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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD: New month, first green dayHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always, my analysis are not a way to predict the market, but long and short are just a signal regarding the setup I'm looking for the day. Guessing the direction is not part of my job, entering setups in line with my thesis, that's my job! A little consideration before analysing this current week, the previous week, placed the monthly low, and retested it completing a pump and dump template. We are currently into the April monthly low and I'm looking for a long opportunity considering the potential volume trapped down low. But what happened this week and why I'm bullish? Monday, is the opening range of the week, weekly boundaries are now in place and short breakout traders are involved in the market. Tuesday, initial balance, expanded the range lower, triggering again shorts in the market. Wednesday, midpoint of the week, breakout lower again, stopping the traders long from the April monthly low and closing the day in breakout, going in consolidation into the end of the day. To me, this aspect is pretty important, triggering traders down low, with not really a strong momentum, typically gives me the signal of a potential reversal. Thursday, pretty much Asia and London session consolidated down low around the closing price, breaking the daily high for the first time during the week (which is to me a break in structure). The day closed as first green day, which is a potential long signal, especially when appears down low. Today, Friday, last day of the week and first day of the new month, I can see a potential dump and pump setting up for the day, but NFP is on schedule and it can mess up completely the overall setup. How I'm gonna take this trade? Well, first of all no action will be taken before news release at 8:30am NYT, after that, if the dump and pump is still intact during NY session, I will be willing to position myself in the market, accordingly with my entry criteria (typically bullish price action coiling for a long move). Can the market go lower? Absolutely yes! As I said, I do not predict any direction, but overall today I won't be interested in shorting USDCAD, because typically shoring into the weekly low, is not a very profitable trade opportunity, and I typically don't like to stuck in a trade for ages! :) I will update anyway the intraday overview during the NY session, starting in a couple of hours! Gianni
Long
by GianniPichichero
15
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD is currently trading around 1.3820, exhibiting a bullish bias as it approaches the upper boundary of a consolidation range. The pair has been forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating potential for a breakout. A decisive move above the 1.3850 resistance level could pave the way toward the 1.3920 target. Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar has gained strength due to stronger-than-expected manufacturing data, with the ISM PMI rising to 48.7 in April, surpassing forecasts. This data has bolstered U.S. yields and supported the dollar. