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USTEC trade ideas

NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bearish Break – Next Move is Confirmed 🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19870 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
FX:NAS100Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Break at 19715 We are watching this zone closely. ——— 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20100 – Proven resistance
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NASDAQ Recovery Looks Fragile Below 20,500After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH). While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon. Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by: • The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, • Psychological resistance at 20,000, • Major horizontal resistance around 20,500. As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop. While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline: Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100. Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers. Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions. Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by technicaltrader18
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ? Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it ! Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics! There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable. 6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it). Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns. As usual, please DYODD
TVC:NDQLong
by dchua1969
Nasdaq 100 off lows on Bessent remarksUS stocks trimmed their earlier losses after the Trump administration delivered the latest dose of jawboning. This time it was trade secretary Scott Bessent, saying trade negotiations with several partners are going well and that there is a possibility of “substantial reduction” in tariffs on US goods. He added some deals could be announced as early as this week. That was enough to trigged dip-buying, causing major indices like the Nasdaq to bounce off their earlier lows. The Nasdaq has found a bit of resistance in the last couple of days from the area shaded on the chart between 20,000 to around 20,150 where it had previously encountered support. See area shaded on the chart. A closing break above here is what the bulls would be eying this week, although for that to happen, some trade deals may well have to be announced first. By Fawad Razaqzada market analysts with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Possible reversal of this bullish wave...(LOG)Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle. If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below). If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H). Trend remains down. Entry 19300 TP 18300 below Target 14k.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by matejmn
2
Descending Triangle Formation with Bullish Breakout Potential The NASDAQ (US100) is currently forming a descending triangle pattern with a clear A-B-C-D-E wave structure, signaling price compression and consolidation. 🔍 Key Insights: The previous move was strongly bullish, increasing the probability of a continuation after consolidation. A potential breakout above the descending trendline (blue resistance) could trigger a sharp upward move. Target zones: ✅ First target: 20,060.6 ✅ Second target: 20,573.9 Key support zone: 19,524.7 – this area acted as a launchpad for the previous bullish impulse and confirms the base of the triangle. 🧠 Suggested Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume. Look for entries on a pullback toward the 19,811.1 zone – ideally with a bullish continuation candle. 📊 Additional Context: These types of consolidation patterns often lead to explosive moves. Patience and risk management will be crucial here.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by JAG_Trader
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential ReversalGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming. Key Observations: 1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence: We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building. 2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block: Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions. Trading Plan: We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones. Invalidation Level : This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low. Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework. Kind regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline. 🔍 Likely scenario: If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5. Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance. 🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive: A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction. A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond. 🟢 Key Zones: 📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000 📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215 📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5 📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups. Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by JAG_Trader
NAS100 – Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Technical Breakdown: Major Supply Zone: 19,800 – 19,850 Critical Support Level: 18,846 Demand Zone Target: 17,700 – 18,000 (highlighted in orange) Key Observations: Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone Bearish divergence may be developing — a possible early reversal signal Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias) Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700 Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000 Stop Loss: Above 19,850 Macro Note: Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility — perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs. Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view! Like & follow for more clean chart breakdowns. #NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14