TSLA trade ideas
Tsla... For the week of Aug 18thSo this post is more on how I would trade TSLA this week Vs the long term view .
For transparency, If I trade Tsla it's usually an 0dte situation on friday. My preference is BIG tech with High volume and IV under 35 (Aapl ,Amzn, Msft)
.. Tsla Implied volatility (IV) is always above 50.
Before I Trade these tech, I always like to chart the Sector they are trading under. I feel knowing where the sector is headed gives you an edge on the general trend of the stock.
The top 2 stocks in XLY are
NASDAQ:AMZN 23% weighting
NASDAQ:TSLA 16% weighting
So that means if you see this sector about to move higher or lower its usually 1 or both of these stocks behind the movement.
Here's XLY daily
I've circled 3 touches on each side that validates the channel here
Notice after it tagged resistance on Wed tsla started to show weakness. By Friday only amzn push to close gap at 234 kept this up.
I think Next week we will pullback and close that gap at 226 here and depending on if we bounce or not will depend on Tsla next move.
Or we could choose the purple route and keep grinding. Me personally, i would want to open calls here at around 230, i mean we could see fawkery like amzn down 2$ which would allow tsla to pump 5$.. remember tsla went weak last Wed but amzn stayed strong into friday.
Very bearish back under 226.00
I do think XLY is headed for ATH, though.
Now on to tsla
Let's start with Trendline and Fib levels
Tsla is starting the week with support at 330..
Support below that is 326.
Over 332 and 336 can come. Over 338 and 345 comes.
So If you are bullish you'd either try an entry at 325-326 or above 338 and target 345.
If you are bearish you either short below 325.00 target 315 and below 315.00 and 309 comes.
Or short 345.00 with a 331 target.
Patience and discipline limits the risk.
So mid term out look for you guys who like to buy out a few months.
If tsla Can CLOSE over 345.00 then I think 368 comes. But being so close To Sept we may get this Fawkery route of a trade between 330-368 until Late sept or Oct then a breakout Q4.
This setup would be an ascending triangle and the move would similar to what you saw when aapl move from 200-230 in 3 days.
I don't think tsla breaks back below 300 , atleast not in august so I won't entertain that scenario.. like I said, this idea was for a weekly trade route..
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🚔Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the chart of Tesla, we can see a very long term consolidation over the past four years. This, however, does not mean that the bullrun is over but rather preparing for the next bullish move. We just have to wait for the bullish ascending triangle pattern breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla: breakout mode, Elon’s rocket fuel for the chartTechnically , Tesla broke out of a symmetrical triangle while holding above EMA/MA supports, which confirms bullish control. The breakout unlocks targets at 368.46 (Fibo 1), followed by 411.38, 432.03, and the 1.618 extension at 464.30. Volume profile confirms strong accumulation below, leaving the upside path less crowded.
Fundamentally , Tesla keeps investor attention alive. EV sales stabilized, but the focus has shifted to AI and robotaxi — Musk’s latest promises of disruption. With Fed rates peaking and yields easing, growth stocks regain momentum. Risks remain from Chinese competitors, yet Tesla’s margins are still leading the industry.
Tactical plan : entry zone stands at 323–336. As long as price holds above it, buyers target 368.46 → 411.38 → 464.30. A break below 323 would flip the bias back toward 291.
Bottom line: Tesla’s chart looks ready for lift-off. Musk might be dreaming of Mars, but for now, bulls are happy if he just launches the stock a few hundred dollars higher.
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 339.97
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 332.22
Recommended Stop Loss - 344.40
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EV Tax Credit Did Nothing For $TSLA StockThe renewed $7500 EV tax credit in 2022 seemed like a pleasant surprise for the EV industry and likely encouraged some producers to invest in EV cars and transportation. But the way that the stock market works, which discounts the future back to the present, it doesn't always reward Government handouts.
We can see that here in the NASDAQ:TSLA shares which in July 2022 were in a range of $314.67-271.81 and over 3 years later the stock had fallen as low as $101.81 and rebounded back to $488.54 in December 2024 before settling back in July 2025 at $338.00-$288.77, nearly identical to where it was when the $7500 subsidy was added.
