Get started
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Chart Analysis Holdings News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Options

SPY trade ideas

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 8, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 8, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🧾 Tariff Shock → Day 2 Positioning Markets are still digesting the new tariff regime (10%–41% on broad imports) and the proposed 100% levy on imported semiconductors with carve-outs for firms investing in U.S. production. Expect continued dispersion: U.S.-capex-heavy names bid; globally exposed hardware, autos, and consumer electronics face margin risk until rules are clarified. 💬 Policy Signaling Risk Fed speakers are leaning cautious on growth and inflation pass-through from tariffs; Bostic flagged skepticism that tariff-driven price effects fade quickly. Translation: don’t count on a rapid dovish pivot because of tariffs alone. ⛽ Energy & Positioning Into the Weekend Oil beta in focus: Baker Hughes U.S. rig count (1:00 pm ET) and CFTC COT (3:30 pm ET) hit this afternoon—both can nudge energy, USD, and risk appetite into the close. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Friday, August 8, 2025 10:20 AM ET – St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem (remarks) Market angle: watch for any tariff-inflation commentary and guidance on the path/timing of cuts. 1:00 PM ET – Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Reads on drilling activity; oil services beta and crude sentiment. 3:30 PM ET – CFTC Commitments of Traders (weekly) Positioning update across futures/FX; risk heading into next week. (No major Tier-1 U.S. macro prints scheduled today; next CPI is Tuesday, Aug 12.) Bureau of Labor Statistics ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational info only, not financial advice. Do your own research. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #tariffs #chips #energy #rigcount #COT
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Gapperzville in SPY Both ways“Gappersville” indeed — this SPY 15-minute chart is lit with strategic gaps that are magnetizing price back to equilibrium. Quick Breakdown: 🔍 Gap Analysis (Intraday Bias) Two visible unfilled gaps: First Gap: ~624 to ~627 (partially mitigated) Second Gap: ~628 to ~630.75 (currently testing EQ of this zone) Price is now in the Premium Zone (above 0.5 Fibo) from the swing high drop — nearing liquidity sweep territory. ⚙️ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Multiple CHoCH and BOS confirm dynamic shifts in structure. That recent BOS above 627.39 is key — suggesting a short-term bullish microstructure. Equilibrium at 629.77 is now being tested — price may chop here unless liquidity gets swept above 630.76. 🟦 Discount Zone Support Deep discount zone lies between 614.06 – 611.96. This demand zone is still untouched and could act as a high-probability reversion target if the premium structure fails. 🧮 Fibonacci Clusters Heavy cluster from 630.84 – 633.64 = major confluence + potential rejection/sell zone. If price gaps up into this zone on low volume, expect short entries from liquidity-based traders. 🔊 Volume Profile Spike on Aug 2 & 4 suggests buy programs were activated—likely institutional reaction to demand near 620–624. 🔮 Strategic Forecast (as of Aug 4 close) ⚠️ Bearish bias remains intact unless SPY reclaims and closes above 637.57 (weak high). 🎯 Watch for: Shorts around 633–635 (confluence zone) Mean reversion into 624.01 or even 619.70 Final demand: 614–612 zone
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📦 U.S. Imposes New Tariffs as Deadline Passes Fresh tariffs rolled out on August 1 hitting major exporters: 25% on Indian goods, 20% on Taiwan, 19% on Thailand, and 15% on South Korea. Canadas tariff elevated to 35%, though Mexico got extra negotiation time. Global equity markets slipped modestly, led by declines in Asia-Pacific regions. AMEX:SPY futures also eased on mounting geopolitical and trade pressures. 🏦 Fed Uncertainty Mounts Despite Calm GDP Despite robust Q2 GDP growth and a hold on interest rates this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell faced growing unrest. Comments acknowledged downside labor risk amid trade uncertainty—investors are now assigning just a 39% chance of a rate cut in September. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Friday, August 1: 8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (July): Payrolls rose by 106,000, less than June’s 147,000 but still positive. Wage growth slowed, easing inflation concerns slightly. 8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate: Unemployment ticked up to 4.2%, from 4.1% in June—reflecting modest labor softness. 8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): Wages rose +0.2%, down from +0.4% in June, signaling wage pressure easing. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #tariffs #inflation #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Next Leg down startingThe S&P 500 has been trading inside this rising channel for the last 3 and a half years. As you can see it has bounced off the bottom of the rising channel 4 different times and it is now back at the top of the channel. Price action gapped above the channel overnight but immediately sold off pre-market back inside the channel and completely reversed the move despite strong earnings from MSFT and META. This is very bearish and signals a move back down to the bottom of the channel once again and given that its already bounced off the bottom of the channel 4 different times, a 5th hit would have a high probability of breaking below the channel, which I would give a greater than 70% probability of playing out. If this happens, we will see much lower prices in this coming bear market.
