Altcoin Market - Alt Season Paused - What now?Everything is bleeding. The world is ending.
Facts:
1. Many alts are still up significantly from their yearly lows.
2. Many alts had massive runs and you should have taken some profit.
If you take into account principles in trading and technical analysis, you'll allow yourself to remove all the emotion and keep a steady eye on the bigger picture which is what I aim to do here. I'm using basically two tools in this video:
1. Fibonacci - in a reverse fashion, measuring a bear market to determine where the next bul market can go. It worked fairly well for the last bear/bull cycle, so I am applying the same principle for this same bear/bull cycle - giving me a target (conservative) at 1.56T - an aggressive target would be ~1.91T but that is not my primary target.
2. Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension - I measured a few different pivots in the 2023/2024 cycle to determine some upside targets and I kept arriving at 1.48-1.57T as targets for extended moves.
Are there targets beyond that? Absolutely. Am I ready to share those now? Not unless I want a repeat of the ridicule I faced for suggesting that BTC would break out of the 60k region just a few weeks back. I’m not here to chase every micro move in crypto. My focus is on the broader bull cycle we’re riding, and my goal is to make the most of it.
For those genuinely curious and willing to decode and have a little fun, here’s a ciphered message using the Caesar cipher (shift of 9) to get the ultimate TOTAL3 market cap target:
"Mdq wkh pdmru wdujhw lv irxu dqg d kdio wuloolvq grooduv."
TOTAL3 trade ideas
Crypto Total Market 3 - JULY 2024 FORECASTTOTAL3 Chart Here!
** (TOTAL3 shows the total market capitalization of the top-125 cryptocurrencies,
excluding BTC and ETH.) **
Bitcoin and mostly altcoin just got rejected by some major structural &fib resistance
This could be healthy for the long run -if TOTAL3 reverses from this support area
Organic growth of the market includes these types of pullbacks as we all know
Dollar Cost Averaging into these pullbacks could be a good strategy long term
However considering we are at historical lows of the altcoins market i wouldn't allocate to much dollars aside for DCA-ing right now (maybe around 10-15%) of my total portfolio. Or less.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
Normally I don't share lower-timeframe crypto charts, cuz I find that irrelevant.
However, due to the massive amounts of greed and fear in the markets...
It might be nice to get my view on things.
The market is sitting in the last push (which can be the largest)
But this type of price-action and volatility goes both ways.
A chart never just moves up without printing hh's and hl's.
A chart has structure, and makes sense.
Total3 tapped below the 1trillion.. after spiking to new ATHs.
I see it go higher from this clean demand area later this week.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
TOTAL3 DEC2025/JAN2026 PEAK?I've deep dived into ETH, BTC, BTC DOMINANCE and TOTAL 3 (EXCLUDING BTC & ETH) to try and find this cycle peak. All of which follow a specific pattern and trend, and it all seems to be pointing to a December 2025 peak or a January 2026 peak, depending how you draw it.
I will post all 4
TOTAL3 showing a great incoming movement for altcoinsTOTAL3 showing a great momentum for altcoins in the next months, with this month closing above 1T indicates a continuation for altcoins to reach higher prices. Between 1.27T to 1.46T is the fibonacci extension levels 1.618% to 2% and could potentially be the cycle top for altcoins.
Say It Back #Altseason
#Alts market cap TOTAL3 2021 #Altcoins rose 220% after breaking the 2018 ATH level ($358B), which was the major resistance before the parabolic run, reaching a local peak of $1.13T.
Major run will be inevitable after the breakout and retest of the 2021 ATH level of $1.13T is completed.
TOTAL 3🚨 Attention Altcoin Traders 🚨This could be the last dip before we see the next altcoin season kick off! 🚀 Get ready because the market is preparing for something big. We've got our eyes on the coins that are about to skyrocket.Stay tuned, and we'll let you know which altcoins are set to blast off. This is your chance to get ahead, so don't miss out! Patience will pay off—big time. 💸🔥"
1.34B high cap
The Total3 index currently shows that the pumping of altcoins through withdrawals is clearly detectable by the big players. You have to keep in mind that retail traders haven't entered the market yet, and I see only another $200 billion needed for this move. I expect there won't be much range for movement, so we'll likely see a strong correction for buying at around $800 billion, followed by a new peak at $1.34 trillion. After that, there will be a major correction due to the big players offloading their positions.
The Altcoin Market is About to Ignite: Here's What You Need to KAs we enter the final stretch of 2024 and head into 2025, the altcoin market is poised for a massive surge. Despite recent market fluctuations, whales have been quietly accumulating Bitcoin, while retail traders have been selling off for no reason. But the tide is about to turn.
Whales Are Holding, Retail Is Selling
On-chain data from CryptoQuant confirms that whales have accumulated $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin in the last 3-5 weeks, while retail traders have been panic selling. Meanwhile, the ETH MVRV chart shows that Ethereum is currently undervalued, but is starting to shift upwards, signaling strong momentum on the horizon.