I have made the overlay here of the IPO all the way to the peak in 2021 at 414.50 to remind investors that NASDAQ:TSLA has long periods of time sideways before big price advances. The 2019 bottom was significant because it was a crucial time when the financial condition of Tesla turned the corner after they struggled to raise capital due to poor credit ratings by the ratings agencies. The Tesla Model Y came out and all of the sudden it was clear that profitability was in the future. Model Y was on the way to being the #1 car in the world and Tesla would be able to raise capital and invest in the next generation of technology, its FSD or Full Self Driving hardware and software.
Tesla has come a long way since 2019 in driving down its costs of production to compete with gasoline cars. The disruption from 2020-2022 with supply chain issues and ramped up commodity prices slowed down progress on cost cutting, however the innovations in 48V, wire harnesses, giant presses and more have reduced processes and parts to drive down prices and make Teslas more affordable.
Since 2016, the price of a kWh of battery (that gets 3-4-5 miles per kWh in a car) has dropped from $500 to under $100, which has substantially improved affordability and profitability for Tesla.
Looking forward: There are many more products coming out of Tesla and will watch and try out each product as it comes out.
I hope you appreciate the chart of NASDAQ:TSLA shares compared to the EV TAX CREDIT from JULY 2022 until now so you can see how the stock has gone nowhere since then.
The EV tax credit expires September 30 and I imagine many will rush out to take advantage of that discount. States also have incentives. Check your state DMV website and see.
Regards,
Tim West
August 15, 2025. 11:34AM EST
What Is an Iceberg Order, and How May It Be Used in Trading?What Is an Iceberg Order, and How May It Be Used in Trading?
An iceberg order is a type of execution strategy that hides the full size of a trade by revealing only small portions at a time. Used by institutions and large traders, it helps reduce market impact. Understanding how iceberg orders work, where they’re used, and their risks can help traders more accurately analyse market activity. This article breaks down everything you need to know about iceberg orders and their role in trading.
What Is an Iceberg Order?
An iceberg order is a type of order designed to execute large trades without revealing the full size to the market. Instead of placing one massive position that could disrupt prices, traders split it into smaller portions, with the rest hidden. As each portion gets filled, the next one is placed automatically until the full order is executed.
The key feature of this type of entry is that only a fraction—known as the display quantity—is visible in the order book at any given time. The rest remains hidden until it’s gradually revealed. This prevents other traders from immediately recognising the true size of the position, which helps avoid unnecessary market movements.
For example, if a trader wants to buy 50,000 shares of a stock, placing the full position in the market at once could cause prices to rise before execution is complete. Instead, they might set an iceberg order with a display size of 5,000 shares. Once the first 5,000 are bought, another 5,000 are automatically placed, repeating until the full 50,000 are executed.
They’re particularly useful for institutional traders, hedge funds, and high-net-worth individuals who want to build or reduce positions without attracting attention. However, some retail traders also use them when executing relatively large trades in markets that support this execution type. Many major exchanges, including those for equities, forex, and futures, allow icebergs, but their availability depends on the broker and trading platform being used.
How Iceberg Orders Work
The main idea of iceberg orders is clear but let’s consider how they work in detail.
Order Execution Process
When a trader places an iceberg order, they specify two key parameters:
Total size – The full amount they want to buy or sell.
Display size – The portion that will be visible at any given time.
For example, if a trader wants to buy 20,000 shares but only wants 500 to be visible at a time, the order book will show just 500 shares. Once those are bought, another 500 will appear at the same price (if still available), and the cycle continues until the entire 20,000 shares are filled.
Dynamic Execution
Some trading platforms and institutional brokers use smart order execution algorithms to optimise how these orders are placed. These algorithms might adjust the display size dynamically based on market conditions, ensuring the order gets executed efficiently without drawing too much attention.
Hidden Portions and Order Book Activity
Although most of the order remains hidden, experienced traders and high-frequency algorithms can sometimes detect iceberg levels. If they notice an order constantly refreshing at the same price level without an obvious large sell or buy position, they may infer that an iceberg is in play.
Where Iceberg Orders Are Most Popular
They are most popular in liquid markets where frequent trading activity allows the hidden portions to be executed smoothly. In less liquid markets, there’s a higher risk that the order will be only partially filled or take longer to execute, making alternative execution strategies more practical.