AMEX:SPYShort
by bradc1984
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 637.01 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 628.63 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
$UVXY Signaling Trouble — $SPY Could Drop 10%+ In this video, I discuss why August/September could bring serious downside for the market, despite my long-term bullish stance. Right now, SPY is trading around $632, but I have a downside target of $573 in the short term. If we get volume beneath $573 — especially a break below the daily EMA — SPY could drop quickly, with a potential fall all the way to $480 in the coming weeks/months. At the same time, UVXY is signaling a correction for the overall market after rallying from the low's of April. I have a target of $30 and when UVXY starts to move, it often reflects sharp market corrections — and the setup is beginning to mirror that now. Despite this short-term bearish outlook, I want to make it clear: I am very bullish long term. Any 10–20% correction will be a major buying opportunity for me. I'm watching key levels closely and preparing to take advantage when the market overreacts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by GiftedInvestor
1
S&P 500 Futures – Trendline Breach + AI Forecast Signals Major C📉 S&P 500 Futures – Trendline Breach + AI Forecast Signals Major Correction VolanX Risk Engine Flags High Probability Downside 🧠 Narrative: Markets have enjoyed a powerful uptrend off the March lows, but the structure is showing signs of exhaustion. The ascending trendline—untouched for over two months—has now been breached. Fibonacci levels cluster below current price, with critical demand at: 6319.25 (immediate test zone) 6179.25 (0.618 retrace) 5964.75 (macro support / VolanX institutional target) Meanwhile, VolanX Protocol's predictive engine has shifted to a "Strong Sell" with a projected correction path clearly outlined. The 30-day price forecast (shown in red) leans toward a mean reversion toward 5842.12 by late August. 📊 Institutional Trade Plan (VolanX DSS): Entry Zone: 6360-6380 (Confirmed breakdown retest) Target 1: 6179.25 Target 2: 5964.75 Final Target: 5842.12 Invalidation: Close above 6480 (new highs with strength) 🔎 Risk/Reward: 3.4+ 📈 Trend Deviation: 7.4% 📉 Bearish Conviction: 84.1% 📌 Key Insights: Breakdown below trendline confirms shift in control to bears Institutional models anticipate volatility-led selloff Major liquidity rests below 6200 and 5960 zones This is not the time to chase highs—risk is asymmetric 🔮 VolanX Opinion: “Volatility expansion is near. Institutional capital is likely rotating out of risk. The squeeze has passed; now the trapdoor may open.” This is where preparation outperforms prediction. Execute with risk logic, not emotion. 📚 #SNP500 #ESFutures #SPX #MacroTrading #SmartMoney #InstitutionalFlow #TrendReversal #Volatility #LiquiditySweep #FibonacciLevels #VolanX #AITrading #EminiFutures #WaverVanir #QuantStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Forecast #TradingView
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 30, 2025🔮 Nightly  AMEX:SPY  /  SP:SPX  Scenarios for July 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 🧭 Fed Holds Steady Amid Uncertainty As the FOMC enters its July 29–30 meeting, the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, even as one or two governors may dissent in favor of rate cuts amid mixed economic data. Recent strength in consumer spending contrasts with weakness in housing and construction. 🌐 U.S.–China Trade Talks Resumed in Stockholm Talks are under way aimed at extending the tariff truce before the August 12 deadline. Both sides described progress as constructive, though analysts remain cautious on the timeline and potential outcomes. 🛢️ Oil Up / Dollar Firmer, But Risks Remain Brent crude hit ~$72.50/barrel (+3.5%) while WTI rose to ~$69.20 on a mix of geopolitical tension (possible new Russia tariffs) and trade optimism. The U.S. dollar edged higher following the U.S.–EU trade agreement. 📈 IMF Revises Up Global Growth—but Flags Tariff Risks The IMF raised its 2025 growth forecast to 3.0% and maintained 3.1% for 2026, citing pre-emptive consumer demand—but warned that ongoing U.S. tariffs and policy inconsistency could dampen momentum. