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TGD1! trade ideas

Long trade 1Hr TF overview Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position Entry Price: 3395.9 Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%) Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68 🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM 📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025 🌍 Session: New York PM ⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF Reasoning Narrative GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by davidjulien369
Gold Is Surging , Remains in Bullish Uptrend### **1. Overall Trend** - **Trend Direction:** Strong **uptrend** from early October 2024 to April 2025. - **Price Action:** Gold surged from around $2,800 to over $3,300, hitting a high near $3,329. --- ### **2. Indicators & Strategy Setup** **Strategy Used:** Steve’s DC-MACD Strategy (Manual Settings) - **DC Length:** 20 - **MACD Fast:** 12 - **MACD Slow:** 26 - **Signal Smoothing:** 9 - **Moving Averages Type:** EMA **Overlay Elements:** - **Green/Red Channels:** These represent **Donchian Channels** or volatility-based bands, indicating consolidation vs breakout. - **White Line:** Possibly a shorter EMA used as a dynamic support/resistance guide. --- ### **3. Signal Arrows** - **Red Down Arrows (BEAR):** Sell signals, typically at local tops or when the MACD crosses down. - **Green Up Arrows (BULL):** Buy signals, often following a breakout from consolidation. Recent Signal: - **Latest signal is BULL** in early April, aligning with a breakout above $3,100. --- ### **4. Volume** - **Spikes in volume** around signal points suggest institutional participation. - Noticeable volume increases in: - October (2024) - January and April (2025) --- ### **5. Market Context** - **Current Price:** $3,324.5 - **Pullback Potential:** After hitting $3,329, a short-term correction is possible, but the trend remains bullish unless price breaks below $3,200 with heavy sell volume. --- ### **6. Strategy Effectiveness** - The strategy has **accurately captured several trends**, especially the bullish breakout in late March. - However, **multiple false bear signals** during the uptrend suggest better performance in trending markets than in sideways conditions.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by MONEYMAXWELL
200 SMA pie for Bears SMA is a bold indicator to know analyze the price run & reccent prices was up by 21% & gap up opening in few trading sessions--makes a great bear move to catch let's understand. ___________________________________________________________________________________ 1) Gold is a commodity. 2) Which oftely don't show the big price moves. 3) 4 gap up opening in last 15 sessions. 4) Unusual volumes and move of the price. 5) Geoplitical Tensions of US-Tarrifs making gold the most attractive investment. 6) 20.65% up from 200SMA. ___________________________________________________________________________________ Less favroble for buyers and with good money for bears to make, unless some investment bank put in a 1/2 Billion.... GoMakeIt
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by rohannegi2112
asymmetric triangle or Rising wedge ? This chart shows the potential formation of either a symmetrical triangle or an ascending wedge on MGC1! ( Micro Gold Futures). The distinction -- Both suggest consolidation, but the edge leans bearish while the triangle is more neutral until broken. I identified the prior impulse move downward as the dominate leg. Price is currently forming higher lows, but may fail to break past the highs with strength, suggesting potential exhaustion from the bulls. I'm watching for: *A possible false breakout, then breakdown continuation. *The wedge's lower support to be tested. * Confirmation via a clean hourly close or with a bearish engulfing below $3,371.0 My ideal entry would be at the 50% FVG pull back of the engulfing candle. My First TP would be $3303 then my extended would be $3260, stop-loss above $3,380. Reasoning: this idea combines FVG imbalance, 50% institutional discount levels, and price action structure. The pattern also hints at market indecision, so I remain reactive rather than predictive. The market isn't worth it just tells a story and I'm listening to the chapter before the breakout.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by Aurum-Legacy
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week. Gold is still a buy. Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels. Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell. Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation. Be patient, and wait for confirmations! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
Gold's Surge: Flight to Safety or Foreshadowing Fear?🚨 Gold just saw its largest weekly inflow in history as shown in the chart by BofA Global Research. The metal is soaring above $3,400/oz while most other assets are crashing hard. This isn't just bullish momentum — it's panic capital. When fear dominates markets, investors rush to safety. And historically, that safety has always been gold. But here’s the catch: when fear becomes too crowded, even safe havens can become dangerous. If gold fails to hold these levels and begins to correct, it won’t be a slow bleed — it’ll be a free fall, and a lot of people will get caught. 💬 What do you think? Is this just the beginning of gold’s golden age, or are we seeing the early stages of a bubble?
