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TotalCrypto Market Pullback: What's Next for the Bull Run?Hello, crypto enthusiasts! How are you today? I hope you're doing well and not letting this price action ruin your day. Times like these can be tough if you're unprepared or trading with emotions instead of following a proper plan or system. This chart represents the **Total Market Cap** of cryptocurrencies, and as we can clearly see, it's heading down. Today marks the second consecutive day of downside price action, accompanied by increased volume. Yesterday was the ideal exit point for the long trade that started after the U.S. elections. The signal was simple: **price pierced the PSAR**, indicating that the trade should be closed. While this index doesn’t represent an actual tradable position, it reflects the system's logic. Since this index aggregates the price action of all crypto assets, its decline suggests that most crypto assets are also experiencing downside pressure. While exceptions exist, this is the general trend. Technical Analysis with Oscillators - **RSI**: The Relative Strength Index has dropped from overbought levels (above 70) and is now at **~52**, signaling weakening bullish momentum. This suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend. - **MACD**: The MACD line is trending down and crossing below the signal line, which indicates bearish momentum. This crossover often signals a further downside. - **OBV**: The On-Balance Volume is showing a decline, confirming that selling pressure is dominating the market, supporting the bearish move. What’s next? - **First Target**: The 2021 top, marked by the black line, where we may see a reaction. - **Second Target**: The **0.236 Fibonacci retracement level**, which provides another possible support area. Of course, nothing is ever certain in trading. Tomorrow, the market could rally and ignore all current signals, but for now, the price appears to be trending downward. A few reminders: - In crypto, things rarely go the way we want. - Stay prepared for every scenario and keep your portfolio ready to re-enter the market. - Avoid letting hope and fear dictate your decisions—they won’t lead to profit. I'll keep monitoring the markets and share my thoughts as they develop. If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, share, or comment below. And as always: **stay safe and keep calm!**
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by vagada
MARKETS week ahead: December 9 – 16Last week in the news A positive sentiment still holds on financial markets, but a star of the previous week was BTC. The value of BTC managed to cross the $100K level for the first time in history of this coin. The US equity markets also traded in a positive sentiment for the third consecutive week, with the S & P 500 reaching a fresh new all time highest level at 6.090. The US Dollar weakened a bit during the week, while the price of gold was traded sideways. The US mixed November jobs data supported market expectations over another 25bps Fed's rate cut, in which sense, the 10Y Treasury yields were traded to the downside, ending the week at 4,17%. The US Non-farm Payrolls and unemployment data were the main macro data posted for the week. The results were pretty mixed as defined by the majority of macro analysts. The US added 227K new jobs in November, which was modestly above the market expectation. At the same time, unemployment reached 4,2% in November, a bit higher from 4,1% posted previously. The analyst described figures as “not too hot and not too cold”. Still, it did not change the current sentiment regarding the expectation over a 25 bps Fed's rate cut. As per CME FedWatch Tool, currently there are 85% odds that the Fed will cut at their December meeting, scheduled for December 17-18th. The news that pushed BTC to the levels above the $100K target was a nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new leader of the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Atkins previously served in the SEC, under the Bush administration, and is known as a supporter of free-market principles. He is also known as a supporter of Chamber of Digital Commerce, which supports bringing up the clear regulation in the US regarding the crypto currencies. In a recent interview with CNBC, a CEO of MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, noted that the company wants to take Treasury function for BTC holders. As the company already is providing bonds, convertible bonds, notes, options, backed with crypto assets, they indeed might take a higher role in the further development of the BTC market in the US. At the same time, at his X account, Michael Saylor posted that the company bought another 15.400 BTC at the price of $95.976, bringing it to total holdings of 402.100BTC. The European Central Bank issued a second progress report on the digital Euro preparation phase. The report notes an update of the single rulebook with comments from consumers and business and also calls for applications to select potential external providers of the service. Crypto market cap The previous week was a significant one for the crypto market. The long awaited $100K target for BTC has been reached. Actually the new all time highest level for BTC currently stands at $103.813. The news that hit the market and also the crypto market to the upside was the announcement of the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as the new SEC Chair under the Trump administration. Atkins is known in the business circles as a person who supports a clear regulation of the crypto market, in which sense, the crypto investors are expecting some positive developments under his presidency. