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DXY Institutional Pullback Setup – Smart Money Buying the Dip!💰 DXY: The Dollar Flexing Hard - Institutional Swing Play! 🎯 📊 Market Overview The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing serious institutional strength! After a clean pullback to the 786 Triangular Moving Average, we're locked and loaded for a bullish continuation play. This setup screams "smart money accumulation" and we're positioning for the ride up! 💪 🎯 The Setup: Bullish Confirmation ✅ Asset: DXY (U.S. Dollar Index CFD) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Confirmed on institutional timeframes Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid 📈 Technical Confluence: ✅ 786 TMA Pullback - Textbook institutional support zone ✅ Price action holding above key structure ✅ Volume profile showing accumulation ✅ Smart money footprint evident 🎲 The "Layered Entry" Gameplan (Thief Style 😎) Instead of going all-in at one price, we're using multiple limit orders (layering strategy) to build our position like the institutions do: 💵 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders): Layer 1: 98.400 Layer 2: 98.600 Layer 3: 98.800 Note: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size! The beauty of layering? You average into the move without FOMO-ing at the worst price. 🧠 Current Price Entry: Yes, you can enter at market if you're confident in the setup, but layering gives you better risk management. 🛡️ Risk Management (Thief OG Edition) 🚨 Stop Loss: 98.100 This is MY stop loss based on my risk tolerance. IMPORTANT: I'm NOT telling you to blindly copy this. Set your SL based on YOUR account size, risk percentage, and comfort level. Trade your plan, not mine! 🎰 🎯 Profit Target: 100.000 (The Big Round Number!) 🧲 Why 100.000? Simple Moving Average acting as strong resistance Psychological round number = liquidity magnet 🧲 Overbought conditions likely near this zone Trap potential for late longs - we want to exit before the crowd panics! Exit Strategy: Take profits in stages! Don't be greedy. 💰 Consider taking 50% off at 99.500 and letting the rest ride to 100.000 with a trailing stop. DISCLAIMER: This target is MY analysis. You decide when to take profits based on your strategy. If you see your account glowing green, TAKE THE MONEY! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Game 🕹️) The DXY doesn't move in isolation! Here are the correlated plays: 📉 Inverse Correlations (These typically move OPPOSITE to DXY): FX:EURUSD - Strong negative correlation (~-95%). DXY up = EUR/USD down FX:GBPUSD - Cable follows Euro's lead, watch for breakdown OANDA:AUDUSD & OANDA:NZDUSD - Commodity currencies get crushed when DXY rips Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Dollar strength = gold weakness (classic inverse) 📈 Positive Correlations (These move WITH DXY): FX:USDJPY - Yen pairs amplify dollar moves OANDA:USDCHF - Swissy follows dollar strength OANDA:USDCAD - Loonie weakens on DXY strength (unless oil goes parabolic) Pro Tip: If DXY is pumping but EUR/USD isn't dumping proportionally, something's off - be careful! 🚩 🧠 Key Points & Edge: Institutional Level Confirmed - The 786 TMA is a proven reversal/continuation zone used by big money Swing Trading Sweet Spot - This isn't a scalp; give it room to breathe Layer Like a Pro - Don't blow your load on one entry; scale in strategically Risk First, Profits Second - Protect your capital like it's your only child 👶 Watch Correlations - DXY strength impacts EVERYTHING in Forex ⚠️ Risk Disclosure & "Thief Style" Disclaimer THIS IS THE "THIEF STYLE" TRADING STRATEGY - JUST FOR FUN AND EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES! 🎲 This analysis represents MY personal trading plan and bias. I am NOT a financial advisor, and this is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss, and you could lose more than your initial investment. ✅ Do your own research (DYOR) ✅ Never risk more than you can afford to lose ✅ Past performance ≠ future results ✅ Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent Trade at your own risk! I'm sharing my playbook, but YOU are responsible for your account. If you make money, congrats! 🎉 If you lose money, that's on you, not me. Manage your risk like a pro! 💪 🚀 Let's Catch This Move Together! The setup is ripe, the levels are clear, and the plan is locked in. Now we wait for the market to come to us - patience pays in this game! ⏰ ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #DXY #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RiskManagement #EURUSD #ForexCorrelation #SmartMoney #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #ForexLife #ThiefStyle #LayeredEntry #DollarBull Happy Trading, Thief OGs! 💎🙌
