USDAUD trade ideas
Collective Confluence among USD majors = USD strengthAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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AUDUSD INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 0.6355AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6470 – initial resistance
0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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AUDUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.642.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.640.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN
## 🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 **Date**: April 22, 2025
🆔 **PLAN ID**: AU22APR25-ID
🔒 **Format**: Institutional 0.001% Precision
---
### **Trade Plan Overview**
| Plan ID | Type | Direction | Confidence | R:R | Status |
|---------------|-----------|-----------|------------|------|------------------|
| AU22APR25-ID | Intra-Day | Sell | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 85% | 2.5:1| Awaiting Conf. |
**Guidance**: Tactical bearish Intra-Day continuation within H4 exhaustion and D1 rejection zone. Strong short-term downside interest. Monitor London/NY session for entry.
---
### 🔻 Primary Trade Plan: Intra-Day – Continuation (Sell)
📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
- **Bias**: Bearish 📉
- **Trade Type**: Continuation (Intra-Day)
🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
**Reason**:
- H1 BOS + OB rejection near 0.6435
- 50%–61.8% Fib pullback into OB
- Volume spike at lower high
- Sentiment Score: +7/10 (Retail 72% long AUD/USD, USD strength from DXY)
- D1 rejection from previous structural highs
- H4 signs of exhaustion after impulse
**Breakdown**: OB 30%, Fib 20%, Sentiment 17%, Volume 13%, USD strength 5%
📌 **Status**:
Price approaching zone (~0.6395); waiting for rejection pattern.
---
📍 **Entry Zones**
🟥 **Primary Sell Zone**:
**0.6415 – 0.6435** (H1 OB + Fib zone)
🟧 **Secondary Sell Zone**:
**0.6440 – 0.6450** (H1 FVG, liquidity grab above highs)
---
❗ **Stop Loss**
**0.6460** (Above OB wick + 1x H1 ATR, 65 pips risk)
🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 **TP1**: 0.6380 (35 pips, 1:0.5 R:R, minor reaction zone)
🥈 **TP2**: 0.6350 (85 pips, 1:1.3 R:R, clean liquidity pool)
🥉 **TP3**: 0.6300 (135 pips, 2.5:1 R:R, prior swing low – optional)
📏 **Risk:Reward**
TP2: 1.3:1
TP3: 2.5:1
---
🧠 **Management Strategy**
- **Risk**: 0.5% of $10,000 ($50, ~0.12 lots)
- SL to breakeven +10 pips after TP1
- TP1: 70% partial
- TP2: 30% partial
- TP3: Optional trail if risk-off momentum increases
- **Exit**: Invalidate if H1 bullish BOS or major USD weakness
- **Total Portfolio Risk**: 0.5% of 2% total
---
⚠️ **Confirmation Criteria**
- H1 bearish engulfing / pin bar in zone
- Volume spike (M30)
- Optional: RSI divergence (M30)
- **Best Entry**: London or NY open (2–5 AM or 8–11 AM PDT)
- **Avoid**: Risk events (FOMC April 23)
---
⏳ **Validity**
H1 plan: Valid for next 12–18 hours (expires April 23, 2025, 1 PM PDT)
❌ **Invalidation**
Close above 0.6460, bullish H1 BOS, or strong risk-on surge
---
🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
- **COT**: USD positioning stable
- **DXY**: Bullish continuation above 106.20
- **Retail Sentiment**: 72% long AUD/USD (contrarian bearish)
- **Cross-Pair**: NZD/USD and GBP/USD showing similar rejection
- **Cross-Market**: S&P 500 stalling, VIX holding above 20 = risk-off
- **Macro**: FOMC risk ahead, USD demand increasing
- **Sentiment Score**: +7/10
- **Historical**: H1 OB continuation setup = 78% win rate
---
📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Intra-Day bearish continuation from 0.6415–0.6435 zone, targeting recent reaction lows. Aligned with D1 rejection and H4 slowdown. Enter only with clean H1 rejection, preferably during London/NY session.
---
Short AUDUSDA stellar run higher on AUDUSD, currently on its 10th day higher from the last pivot. A confluence of indicators and trendline intersections makes AUDUSD a decent short at 0.6420-0.6470 zone. 50% Fib retracement level from the fall from Sept 2024 highs. 200-day Moving Avg at 0.6470. Downsloping parallel channel - the top has hit (only the second hit, suggesting a pull-back). Bearish RSI divergence. How many more signals does one need?! Initial target is 0.6200, but likely a move to the bottom of the channel - around 0.5850
Long trade
Trade Overview: AUDUSD Long Position
Entry Price: 0.63765
Profit Target: 0.64722 (+1.50%)
Stop Loss: 0.63630 (–0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.09
📈 Potential Gain: +1.50%
📉 Potential Drawdown: –0.21%
The trade aligns with bullish market structure observed on the 4h TF, showing a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating continued upward momentum.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly 50 exponential moving average
- Daily high rejection
Requirements
- 15' Break of structure short! Non negotiable.
- 15' order block creation to short from once price action pulls back.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/USD Neutral, AUD/USD Neutral and EUR/AUD (Trade Recap)EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/USD broke out above 0.64000, time to reassess the planAUD/USD trade idea – not a position, just a setup to watch 👀
We’re seeing a potential 1H double top forming after a strong bullish leg, supported by a clean rejection candle and my TWT pattern. This could lead to a pullback toward the golden zone of the Fibonacci retracement — which opens up a possible long opportunity in line with the trend.
For short-term traders, there might be a chance to catch a short here if the double top confirms, but it's definitely more aggressive and riskier, as you'd be trading against the broader bullish trend. Watching price action closely from here will be key. Let's see how it plays out.
AUDUSD H4 | Rising toward the Fibo extensionBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.6390, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6518, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6263, a pullback support.
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Aussie knocking on the door of major bullish breakAUD/USD sits at a key level, banging up against the dominant uptrend dating back to October 2022.
You can see from past price interaction how pivotal this trendline has been — initially acting as support before flipping to resistance after being broken late last year.
The bullish engulfing weekly candle from early April flagged what’s since played out, hinting this fresh attempt to break the trendline may have more legs than those seen in recent months. Momentum also leans bullish, with both RSI (14) and MACD trending higher.
If AUD/USD can break and hold above the uptrend, it may draw in additional bulls from the sidelines, opening the door to a move towards .6550 — a zone the pair chopped around in during late 2024.
If the price cannot hold above the trendline, the bullish bias would be invalidated, opening the door for potential short setups.
Good luck!
DS
BRTSunday started out below the demand zone // support // floor.
When price pushed above where the sellers were selling from, it retested. A buy position would’ve prompted a positive P&L (Profit & Loss) with a potential of 40+ pips!
Set your zone, let price show you what it wants to do. Set your alerts so you know when to look at the market. The market comes to us because we do not chase the market. Let the market reveal its intentions.
Just remember! When you are in a trade, and it turns “blue,” it’s on you!
It’s on you to lock in those profits. It’s on you to have a comfortable risk management plan if you do not move your stop loss into profit. Sometimes it is best to accept your risk and let the trade play out. Other times, you will thank yourself you were not greedy and took those profits.
“You can’t go broke taking profit.”