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Gold (XAUUSD) – Possible Triangle Into Final Push HigherPrice action is developing a contracting ABCDE triangle after completing the previous corrective leg. As long as the Invalidation Level holds, the structure favors a bullish continuation. 📌 Key Elliott Wave Notes Wave A–B–C completed Wave D expected to retest resistance Wave E pullback forms the final leg of the triangle Breakout above triangle should launch Wave (v) / (5) higher 🎯 Bullish Target Zone 4,350 – 4,380 area remains the next major resistance & profit-taking zone. ❗ Invalidation Break below the STRUCTURE LOW (marked “Invalidation Level”) negates the triangle and suggests deeper downside. 📈 RSI Bullish divergence forming on the lows supports triangle exhaustion. Idea Summary While price stays above support, look for a breakout after completion of wave E targeting the higher supply zone. If support fails, reassess the wave count.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MrLiquidonFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: As we said yesterday we would stick with the plan from Sundays report which has worked well so far. We managed to get the move up and down, then another red box trade for a long and some traders even went in for the short from our given level of 4328, Now, we may experience some ranging with the key level at the hot spot 4220and support at the hot spot 4187. We would like to see this go a little higher but that resistance is important for the break! As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
25
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend. After establishing a new All-Time High (ATH), the price has entered a corrective phase and is currently trading below a key resistance zone. This justifies the selling pressure in the short term. We anticipate the correction to extend further until the price reaches the optimal support area. This zone represents a significant Confluence of two technical factors: * The long-term ascending trendline. * The 0.5 (50%) Fibonacci retracement level. The marked area (Green Box) serves as the ideal pivot point for the correction to end and the next bullish Impulse Wave to begin. Upon reaching this level, we expect renewed demand to drive the price toward new record highs. This analysis is based on the Weekly Timeframe. Therefore, the realization of this scenario requires patience and time; it is not intended for short-term intraday trading. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
42
Today's market trend analysis and exclusive trading strategy.Gold continued its rollercoaster ride today, with market sentiment clearly shifting ahead of the interest rate decision, resulting in very limited overall volatility. On one hand, the market has largely priced in the rate cut expectations, with a consensus now widely believing there's an over 80% probability of a 25 basis point cut by the Fed. This "expectation fulfilled" market sentiment is unlikely to generate significant volatility unless the outcome surprises us. What truly warrants attention is not the rate cut itself, but rather the post-decision guidance on the interest rate path, including the latest dot plot, economic projections, and Powell's remarks at the press conference. These signals will directly influence the market's assessment of the future pace of rate cuts, especially the policy path in 2026, which will be crucial in shaping the next gold price trend. In this market environment, everyone must maintain a steady pace and avoid greed. With unclear direction and limited volatility, caution with funds is crucial. This type of market is most prone to losses from emotional trading. In the current situation, pay close attention to the bottom and avoid making trades you're not confident in, or taking unnecessary risks. If a clear structure and direction emerge later, I will notify everyone immediately so you can follow the trend. Market opportunities can wait, but risks never wait. Staying calm, seeing clearly, and then acting is the true path to profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
The Discipline of Doing Nothing“A trader’s strength is not measured by how often they enter… but by how long they can wait.” Most traders believe progress happens when they trade. But in reality, progress often happens in the moments when you choose not to trade. Waiting is not passive. It is an active decision to protect capital. It is choosing patience over impulse. It is the discipline that separates a gambler from a trader. Why Doing Nothing Is Hard Your brain seeks stimulation, not discipline. Silence creates discomfort. Watching price move without you creates doubt. So you justify a trade: “It might run…” “It looks like a breakout…” “It could work…” But price doesn’t reward “could.” Price rewards confirmation and alignment. What Doing Nothing Actually Means • You skip trades that don’t fit your plan • You conserve emotional energy • You let the market come to your level • You wait for structure to speak clearly Every skipped bad trade increases your edge. Every patient decision sharpens your mindset. Doing nothing gives you the chance to do something right. The Invisible Skill Nobody sees the trades you avoid. Nobody congratulates you for sitting on your hands. But those unseen decisions prevent the biggest losses. The most profitable trades often start with stillness. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Do you respect the moments between setups… or do you rush to fill them? Comment below.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ChartIsMirror
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 4h chart remaining levels and targets for the coming week with one updated Goldturn. We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4224 and a gap below at 4124. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4224 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4422 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4494 BEARISH TARGETS 4124 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4124 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4042 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3964 3873 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