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by additional $ 230B, or 7% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were again increased to the level of around $405B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.942B, which represents a 119% surge from the beginning of this year. The majority of coins ended the week in green. Although BTC was certainly a star of the week, still, the altcoins were for one more time in the center of investors attention. Despite the new ATH, BTC ended the week by 2,8% higher from the week before, adding $55B to its market cap. ETH was another star of the week, as the coins managed to touch the $ 4K level, bringing its market cap higher by 7,3%, adding $ 33B to it. XRP continues to shine for the third week in a row. This week, XRP managed to add an additional 30% to its cap, increasing it by $33B. BNB had an excellent week, where its market cap increased by more than 14% or almost $14B. This week, Tron should be mentioned as the coin surged by 54% w/w, adding to its market cap $9,7B. Extraordinary week on the crypto market, where the majority of other altcoins managed to add somewhere between 15% and 30% in value. Developments with circulating coins continue. This week Polygon should be especially mentioned, as it decreased the number of its coins in circulation by 12% w/w. On the opposite side were the majority of other altcoins. Tether had another good week, where the number of coins increased by additional 2,8%, increasing its market cap by this percentage. Filecoin had a surge of coins in circulation by 0,5%, while Maker had an increase of 0,4%. Crypto futures market Same as the spot market, the crypto futures market was quite happy with the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new SEC Chair. BTC short term futures were traded higher by 3%, while the longer term ones by more than 4%. Current structure of futures prices looks pretty positive, with December 2024 last traded at $101.580, and above the $100K target. December 2025 closed the week at the level of $111.715. ETH futures had a stronger weekly push in the value of futures, which were traded by more than 12% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $4.068, the first time after many weeks, the price was closed above the $ 4K target. This level holds for other maturities, so December 2025 was last traded at $4.388.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Crypto Market Cap Analysis: Preparing for a Healthy Pullback Looking at the 3-Day Chart, the crypto market cap appears overbought and is approaching a potential peak. While the bullish structure remains intact across higher timeframes, such as the 10-Week Chart, it’s important to note that a pullback in the market would be a natural and healthy occurrence within a bullish cycle. A pullback allows the market to “breathe” and build the necessary momentum for the next leg up. This is particularly crucial when observing the higher timeframes, where a single leg of bullish momentum (one candle) often requires a follow-up or consolidation phase to sustain the cycle. Key Points: • Current Observation: Overbought conditions on the 3D chart. • Bullish Outlook: Higher timeframes like the 10-Week remain strong, showing structural integrity. • Healthy Pullback: If the market pulls back, it will likely affect one side of the candle, signaling a natural rebalancing rather than a bearish reversal. • Cycle Continuation: A second leg or candle is needed to solidify the bullish trend and maintain upward momentum. Pullbacks are not the end of the world—they are opportunities for the market to reset and for savvy investors to evaluate the structure and potential next targets. Stay patient, stay informed, and watch the market breathe before its next move.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by MoNi_MoN
TOTAL: Parallel Channel Pattern Suggests Potential Support TestLONG-TERM BULLISH | SHORT-TERM CORRECTION EXPECTED ## Key Technical Points • Price is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel (marked by white trend lines) • Multiple touchpoints validate both upper and lower channel boundaries • Current structure suggests an imminent retest of lower channel support ## Technical Analysis The Total Crypto Market Cap has been respecting a clear parallel channel formation, with multiple validation points on both the upper and lower boundaries. The structure shows consistent price behavior within these boundaries, making this a reliable pattern for technical analysis. ### Current Market Position - Trading near upper channel resistance - Showing signs of potential retracement - Previous support level at ~3.44T aligns with lower channel ### Expected Movement → Likely retracement to test lower channel support → Target zone: ~3.44T (marked in the chart) → This would represent a healthy technical pullback in the ongoing uptrend ## Trading Implications 🎯 ENTRY ZONE: Lower channel support (~3.44T) ⚠️ INVALIDATION: Break below lower channel support 🎯 TARGETS: Bounce from support back to upper channel ## Risk Management - Wait for confirmation of support at the lower channel - Keep stops below channel support - Size positions according to risk tolerance ## Additional Notes If it occurs, this retracement should be viewed within the context of a larger uptrend. The parallel channel maintains its upward slope, suggesting the broader market structure remains bullish despite potential short-term corrections. #Crypto #TOTAL #TechnicalAnalysis #ChannelTrading Remember: This is a technical analysis and represents a possible scenario. Always manage your risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ckinvest15
