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Not Yet Done — TON’s Triangle RunI’m slightly adjusting my previous plan, as the current structure made me rethink the pattern. Earlier, I thought the ABCDE triangle was already complete, but now I’m starting to doubt that. At the moment, I believe wave E might still need to form — and I see two possible scenarios for how it could unfold: either along the green path or the purple one. I’m leaning more toward the purple scenario, but it’s also possible that what we’re seeing now is still part of wave D — meaning yesterday’s low at 2.0959 could be just a portion of that move. If that’s the case, Tone may first drop toward 1.96 to finish wave D, then rise again to complete wave E of the triangle before continuing downward. In that case, the decline could extend well below 1.96, possibly even toward 1.6.
by chart1stry
3
Lingrid | TONUSDT Key Confluence Support Long OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OKX:TONUSDT is retesting the key confluence area near 2.13 after multiple higher lows formed along the ascending support trendline. Price action shows compression within a narrowing structure, hinting at potential breakout momentum building up. A confirmed bounce from this support may lift price toward 2.28, aligning with short-term resistance and the upper boundary of the range. Overall bias stays bullish as long as the 2.10–2.13 support cluster holds firm. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold the 2.10 support zone could invalidate the bullish scenario. Increased volatility ahead of macro data releases could cause short-term whipsaws. Weak momentum or low trading volume may limit the breakout’s sustainability. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
2
Technical Analysis: #TON/USDT 1-Day ChartTechnical Analysis: #TON/USDT 1-Day Chart shows a drop from a high of around 4.211 to a low of 2.355 recently, with a small dip (-1.69%) today. A falling wedge pattern is forming could mean a chance to bounce back Support Zone: A strong base is at 2.600-2.789, where buyers might jump in. Resistance Level: The next big test is at 3.091-3.265—break that, and it could rise Falling Wedge: This pattern, with its narrowing lines, often signals a bullish move if it breaks above 3.265 Momentum: The downtrend had steady volume, but the pattern hints at a possible upturn. Timeframe:Watch the next few days for the wedge to break out. Possibilities: Bullish Move: A jump above 3.265 with good volume could push it to 3.600 or more! Bearish Drop: A fall below 2.789 might take it back to 2.355—stay careful! Safety Tip: Set a stop-loss below 2.789 to stay safe.
Long
by FortuneAI
TON/USDT: Compression Builds Above Support as Bulls Eye BreakoutTON/USDT is retesting the key confluence zone near 2.13, supported by multiple higher lows along the ascending trendline. Price is compressing within a narrowing structure, signaling potential breakout momentum. A confirmed bounce from this area could drive price toward 2.28, aligning with the upper boundary of the range. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the 2.10–2.13 support cluster continues to hold.
Long
by RTED_Investing
TON/USDT — Defense Zone at 2.20–1.92: Reversal or Breakdown?TON is now standing at a critical inflection point — the 2.20–1.92 zone (yellow block). This area isn’t just another support level — it’s the make-or-break zone that will decide whether TON will rebound for a macro reversal or collapse into a deeper downtrend. After a sharp fall from the 8.28 high, price has reached its historical demand base, showing a strong wick rejection below support — a classic sign of liquidity sweep or stop-hunt, often marking the final shakeout before larger players begin accumulating. However, without a clear structure break and volume confirmation, the risk of a fake bounce remains high. --- Structure & Pattern Analysis 1. Macro trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows since the 2024 peak. 2. The 2.20–1.92 zone represents a major accumulation range, also aligning with the previous breakout base from early 2023. 3. The deep wick indicates a potential spring phase in a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, where weak hands are flushed out. 4. A confirmed close above 2.65 would mark a structural shift — signaling a possible start of a new bullish leg. 5. On the other hand, a close below 1.92 would validate a macro breakdown, opening room for a prolonged bearish continuation. --- Bullish Scenario (Potential Reversal) Confirmation: A 4D candle close above 2.65, supported by increasing volume. Technical narrative: After a long liquidation event, price tends to form a V-shaped rebound or base breakout once smart money steps back in. 