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Wednesday, July 30: FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Press Conference The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady. Powell’s remarks will be closely watched for signals on the timing of future cuts and views on inflation and labor markets. Advance Q2 U.S. GDP Estimate The first look at Q2 growth is expected around +1.9% YoY, potentially validating a rebound after Q1’s contraction. June PCE & Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Index) The Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Markets will monitor if core inflation remains elevated, which may reinforce policy caution. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This summary is for educational and informational purposes only—it is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #GDP #inflation #trade #tariffs #markets
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
2
SPY: I think dollar milkshake is brewing, buying for long term📉 SPY Daily Breakdown – Aug 1, 2025 | VolanX Observations 🧠 Bot failed today, but the market taught more than any trade could have. Sitting out gave me the clarity to reassess structure and edge. 🔍 Market Structure Update: Gap Down from Premium Zone: Today’s price action rejected the weak high and created a clean daily gap — signaling potential distribution at the top. ORB (15-min) marked and ready: Likely to be retested on Monday. If price rallies into this zone and rejects, that’s where I’ll look for short entries. Friday Bearish Close Rule: Statistically, when Friday closes red with strong momentum, Monday tends to follow — especially after a gap-down open. 🧭 Big Picture Outlook: Liquidity Zones Below: 600 → First institutional reaction zone. 580 → Deeper demand and equilibrium area from previous consolidation. Dollar Milkshake Brewing: Strong USD thesis could pressure equities short-term. This aligns with potential flow into defensives and out of high beta. Long-Term Bias: Watching for deep discounts. If price moves into high-value demand zones, I’ll accumulate for the long haul — buying fear when it's priced in. 📌 What I’m Watching Next Week: Monday open – will we see Gap & Go or a Gap Fill + Fade? Reaction to ORB zone. Volatility behavior and volume footprint in the first 90 minutes. 🔻 No trades today due to a bot error, but ironically, that gave me better vision. Sometimes, the best trades are the ones you don’t take. VolanX Protocol engaged. Standing by.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
$SPY – FOMC Risk Window: AI Predicts Downside Drift📅 Forecast Window: July 30 – August 30, 2025 📡 Powered by VolanX Protocol v3.0 | WaverVanir DSS 🏛️ MACRO SETUP – JULY 31 FOMC: 🏦 Fed Funds Rate: 5.50% (expected hold) 🧊 Inflation: Cooling but sticky (CPI ~3.2%, PCE ~2.6%) 💼 Labor Market: Slowing but not collapsing 📈 CME FedWatch: 91% odds of no hike, but tone may be hawkish 🧠 Key Risk: Liquidity compression or prolonged pause = risk-off conditions 🧠 VOLANX PROTOCOL FORECAST (30-Day): 🔸 Current Price: $636.29 🔹 AI Target: $627.46 (−1.4%) 🟠 Signal: HOLD 🧮 Direction Accuracy: 85.5% ⚠️ Model Confidence: −2.049 (bearish drift) 📊 Volatility Forecast: Low (~1.36%) = slow bleed conditions 📉 WAVERVANIR DSS SIGNAL: 🔸 Sentiment Score: 78 🔻 15D Forecast: $630.49 (−0.8%) 🔻 30D Forecast: $616.68 (−2.9%) 📉 Bias: Mild Bearish 🛑 Signal: Hedge exposure, reduce risk, do not chase longs 🔥 OPTIONS FLOW SNAPSHOT: 🚨 $1.53M Call Sweep (645C, Aug 8) = Speculative breakout bet 📉 Multiple Put Sweeps (633–634P, Aug 4) = Institutional hedging 🟢 Mid-dated 638C/645C flows (Aug 15–22) show straddle-the-news positioning 📐 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH: 📉 Support Levels: $627 = Fib + VolanX AI Target $616 = DSS Forecast + liquidity pivot 📈 Resistance Levels: $639 → Gap close $645 → Major breakout trigger (options magnet) 🕯️ Structure: Distribution bias → No clear momentum unless Fed surprises dovish 🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: Scenario Probability SPY Reaction 🟡 Hawkish Hold 65% Pullback toward $627 ⚪ Neutral Hold 25% Choppy → $639 max 🟢 Dovish Surprise 10% Spike to $645+ 📌 VolanX Protocol Guidance: "This is a defense window. AI models and options flow both suggest uncertainty, not conviction. Trim longs, hedge risk, and wait for post-FOMC confirmation." #SPY #VolanX #WaverVanir #FOMC #MacroForecast #OptionsFlow #DSS #SMC #LiquidityTraps #SmartMoney #TradingSignals #AITrading #FederalReserve #TechEarnings #RiskWindow #HawkishFed #FedHold #MacroAI