Things are about to get CRAZY! Are you ready? - Total Market CapTake a few moments and try and follow the plots on my chart. -If the Total Crypto Market Cap repeats 2020-2022 growth we could see a 10T market cap. -There are nearly 300 days left in this Bull Cycle. - I am projecting that ALT coins will 2-3X their previous cycle's all-time-high. -Life changing money will be made over the next 9 months. ARE YOU PREPARED!? -Have you centered yourself mentally and practiced "NO FOMO"? IMPORTANT RULES TO PRACTICE 1. Never take too much risk on 1 trade. 2. Never FOMO into an asset. 3. DE-Risk & take profits. 4. Be patient.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by TheCeleryInvestor
Analyzing Tokens with the Overall Crypto Market CapWhen analyzing individual tokens like XRP/USD, it’s crucial to consider the bigger picture—the overall crypto market cap. Market cap movements provide a bird's-eye view of the entire crypto ecosystem, acting as a barometer for where individual tokens may be headed. Here’s why using confluences between market cap charts and specific tokens is a powerful approach: Market Structure Alignment: The total crypto market cap gives a clear indication of the overall trend—whether we’re in a bullish cycle with higher highs or a consolidation phase. For example, as the market cap approaches key levels like $3.44T and targets $4.44T, this reinforces the bullish structure, supporting the idea that tokens like XRP will also push higher. Key Levels and Targets: Market cap charts help identify critical zones, such as liquidity areas, support/resistance, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These align with similar levels on token charts like XRP/USD. For instance, XRP’s retest of $2.90 aligns with market cap breaking into higher territory. Momentum Validation: Tokens rarely move independently of the broader market. If the market cap shows strong volume, sustained breakouts, or key retests, it validates token-specific moves. If XRP/USD is showing bullish momentum, but the market cap is stagnant or bearish, this could signal a divergence. Confluence = Confidence: By combining token-specific technical analysis (e.g., Fibonacci, trendlines, or order blocks) with macro-level analysis from the market cap, traders gain stronger confirmation for their trades. For example, XRP’s trajectory toward new highs is further supported when the total market cap follows a clear path upward. Key Takeaways: The crypto market cap is currently showing bullish structure, targeting $4.44T. This aligns with XRP’s path toward $2.90 and beyond. Temporary pullbacks in the market cap or XRP are healthy for building support and creating stronger candles for higher breakouts. Always zoom out—weekly and monthly time frames on the market cap chart provide clarity on long-term trends and help eliminate "noise." Understanding the interplay between individual tokens and the broader market is essential for making educated trading decisions. Crypto isn’t just about isolated assets; it’s about the entire ecosystem working in harmony. What’s your take on aligning market cap analysis with token trades? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by MoNi_MoN
what iftotal bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel total bounces off old channel
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by HCLivess
MARKETS week ahead: December 2 – 8Last week in the news Regardless of a Thanksgiving Holiday in the US during the previous week, markets ended November with a positive sentiment. The US equity market ended its one of best months in the year, with the S & P 500 reaching its new all-time highest level at 6.040. Decreased geopolitical risks and strengthening of US Dollar, impact the price of gold to slow down a bit during the week, ending it around $2,670 level. In expectation of further Fed's rate cuts, the 10Y US Treasury yields dropped to the level of 4,17%. The crypto market remained with a positive post-election sentiment, where BTC tried for one more time to break the $100K level. From the US macro perspective, there were two major events during the previous week, which impact market sentiment prior to Holidays. Fed's favorite inflation gauge was released, as well as FOMC Minutes from their November's meeting. The PCE data were in line with market expectations. The PCE price Index increased by 0,2% in November, reaching the yearly level of 2,3%. Core PCE remained smoothly elevated at the level of 0,3% for the month. At the same time, Personal Income was higher by 0,6% for the month, while Personal Spending was up by 0,4% for the month. The FOMC meeting minutes revealed conclusions of Feds members at their November meeting that if inflation continues further to slow down and if labour data continue to move in line with their expectations, this would be a solid case for further rate decrease. Current odds for 25 bps interest rate cuts stands at 66%, as per CME FedWatch Tool. Another event that was closely watched by investors during the previous week is a shopping-holiday popularly called the Black Friday. First estimations showed that the spending of US customers climbed by 3,4% on a yearly basis. This year total e-commerce sales over the internet increased by an incredible 14,3% year-over-year, which shows a clear change of customer habits for incline purchase instead of shopping in stores. Analysts from Morgan Stanley gave their projection of equities