COMEX:GC1!
by SmartSignalss
Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈 🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal . 📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025 Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context: 2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50 Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥 2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50 Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch 2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25 Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️ 2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50 Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path 🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game #1 producer AND importer Keeps all domestic production Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm) Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon? China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution. 💱 CPI From Fire to Frost 2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥 2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty. 🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600 Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000 China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+ Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives. 🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself? In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge. Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin . China stockpiles gold U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin Trade wars have become currency wars This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift . 🔮 Final Thoughts We stand at the crossroads of history . Gold has already chosen its path. Bitcoin is waiting in the wings. And fiat? Under pressure. Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
8
The Brightest Metal Right NowGold isn’t just shining, it’s on fire, burning through resistance levels as investors seek shelter from global chaos. Figure 1: Gold Prices Climbing to New Highs Gold surged past $3,000 per ounce this March, setting 16 record highs this year alone. While it took more than a decade for gold to gain 1,000 points previously, this time it took less than two years. Figure 2: Correction in the Equities and Cryptocurrencies In stark contrast, the S&P 500 has dropped 10% since its February peak, marking its first correction since 2023. Bitcoin has also plunged to $81,000, a 25% decline since U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration. The AI-driven momentum that propelled tech stocks and the broader equity market higher in 2024 appears to have faded. Figure 3: Historical Reactions to Crisis The correction in equities and crypto stands in sharp contrast to gold’s rally—an outcome that should come as no surprise given gold’s reputation as a safe-haven asset. Historically, financial crises and major market pullbacks have consistently triggered capital flows into gold as investors seek refuge from economic uncertainty. This time, gold’s outperformance is driven by a “perfect storm” of prolonged geopolitical tensions, escalating trade disputes, political uncertainty under Trump’s second term, and a weakening U.S. dollar. The CNN Business Fear & Greed Index, a widely used measure of market sentiment, has remained in the “fear” and “extreme fear” zones. This stems largely from Trump’s protectionist policies, which have sparked swift retaliation from U.S. trading partners. With new tariff headlines surfacing almost daily, the future of economic policy and inflation has become increasingly uncertain, injecting heightened volatility into global markets. This has, in turn, strengthened gold’s appeal as a hedge against instability. Figure 4: Gold’s Demand is not Limited to Investors According to the World Gold Council, investment demand for gold doubled year-over-year in 2024. However, central banks have been the real drivers of demand, purchasing over 1,000 tons of gold for three consecutive years; accounting for 21% of global demand in 2024. The rising U.S. budget deficit and Trump’s "America First" policies have created additional risks for central banks holding large reserves of U.S. Treasuries. The ongoing tariff war not only undermines confidence in the U.S. as a reliable trade partner but also raises concerns about the U.S. dollar’s long-term stability as a safe-haven asset. This has accelerated the de-dollarization process, prompting many central banks to stockpile gold as a hedge against dollar exposure. Unlike investors who may hesitate to buy gold at record highs, central banks operate based on mandates, making them less price-sensitive. They are willing to continue accumulating gold at elevated levels, reinforcing sustained demand for the precious metal. Figure 5: A Weakening Dollar Since most gold futures contracts are denominated in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar makes gold relatively cheaper for non-U.S. buyers, supporting its price. This negative correlation between the two assets has been a key driver of gold’s recent surge. The Trump administration has long argued that the U.S. dollar’s global dominance has kept it too strong for too long, hurting American manufacturers and contributing to deindustrialization. Further, a strong dollar reduces the price competitiveness of U.S. exports and has widened the trade deficit, leading the administration to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. While the Fed maintains its independence and data-driven approach, inflation trends continue to justify further easing. The market has already priced in three quarter-point rate cuts for this year, with expectations that the first cut could come as early as June. Gaining Access to Gold Historically, the London over-the-counter (OTC) market, operated by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), has been the largest gold trading center. Traders use the LBMA gold price as the global benchmark for gold transactions, including central bank