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Could reduced Fed rate-cut expectations keep the dollar strong? The dollar index extended its gains as the Fed’s increasingly cautious stance on additional rate cuts strengthened sentiment. Dallas Fed President Logan noted that without clear evidence of inflation falling or a sharp cooling in the labor market, another rate cut in December would be difficult to justify. Similarly, Cleveland Fed President Hammack emphasized the need to maintain a degree of tightening to bring inflation back to target. Meanwhile, the federal government shutdown reached its 35th day, tying the record from Trump’s first term. The CBO estimated that the shutdown has already shaved about 1% off Q4 GDP, with the impact potentially widening to 2% by the end of November if it continues. DXY extended its uptrend, briefly testing the resistance at 100.20. Diverging bullish EMAs indicate a potential extension of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above 100.20, the index may advance toward the following resistance at 100.50. Conversely, if DXY breaks below 100.00, the index could retreat toward the next support at 99.50.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
The Dollar Death Cross that marks the beginning – October 2025The term death cross often sends shivers through markets, but in the case of the US Dollar Index (DXY), it’s proven to be quite the opposite. History tells us that every major death cross on the 5-day chart where the short-term 50 day simple moving average (SMA) crosses below the 200 day long term simple moving average (SMA), has in fact marked the end of a dollar downtrend, not the start of one. This is especially true after a test of the annual Rolling Moving Average (green line), as has just confirmed. Look left: February 2018, Death cross printed at the macro low. The dollar rallied for nearly two years. January 2021, Death cross printed again, just before the dollar began its next sustained advance. July 2025, Another death cross appears, once again coinciding with price touching the RMA, the same long-term structural support that has historically defined the beginning of each dollar bull cycle. We can keep looking left if those last three dates do not satisfy, the story does not change, there is no “this time is different” while the DXY is in a macro uptrend. Now, in October 2025, the RSI confirms a breakout from its multi-year descending channel, adding technical weight to what the moving averages are already signalling: the bear phase is likely over, and the next dollar bull market is quietly beginning. The 50 line is marked out, once it climbs above the rest is history. What’s Next Each of the prior bullish reversals began the same way: 1. Death cross, triggering capitulation sentiment. 2. Support test of the annual rolling moving average 3. RSI breakout and confirmation of trend reversal That structure is now repeating almost perfectly. If momentum follows prior cycles, the next 6–18 months could see the DXY recover toward the 105–110 zone, with potential for extension beyond 115 over the full bull phase. A break and hold above 104 would confirm trend strength, while a close below the annual average around 96 would invalidate the structure and delay the signal. This setup isn’t about calling tops or bottoms, it’s about recognising that death crosses on this timeframe have repeatedly marked strong uptrends for the dollar, not endings as the gold folks would have us believe. Conclusions The data is clear: every major death cross in recent DXY history has aligned with the start of a new bullish cycle. The 5-day structure, RSI breakout, and confirmation from the rolling annual average all point toward a macro reversal is underway. The irony of the name death cross is not lost here, for the dollar, it often signals the exact opposite. If history rhymes once again, October 2025 will be remembered as the quiet beginning of the next US Dollar bull market. Ww ============================== Disclaimer This post is for educational and informational purposes only and represents personal market analysis, not financial advice. Currency markets are inherently volatile and influenced by complex macroeconomic factors. Always perform your own research, manage risk responsibly, and rely on confirmation, not emotion, when making trading or investment decisions. Patience, data, and confirmation, the real currency of trading.