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
3
SPY Elliott Wave + Parallel Channel AnalysisThis chart offers a detailed Elliott Wave count for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) on the daily timeframe, combined with a structured parallel channel system to highlight key trend dynamics. 🔍 Elliott Wave Structure: The price is currently advancing in what appears to be Wave (5) of Primary Wave ⑤, suggesting we may be in the late stages of a major impulsive cycle. Each impulsive and corrective wave is clearly labeled, with the internal structure confirming classic Elliott Wave symmetry. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension around $689 marks a critical upside target and potential completion zone for Wave (5). Wave (4) held well at the lower channel boundary and completed near $480, establishing a solid base for the current advance. 📊 Channel Insights: A system of parallel channels is applied to capture the overall trend and momentum structure. Price is climbing toward the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic resistance in previous waves. The median lines have provided reliable support and resistance throughout the trend, making them important reference levels moving forward. ⚠️ Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $689.44 (Wave ⑤ target at 1.618 Fib extension) Support Zones: $609 (prior Wave (3) high), $575 (mid-channel support), and $480 (major cycle low) A confirmed break above $690 could suggest a parabolic move, but risk of reversal grows as the upper channel is tested. 📈 Market Outlook: SPY remains in a strong uptrend but is nearing a major confluence of wave and channel resistance. A completed five-wave sequence would suggest the potential for a higher-degree correction, possibly leading into a Wave A/B/C scenario. Short-term bullish bias remains valid while above $609, but watch for divergence or exhaustion signs near $689–$700.
AMEX:SPYLong
by msezng
The Current State and Future Direction Of The S&P 5006/9/24 Created By Joeseph Emanuel Dennis Idea: Critical area and critical moment in not only the NASDAQ but for the entire bull market otherwise we'll start a prolonged retracement or an unlikely bear market turnaround. My SPY target remains 600 based on previous positive FOMC, CPI, Job Report Data, Rate Cuts, Elections, and Current Institutional development. On the technical side, the higher high movement began at the start of 2023 my initial target was 480 and I was correct! after the September weekly retracement on SPY, we have been pushing higher despite January's negative economic data and the conflict with IRAN. The daily is set to move currently above the 20MA with the weekly bullish and the monthly extremely bullish. IMPORTANT WEEK AHEAD! the future data will determine if the bullish trend will progress onward FOMC meeting will either scare people out of the market or drive the market into a rally along with central bank stocks. My bet is bullish even though inflation is record high thanks to the Biden administration we somehow keep pushing higher makes you wonder if the positive economic data is even accurate is employment being at a record high is that a good thing? Many Americans find them selfs more with two jobs or even three jobs is that a positive thing? Underemployment is also at record highs are these post-college graduates getting the salary they deserve or are they settling with two low-wage jobs? Nonetheless, the bull market will rain on with a summer rally. I will keep watching in case something turns around the enemy isn't Jerome Powell it's the liars at the white house and the propaganda creators over at MSNBC. Note: This goes for Bitcoin as well! 80K here we go!
