NASDAQ eyes 24300 as the Channel Up extends.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up since the May 12 candle. Throughout the whole time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been in firm Support and right now the pattern is unfolding its latest Bullish Leg.
The last two rose by +6.67%, so that gives us a Target of 24300 by the end of the month.
Notice also that the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross. The previous one was a strong buy signal during the most recent Bullish Leg.
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USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ (CASH100) is Approaching KEY ResistanceSince 15 May, the Cash100 has been trading within an upward channel.
It’s now approaching diagonal resistance — will it hold, or break higher?
On the chart, I have marked every time NAS has tested the diagonal resistance and failed to break through.
I’ll be watching this area closely for shorts.
What do you think: will NAS continue climbing, or is a reversal coming?
NASDAQ at Make-or-Break Resistance – Is a Sharp Drop to 23,292 "📉 NASDAQ at Make-or-Break Resistance – Is a Sharp Drop to 23,292 Next?"
📊 NASDAQ is currently trading within a well-defined resistance zone (23,812 – 24,007) after a recent rally from the support base near 22,800. The structure suggests a potential sell-side setup if price respects the resistance and fails to break higher.
🧐 Market Structure Analysis
Support Zone: Around 22,800, where buyers previously stepped in, forming a Higher Low and initiating the last bullish leg.
Resistance Zone: 23,812 – 24,007, marked by previous rejections and a Break of Liquidity (BOL).
Price has tapped into the entry zone just below resistance, hinting at possible exhaustion from buyers.
The chart indicates a bearish bias from this zone, aiming for a move toward 23,292.5 (marked target).
🎯 Educational Trade Example
Entry Zone: 23,812 – 24,007
Stop Loss: Above 24,007 to protect against breakout rallies.
Target: 23,292.5 (aligned with previous structural support).
Rationale:
Trading against strong resistance offers asymmetric R:R if momentum shifts bearish.
The Higher Low before resistance can act as liquidity fuel for sellers once demand weakens.
Clear invalidation point keeps risk defined.
⚠ Invalidation Scenarios
A strong breakout and close above 24,007 with follow-through volume would invalidate the short idea and potentially signal continuation toward 24,200+.
💡 Key Takeaways for Students
Zone-to-Zone Trading: Always define both entry and exit zones before execution.
Structure Before Strategy: The market’s reaction to resistance is the clue — confirmation comes before position sizing.
Risk Management is Non-Negotiable: Even high-probability setups require strict stop placement.
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
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Nasdaq and S&P500 Short: Completed 5-wave structureIn this video, I explain my analysis of the Nasdaq and S&P 500 chart together with Gold (the risk-off indicator).
I point out 3 main reasons why I labelled the 5-wave structure as W-X-Y-X-Z instead of 1-2-3-4-5:
1. Wave 3 overlaps Wave 1.
2. 5th Wave did not make new peak.
3. Gold structure still supports a 5th Cycle level wave higher.
Regardless of how confident we are, remember to set your stop and respect it.
Good luck!
NAS100 — Nasdaq 100 Index Holds Ascending ChannelMarket Overview:
On the 1H chart, NAS100 continues to move within an ascending channel, holding support at 23,804. EMA144 (23,631) remains the key dynamic support. The upside target is the upper channel boundary near 24,170.
Technical Signals & Patterns:
Ascending channel;
EMA144 as dynamic support;
Series of higher lows;
Steady hold above 23,804 level.
Key Levels:
Support: 23,804, 23,631
Resistance: 24,170
Scenario:
Primary: holding above 23,804 could lead to growth toward 24,170.
Alternative: a break below 23,804 and EMA144 may trigger a decline to 23,631.
US 100 – US CPI in Focus, Could this Be Moving Day? Technology stocks in the US 100 have been leading the resurgence of US assets back up from their April lows for a while now, driven higher by fresh demand for magnificent 7 stocks, artificial intelligence capital expenditure and increased expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts, which its hoped by traders will restart again when the Fed have their next rate decision meeting on September 17th.
Dips in the US 100 have remained shallow, with the latest blip lower, caused by a weaker than expected US Non-farm payrolls report, causing a sell off from the record high set on July 31st at 23730 down to a low at 22678 (Payrolls Friday August 1st) before the uptrend resumed again, setting a new record closing high at 23660 on Friday since when prices have consolidated so far this week between 23500 and 23716.
