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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD vs Majors: Diverging Paths in a Tumultuous Cycle (2019–2025)The Australian Dollar (AUD) has significantly diverged in performance across major currency pairs since 2019. The AUD/JPY (yellow line) stands out with a strong +14.01% gain, reflecting both risk-on sentiment and yen weakness. Meanwhile, AUD/USD and AUD/CAD have both suffered steep declines of -10.24% and -8.85%, respectively, underlining AUD’s vulnerability to global tightening cycles and commodity-related headwinds. Notably, AUD/NZD has remained relatively flat, highlighting the tight correlation between the two regional economies. This divergence suggests that AUD’s performance is being increasingly shaped by its counterpart's macro narrative—whether it's U.S. monetary policy, Japanese yield control, or New Zealand's economic synchronization.
by COLOMBINI-TRADING
LONG AUDUSD breaking major resistance# AUDUSD Buy Setup Trading Plan **Entry:** - Buy on first pullback on smaller timeframe after resistance breakout - Confirm with bullish candlestick pattern or moving averages **Stop Loss:** - Place below broken resistance level - Approximately around 0.63262 **Take Profit:** - Target 1: Previous swing high - Target 2: Next major resistance level (1:2 risk-reward) **Risk Management:** - Risk 1-2% of account per trade - Consider partial profit taking at Target 1 Always confirm breakout with multiple timeframes before entering.
Long
by aryoTraderX
AUDUSD Short PotentialTechnical Analysis The AUDUSD pair is currently trending upwards due to USD weakness. The pair seems overbought based on stochastics > 80% Fundamental Analysis The RBA is widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming 20th May meeting. Inflation has fallen substantially based on previous RBA meeting minutes which warrants a current 25 basis points rate cut with more expected in the future. Trade Setup Short positions are preferred based on the current AUDUSD strength with a potential entry around .6547 which is near the 61.8% Fib level with a S/L at .6562 and T/P at the 50% Fib level around .6437.
Short
by imu2018
You don't have to TRADE all the timeQuality trade that is what you want! It is better to have a near 100% small profits in your pocket than to RISK a bigger profit that you are not quite sure of. In this case, I would not meddle with this pair. Is Trump going to continue devalue the US dollar? We have seen how badly it has been beaten down over the last few weeks. Even so, there will be a pull back before the trend continues. And the chart tells me it could goes both way, breaking up from the rectangle or breaking down. Both buyers and sellers are trading in a small range , I will leave it to the nibble hands to cherry pick their profits. On hindsight, it is so easy to make comments like - just buy when it hit the support of the rectangle and sell when it hit the top side , rinse and repeat and make millions. HAHAHA. And if you take these trades as a very small % of your total investment portfolio , just to spice things up or itchy hands or feeling lucky, whatever you call it, just not make it 100% of your time UNLESS you are really , really, really good. Charting is easy, it is managing your own emotions of greed and fear that is difficult. Somedays you feel out of whack, full of frustration and suddenly you see a setup , usually you would enter position size of 1 but this day, you hit 3x as you were feeling angry. Lucky you, the market moves in your favour and suddenly you are arm with 3x profits and your mind starts wandering - IF only I could repeat this 2x a week each week , wow, wow. How nice ?And down the rabbit hole you go, sucked by the greatest temptation of GREED, IMPATIENCE and PRIDE. DISCIPLINE is hard , really hard till it becomes a HABIT. If it is that easy, why would people pay for sports coaches to guide them do the things they already know. Or have someone telling you what to eat to stay healthy. Common sense is not commonly practised. That's what make us humans. And humans have its up and downs and thus trading 1-2x a week help to put the lease on your greed and steer you to the investment path instead. If trading is that easy, why bother to take a degree, goes for interview and all these nonsense? Still believe in the guy who said he traded in his backyard and make millions ? Maybe , 1 out of a million or more so statistically it is hard. Investing in the SPX or QQQ ETF over the long terms yield better returns, allow you to sleep well and not have anxiety or depression over money.