purchases. On the other hand, the futures market is the preferred choice for hedge funds, bullion dealers, refineries, and mints to hedge against price fluctuations. Retail investors also typically gain exposure to gold through futures contracts, most commonly via the COMEX gold futures market. However, executing arbitrage strategies between the OTC and futures markets is capital-intensive and logistically challenging. Traditional arbitrage requires buying physical gold in the LBMA market at a lower price while simultaneously selling COMEX futures at a higher price. This involves storing, insuring, and shipping gold to COMEX-approved vaults, making it difficult to determine the fair value of the spread. Figure 6: B3 Gold Futures Contract A more accessible alternative is emerging: Brazil’s B3 Exchange will soon list a new gold futures contract referencing the LBMA gold price. This new contract offers several advantages: Easier arbitrage execution: Traders can capitalize on price discrepancies between the B3 contract and COMEX futures. Lower capital requirements: The contract size is just one troy ounce, 1/100th of the standard COMEX contract, allowing for greater flexibility in position sizing and risk management. Financial settlement: Both the B3 and COMEX one-ounce contracts are cash-settled, eliminating the logistical challenges of physical delivery. Putting into Practice Case Study 1: Arbitrage Strategy Figure 7: Current Available Gold Futures A comparison of the existing gold futures contracts highlights key differences in specifications, including fineness, contract size, and settlement methods. While these variations cater to the diverse needs of hedgers managing different gold inventories, they pose challenges for traders looking to establish arbitrage strategies due to mismatches in contract structures. The introduction of B3’s new gold futures contract addresses these limitations by aligning closely with the COMEX 1-ounce gold contract. This structural similarity simplifies the process of determining fair value in spread pricing, making arbitrage strategies more feasible. The primary distinction between the two lies in their price settlement methods, which, interestingly, also forms the basis of arbitrage opportunities between futures and spot prices. Additionally, traders can now take advantage of price discrepancies between the two LBMA daily fixing prices by utilizing the B3 Gold and TFEX Gold Online futures contracts. This expands the range of arbitrage opportunities and enhances market efficiency for gold traders. Case Study 2: Directional Strategy By considering all the factors – gold’s safe-haven appeal, geopolitical tensions, central banks accumulation, and a weakening dollar – we believe that this is not the end of the gold rally. An investor looking to express a bullish view on gold could do so by buying the B3 one-ounce futures contract, gaining exposure to gold’s price movements in a more accessible and cost-effective manner. Conclusion As global uncertainties mount, gold’s resilience remains undeniable. Whether as a hedge against inflation, a refuge from geopolitical turmoil, or a tool for strategic trading, gold continues to prove its value in times of crisis. With central banks stockpiling at record levels, the metal’s rally may still have room to run. For investors navigating today’s volatile landscape, gold is not just a safe-haven, it’s a strategic asset poised for continued strength. It is extremely timely to have new trading instruments like B3’s gold futures providing more accessible opportunities for investors. For traders looking to enhance liquidity and capitalize on bid-ask spread, B3 also offers a market-making program. Interested participants can reach out to the exchange for further details.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by inspirante
Long term gold bull still good even if near current sell zoneFrom 1970 to 1980 I took 2 different fib extension to project the target sell zone for the blow off top and the price hit the target. I used the same fib extensions to give the target sell zone for the current bull market. Then I looked at how extended was the price from the 12 month SMA and it was 57%. Then I made a channel with the at the 12 month SMA and expanded it by 57% from the current and followed the angle of the 12 month SMA. If the price reaches the target sell zone and also is extended to reach the top of the channel this would most like be the blow off top. There are also other trend channels (gold color) that will give top side resistance. The green box in 2000 is the retrace buy zone and since we do not know the exact current top I drew possible bottom retrace buy zones of the next bear way out in the future and will need to be adjusted. This is not trading advise , just my thoughts.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by nsprph
GOLD HITS RECORD $3,300/OZ – WHAT IS IT TELLING US?Since 2020, stocks and gold have danced to very different rhythms. Initially, equities ran far ahead, but now… the tide is turning fast. 📉 As the equity market sinks into a bear phase, capital is pouring into gold. Just in the last 9 months, gold has surged over $1,000/oz — a historic move rarely seen outside of crisis periods. 💬 We’ve been calling this for over a year: Gold is now the ONLY global safe haven. US bonds are no longer the refuge they once were. Investors are voting with their wallets — and gold is winning. Let’s put it into perspective: ➡️ Over the last 20 years: • Gold is up +620% • S&P 500 is up +580% 📈 Gold is trading like we’re in a modern depression — quietly pricing in risk, instability, and loss of trust in traditional instruments. 🧠 The question is no longer "why is gold rising?" — it’s "why didn’t more people see this coming?"
COMEX:GC1!
by SmartSignalss
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle 2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave 3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed 4. Divergence in the Price Movement 5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
MCX:GOLD1!
by OK_Rane