Today could potentially be moving day for US 100 stocks with the latest US CPI release due at 1330 BST. Traders are very sensitive to US inflation updates right now as they await the effects of President Trump’s trade tariffs to feed through into higher consumer prices. US corporates initially absorbed the higher tariff costs which has helped to shield US consumers but there has been signs that this trend may be starting to change.
Any deviation in today’s US CPI release from market expectations may alter the current pricing for Fed rate cuts across the next 6 months, which could have an outsized impact on US 100 volatility across the remainder of this week.
Technical Update: Is the Trend Still Your Friend?
When an asset gains fresh buying support and approaches a previous all-time price high, it can be a very important period for both price action and traders. It can lead to the question being asked.
Will buying pressure be strong enough to break above this important resistance and extend the bullish trend, or will sellers re-emerge at the all-time high, triggering a potential reversal in price?
This appears to be the backdrop unfolding for the US 100 index, and as the chart above shows, having seen price weakness briefly post the August 1st low at 22678, the latest price strength since that dip is currently testing 23730 again, the all-time high registered on July 31st.
This 23730 resistance level could be an important focus for traders this week, as successful closing breaks above the all-time high are required to suggest potential for a more sustained phase of price strength, while failure to close above this 23730 resistance level, may lead to increased possibilities for deeper declines in price.
Potential Upside If a Closing Break Develops Above 23730:
If, and it could still be argued it is a big ‘if’, a successful closing break develops above 23730, it could open potential for further price strength towards the next resistance at 24146, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension of the July 31st to August 1st price weakness, may be even further.
Potential downside If the Resistance at 23730 Holds:
It is equally possible, the resistance at 23730 can cap the current strength, even prompt fresh selling pressure to turn price activity lower for a phase of weakness.
While 23730 continues to limit current price strength, the focus may shift to possible support at 23181, which is equal to half the August price strength. Closing breaks below 23181 could potentially be a catalyst for further declines to test 22678, the August 1st low, and even lower if this level in turn gives way.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
BUY EVERY BIG TECH, BUY AND HOLD UNTIL OCTOBERBuy the pivot level. hold for the last 7-month bull run until October 2025.
Price and time cycles suggest that price will peak in October 2025 and a second swing high in March 2026 for the midcycle correction. We would look for the top at 26k
Buy every big tech, buy the major stocks, buy, buy......
The 7-month cycle from March to October 2025 will be the second largest swing within the 5-year bull run from 2020 crash low
Trade safe, good luck.
NSDQ100 sideways consolidation support at 23664Yesterday’s market action flipped from Wednesday’s pattern, with US Treasury yields jumping (10yr +5.1bps) after a much hotter-than-expected July Producer Price Index. Headline PPI surged +0.9% MoM (+3.3% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected — the largest monthly gain since March 2022 — and core PPI rose +0.6% MoM (+2.8% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected. The surprise beat every Bloomberg economist’s forecast and dims the chances of a September Fed rate cut. However, PPI components tied to core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — showed only a modest uptick (+0.29% vs. +0.26%), offering some relief. Despite rate cut bets being pared back, the S&P 500 still closed slightly higher (+0.03%), logging a third straight record high.
Geopolitical note:
Trump and Putin are set to meet in Alaska tonight over Ukraine, with low expectations for an immediate breakthrough.
Conclusion for NASDAQ-100:
The hotter inflation print and higher yields introduce near-term headwinds, especially for rate-sensitive growth stocks. However, the market’s resilience yesterday suggests bullish momentum remains intact for now — but upside in the NASDAQ-100 may be capped until inflation data eases or Fed policy expectations shift dovishly again.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23965
Resistance Level 2: 24120
Resistance Level 3: 24290
Support Level 1: 23664
Support Level 2: 23533
Support Level 3: 23422
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Short Again (nth time): Fibo Extension Level and 5-wavesOver here, I attempt to short Nasdaq again after another failure yesterday. This time, the 5-waves structure is supported by Fibonacci Extension level at 2.618x sub-wave 1 against entire wave 5 structure.
However, take note the circled area where I pointed out 2 imperfections in the wave structure:
1. Wave 4 overlaps Wave 1
2. Sub-wave 4 overlaps Sub-wave 1 (a comparison with S&P500 increases the odds that it may still be a valid count)
Given the imperfections of the wave counts, we still need to set our stop above the all-time-high to protect ourselves.
Good luck!
Potential inverse head and shoulders on NASDAQ (CASH100) - 15minI’m watching the Cash100 for a potential long setup.
