SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar forum
Idea: My thoughts on EUR/USD
📉 US500 → Just 1 pip from SL, now hovering around entry
🧠 No panic, liquidity sweep noted, structure still holds.
🧮 Staying in as long as conditions remain valid.

The week of May 5–9 played out almost exactly in line with the probabilities—no surprises there. Now here’s what the upcoming week looks like based on historical data:
📈 Monday, May 12 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Slight bullish edge.
Note: Monday after Mother’s Day – Dow has been up 18 of the last 30 years.
Also the Monday before May monthly expiration – Dow up 26 of the last 37, but down 8 of the last 14.
📉 Tuesday, May 13 – 28.6% chance of climbing → Considered a bear day.
📉 Wednesday, May 14 – 42.9% chance of climbing → Still not looking great.
📈 Thursday, May 15 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.
⚖️ Friday, May 16 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Slight bullish bias.
Note: May monthly options expiration day – Dow has been up 16 of the last 24.
Let’s see if the market continues to respect the probabilities this week too.
US500 | Buy Setup
🔹 Entry → 5668
🔹 TP → 5743
🔹 SL → 5644
🔸 R:R → 3.1:1
🧠 Context → Apex Entry