AMEX:SPYLong
by HumanSpider
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 29, 2025🔮 Nightly  AMEX:SPY  /  SP:SPX  Scenarios for July 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 U.S.–EU Trade Deal Sparks Optimism The U.S. and EU signed a trade framework allowing a 15% tariff rate on most EU imports, averting harsher penalties. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at fresh record highs, supported by upbeat tech earnings sentiment—Tesla advanced on a new $16.5B AI chip deal with Samsung—while U.S.–China trade talks resume in Stockholm. Fed Likely to Hold Rates; Political Pressure Mounts The Fed is expected to leave its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% at the July 29–30 FOMC meeting. Chair Powell faces growing political pressure from President Trump to cut rates and concerns about central bank independence remain elevated. Trade Talks Extension to Avoid Tariff Hike Deadline The August 1 tariff deadline looms. Markets are watching to see if trade deals with China, Canada, and the EU extend the pause or risk new tariffs. Volume in AI/chip stocks and industrials reflects sensitivity to trade developments. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 29 FOMC Meeting Begins — All eyes on Fed rate decision and updated projections. GDP (Advance Q2 Estimate) — Expected around +1.9% on signs of economic rebound. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This summary is for educational and informational purposes only—it is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #trade #tariffs #PCE #jobs #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Trading as a Probabilistic ProcessTrading as a Probabilistic Process As mentioned in the previous post , involvement in the market occurs for a wide range of reasons, which creates structural disorder. As a result, trading must be approached with the understanding that outcomes are variable. While a setup may reach a predefined target, it may also result in partial continuation, overextension, no follow-through, or immediate reversal. We trade based on known variables and informed expectations, but the outcome may still fall outside them. Therefore each individual trade should be viewed as a random outcome. A valid setup could lose; an invalid one could win. It is possible to follow every rule and still take a loss. It is equally possible to break all rules and still see profits. These inconsistencies can cluster into streaks, several wins or losses in a row, without indicating anything about the applied system. To navigate this, traders should think in terms of sample size. A single trade provides limited insight, relevant information only emerges over a sequence of outcomes. Probabilistic trading means acting on repeatable conditions that show positive expectancy over time, while accepting that the result of any individual trade is unknowable. Expected Value Expected value is a formula to measure the long-term performance of a trading system. It represents the average outcome per trade over time, factoring in both wins and losses: Expected Value = (Win Rate × Average Win) – (Loss Rate × Average Loss) This principle can be demonstrated through simulation. A basic system with a 50% win rate and a 1.1 to 1 reward-to-risk ratio was tested over 500 trades across 20 independent runs. Each run began with a $50,000 account and applied a fixed risk of $1000 per trade. The setup, rules, and parameters remained identical throughout; the only difference was the random sequence in which wins and losses occurred. While most runs clustered around a profitable outcome consistent with the positive expected value, several outliers demonstrated the impact of sequencing. When 250 trades had been done, one account was up more than 60% while another was down nearly 40%. In one run, the account more than doubled by the end of the 500 trades. In another, it failed to generate any meaningful profit across the entire sequence. These differences occurred not because of flaws in the system, but because of randomness in the order of outcomes. These are known as Monte Carlo simulations, a method used to estimate possible outcomes of a system by repeatedly running it through randomized sequences. The technique is applied in many fields to model uncertainty and variation. In trading, it can be used to observe how a strategy performs across different sequences of wins and losses, helping to understand the range of outcomes that may result from probability. Trading System Variations Two