Institutional Interest in ETH Longs Is Growing
Strong institutional interest in ETH longs has been growing massively since November 5th, with 245,000 ETH in ETF inflows just this month. In fact, ETH ETF inflows have surpassed those of BTC for the first time, marking a major shift in the market.
The Altcoin Market is Undervalued
The altcoin market is currently undervalued compared to Bitcoin, with a ratio of 95% - meaning Bitcoin is heavily overvaluing the altcoin market. But this is a good sign for both. Based on calculations that factor in the ratio, stablecoin supply, and Bitcoin dominance, the altcoin market cap is predicted to reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025.
The Rise of Altcoin ETFs
The market is pricing in a massive altcoin ETF in 2025, something that has been predicted for over a year. Rumors are circulating that BlackRock and JPMorgan are planning to launch an XRP ETF, which would be a game-changer for the altcoin market.
The Numbers Don't Lie
In April/May 2021, the altcoin market cap was $984 billion, and by November 2021, it had dropped to 18% of Bitcoin's market cap. But now, the ratio is sitting at an extreme 95%, indicating that altcoins are seriously undervalued.
Get Ready for Altseason
The boring altcoin movements are over, and the altcoin market is on fire. The XRP ETF is coming, and it's going to be huge. Anyone who isn't paying attention is going to get left behind. With Bitcoin predicted to reach $130k and the altcoin market cap predicted to reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025, the time to invest is now.
Summary
As we approach the end of 2024 and enter 2025, the altcoin market is gearing up for a significant surge. Recent data shows that while retail traders have been panic selling, whales have accumulated $1.6 billion in Bitcoin, indicating a strong hold on their assets. Ethereum is currently undervalued, with rising momentum reflected in recent ETF inflows surpassing those of Bitcoin for the first time.
The altcoin market is on the verge of a major breakout, with rumors of upcoming ETFs for XRP from major firms like BlackRock and JPMorgan. Currently, the altcoin market is heavily undervalued compared to Bitcoin, sitting at a 95% ratio, suggesting potential growth. Predictions estimate the altcoin market cap could reach $1.4 trillion by Q1 2025, with Bitcoin projected to hit $130k. Overall, the altcoin season is beginning, and it presents a prime opportunity for investors to capitalize on potential gains.
Will Altcoins see a nasty pullback like the last cycle?It is still possible that we see a nasty pullback to support on the Altcoins before the next leg up. It’s not guaranteed, and this cycle doesn’t have to be just like the last, but it’s good to be aware that it is possible. I just don’t see market makers letting it be too easy to ride the wave. Lots of big money players want more coins at a lower price. If we get the pullback, I will just hold and buy more! If we get a pullback, I think we would see a quick bounce back from all of the demand. Let’s see what happens!
Bitcoin Week 48When looking at BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P you can clearly see that BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P closed above the previous week high while BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P didn't what indicate us as a bearish SMT.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P reached to a 1D gap from previous Q1 week which will be a resistance area.
This is why I would be bearish to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P this week.
I would like to target the previous gaps marked in the chart above
Accumulate $Alts to win in the #Altseason Accumulate NASDAQ:ALTS to win in the #Altseason 🚀
Let me explain you a simple thing💁♂️
🟢TOTAL Market Cap already booked a breakout and charting in the price discovery (mainly driven by CRYPTOCAP:BTC )
🟢TOTAL3 is one step away to go into price discovery (mainly driven by CRYPTOCAP:SOL )
🟢TOTAL2 is lagging but breakout is also on the way (mainly driven by CRYPTOCAP:ETH )
- With TOTAL2 & TOTAL3 cases mainly presented by #ETH & #SOL will also pump its ecosystem's #alts that's why I am telling it's still a good time to accumulate😉
🟢OTHERS is altcoins market cap with top10 coins excluded (will follow the whole market)
Accumulate as breakout are on the way! Do not miss such chance🚀
TOTAL 3 is ready to BLOWUSDT, recognized as the first stablecoin, did not achieve widespread adoption even as late as 2017. Had it been more prevalent, I would have incorporated USDC and DAI into this analysis.
Nonetheless, I trust that you will find this chart beneficial for the upcoming #Altcoin season.
The total market capitalization of USDT relative to that of Bitcoin reveals a distinct correlation.
This relationship has historically indicated significant technical peaks characterized by bearish divergence, as well as bullish divergence at market bottoms, as observed in the RSI versus ratio score.
Additionally, we have established a clear target level to pursue.
Total3 chart breaking up from inverse head & shoulders patternThis is the chart that is every altcoin except for ethereum. Bitcoin is also not factored in. We can see it appears to have broken upward from the inverse head and shoulders pattern and the breakout target should be around 1.27 trillion. We also currently have the potential for a cup and handle to be formed with an even bigger breakout, but I want to see an actual handle forming first before I post a target for anything like that. *not financial advice*