Get started
S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

SPXM trade ideas

Built Up Swing Short Bet Over the Last Day.Got another good chunk of the rally taking our net SPX long earnings to over 20% for the year on low risk (For context, our max DD is about 1/4 of what SPX is down this year). I still would prefer to see 5800 for me to take a real big swing at the short (because I know at 5800 even if I am wrong I'll generally get some reaction to size down a bit in risk) but we may undershoot that. I've build up my position around the 5400 sort of area. Small tolerance for stop zones. If I am wrong, I think 5800 would hit really quickly. Update to below idea.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
5
S&P 500 unlikely to return to up trendThe implemented tariff policy of the Trump Administration is expected to hit its fallout on the market by Q3 2025, consequentially the earnings of companies. If the SPX is to have a chance to return to the uptrend this year, it has to confirm two days closings above the turning point before summer. The inverse effect of tariffs is that it soars with the price: any attempt to adapt on the net price point levers the total price; it's not a fixed number. This leverage applies also to inflation, resulting in consumer sentiment to sour. There is a natural time gap between the implementation of tariffs and the return of industry expected by the Trump Administration - the tariffs have been falling like a chainsaw on international business and supply relations, but rebuilding factories requires time and investment. In this gap the required investments will add pressure to companies' earnings... These news and outlook brings out funds managers to sell America 'bigly' and to re-evaluate their diversification, bringing down stock prices eventually. The tariff-rebuild-gap is expected to set in by summer, but it is unclear when it would end: so far it is uncertain how much of the industry would return to America to produce and circumvent tariffs. A few big companies announced to build manufactories in the USA, but mostly they plan for only one factory and it still requires building. The Midterm Elections could set the Republican super-majority in both houses to fall and, by extension, have Congress retake the right to set and lift tariffs from the White House. However, it is unclear whether they would use their retaken privilege, as one truth about tariffs, like about all taxes: they're easily introduced, but can take generations to go away again. All this forms a painstaking 2H scenario for 2025, its rock-bottom too early to call.
SP:SPXShort
by Johnny_TV
SPX: confusion will continueFinally some positive sentiment on the US equity markets. The S&P 500 marked a weekly gain of 4,6%, while investors are waging the relaxation of the ongoing trade tariffs war. Regardless of estimates of the future impact of imposed tariffs, the US tech companies are still posting relatively good results. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.525, which was the market low in March and beginning of April this year. Alphabet gained 1,5% during the week, on the wings of posted relatively good results above estimates. Other big tech companies were also supported, like Tesla, Nvidia and Meta. Only on Friday, Nvidia gained 4,3%, while Tesla advanced by 9,8% within one day. Regardless of positive weekly results, it is still not time to celebrate. The news regarding trade tariffs coming from the US Administration still continues to be mixed, bringing a high level of confusion among market participants. In this sense, it could be expected that volatility on the equity markets will continue also in the future period.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500 Braces for a Drop to $5,100–$5,177: Correction Coming?S&P 500 Braces for a Drop to $5,100–$5,177: Is the Correction Coming? SP500 Reached the target of $5,680 - $5,800 and is going into correction along with Bitcoin 🤔. Before: After: ➖ The S&P 500 could fall to the 5100–5177 range due to the following fundamental factors: FOMC Meeting on May 7: Expected rate hold and potentially hawkish rhetoric from Powell could amplify fears of rate hikes, hitting growth stocks. ➖ Trade War: Uncertainty in U.S.-China negotiations and risks of new tariffs threaten supply chains and corporate profits. ➖ Weak Economy: GDP contraction (-0.3% in Q1), recession fears, and weak PMI data fuel pessimism. ➖ Corporate Earnings: Disappointing guidance from key companies (e.g., Apple, Tesla) could trigger sell-offs. ➖ Sentiment on X: Bearish sentiment reflects market caution. ➖ Global Risks: Retaliatory tariffs and rising gold prices signal a flight from U.S. assets. Assumption: If the Fed on May 7 emphasizes inflation risks and delays rate cuts, and tariff news remains negative, the S&P 500 could break support at 5500 and reach 5100–5177 within 1–2 weeks, especially amid technical selling and market panic.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by SergioRichi
SP500 remains very bearish overall📈 In my previous post, I highlighted the confluence support zone and the potential for a bounce — and we got it. SP500 rallied around +10% off the lows. But let’s not get too comfortable... ❓ I s the worst behind or is this just a trap before the next leg down? From my perspective, the correction is not over. The current bounce looks more like a bear market rally than a true reversal. 📉 Why I expect another drop: 1. Technically, as long as SP500 is trading below 5500-5600 zone, the structure remains bearish 2. Fundamentally, the backdrop hasn’t improved — if anything, it’s getting worse 3. Price is approaching a major resistance zone, which I plan to sell into 📌 My Plan: I’m watching this zone for signs of weakness. If momentum fades, I’ll look to short, targeting at least 5k, potentially even a new local low. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
S&P500: Buying accelerating as the bottom is confirmed.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.628, MACD = -41.490, ADX = 32.588) as it has been volatile during the day but on the long-term, it has resumed the bullish trend, making a strong recovery last week. The bottom is now confirmed (above the 1W MA200) and as the oversold 1W RSI was bought, the index eyes a +28.50% rise on the medium term, same as in early 2024. This falls practically on the previous ATH level (TP = 6,150). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
Major shift on the S&P 500: Is the bull market really over ? After three years of almost uninterrupted gains, the U.S. market has finally shifted gears. In early March, following a sharp escalation in trade tensions between China and the United States, the S&P 500 officially entered a bear market. The tariff shock acted as a catalyst: buyers failed to defend critical levels, and the bullish momentum broke down. Today, my scenario is clear: I believe we are entering a wide range similar to what we saw in 2022, between 4700 and 5500 points. In this controlled volatility environment, both investing and trading strategies must adapt. 💰 For long-term investing: I'm staying fully in cash. I prefer to wait until my personal indicator flashes green again before re-entering the market. Patience is my best weapon in uncertain environments. 🎯 For swing trading: The approach here is more active. Each touch of the lower boundary (around 4700) will be considered a tactical buy, aiming to resell around 5500 points at the top of the range. No rushing, no chasing moves: I only act at the extremes.