different strategies can produce the same expected value, even if they operate on different terms. This is not a theoretical point, but a practical one that influences what kind of outcomes can be expected. For example, System A operates with a high win rate and a lower reward-to-risk ratio. It wins 70% of the time with a 0.5 R, while System B takes the opposite approach and wins 30% of the time with a 2.5 R. If the applied risk is $1,000, the following results appear: System A = (0.70 × 500) − (0.30 × 1,000) = 350 − 300 = $50 System B = (0.30 × 2,500) − (0.70 × 1,000) = 750 − 700 = $50 Both systems average a profit of $50 per trade, yet they are very different to trade and experience. Both are valid approaches if applied consistently. What matters is not the math alone, but whether the method can be executed consistently across the full range of outcomes. Let’s look a bit closer into the simulations and practical implications. The simulation above shows the higher winrate, lower reward system with an initial $100,000 balance, which made 50 independent runs of 1000 trades each. It produced an average final balance of $134,225. In terms of variance, the lowest final balance reached $99,500 while the best performer $164,000. Drawdowns remained modest, with an average of 7.67%, and only 5% of the runs ended below the initial $100,000 balance. This approach delivers more frequent rewards and a smoother equity curve, but requires strict control in terms of loss size. The simulation above shows the lower winrate, higher reward system with an initial $100,000 balance, which made 50 independent runs of 1000 trades each. It produced an average final balance of $132,175. The variance was wider, where some run ended near $86,500 and another moved past $175,000. The drawdowns were deeper and more volatile, with an average of 21%, with the worst at 45%. This approach encounters more frequent losses but has infrequent winners that provide the performance required. This approach requires patience and mental resilience to handle frequent losses. Practical Implications and Risk While these simulations are static and simplified compared to real-world trading, the principle remains applicable. These results reinforce the idea that trading outcomes must be viewed probabilistically. A reasonable system can produce a wide range of results in the short term. Without sufficient sample size and risk control, even a valid approach may fail to perform. The purpose is not to predict the outcome of one trade, but to manage risk in a way that allows the account to endure variance and let statistical edge develop over time. This randomness cannot be eliminated, but the impact can be controlled from position sizing. In case the size is too large, even a profitable system can be wiped out during an unfavorable sequence. This consideration is critical to survive long enough for the edge to express itself. This is also the reason to remain detached from individual trades. When a trade is invalidated or risk has been exceeded, it should be treated as complete. Each outcome is part of a larger sample. Performance can only be evaluated through cumulative data, not individual trades.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by StockLeave
SPY Weekly Chart: Rising Wedge Signals Imminent PullbackSPY Weekly Chart Overview (Current Price: ~637) 🧭 Context: Indicators: TEMA (13/21/50) & RSI (14) Price is extended, RSI near overbought (65.87), and forming a rising wedge — a bearish pattern. 🔻 Bearish Setup: Rising wedge signals possible reversal. Momentum weakening despite higher highs. Price extended above TEMA — a 600–610 pullback looks likely. 📊 Key Levels:Resistance: 672 Support: 611–600 → 578 → 488 Break below 600 could trigger broad downside. 🟢 Bullish Case: Breakout above 672 with volume = momentum continuation (AI/FOMO driven). 🎯 Conclusion: SPY is technically stretched. Risk/reward favors caution. Watch for pullback to 600–610
AMEX:SPYShort
by JerryDaniel
SPY 15-Min — Weak-High Sweep in Play• Discount BOS at 603.95 → impulsive leg to 606.7 (0.886) • Weak high tagged at 607.16 – expecting continuation to 1.382 ≈ 608.61 then 1.854 ≈ 610.92 • Invalidation if price closes below 605.45 session VWAP band • Targets: 608.61 → 610.92 • Risk: stop 604.9 (below 0.5 Fib) VolanX bias remains risk-on while micro structure stair-steps above the 9-EMA channel. Educational only – not financial advice #SPY #SMP500 #OrderFlow #Fib #VolanX #WaverVanir
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC