immediate urgency for the announcement of trade deals, although these issues still remain important and on-going, highlighted by President Trump's weekend social media announcement of 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico, if a better deal cant be reached in the next 3 weeks. With regard to corporate earnings, the major US banks like JP Morgan (Tuesday before the open) and Bank of America (Wednesday before the open) report this week. Both company’s share prices have seen strong gains since the April lows, so traders will be eagerly awaiting their actual numbers. They will also be keen to hear the thoughts of the bank CEOs on future earnings, bad debt provisions and the potential impact of Trump’s tariffs on the US economy moving forward. Only last week, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, warned market complacency towards potential tariff risks. In terms of scheduled economic data. Tuesday’s US CPI (1330 BST) and Wednesday’s PPI release (1330 BST) stand out. Traders are sensitive to US inflation updates and have been watching over the last several months for signs that tariffs are pushing up prices. So far this hasn’t been the case but these new releases may tell a different story. All of these issues could impact risk sentiment and the direction of the US 500 index in the next 5 trading days. Certainly, the early open has been impacted by President Trump's weekend tariff announcement, with the US 500 currently down 0.46% at 6227 (0800 BST). The technical outlook could also be an important factor in determining price moves. Technical Update: Assessing the Move to A New Record High Last week appears to have seen a slowing in the speed of the recent price strength, but a new all-time high was still posted at 6294 on Thursday. It could be argued that this activity maintains what is still a more constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that have materialised since the April 7th downside extreme of 4799. However, there is no guarantee this price activity will continue to see new all-time highs posted, so we need to be aware of potential support and resistance levels that may influence price activity. Possible Support Levels: If last week’s possible slowing in upside price momentum develops into a new phase of price weakness, a support level that traders might now be watching could be 6148. This 6148 level is equal to both the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 10th strength and the current level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closes below 6148 might suggest a more extended phase of weakness back to 6058, the lower 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, possibly further if this in turn gives way. Possible Resistance Levels: Having been capped by the 6294 all-time high last week, sellers may continue to be found at this level, so this might prove to be the first potential resistance if fresh attempts at price strength over the coming week develop. Closing defence of 6294 may need to be watched if challenged, as successful breaks above this level might suggest an extension of the uptrend pattern currently evident in price activity. Such closing breaks higher may well suggest price strength towards 6418, the 200% Fibonacci extension level of the recent price decline. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
SPX500 Correction Before Rally? Key Levels in FocusSPX500 Correction Before Rally? Key Levels in FocusSPX500 OVERVIEW Fundamental Context: The U.S. and EU have averted a tariff standoff. The agreement reduces the baseline tariff on most European imports to 15%, down from the previously threatened 30% by the Trump administration. In return, the EU has committed to investing approximately $600 billion in the U.S. Additionally, U.S.–China trade talks are ongoing in Stockholm, with reports suggesting a possible 90-day extension to the tariff deadline. Technical Outlook: SPX500 maintains a bullish bias due to easing trade tensions. However, as long as the price trades below 6421, a short-term correction toward 6397 and 6388 is likely. A rebound is expected if the price stabilizes above 6388. 🔺 Bullish Continuation will be confirmed if a 1H candle closes above 6427, potentially targeting 6454 and 6470. Key Levels • Support: 6397 – 6388 – 6365 • Resistance: 6454 – 6470
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6596 .Dear colleagues, I haven't made a forecast for the SNP500 in a long time and was waiting for a correction, but it seems that a major correction is not yet close, and at the moment the price continues to be in an upward five-wave movement. Therefore, I believe that we should expect to reach the 6596 area, which will mark the end of the medium-term wave “3.” The corrections are not very deep at the moment, but the price may reach the 6317 area before continuing its upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