in China for the year 2025. As per their analysis, China can expect a relatively volatile equity market, with major threats mentioned “earnings pressure, geopolitical risks and potential tariffs”. At the same time, analysts see that exports will hold, due to competitive pricing, however, the housing market is expected to stay under pressure. In an interview with CNBC, a VettaFi representative said that the next year belongs to small cap companies, in which sense, a small-cap index Russel 2000 could benefit the most. The environment of lower interest rates would be beneficial for further growth of these companies. Such sentiment started from November, where the index Russel 2000 gained 11%, and total 35% during the course of this year. Crypto market cap Although BTC was the star of the crypto market in the after-election period, still, the previous week belongs to altcoins, since now they are the ones to drive the total crypto market capitalization to the upside. Total crypto market capitalization increased by 2% on a weekly basis, where mostly altcoins managed to add some $70B. At the same time, daily trading volumes remained elevated, around $320B on a daily basis, modestly decreased from $412B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.712B, which represents a 105% surge from the beginning of this year. During the previous week BTC was on a net losing side, decreasing its market cap by modest $ 20B or 1% on a weekly basis. Another altcoin that was driving the market to the downside was market favourite Solana, with a drop in value of 6% or $7.4B. ETH and XRP were coins which gained the most in nominal terms. ETH managed to add $34.8B to its market cap, increasing it by 8.4%. XRP continues to drive market attention, with this week's surge of 28.7%, adding another $24.5B to its market cap. ADA was another altcoin with solid weekly performance, with an increase in its cap by $ 1B or almost 3%. THETA should be especially mentioned this week, as the coin gained 62% on a weekly basis, and was traded at the level of $3.11. Such an increase was rare to see previously with THETA. In relative terms, market attention was standing with Algorand, which increased its value by 53.3%, Filecoin was up by 32%, Uniswap was traded higher by 17%, while Maker gained 12% w/w. Increased activity with circulating coins continues. This week Polygon was on a negative side, with a decrease of total coins on the market by 3.9%. On the opposite side was Filecoin, with an increase by 0.8%, IOTAs number of coins increased by 0.5%, while Stellar added 0.2% of new coins. Tether should be especially mentioned, as this week stablecoin increased its number of coins by 1.4%, same as its market capitalization. Crypto futures market As of the end of the previous week, the crypto futures market eased a bit for BTC, in line with the spot market developments. BTC futures were traded more than 2% lower for all maturities. During the week, futures maturing in December 2024 reached the level of $100K, however, they are ending the week at $98.540. However, futures from February 2025 are holding above $100K, where December 2025 closed the week at $107.120. On the opposite side were ETH futures which were traded in green by more than 8% for all maturities. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $3.631, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $3.894. It is important to note that futures maturing in March 2026 are nearing toward the $ 4K level, while the closing price was $3.966.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
$TOTAL market capLet's see what CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart has for us. as a trader or investor you should know about the market condition before entering any kind of deal. TA is a way to predict the possible scenarios of a trend and can be combined with fundamental analysis for more accurate decision. in the charts we mainly focus on TA side and what's what i plan to do here. Total market cap includes all assets in crypto market. this shows us how much this industry absorbs funds and adopts more individuals. So far, this market/industry has been growing in long term and remained interesting for investors. A series of HHs and HLs confirms that idea. But there is a catch. i personally do not believe much in dynamic resistances or supports in trend lines but those lines might actually work as S/R sometimes. As i see in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart there was a bullish trend line that broke on Nov. 2022 and pushed the trend onto bearish side. although the trend kept printing HHs and HLs but loosing trend slop means weakness in long term trend and might caused by exhaustion. Bear in mind that more individuals involved in crypto market means less volatility and less changing range. i believe in next cycle we start seeing bull markets in smaller ranges with less X times growth. ----------- Okay. trend moves above MAs and with current super green engulfing candle we just surpassed ATH at 3.01T dollars for a new ATH. Next month candle will open in next day so as always i will observe new candles behavior. It is expected to see some corrections ( i don't expect major correction) and then bullish continuation. i see 3.8T $ as the firs fib. level barrier. the next one is 5.5T $. i expect this level as the cycle top. (might be wrong) but if volume surged more i will have to recheck the conditions. ------------ As always, These are my thoughts and can be wrong. Please DYOR before taking any financial decisions.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by bitcharger