SP:SPXShort
by LAZY_SMART_TRADING
PIVOTAL DAY AHEAD FOR $SPX: Will We Reclaim the Highs or Begin tTechnical Breakdown: We’re at a critical junction for the S&P 500. After completing a 5-wave structure, SP:SPX is teetering near a decision point. Two potential paths are now unfolding: Bullish Scenario (🟢): A daily close above 5386 would invalidate the current bear thesis. This opens the door to a push toward the 90–100% Fib retracement zone (5685–5750). Short-term traders may look to ride the momentum if 5485 is broken cleanly. Bearish Scenario (🔴): A rejection at current levels, coupled with a close below 5386 and a gap-fill back down, confirms the bearish triangle setup. If this plays out, we’re targeting a drop to the 4600–4400 range based on the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extensions and broken trendline dynamics. This aligns with the Elliott Wave breakdown (W5 peak, now in corrective ABC structure). 🧩 Macro Context: High inflows to safe havens like gold suggest rising fear. Volatility is elevated, and liquidity is thinning post-earnings season. 💥 Conclusion: Tomorrow’s close is not just another candle – it’s a potential macro trigger. Either we confirm a final leg higher in this cycle, or the bearish wave unfolds in full. ⏳ Watch 5386 closely.
SP:SPX
by SmartSignalss
7
SPX Running Into Important Resistance At 5780Last week we saw a weaker-than-expected Advance GDP in the first release, which led some to believe Powell might consider cutting rates. But Friday’s NFP came in better than expected. Expectations are no change for the Fed, and I honestly don’t believe they’ll move either. Despite Trump putting pressure on them, inflation is still not at their 2% target, and the job market remains solid—so there may be no real reason to cut yet. They’re watching markets too, and we've seen a pretty strong rebound, so there’s likely no urgency to act now. Also, if they were to cut, it could appear politically motivated due to Trump, and that could seriously damage investor trust in the Fed’s independence. So with that being said, we are wondering if the SPX can find some resistance if FED does not deliver a dovish view at this moment. Well, looking at the price action, it certainly looks overlaping recovery from April low, that can face limited upside near 5780, at April 2nd high. If by Friday, we close above the 78.6% Fib then we may look at wave 3, alt sceario. Grega
VANTAGE:SP500
by ew-forecast
Bearish drop?S&P500 is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,510.94 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 5,665.52 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 5,324.97 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by VantageMarkets
$SPX Urgent! My <3 & My Soul: Slow Bleed Crash to 3k by Q4 26' Do be warned. Very important post here. I put my heart and soul into this. I made a video earlier and then it got deleted by accident, so I made a less happy one right after. I've got news for all the bulls and investors out there that feel they will be able to continue buying every single dip out there. Get ready for the dip that keeps dipping. Big names already cracking heavy. NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:NVDA to name a few. Big tech is getting cleaned out and layoffs are on the rise. Tariffs create huge amounts of uncertainty. I don't feel like this is rocket science. Buffet is all cash. 89% of Hedge Fund managers believe the US market is the most expensive its ever been and Tutes have been selling at the highest rate ever before. I think it's time the US finally gets a shake down. Bullish conditioning has been running rampant, and I've seen Social Media Accounts discourage charting and only paying attention to price action? Price action involves the entire collective, not just one Timeframe. Anyways, here's an overlay from 01' ... the only one I could find that matches. Says short 560 around May 7th and then take profits around 500 again. Let's make this a nice one. Calls till 560 into May then flip to Puts into June. From then short 530 every time you can. $450 is My first target after we break previous lows. I will update as we go. Have a good one yall.
SP:SPXShort
by TazmanianTrader
1
Bullish rise off pullback support?S&P500 has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,478.47 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 5,349.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level; Take profit: 5,776.02 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
SPX is entering into a new phase of complex corrective waveThe SPX downside is likely to be over after the index was seen invalidating the wave-4 rule of the 5-wave impulse Elliott wave structure. Furthermore, theres a bear trap as price never closes below 6% from 5,120 major support and strong bullish pressure was seen thereafter, and returning back above the uptrend with strong bullish pressure was seen as a strong upside. Stochastic Oscillator has confirmed the oversold signal. Target is likely to see 5,792 as the next immediate target. But we do not foresee a new high yet. We think that the correction is likely to unfold in a three wave manner.
SP:SPXLong
by William-trading