On the 15min chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern appears to be forming — potentially a continuation pattern following this week’s strong upward move.
I’m still waiting for confirmation of key variables, which will be assessed at 11:30am (GMT+1).
Trade Details:
📊 Risk/Reward: 2.4
🎯 Entry: 23 845
🛑 Stop Loss: 23 825
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 23 891
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 23 912
#GTradingMethod Tip: Lower volume on the right shoulder vs. the left shoulder strengthens the setup.
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
USNAS100 | Holding Above ATH – Key Pivot at 23870USNAS100 at Record Highs on Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Nasdaq indexes held at record highs on Wednesday, supported by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve could restart its monetary policy easing cycle next month.
Technical Outlook:
The price has stabilized in a bullish trend after breaking its all-time high, with a 4H candle closing above it on strong volume.
As long as it trades above 23870, the bullish trend remains intact toward 24090.
To turn bearish, the price would need to close at least 1H below 23870, targeting 23690.
Resistance: 24090, 24190
Support: 23690, 23430
NASDAQ 100| Bullish OutlookHTF (4H)
Price has broken major external structure highs, currently trading near the 23,712 zone with strong bullish momentum. My focus is on buying opportunities after a clean pullback — ideally sweeping sell-side liquidity into the 4H OB. Price action is being monitored closely for confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M)
Structure remains clean and respected. I’m watching for a liquidity sweep into the 23,444 – 23,399 OB zone.
Execution Plan
Targeting 5M highs for intraday delivery or 30M highs if momentum extends. Trade will be managed in alignment with internal framework structure and market delivery behavior.
"NAS100USD – Bearish Reversal Setup Forming Below PDH with Key SOn the 4H timeframe of the NAS100USD index, after registering a new high around the **PMH** zone, price faced strong resistance near **PDH** and has recently formed a **Lower High (LH)** and **Lower Low (LL)** pattern. This behavior, along with repeated rejections from the 23670–23710 area, indicates weakening bullish momentum and the potential start of a short-term correction or pullback.
The **PDL** level currently acts as a key short-term support; a confirmed break and close below this level could open the path toward the significant support at **PWL**, followed by the 22940–23218 zone.
From an indicator perspective, decreasing volume near the top, combined with rising volume on recent bearish candles, confirms stronger selling pressure. The overall market structure, after the recent sharp bullish wave, is now in a time–price correction phase that may lead to the breakdown of these supports.
Therefore, if **PDL** is decisively broken, a short entry with a stop-loss above **PDH** and targets in the mentioned zones is the preferred scenario; however, sustained trading back abovEntry: sellstop @ 23,540.00 | Asset=NAS100USD | Side=Sell
SL: 23,676.00
TP1: 23,218.00
TP2: 22,940.00
Conf: 81%
Update on the Nasdaq trade idea I shared last night.An update on the trade idea of NASDAQ last night where I was anticipating a buy from the marked zone with other possible Point Of Interested marked out aswell.
Price behaved exactly the way I was anticipating, even though it hasn't went really far as of yet.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)The index is moving within an upward channel in the broader trend and is currently trading near the 23,900 zone.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,850, a corrective wave may begin, testing the 23,700 area. A break below this level could open the door for further downside corrections.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to break and hold above 23,900, this could support a continuation of the uptrend toward a new high at 24,000.
NSDQ100 rally on rate cuts expectation US equities rallied, with the S&P 500 hitting a new high (+1.13%) after July CPI matched expectations, keeping hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut. Headline CPI was +0.2% MoM / +2.7% YoY, helped by falling gasoline prices, while core CPI rose +0.32% MoM, lifting the YoY rate to 3.1% — the highest core reading in six months. Markets shrugged off the stickier services inflation, focusing instead on the relief that inflation wasn’t hotter. Treasury Secretary Bessent backed the idea of a 50bp cut, further boosting rate-cut bets. Geopolitical headlines — including Putin–Trump summit plans and ongoing Ukraine tensions — were largely ignored by risk assets.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 trading
The inflation data reinforced expectations for Fed easing, keeping risk appetite strong and likely supporting further upside in the Nasdaq 100 in the near term. However, the hotter core services figure is a reminder that any sharp rally could face headwinds if upcoming data challenge the rate-cut narrative.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23965
Resistance Level 2: 24120
Resistance Level 3: 24290
Support Level 1: 23665
Support Level 2: 23533
Support Level 3: 23422
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.