XAUUSD – The 4.221 Zone Determines Direction Ahead of Fed ...XAUUSD – The 4.221 Zone Determines Direction Ahead of Fed From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a "waiting to choose direction" phase: The price is caught between the resistance zone of 4.221–4.239 and strong support at 4.166. On the 45m chart, the current structure is a sideways top, following the previous upward move. In the context of the Fed about to announce interest rates, I won't guess but will closely follow these two zones to make decisions. 🎯 Important Technical Zones Main Resistance: 4.221 – 4.225: Fibo zone 0.236–0.382 and thick volume cluster. 4.239: extended resistance peak – if broken, the target is the 4.25x zone. Strong Support: 4.166: "Strong support" zone on the chart – current range bottom. Below 4.166, the 4.12x zone is the extended Fibo 1.618, where liquidity might be attracted if the market sells off deeply. 📌 Scenario 1 – Continued Uptrend (preferred if holding above 4.200) If the price: Holds firmly above 4.200, Clearly breaks the 4.221–4.225 zone and closes a 45m candle above, I will consider this a confirmation signal that buyers are regaining control. Trading reference: Buy when the price breaks & retests 4.221–4.225. Temporary SL set below 4.210. TP: 4.245 – 4.258 – 4.270. As long as gold stands above 4.200, I prioritize the scenario of maintaining a bullish bias, viewing any pullback to 4.20x as a buying opportunity. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell within the Range If the price fails to break 4.221–4.239, leaving a cluster of pin candles with small bodies, I consider this a signal of exhaustion at the resistance zone: Sell around 4.221–4.225 (up to 4.239 if there's a spike). SL above 4.239. TP: 4.190 – 4.176 – 4.166, deeper to 4.130 if selling pressure increases strongly. This scenario is for short-term scalping/swing, going against the medium-term bullish bias, so volume must be tightly controlled. 1️⃣ Basic Context: Everyone Awaits the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the FX market's wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed's decision. Investors don't want to bet too heavily in one direction before the news, so gold tends to fluctuate within the range rather than breaking out immediately. When the Fed announces interest rates and guidance, gold's volatility range can expand very quickly, sweeping through both resistance and support zones. Therefore, I don't recommend entering large volume orders right before the Fed. The priority is to read price reactions at the 4.221 and 4.166 zones, then decide whether to increase or decrease positions. 2️⃣ My Plan Above 4.221, holding price well: prioritize buying scenario on break, targeting 4.25x. Failing to break 4.221, weak candles: consider short selling to 4.19x – 4.166. If the price falls straight below 4.166, I will temporarily stay out, waiting for the market to create a new balance zone before planning further. Each trade risks a maximum of 1–2% of the account, no widening SL during strong news phases. If you find this perspective useful, follow the TradingView channel and leave a comment on whether you lean towards breaking above 4.221 or turning back from resistance – let's update after the Fed news.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4205 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
GOLD 4H Chart AnalysisDear Traders – 8 Dec 2025 Please review the updated 4H chart. Since the start of December 2025, GOLD has been repeatedly testing key levels, with an upside gap near 4262 and a downside gap near 4164. Price is likely to continue testing both sides until one of these levels breaks, confirming the next directional move and range. On the 4H timeframe, the double bullish symmetrical triangle has broken to the upside, which is a clear bullish signal. However, there is still a possibility of one more retest toward the lower level around 4135 – 4165 zone and potentially to the retracement zone. If a candle closes and holds below the ifvg zone around at 4135, we could see a deeper retracement toward the 4000 – 4044 area. IMPORTANT: This week's news calendar is packed with high impact events. Please be cautious with your trades and positions, as the market are expected to be volatile across the board. Keep this in mind when looking for buy entries from dips. The updated chart will help you monitor any downward move and catch the potential bullish bounce. Bullish Targets: 4244, 4278, 4328 Bearish Targets: 4135, 4044
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
XAUUSD: Inverse H&S Points Toward 4270 TargetHi! Gold has formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The support zone around the head held strongly, forming the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder in sequence. Price has now broken above the neckline, confirming the pattern and showing renewed bullish momentum. If price retests the neckline successfully, it can provide a higher-probability long entry. A sustained hold above this level keeps the bullish structure intact, with the measured target projected near 4265–4270 USD. However, if price dips deeper, the right scenario remains a potential bullish retest, as long as the structure stays above the neckline zone. Only a drop back below the head invalidates the pattern. Overall, as long as buyers defend the neckline, the market maintains a bullish outlook toward the target zone. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
13