1
Weekly Review: Forex fundamental analysis The week starting Monday 21 July was another week of positive sentiment, the S&P continues to hit all time highs and the VIX remains anchored below 17. The upbeat mood was propelled by an announcement of a tariff deal between the US and Japan. The market now thinks it's likely deals with EUROPE and CHINA will soon follow. All the while, earnings season continues to quietly slip under the radar (it's worth noting the upcoming week does have a plethora of huge companies reporting). An election in JAPAN caused uncertainty, giving the JPY a bout of strength at the beginning of the week. I then found it difficult to decide if the US / JAPAN trade deal would be positive or negative for the JPY, ultimately the overall positive risk tone prevailed and the JPY ended the week softly. It was also a week of two halves for the USD, the interest rate battle between the president and chair Powell continues to cause uncertainty. The FOMC meeting and the upcoming slue of reg flag US data will be very interesting. And could determine the underlying bias for the USD for the rest of the summer. The EUR and GBP were prominent throughout the week, a 'hawkish hold' from the ECB, combined with positive PMI data and hopes of a trade deal, all contributed to positive sentiment for the EUR. On the opposite end of the scale, the GBP ended the week bruised, weakened by another bout of 'soft data'. Which opened the door to potential 'relative fundamental' GBP short trades. Finally, 'fairly hawkish' comments from the RBA'S BULLOCK keeps the AUD high on my to long list. On a personal note, it was a week of two trades. I perhaps was a little bold in thinking the JPY post election strength was overdone, entering an AUD JPY long which stopped out. You might often think it's frustrating when a trade stops out, but then eventually hits the original profit target. Personally, I take the positive view that at least my original bias was proved correct. The week was saved on Friday with a EUR GBP long, post GBP retail sales data and trying to take advantage of the positive EUR sentiment. *As I write, it appears a US /EUR tariff deal is very close, which backs up thoughts of 'risk on' trades to begin the new week. Trade 1: AUD JPY -1 Trade 2: EUR GBP +1.5 Total = +0.5%
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
SPX500 NEARING AN IMPORTANT FIB. EXTENSION RESISTANCEIn this weekend's analysis I find the SPX500 to remain BULLISH for next few days as we have strong closings outside the upper KC band and also touching the upper Bollinger band on the higher time frames from Daily to Monthly charts. It's also important to note that declining volume bars is NOT supporting the monthly rally, while MACD, RSI divergences are also sounding warning sirens that it's near a major correction territory which I have measure as the fib extension 0.618 from the October, 2022 base or support on the monthly chart. As signaled last week that we could be getting a capitulation candle soon to the fib target. Once we get a reversal candle on the 4 Hours it will confirm that the intermediate tops is achieved on the SPX500 and a correction is highly probable. So our trade thesis is Bullish until we get a confirmed bearish signal on either the 4H or 1D timeframe with Stop loss at 6377 level. Thanks for visiting my publication and trade idea on the SPX500. Cheers and happy trading to everyone.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by RICHINVESTOR
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TRADENATION:US500Long
by ElfieTrader
Third quarter and something we didn’t expectso I’ve been watching the markets for a while and honestly this new admin is doing something that many didn’t saw coming. it's not even a full year yet, we’re still on Q3, but the impact on the economy is starting to show. what really gets my attention is the tariff collection, it’s been really high and from what I see it’s even generating some kind of surplus in certain areas. at first I thought this was going to slow down the market or create pressure, but the opposite happened, the stock market has been hitting all time highs, especially in tech and defense sectors. inflation didn’t spike like people was saying, that calmed down many investors and the flow of money is pretty obvious. i’m not an expert or nothing but this first months looks like there’s a real direction and the money is moving in a positive way. still need to see how this year closes but if it stays like this, could be one of the strongest starts for a president in a long time. just wanted to share my thoughts, what you guys think?