by dchua1969
Three Peaks and Domed House Identification Guidelines Points Discussion 1, 2 This is the base. It may or may not appear and has no significance. 3, 5, 7 These points form the three peaks pattern. It’s not a triple top where price needs to peak near the same price. The shape of the peaks may be flat or pointed. The time between peak 3 and 7 is about 8 months. 4, 6, 8 These are valleys between peaks 3, 5, and 7. The drop to the valley floor can be considerable (that is, the retrace of the move up from 2 to 3 can be large). 8, 9, 10 This is the separating decline. Price drops in at least two selling waves (7 to 8 and 9 to 10). The word least suggests there can be multiple selling waves, so be flexible. The separating decline divides the three peaks from the domed house, making both look squarish. 10 Valley 10 is always lower than 4 or 6 and often lower than both. 11–14 Price bottoms at 10 and then recovers to form at least two valleys that test the low at 10. The peaks and valleys here should look symmetrical, not irregular. 14–23 or 27 The time from turn 14 to 23 should be 7 months and 8-to-10 days, but the measure from 14 can include peak 27. In other words, be flexible and don’t exclude a pattern because the duration is incorrect. If price at 12 or 14 fails to test the low at 10 (or 12 or 14 are absent), then try using valley 4 or 6 in the 7-month calculation to better predict the domed house peak. 15 Price rises quickly and steeply to peak 15, forming the left wall of the first story. 15–20 Look for price to form five waves here, 15–16, 16–17, and so on, ending at 19–20. Price bounces between peaks and valleys, forming the firstfloor roof. 20–21 This is the second story’s left wall. It’s the move up to 21 from 20. 21–25 This is the dome of the house. Price forms another set of peaks and valleys, trying to move to a new high but failing. 25–27 Price drops from 25 and forms a wave 26–27, which may mirror the roof from 15–20. Point 27, if tall enough, may be the right shoulder of a headand- shoulders top formed by the move from 21–25. 27–28 Price drops all the way back to the level of point 10 (or close to it). The drop may be a straight-line run down or it may have several retraces, but price will eventually make it to the price of 10 (in theory). Thomas_N_Bulkowski_Encyclopedia_of_Chart_Patterns_John_Wiley_&_Sons
Education
by alnoman
AUDUSD - Daily chart, OANDA) - Long; Mid-term research idea.AUDUSD - Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (Daily chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.5 Entry limit ~ 0.63800 on April 30, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 0.67800 (+6.27%; +0.04000 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 0.65715 (+3%; +0.01915 points) Stop order limit ~ 0.62200 (-2.51%; -0.01600 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
Long
by VEDIMarketWatch
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart represents a technical analysis setup for the AUD/USD currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what the chart is indicating: 1. Bullish Pattern (Double Bottom): The chart suggests a potential double bottom pattern forming around the 0.6374 level. This is a bullish reversal pattern indicating a potential upward move. 2. Projected Move: If the price confirms the double bottom and reverses upward, the expected target is the previous high around 0.6448, marked as TAKE PROFIT. There's also a nearer-term take profit zone around 0.6425. 3. Entry and Stop-Loss: The implied entry point would be close to the current level or the potential bottom around 0.6374. A stop-loss is not explicitly marked but would likely be placed just below the lower green support zone, under 0.6370. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The green area suggests
Long
by money_magnet2
Long trade Trade Overview: AUDUSD – Long Position (Trade 2) Entry Price: 0.63674 Take Profit: 0.64381 (+1.10%) Stop Loss: 0.63421 (–0.40%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.79 🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time) 📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025 🌍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM) 🧭 Higher Timeframe Structure: 1-Hour TF ⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF Reasoning Narrative AUDUSD maintained a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming higher lows and consolidating just below a key resistance area before the session crossover.
Long
by davidjulien369
AUDUSD LONG SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6407 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup. From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6407 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum. Profit targets are defined at 0.6437 and 0.6489, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
Long
by FOREX_CRYPTO_MASTER