Precise Strategy AnalysisThe daily chart shows the bullish trend remains intact, while the 4-hour chart maintains a range-bound pattern. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing within the 4170-4230 range, suggesting a potential range-bound trading strategy of buying low and selling high within this area. However, two points need attention: firstly, after Tuesday's rise, the support level may have moved up to around 4200, not necessarily reaching 4180; secondly, a strong break above the upper Bollinger Band at 4230 would open up further upside potential, with a target of 4260 or higher. Therefore, intraday trading should consider placing long orders in the 4190-4180 range, while short positions can be initiated with small positions at the 4230 resistance level. The focus is on the Fed's decision at midnight, with the market widely expecting interest rates to remain unchanged. Attention should be paid to Powell's tone. If his comments are dovish, it could trigger a sharp rise followed by a fall in gold prices; please exercise strict risk management. Today's gold trading recommendations: Short positions can be initiated around 4220-4215, with a stop loss at 4230 and a target of 4190. Long positions can be initiated around 4190-4185, with a stop loss at 4170 and a target of 4210.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nfydwm
1
How to set % risk per trade based on your statistical dataHey whats up traders today it will be a short one in the bullet points but I believe a valuable points to think about. The setup matters, but the real foundation is how much you risk per trade. If you don’t control this, nothing else works. Your edge collapses. Your psychology collapses. And your results become completely random. If you are not gambler you most likely risk between 0.5 -2% risk per trade. Good, but why? Many traders use this risk because it's kind of well known and recommended value risk per trade. Ok, it's relatively safe, but if you don't have it build based on your statistical data. You can be also risking to low while you could make more. So In this post is not about why we should use risk management and calculate if for each position based on SL distance. I already did this post below 👇Click the picture to learn more In this post I will try to give advice how you can calculate best risk per trade for you based on your strategy and risk. I always recommend backtest at least 300 examples of strategy. When you do that, you know your average win rate on average target. From the tab bellow you can see how many % of trades you need to win with the specific risk reward. Here is also important to consider your ability to hold in the trade. Its amazing to catch 1:5 risk reward trades, but it mostly comes with low win ratio in other words, you will get stopped out few times until you get big trade. Also 1:5 risk reward usually has a pullback during the move. Can you face it without emotions being affected? Most importantly, you finally understand something every professional lives by: you don’t know the distribution of the trades. You may have a 65% percent win rate. It still means that you can have 35 losses out of 100 traders. Remember distribution of wins and losses is random , you never know outcome of next trade. It could be win win loss win. Or loss loss loss win win. Or a brutal streak of seven losses before the market pays you back. ✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ When wins and losses are evenly distributed it's quite comfortable to continue in opening new trades. You still believe your strategy and it's simply normal to have loss time to time. ✅❌❌❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅ But what you gonna do when such a streak comes? Are you gonna doubt your strategy? Are you gonna look for different strategy? Remember 65% success rate means 35 possible losses out of 100. If 20 losses comes in a row your long term statistics still was not broken. Dont think this cant happen to you. If this didnt happen to you yet, you are not trading for long enough. It will come and its better to be prepared. 📌 Lets look at the Monte Carlo simulation with our 65% win ratio and 2RR As we can see on the picture below if you start with 10K and follow your strategy in a short period of one month we can face drawdown and end unprofitable even when we did everything right. Why? We did everything right and we have positive winning ratio and Risk reward 📌 Random distribution of the trades I don't win every trade, you don't win every trade. No one does. Trading is longterm game and short term result can be a bit random. Because you are might trend trader and market can stay in the range during some months or you are a reversal trader and its still trading against you. So how to beat it - Time. 📌 Lets have a look at the same setup 65% Win rate and 2 RR But now let's have look at the long-term results. As we can see on chart below. after some time even the worst case distribution is getting in to the profit. However there still was 3 months around break even - Frustrating but its the reality 📌 Lets improve Risk reward to 2.3 You will be getting slightly bigger wins so every loosing streak will be recovered faster. And you should not stay in the prolonged drawdowns for long periods 📌 Lets improve win ration to 70% And its even better less often you got loss and 2.3 RR recover slightly better. 📌 So what should be my risk per trade First done look on how much you want to make, trading is mainly about protecting capital. After you got your statistical data. Run Monte Carlo simulations and try to model the worst case distribution of the trades. For example if you got 70% win rate - means you can lose 30 trades out of 100. Be ready that it can happen, even its unlikely and if that really happens it means something is wrong with your strategy or you made too much mistakes. But count with it that it can happen.. Setup your risk per trade in such % that you would be comfortable if that happens. 📍 0.25% Risk - 30x Loss = - 7.5% 📍0.5% Risk - 30 x Loss = - 15% 📍1% Risk - 30 x Loss = -30% 📍2% Risk - 30x Loss = - 60% 📍3% Risk - 30x Loss = - 90% Define what would you be able to accept and be comfortable even during a loosing streak. 📌 Have more accounts This will give you flexibility. Im running 3x personal accounts. Each with different risk. with copy trading system to distribute my positions. 🎯 Account 1: Here Im opening all trades which I has well defined risk and its A+Setups. If I open a trade on this account they goes automatically to the other 2 accounts. So I got proportionaly this positions on whole capital with 1% risk. 