🎯 Upside Targets: Target 1 → 3.55 (local distribution zone) Target 2 → 4.60 (key structural pivot) Target 3 → 6.84 – 8.09 (major supply zone & prior 2024 top) 💡 If momentum builds, this could evolve into a multi-month recovery rally, similar to the early bull phase of 2024. --- Bearish Scenario (Continuation Risk) Confirmation: A 4D close below 1.92 confirms breakdown of the macro support. Technical narrative: Once this zone fails, buyer exhaustion could drive price toward 1.50–1.20, the next historical liquidity pool. 🎯 Downside Targets: Short-term support → 1.80 Extended range → 1.50 – 1.20 A proper reversal would then require a new long accumulation base forming at lower levels. --- Technical Summary TON is currently hovering within its largest accumulation zone in over a year. This yellow block (2.20–1.92) will determine the next major trend: Hold and reclaim 2.65 → bullish reversal confirmed. Fail and close below 1.92 → macro breakdown confirmed. At this stage, TON offers a high-risk, high-reward setup for swing traders — ideal for those waiting for clear structural confirmation before entry. #TON #TONUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TONCoin #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup #SupportAndResistance #Wyckoff #MarketStructure #AccumulationPhase #CryptoUpdate #PriceAction
Long
by CryptoNuclear
$TON (WEEKLY): BEARISH PENNANT breakdown, super OVERSOLDMassive news for the CRYPTOCAP:TON ecosystem as Pavel Durov unveiled #COCOON. Let me start by saying that there are some massive red flags with this blockchain. Huge monthly unlocks began earlier this month (see attached info): 36.59 million tokens were released on 12 OCT, marking the first of 36 monthly unlocks scheduled over the next 36 months — roughly $80M worth. The next batch is due 11 NOV, two weeks from now. Another red flag is TON’s general performance this cycle — it has heavily underperformed compared to CRYPTOCAP:ETH , #DeFi tokens, and basically every major category. See the attached graphic in the comments (on X). Further, on-chain metrics — especially revenues and fees — are disappointing. You’d expect more adoption considering Telegram has nearly a billion users. Nope — the blockchain still struggles to generate meaningful revenue. Finally, on the weekly chart, CRYPTOCAP:TON remains in a steady downtrend this cycle, with a bearish pennant breakdown in place. It’s very oversold (RSI ≈ 20) and does show a bullish OBV divergence, though. The COCOON collaboration does sound exciting, and I’ll research it further — but there are still too many red flags surrounding this layer 1. Definitely not aping in yet. The charts have to convince me first, not Durov — so, not yet. 💙👽
by ColdBloodedCharter
TON on the Run — Before It’s DoneMy previous forecast for TON has played out as expected — the price reached 2.26 and even moved slightly higher. At the moment, I see two potential scenarios, yet both seem to point toward the same outcome. In my opinion, wave E of the corrective pattern might not be fully completed. Structurally, this looks like a contracting triangle, which often precedes a bearish breakout. For now, I’m watching for a move down to the lower red line as a short-term target. But from a broader perspective, I believe TON could drop even lower once the triangle is complete and the downward wave resumes ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical patterns and personal observations. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risks. Always perform your own research and manage your risk accordingly
Short
by chart1stry
#TON/USDT Consolidation Buy After Sell-Off#TON The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break it and continue upward. We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average again. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout. We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 2.12. Entry price: 2.15. First target: 2.16. Second target: 2.18. Third target: 2.21. To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management. The stop loss is below the support area in green. When the first target is reached, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order. For inquiries, please comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Buying Opportunity In Sideways Market OKX:TONUSDT recently rebounded from the support zone after completing a range breakout and forming an ABC corrective move near the $2.0 mark. Price structure remains compressed between the descending resistance and rising trendline, hinting at a potential bullish recovery setup. A sustained above $2.10 could signal continuation toward $2.22. The bullish scenario builds from the ongoing rebound phase within the structure break above current range zone. ⚠️ Risks: Rejection from $2.10 may invalidate the breakout structure. Broader crypto weakness could cap upward momentum. Failure to sustain above the trendline may shift bias back to bearish continuation. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