INDEX:DXYLong
by without_worries
35
DOLLAR INDEXTHE LONDON SESSION NIS SHOWING THE DOLLAR INDEX BREAK OF 4HR SUPPLY ROOF.,IF DOLLAR DEMAND HOLDS STRONG GOLD COULD DROP. The DXY (US Dollar Index) is a benchmark that measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of six major global currencies: the euro (largest component), Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It serves as a broad indicator of the dollar’s strength or weakness against these currencies. It reflects the impact of relatively higher US interest rates and bond yields compared to other major economies. Geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand also support the dollar's position, influencing the DXY. Key Factors Influencing DXY Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and forward guidance are primary drivers. Economic Performance: Relative growth, inflation, and employment trends in the US versus other economies. Risk Sentiment: The DXY often rises during periods of global uncertainty due to flight-to-quality flows into the dollar. Trade and Capital Flows: Trade balances and foreign investment flows contribute to fluctuations. Summary The DXY measures overall US dollar strength against a broad basket of key currencies and is influenced heavily by US monetary policy, economic indicators, and global risk sentiment. It currently shows moderate bullishness, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s tighter policy stance and global economic conditions. #DXY #DOLLAR #US1Y
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
3
technical analysis of the chart you shared (U.S. Dollar Index Current Price: 100.112 Bias: Bullish short-term Timeframe: 15-min The chart shows a clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows forming. The price recently bounced from a minor support zone around the 100.00 level and is showing momentum to the upside. 📊 Key Levels Support Level: 99.750 – 99.850 (major zone from previous lows) Buy Zone: 100.000 – 100.050 (minor support/entry zone) Target Point: 100.460 ⚙️ Analysis Summary Price has broken above short-term resistance and is now retesting the buy zone, suggesting a possible continuation higher. The ascending trendline (dotted white line) supports this bullish bias. The yellow zigzag projection indicates expected consolidation before a push upward. 🎯 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Setup) Entry Zone: Around 100.000 – 100.050 Stop Loss: Below 99.900 (below structure support) Take Profit: 100.460 (target zone) Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 🔍 Conclusion The chart suggests a short-term bullish scenario for DXY (U.S. Dollar Index). A successful bounce from the 100.00 zone could lead to a move toward the 100.46 target point. However, a break below 99.90 would invalidate the setup and shift bias to neutral or bearish. TVC:UKX FTSE:UKX FTSE:MCX FTSE:FBMKLCI FTSE:AIM1 FTSE:ASX FTSE:NMX FTSE:AW01 FTSE:JAPAN FTSE:GEISAC FTSE:FBM100 FTSE:AIM5 CBOEEU:BUK100P FTSE:XIN0 FTSE:AXX FTSE:XIN0U
TVC:DXYLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Analysis ( Update)US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Analysis Current Price: 99.77 (+0.28%) Trend: Bullish continuation within a strong uptrend Technical Overview The DXY continues its bullish structure, forming a Break of Structure (BOS) above 99.60, confirming a continuation of upward momentum. Price is trading above the 14 EMA (white) and 200 EMA (yellow), indicating strong bullish momentum and trend alignment. The market recently tapped into a supply zone near 99.75 – 99.80, showing initial signs of short-term rejection, but the broader trend remains upward. Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 99.75 – 99.85 (current supply zone) Next Resistance: 100.00 (psychological level) Immediate Support: 99.35 (minor structure) Major Support Zone: 98.70 – 98.30 (demand area with EMA confluence) Indicators Stochastic RSI currently around 75, approaching the overbought zone, which could trigger a short-term pullback before continuation. The momentum structure remains intact, and both moving averages are sloping upward — a bullish continuation bias remains valid unless 99.35 breaks down. Market Context A strong DXY typically pressures risk assets, including BTC and equities. Combined with rising USDT Dominance, this reinforces a risk-off environment — investors are moving to safety (USD and stablecoins). If DXY breaks above 99.80, expect further crypto weakness and possible BTC retest near 104,000 – 102,000. Summary Bias: Bullish Short-Term Expectation: Minor pullback → continuation toward 100.00 Invalidation: A breakdown below 99.35 would signal a shift to neutral and potential mean reversion toward 98.70
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by InnovationCapital
Big Moves Ahead? DXY, EUR/USD & Gold at Crucial LevelsLadies and gentlemen, there was a time when forex was full of trading opportunities... to the point where most people struggled with overtrading. But these days, you need a solid watchlist to even find positions, and that's where Skeptic Lab comes in—it's a great spot for spotting good opportunities. So without further ado, let's dive into the analysis of DXY , or the dollar index. 💲 In the daily timeframe , after the drop it had, it's entered a consolidation box, and it looks like we're nearing the end of that box. The main long trigger is a break of 100.262 from a technical standpoint, but personally, after the break of 99.850, I'm already positioned on one of the USD symbols. In lower timeframes, plus the fact that breaking the ceiling of consolidations is usually not straightforward and comes with a lot of volatility, so it's better to have a pre-breakout position. 💶Let's head over to EURX in the 4H timeframe —we've had a good reaction at the 1085.9 support. Breaking it would be a great trigger if you want a EURUSD position. Speaking of EURUSD , it's already entered a secondary bearish trend after breaking its daily trend line. If the DXY consolidation box breaks, EURUSD will officially change its HWC trend to bearish. The position I mentioned at the start of the analysis—I opened it with the break of that same daily EURUSD trend line. The key level for profit-taking will be 1.14640. I'll wait to see what reaction DXY gives—if it fakes the box break, I'll close the position; if not, I'll leave it open for now. 🪙But let's move on to gold —the commodity I'm eyeing today for opening a position. From a technical perspective, it's at a spot that gives both short and long triggers... let me explain. In the daily timeframe, we had a strong uptrend rally that, after reaching 4377.67 , entered its secondary corrective trend. In the 4H timeframe, what's interesting is the formation of these range boxes we're seeing. So our long and short triggers are clear: break of the box ceiling = long / break of the box floor = short. But the thing is, the targets are the same... see, opening a short here basically means going along with the secondary trend, so? Your expectations should be relative to this leg, not the weekly one... so it's better to take your targets quicker, like 3896.31 (the 0.38 fib intersection), which could be a good target. Plus, each bearish leg is weaker than the previous one, so the point I mentioned makes sense for the target. For longs, though, you can proceed with partial profits and not close too early. Alright, that's it. Now get outta here.