FRED:SP500
by perezliz37
Can the S&P 500's Ascent Continue?The S&P 500 recently achieved unprecedented highs, reflecting a multifaceted market surge. This remarkable performance stems primarily from a robust corporate earnings season. A significant majority of S&P 500 companies surpassed earnings expectations, indicating strong underlying financial health. The Communication Services and Information Technology sectors, in particular, demonstrated impressive growth, reinforcing investor confidence in the broader market's strength. Geopolitical and geostrategic developments have also played a crucial role in bolstering market sentiment. Recent "massive" trade agreements, notably with Japan and a framework deal with Indonesia, have introduced greater predictability and positive economic exchanges. These deals, characterized by reciprocal tariffs and substantial investment commitments, have eased global trade tensions and fostered a more stable international economic environment, directly contributing to market optimism. Ongoing progress in trade discussions with the European Union further supports this positive trend. Furthermore, resilient macroeconomic indicators underscore the market's upward trajectory. Despite a recent dip in existing home sales, key data points like stable interest rates, decreasing unemployment claims, and a rising manufacturing PMI collectively suggest an enduring economic strength. While technology and high-tech sectors, driven by AI advancements and strong earnings from industry leaders like Alphabet, remain primary growth engines, some segments, such as auto-related chipmakers, face challenges. The S&P 500's climb is a testament to the powerful confluence of strong corporate performance, favorable geopolitical shifts, and a resilient economic backdrop. While the immediate rally wasn't directly driven by recent cybersecurity events, scientific breakthroughs, or patent analyses, these factors remain critical for long-term market stability and innovation. Investors continue to monitor these evolving dynamics to gauge the sustainability of the current market momentum.
SP:SPXLong
by UDIS_View
ECB on the agenda: The ECB is on the agenda today. I don't envision a particularly volatile event, although a continuation of the 'limited further cuts narrative' should see the EUR supported, particularly given growing thoughts of a US / EUR trade deal. All in all, with the S&P still climbing, I continue to hold the view that 'risk on' trades are viable, especially since the announcement of the US / JAPAN trade deal. It's just a case of choosing whether to short the JPY or USD. In other news, 'soft' SERVICE PMI data from the UK puts a little more pressure on the BOE to cut rates, arguably creating a GBP short 'catalyst' trade for anyone at the charts in that moment. Also, a relatively hawkish speech from the RBA'S BULLOCK, keeps the AUD high on my 'to long list'.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
Wall Street takes off: 5 secret growth engines for #S&P500 Record closes for the indices on July 21 came from a powerful combo: a surge in #Google , a strong start to the earnings season, gains in #Apple (+0.6%), #Amazon (+1.4%), plus #Microsoft, #Meta Platforms, and #Nvidia . This momentum, coupled with market bets on imminent Fed rate cuts and hopes for a softening US-EU tariff conflict, pushed #S&P500 and #NQ100 to new all-time highs. 5 mega drivers that could keep #S&P500 and #NQ100 on the runway through 2025: • AI capex and monetization: Top cloud providers are ramping up spending in computing clusters and generative AI solutions. The growing lineup of paid AI products (Google Gemini, Microsoft Copilot+ Apps, Amazon Bedrock) is starting to generate significant revenue, boosting profit estimates for the “Magnificent 7.” • Fed policy easing: If inflation keeps drifting towards 2%, we may see the first rate cut of the cycle between July and September. Historically, every 25 bps drop in 10-year UST yields adds ~2% to the #NQ100 ’s valuation multiple. • Record buybacks and dividends: #S&P500 companies hold $3.5 trillion in cash. After tax relief on repatriated foreign earnings earlier this year, several megacap boards approved accelerated buybacks — mechanically supporting stock prices. • Easing tariff risks: Potential trade deals between the US and EU, and the US and Mexico, would remove the threat of 20–50% tariffs priced into valuations, unlocking CAPEX in manufacturing and semiconductors — sectors with a heavy #NQ100 weight. • Resilient consumers and services: Unemployment remains near 4%, and household spending is growing 2–3% YoY. This supports e-commerce, streaming, and platform advertising — together making up ~40% of #NQ100 and ~28% of #S&P500 . The current highs of #S&P500 and #NQ100 aren’t a random spike — they result from strong corporate earnings, expectations of Fed cuts, and hopes of trade détente. If even some of these five drivers materialize, the indices have a strong chance to stay elevated and set new records by year-end. FreshForex analysts believe current prices could spark a new rally, with today’s market conditions offering plenty of entry points in both indices and stock CFDs.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