🎯 Account 2: Here are running copied trades from Account 1 + Im opening another positions when I want to add or increase the risk also used for short terms setups. Its 3% risk only form this one specific account and its not copied to other accounts. 🎯 Account 3: Here are running trades from account 1 + This account is also used mainly for the crypto trades and news trading. Trades are also isolated just for this account and not copied to the whole portfolio. 🎯 Prop Firm Trading For the prop trading where more strict rules Im using completely different approach which I described in this post below 👇Click the picture to learn more Final tip: Try to have strategy with win rate between 65 - 70% and 2 - 2.5 RR. If you got anything lower than that you can go thru some dark periods, but you will survive if stick to your plan based on the statistics. If you don't have statistical data of your strategy, stop trading for while , step back and do a bit of backtesting Tradingview has great backtesting features. David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
22
XAUUSD: Analysis and Strategy for December 12Gold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4382, Support: 4175 4-Hour Resistance: 4382, Support: 4265 1-Hour Resistance: 4343, Support: 4285 Technically, after the European session opened, the price surged upwards, breaking through the 4300 level in the short term. Moving average support has moved upwards, and technical indicators have completed their correction, strengthening confidence in a continued bullish outlook for gold in the medium to long term. On the daily chart, gold is showing strong performance, exhibiting a continuous upward trend. Moving averages are crossing upwards, support levels are gradually moving higher, and Bollinger Bands are expanding upwards. After this breakout, a new round of upward movement is inevitable. The price is rising. Today's support level to watch is around 4265, the area where the top and bottom have reversed. On the 1-hour chart, the price is rising in a step-like pattern, breaking through multiple resistance levels in the short term and continuing yesterday's upward trend. The Bollinger Bands are trending upwards, the moving averages are crossing upwards, and the MACD/KDJ indicators suggest that the upward trend will continue. Short-term support is around 4285/4280, and short-term resistance is at the previous historical high. Today is Friday, so be aware of the systemic risks brought by the time window. Cautious trading strategy: BUY: 4280near BUY: 4265near Selling requires waiting for a bearish pattern to form on the chart. More analysis →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Just Flipped Structure.....The market just transitioned from a bearish sequence into early bullish structure. Most traders will miss this shift but if you understand BOS, ChoCH, and liquidity behaviour, this is where smart money prepares for the next leg up. 1. Market Structure Overview Your chart shows a full bearish sequence (LH–LL) that has recently transitioned: -Multiple Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) → clear bearish structure. -A Change of Character (ChoCH) occurs at the key zone → first signal of reversal. -A clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside confirms buyers stepping in. -Price then creates a Higher Low (HL) followed by Higher Highs (HH) → early bullish trend established. This is a textbook reversal from bearish → bullish. 2. Key Zones Identified Support Zone (Demand) Located around 4195 – 4174 → This is where the ChoCH and HL formed, confirming buyer strength. Resistance Zone (Supply) Located around 4219 – 4229 → Price is currently approaching this zone. If it breaks, bullish continuation is expected. 3. Price Behaviour & Expectation Your yellow projection is correct: - Price may pull back into the minor support (near current level). - After that, a bullish leg toward 4219 zone is expected. - If BOS occurs above 4229, price has room to expand toward new highs around 4238–4244. This aligns perfectly with the HH → HL structure forming now. 4. Trading Logic Why bullish? - Clear BOS on bullish side - Higher Low forming above support - Liquidity taken from previous LL - Price respecting the new bullish structure Invalidation If price breaks below 4174, bullish structure is invalidated. 5. Trade Signal This follows your trading style — structure-based, clean, and logical. 📌 BUY ENTRY: 4203 – 4207 (Retesting minor support + inside new bullish structure) 📌 STOP LOSS: 4178 (Below HL and below ChoCH zone — strong invalidation) 📌 TAKE PROFIT 1: 4219 (Retest of resistance zone) 📌 TAKE PROFIT 2 (Main Target): 4229 – 4233 📌 TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended Target): 4242 – 4244 Risk–Reward: 1 : 2.5 up to 1 : 4 depending on TP
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
GOLD IDEA TIME RATE 4H🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, respecting both the rising support line and the descending upper boundary, showing balanced but tightening momentum. Key Levels: – Triangle Support: ~4185–4195 – Triangle Resistance: ~4250–4260 – Liquidity Zone Below: 4128 – 4135 Next Move: – A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a bullish continuation leg toward higher highs. – If price rejects at the upper boundary and breaks below the rising trendline, liquidity at 4128–4135 becomes the next downside magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
Gold traded within a rangeIn the short term, gold remains range-bound. It's not advisable to chase higher prices before a valid breakout. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips. Consider entering long positions near 4195. If the price breaks through the 4230 resistance level, add to long positions, targeting the 4245-4255 area. This area represents a resistance zone formed by connecting the previous downtrend highs; a break above this level would signal the start of a daily-level rebound in gold. In the short term, the market will likely continue to trade within a range; the strategy should be to buy on dips.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nfydwm