Why Traders Use Iceberg Orders
Iceberg orders help traders hide their full intentions from the market. Here’s why they’re commonly used:
Reducing Market Impact
When a large position enters the market, it can shift prices before the full trade is completed. This is particularly an issue in less liquid markets, where even moderate positions can cause price swings. By splitting a large trade into smaller, hidden chunks, iceberg orders prevent sudden moves that could work against the trader.
Avoiding Slippage
Slippage occurs when an order is executed at a worse price than expected due to market movement. Large trades placed all at once can exhaust available liquidity at the best price levels, forcing later portions to be filled at less favourable prices. Iceberg orders help mitigate this by allowing the trade to be executed gradually without consuming too much liquidity at once.
Maintaining Discretion
Institutions and high-net-worth traders often prefer to keep their trading activity under the radar. If other market participants see a massive buy or sell entry, they may react by adjusting their own strategies, making it harder for the original trader to get a good price. Icebergs keep most of the position hidden, preventing this from happening.
Reducing the Risk of Front-Running
High-frequency trading firms and aggressive traders actively monitor the order book for large transactions. When they spot them, they may enter positions ahead of the large trade, pushing prices in an unfavourable direction. By keeping most of the trade hidden, iceberg entries make it harder for others to exploit this information.
Identifying Iceberg Orders in the Market
Iceberg orders are designed to be discreet, but experienced traders and algorithmic systems can sometimes detect them by analysing order book activity and price movements. Since only a small portion of the total order is visible at any given time, certain patterns can reveal the presence of an iceberg in action.
Order Book Clues
One of the most obvious signs is a persistent order at the same price level. If a bid or ask keeps refreshing with the same quantity after being partially filled, it may indicate that a much larger hidden position is sitting at an iceberg level. This is particularly noticeable in less liquid markets where large trades are more disruptive.
Another telltale sign is a large trade volume without corresponding large visible orders. If significant buying or selling occurs but the order book only displays small entries, there’s a chance that a hidden order is gradually being executed.
Time and Sales Analysis
Traders can also look at time and sales data, which records every transaction. If the same price level repeatedly absorbs multiple trades without depleting, it suggests a hidden order replenishing itself after each execution.
Algorithmic Detection
Some trading algorithms are specifically designed to identify icebergs. These tools scan for patterns in order execution and attempt to infer hidden liquidity. While not always accurate, they can give traders an idea of when institutional activity is taking place.
Risks and Limitations of Iceberg Orders
While iceberg orders can help traders execute large trades discreetly, they are not without drawbacks. Market conditions, execution risks, and the rise of advanced trading algorithms can all impact their effectiveness.
- Incomplete Execution: If market conditions change or liquidity dries up, part of the position may remain unfilled. This is especially problematic in volatile or low-volume markets where price movements can accelerate unexpectedly.
- Detection by Algorithms: Sophisticated trading algorithms actively scan for hidden orders. High-frequency traders (HFTs) may detect it and adjust their strategies, making it harder to execute at a favourable price.
- Increased Trading Costs: Splitting a large entry into multiple smaller ones can lead to higher transaction costs. Exchanges and brokers may charge fees per executed trade, meaning an iceberg entry could end up costing more than a single bulk position.
- Slower Execution in Fast Markets: When markets move quickly, the visible portions of an iceberg might not fill fast enough before the price changes. This can lead to slippage, where later parts of the order get executed at worse prices than intended.
- Limited Availability: Not all brokers or exchanges support icebergs, particularly in smaller or less liquid markets. Some platforms also impose minimum position size requirements, restricting their use for smaller traders.
The Bottom Line
Iceberg orders enable traders to execute large trades discreetly, minimising market impact and enhancing execution quality. While they offer advantages in managing liquidity, they also carry risks such as detection by advanced algorithms and potential slippage. Traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough market analysis.
FAQ
What Is an Iceberg Order?
An iceberg order is a type of order that splits a large trade into smaller visible portions, with the remaining size hidden from the order book. As each visible portion is filled, the next one is automatically placed until the full order is executed. This helps traders avoid moving the market or revealing their full position size.
How Do You Identify an Iceberg Order?
Traders can spot icebergs by looking for repeated small trades at the same price level. If an order keeps refreshing after partial fills without a visible large order in the book, it may indicate hidden liquidity. Time and sales data, as well as algorithmic tools, can help detect these patterns.