S&P 500 H1 | Swing-low support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 6,291.07 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 6,270.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 6,338.29 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu
Weekly Review: The S&P and NASDAQ once again hit all time highs during the week starting Monday 14 July. Which is a sign of confidence despite the ongoing external threats (tariffs / Middle East). I've noticed the current earnings season wasn't approached with as much trepidation as recent earnings seasons have been. Of course, that could come crashing down as companies continue to report over the next couple of weeks. Once again, the currencies didn't quite react in accordance with the overall 'positive risk environment'. As each of the 'risk off currencies' offers their own separate challenges: Ever since the recent NFP data, the USD had been strong, the FED continues to maintain a view for a 'slow pace of rate cuts' and US data backs up that view. Particularly this week's retail sales data, even CPI, although relatively benign, wasn't soft enough to warrant a 'FED pivot' towards a more dovish stance. The USD spent most of the week on the front foot, although the 'higher for longer' narrative was put to the test when the president once again offered his views on Mr Powell. Also FED board member WALLER chipped in with some dovish comments. Currently, it's up in the air as to how many more rate cut the FED will implement before year end (if any). The narrative at the July FOMC meeting could go a long way to determine the dollar's direction for the rest of the summer. But ultimately, it'll be the data that decides. Recently, I've been encouraged by the re-emergence of JPY weakness. This past week, I put any periods of JPY strength down to profit taking before this weekends election. I need to do some reading regarding the implications of the result. But I'm 'hopeful' that over the coming weeks and months the 'old fashioned, JPY short 'risk on trade', will be prevalent. The CHF continues to have a mind of it's own. It could be tracking EUR strength, it could be the article I read about gold, it could be SNB intervention, It could be random, or something I'm not aware of. Ultimately, until I'm comfortable the CHF is back in correlation with the risk environment, my preference is to short the JPY instead. In other news, disappointing AUD data took the shine off the hawkish RBA. But I still view the AUD as a good 'risk on' long. I'll begin the new week with an open mind. My preference remains for 'risk on' trades. But it's a case of keeping up to date with all of the narratives, if momentum aligns with logic and a narrative. And you feel comfortable with a stop loss and profit target, place the trade. But, be aware that the narrative the market is focused on can change from day to day. On a personal note, it was a week of two trades. A post US CPI 'risk on' AUD JPY long. The trade stopped out. And as discussed during the week, it was one of those situations where if I would have been at the charts and hour later, I would have traded a different pair. That's life. The second trade was AUD USD long. Post WALLER'S dovish comments, I felt the USD short momentum could continue. On my account the trade hit profit by the skin of its teeth before reversing. Again, that's life. Sometimes you get good luck, sometimes you get bad luck. I feel it's important to acknowledge good luck, as we often only focus on the bad luck we have. The USD is finely poised and I'm intrigued to see where the data and rate cut narrative takes it over the coming weeks. Results: Trade 1: AUD JPY -1 Trade 2: AUD USD +1.2 Total = +0.2%
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
Miss This Watchlist, Miss Next Week’s OpportunitiesHey friends,it’s Skeptic 🩵 hope you’re having a great weekend!I know it’s the weekend, so a lot of you are probably chilling away from the charts, but for some, trading’s such an addiction that even weekends can’t keep you away. In this video, I’m gonna break down my weekly watchlist for you. Knowing it will help you miss fewer good opportunities, avoid FOMO, and have a plan ready for different scenarios and events. Don’t forget money management , and stay clear of FOMO. & if it helped smash that boost bottom and follow for more !
SPREADEX:SPX
by SkepticLab
1