6
Toncoin (TON): Waiting For Break of Structure HereTON is still trading inside the accumulation zone, where buyers continue to hold the structure steady. What we’re waiting for here is a proper BOS — that would confirm buyers taking control and open up a clean path for a decent upside movement. If sellers manage to overtake the lower support zone, we could see a deeper dip forming before any recovery attempt. For now, patience until structure confirms the next move. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
DeGRAM | TONUSD is correcting from the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● TON/USD remains in a descending channel, continuously rejecting the resistance near 2.30, indicating persistent bearish pressure. ● The structure suggests a potential continuation toward 1.85 support, with lower highs confirming a sustained downtrend and weak buying momentum. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Despite network growth, TON faces selling pressure amid declining market liquidity and reduced investor risk appetite in altcoins. ✨ Summary ● Short bias below 2.30; objectives 2.00–1.85. The intact bearish channel and fading sentiment point to a medium-term downside continuation. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
TONUSDT Bullish or Bearish? TONUSDT Analysis A divergence between the RSI indicator and the price chart suggests a potential upcoming bullish move. If the price breaks out of the triangle pattern to the upside, a pullback to the triangle’s support level is expected, followed by a continuation toward the target price level shown in the chart. A break above the RSI 50 level, along with increasing trading volume, could serve as confirmation signals for this setup. ✔ In the displayed position, the risk-to-reward ratio (RR) is 2.5. Note: This is a personal analysis and should not be considered as financial or trading advice.❌
Long
by kiasb
Lingrid | TONUSDT Bearish Formation Short OpportunityOKX:TONUSDT price faced resistance within the descending triangle pattern and rejected near the downward trendline, signaling continuation of its bearish structure. The pair is now hovering just above the 2.10 level, testing the lower range boundary inside the upward channel. A confirmed break below 2.10 could open the way toward 2.00 psychological support as sellers regain control. The overall pattern indicates persistent pressure with a potential retest of deeper support before any sustained recovery attempt. ⚠️ Risks: A bullish reversal in BTC or broader crypto sentiment could invalidate the bearish setup. Failure to break below 2.10 may trigger a temporary short squeeze. Positive macro or regulatory news could shift momentum upward prematurely. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
4
#TON/USDT Consolidation Buy After Sell-Off#TON The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 2.15, representing a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 2.30 First target: 2.38 Second target: 2.47 Third target: 2.58 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
1
Possible setup for TON to retest 7$Currently, we are seeing a very exhausted multi-month downtrend. Just like in 2023, it’s very possible that with some sort of positive news injection, TON could start a big explosive move to the upside. Technically, it’s forming a triple-bottom formation and a higher low on the weekly chart. The TON/BTC chart is also showing a potential double bottom. In my opinion, money will start flowing from XRP, SOL, ETH, and BTC into coins like this over the next few months. The plan is simple: I’ll buy a 30% spot position here and DCA every 10% drop until $2. Below $2, I’ll double my longs and go 2x. (I highly doubt it breaks under $2.5, but it’s better to play safe than sorry.)
Long
by ucharx
Lingrid | TONUSDT Consolidation Buy After Sell-OffThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OKX:TONUSDT is consolidating after rebound from the 2.65 support level after forming a higher low near the trendline confluence. Price action shows compression followed by a short-term reversal setup pointing toward 2.78 resistance. As long as 2.65 holds, bullish recovery toward the upper boundary of the consolidation zone remains in play. Market structure suggests renewed buying interest may challenge 2.91 if momentum strengthens. ⚠️ Risks: A close below 2.65 could reopen the path toward 2.60 support. Weak overall market sentiment could limit upside recovery. Unexpected macro or regulatory headlines may trigger temporary volatility. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
3