What Is the Difference Between an Iceberg Order and a Basket Order?
An iceberg order breaks a single large entry into smaller, hidden parts, while a basket order consists of multiple different trades executed together, often across various assets or instruments. Basket orders are used for portfolio adjustments, whereas iceberg entries focus on reducing market impact.
What Is an Iceberg Order in Crypto*?
In crypto* markets, iceberg entries function the same way as in traditional markets—hiding large trades to prevent price fluctuations. Many exchanges offer this feature, particularly for institutional traders handling large positions.
How Do I Place an Iceberg Order?
Availability depends on the broker or exchange. Traders typically set the total position size and the visible portion, allowing the system to execute the trade in smaller segments.
What Is the Iceberg Order Strategy?
The strategy involves using iceberg orders to accumulate or distribute large positions without drawing attention. It helps reduce slippage, maintain discretion, and avoid triggering unnecessary price movement.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bullish wedge, again..?If TSLA breaks through this wedge an Elliot Wave and Fib Extension suggest wave 5 would be reached $426.70. I made this chart Thursday and did not publish. Fridays move I don't count because the entire market went up with J Powell said NOTHING. So on a pullback I'd look to enter a position, this move should come in 4-6 weeks or less as wave 5 on TSLA usually lasts a month
Im already long, but here is a trade idea for swings First of all, I'm just overall in general bullish on tesla.
I'm a firm believer its just one of those stocks that you can always buy and make money on equity if your patient enough.
Ive got about a $320 average on this. Truthly I dont have a stop loss because if we loose this $300 level then I know we can test $225 again and I know I can buy some more shares down there. (Which I'm OK with turning into a long term play)
Elon Musk may have screwed up his Trump friendship, but look how well this stock has held since then. Consolidation above the Daily 200 ema. I love it.
Every time he Tweets and talks shit about trump people sell and buyers are ready at $300.
-That price is the floor in this consolidation.
The Reason to be Long:
So far we have broken out and retested the break out. Good to play options on this if we get a pull back on price on Monday.
So if I was to trade with shares and equity on this then I would play "soft stops" and close the position manually if we have a very bearish red daily close with a huge fair value gap that displaces through the daily 200 ema, the $300 "floor", and a swing low broken to the downside on a higher time frame.
Now we did just sweep BSL (Buyside liquidity) and we are coming down to retest this trendline. I'm not really a trendline trader but I like to throw them up on my chart to see if they respect them.
Price can pull back to $320 and have an explosive move up.
I can see this running into the $400 range but you do have to be careful With $355 and $367.
Those are the two prices that I will look to sell some shares IF price sweeps and rejects that area.
If your overall long term bullish on this stock and Elon Musk, then just buy it here and swing it into all time highs. It will 100% go back there if your patient (:
a flag breakout can be a bullish trade ideahere as per technical analysis , we can see several factor which can
aide a bullish take on TESLA stock on a very short term time frame .
1) pole and flag
2) prices above 20 Day sma ( h)
3) monthly pivot ( traditional ) crossover upside
Pole and flag : a pole and flag which has a decreasing volume during the flag formation , and not having much of retracement , aides the bullish view here
20 DSMA :till the time prices are above the 20 day sma (high) , we can keep our bullish trade intact ,
Pivot level monthly : recently the stock has crossed over monthly pivot level ( traditional ) , in an assuring manner
prices forming a floor above floor structure , where the prices are showing their initial motive towards upside , and then correcting in a slow manner in a retracement manner . a good time has been spent in the shadow of the impulsive motive ( upside ) , which creates a stronger base for the prices and shows no major selling has been happening here , and the profit booked at the higher levels are being bought out again ( re-entry into the market )
break of structure , the lesser candles demand zone which actually created a break of strcuture was respected recently ,
action plan , as soon as the flag pattern is breached on the upside , with a good volume candle , one can have a bullish entry here .
stoploss level at 330 , target price : 15% after the breakout of the flag.
TSLA $365 Calls Heating Up – Big Move Ahead, Don’t Miss Out! 🚀 TSLA Weekly Options Analysis (2025-08-17) – Don’t Miss Out!