TVC:DXY
by SkepticLab
Dollar I Daily CLS I Model 1 ( Counter trend setup) Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
28
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D4| Y25 | 📅 Q4 | W45 | D4| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
Bullish momentum set to continue?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback suport and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 99.53 1st Support: 98.55 1st Resistance: 101.46 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
US DOLLAR — Structure Shift in Motion🧭 Context The dollar continues to push higher while major crosses weaken. Risk sentiment remains defensive as traders lean toward safety going into the new week. 📈 Technical POV We’re trading into the structural pivot at 99.804, not above it yet. The daily chart shows stretched momentum — near +2 deviation — but buyers still control the short-term rhythm. The broader weekly bias remains bearish, so this move likely forms a counter-rally within the larger range. 🌍 Macro View Currency Index: DXY advancing toward 100.00, driven by steady demand for USD amid uncertain global data. Central Bank: The Fed’s 25 bps cut came with a neutral tone, signaling a pause — enough to keep the dollar firm. Yields: U.S. 10-year yields hover near 4%, maintaining the yield advantage over Europe and Japan. Seasonality: Early November often favors USD flows as funds rebalance into year-end positioning. 📊 Volume / Order Flow Liquidity behavior remains balanced near current levels. No clear exhaustion yet — market is simply rotating into the key 99.804 zone, waiting for confirmation before expansion. 🎯 Plan If we close above 99.804, it could unlock a move toward the weekly discount-zone liquidity, potentially sparking strong reactions across major cross pairs. If rejected, expect short-term pullback before any renewed strength. 🧠 CORE5 Note Professional traders don’t predict — they prepare. Let price prove conviction before you act. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY Has 99 Problems, Getting Above 100 Is One!Here we have TVC:DXY on the Weekly Chart. Now clearly outlined we can see there is a very valuable level here @ 99-100 that the USD: - Used as Resistance from 2015 til the Bullish Breakout in April 2020 - Used as Support from 2023 til the Bearish Breakdown in April 2025 Fundamentally is a very sketchy scenario because with the Shutdown causing lack of important data needed, The Federal Reserve is making Interest Rate cuts. This weakens the Dollar because it makes it less favorable to Foreign Investing. On the flip side, Consumers Dollars are able to stretch further allowing them to purchase more but unfortunately we still combat the inflated prices on goods. Companies have the ability to get there raw ingredients cheaper, resume hiring processes, etc. The slow creeping rise in Inflation has the Federal Reserve in a position to want to be ready to potentially Hike Rates when the Inflation, they believe, from the Tariffs will hit but as of yet, the recent CPI numbers came out not as hot as they thought, possibly playing into the reason for making the latest cut. Nevertheless, by the last FOMC meeting, it would seem that there is a chance that was the last cut this year that may be made, if: - Inflation continues to rise or - Continued softening labor market
TVC:DXYShort
by Novi_Fibonacci
3
DXY: Bullish Breakout in Progress -> Eyes on 101.75 and 103.40DXY: Bullish Breakout in Progress -> Eyes on 101.75 and 103.40 The Dollar Index (DXY) is showing strong bullish momentum on the daily chart, breaking above a key consolidation pattern. The price broke our structure from 99.50 above and favors further growth. The next resistance zones sit around 101.75 and 103.40, where profit-taking or short-term pullbacks could occur. A small retest before the continuation could occur this week, as the economic calendar is also almost empty from the US front. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by KlejdiCuni
9