Altcoin 2025 bullrun cycleI think it is no secret to everybody that Bitcoin and Altcoins (including ETH) are very much correlated. But they do have a certain lag in impulses.
On the chart you can see altcoin market cap vs Bitcoin market cap (High values). As you can cee, Bitcoin had a new All time high which is ~53% higher than the previous one, while altcoins didn't manage to break the Total market cap ATH. But percentages are not the only thing interesting to us. We are also interested in the dollar delta between them and which one is higher.
We only have two major bullish cycles to analyze, therefore any conclusions made frome them may not guarantee that next bull run will be similar.
First thing I could notice is that capital flows as follows: new money coming into market first boosts bitcoin and when it goes into its parabolic growth state, Bitcoin market cap is higher than that of Altcoins. And as you can see on the chart, when altoin market cap surpasses bitcoin, it means that most likely that capital inflow into crypto slows down. And most likely it signals near beginning of an overall bear market. I think we should closely monitor this and be ready to start selling when the two lines close once again.
Another point of view is the next ATH for both bitcoin and Atlcoins. As I predict in , for bitcoin the next ATH will be around 115-200k and therefore mcap will reach around 3-4 trln.
This means that ATH for altcoin mcap will be around 4-5 trln and be ready when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D becomes lower than 50%.
Let's see how this turns out.
And by the way total mcap doesn't define each altcoin growth so each coin needs to be analyzed separately.
TOTAL2 trade ideas
Alt coins So on the daily the Macd is bearish right at the 0.61% retrace from the recent lows . I don’t know if it will recover completely but if bulls can keep the momentum it can flip to bullish as of now can go either way a retest of lows or recent highs . Keeping some cash on the sidelines just in case
Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin.
The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days.
In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable.
What is a life cross?
It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line)
AND
Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average.
The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left.
But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30%
November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction
Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA
February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction
Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA
February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections
Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma
April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction
Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma
In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped.
We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2.
Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers.
Ww
TOTAL2 - Current Rejection and Following BreakoutRejection is occurring at the red dotted horizontal line which is the prior ATH for TOTAL2.
I think this rejection will be short lived and price will recover at the green circle and continue the bull run into mid Feb
The larger triangle structure shows this breakout
Pullback then bulls take control again
TOTAL2 - Fib and Channel Support0.786 fib shows a strong support point with prices continually being rejected to the bullish side
As price has dumped to this level I ask will this bump back up again as it has in the past?
This dump can also be plotted in with a long channel of the bull run we have been having, showing support at the bottom of the channel.
I'm still bullish over this temporary retrace
Total 2 alt coins So on the weekly timeframe total 2 alt coins resistance is previous all time high . around the 1.60 trillion . rsi on the daily is 83 most of the alt coins rsi is very overbought still , wont be surprised if a pull back happens this weekend . Will keep watching to see it does pulls back as of now it can go either way but am leaning towards a small retrace
#Altcoins super cycle has just begun!#Bitcoin dominance monthly rising wedge breakout and breakdown completed!
#Alts market capitalization OTHER TOTAL3 AND TOTAL2 The breaking and closing of the handle cup formation that formed on a monthly basis has been completed.
We are moving towards #Altseason in an environment of Denial and Disbelief!
Total 2 With Total 2 chart breaking the cup and handle and its first resistance now we are getting close to the major resistance on this chart. I expect a pullback and then continuing the uptrend.
Also check my ideas in my profile about USDT.D and Total charts for better understanding.
DYOR
Goodluck
Total Crypto Market Cap Excluding BTCRIGHT NOW we are approaching ATH in the total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC. This means, an alt coin season its imminent, as you can see in the charts, It projects the total alts market cap will reach 3.8 trillion. I predict to be even higher, more than 5. Time will tell. Buckle Up, this is now commencing. Congratulations, this is one is for the books.
A Look Again At RSI The RSI is beginning to print very bullish horizontal movement that is the print of a bull market
The left hand side of this pattern is already printed, with the white vertical line being the middle of the pattern, now what is emerging is the right hand side of this larger structural pattern on the RSI, also indicative of a bull market.
Early 2025 is going to be very bullish.
Little white circle is where we are now corresponding to the last pattern if they evolve relatively the same.
(Total2-USDT-USDC)/(USDT+USDC) indicatorLet's chart the
Ratio: (Total 2 - (USDT + USDC)) / (USDT + USDC)
This indicator currently shows an increased liquidity coming to alt market.
Total 2: This is the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin. This essentially gives you an idea of the market size for altcoins.
USDT + USDC: Represents the combined market cap of Tether and USD Coin, which are used as liquidity providers in exchanges, especially in pairs involving altcoins.
Explanation:
Numerator (Total 2 - (USDT + USDC)): This is the market cap of all altcoins minus the market cap of the two major stablecoins. This figure could represent the liquidity in the altcoin market that isn't tied up in these stablecoins. If this number is higher, it might suggest there's more market cap in altcoins available for liquidity and trading activities outside what's held in these stablecoins.
Denominator (USDT + USDC): This is the total liquidity provided by these stablecoins, which is often used for trading because stablecoins maintain a relatively constant value compared to volatile cryptocurrencies.
The Ratio: What this ratio is attempting to measure is the relationship between the liquidity available for altcoins relative to the liquidity provided by these stablecoins. A higher ratio might imply:
Liquidity Conditions: In a bull market, if this ratio grows, it might indicate that there's sufficient liquidity to support further growth in altcoin prices. Conversely, if this ratio decreases, it might mean that liquidity is tightening, or traders are moving more into stablecoins, possibly out of caution or to prepare for market downturns.
Analysis of TOTAL2 TargetsAs we can see, the overall trend is bullish. After breaking the March high, the only remaining step for the market to truly thrive is to break the most recent peak and form a new high. There is only one direction now: upward.
The potential paths for this upward movement are as follows:
Scenario 1:
A pullback to the 1.27T level followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Scenario 2:
A direct upward move without any significant correction.
Potential Milestones After Breaking the All-Time High:
2.11T
3.57T
11T (final target)
The market is showing promising signs of strength, and these key levels could be the focus for the next phases of growth.
Let’s keep a close eye on price action and prepare for what’s coming!