### 🔎 Model Insights Recap
**Grok/xAI Report**
* 📊 Signals: Bullish RSI + Options Flow + Volatility
* 🔊 Volume: Weak → ⚠️ caution
* 🛑 Decision: **No trade** (mixed confirmations)
**Gemini/Google Report**
* 📊 RSI: Rising (Weekly 63.7 = bullish momentum)
* 📈 Call/Put Ratio: **1.58** → institutional bullish bias
* ✅ Decision: **Buy \$365 Call** (Moderate Bullish)
**Claude/Anthropic Report**
* 📊 Weekly trend & call flow strong
* 🔊 Volume weak = confidence tempered
* ✅ Decision: **Buy \$340 Call** w/ strict risk mgmt
**Llama/Meta Report**
* 📊 Weekly momentum bullish, daily RSI neutral
* 📈 Options Flow: Positive
* 🔊 Volume: Weak
* ✅ Decision: **Buy \$352.50 Call**, targeting moderate gains
---
### 📌 Agreement
✔️ All models = **Moderate Bullish** bias (weekly RSI strength + options flow)
✔️ Key driver = **institutional positioning** & favorable volatility
### 📌 Disagreement
⚖️ Grok → **No trade** (volume too weak)
⚖️ Gemini/Claude/Llama → **Bullish calls** w/ different strikes & risk levels
---
## 📊 Recommended Trade Setup
* **Direction:** CALL (Long)
* **Strike:** \$365
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-22
* **Entry Price:** \$0.65 (limit order)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.32 (50% premium)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.30 (100% return)
* **Strategy:** Single-leg naked calls
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Confidence:** 65%
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Weak **volume** = 🚫 risk of failed breakout
* Must monitor **follow-through** carefully → momentum may stall without institutional push
---
## 📌 Final Outlook
**TSLA = Moderate Bullish Bias** ✅
Institutional call flow supports upside, but weak volume = proceed with **tight risk management**.
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 365.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.30,
"stop_loss": 0.32,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.65,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-17 09:22:38 EDT"
}
```
We are not positive about TeslaFollow us and don't miss a next idea on Global Markets
The impact of tariffs and expiring EV credits is expected to pressure future US deliveries and regulatory credit revenue in the near term
Elon Musk: Well, we're in this weird transition period where we will lose a lot of incentives in the US. Slab incentives actually in many other parts of the world. But we'll lose them in the US. Across all of it at the relatively early stages of autonomy. On the other hand, autonomy is most advanced and most available from a regulatory standpoint in the US. Does that mean we could have a few rough quarters? Yeah. We probably could have a few rough quarters. I'm not saying that we will, but we could. Q4, Q1, maybe Q2.
Revenue -12% y/y ( decline for the first time in 10 years)!!!
EPS 0,27 $ agj vs 0,39 $ estimated
FCF -89% y/y but still positive ( just 146 M$)
CAPEX for 2025 increased
EBITDA dropped by 7.8%.
Price to Sales 12,7
P/B 14
Expensive
We expect declining of the stock price to 210 $
And, yes, many still regard Tesla as a car manufacturer, but this is not a correct view of the company. Later in our blog we will touch on the question of how to correctly look at the brainchild of Elon Musk.
Tesla’s Breakout Test: Impulse or Fakeout?Tesla’s recent price action is stirring interest again, not just for retail traders but also for chart technicians who track Elliott Wave structures across global equities.
After a deep corrective phase that carried price down from 488.54 to 217.02 , Tesla has been carving out a multi-layered corrective structure. Here’s the breakdown:
Wave W completed into 217.02 , marking a sharp low.
This was followed by a complex X wave , which included an expanded flat where the B-wave unfolded as a triangle — a rare but valid corrective formation.
Wave Y then ended with a contracting triangle, neatly completing the W–X–Y correction near 297.82 .
From that point, Tesla appears to have begun an impulsive sequence:
Wave 1 and 2 are already visible, with the 297.82 low as the key invalidation level.
A decisive break and close above 367.71 would confirm the onset of Wave 3, targeting 397.38 (1.618× Wave 1).
Momentum is supporting the structure: RSI has reclaimed the 50 level, hinting at renewed strength.
What Next?
If the count holds, Tesla could be in the early stages of a larger impulsive rally, with Wave 1/A projecting toward the 400–420 zone . However, traders should remember that breaking below 297.82 invalidates the impulsive outlook and revives the broader corrective scenario.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.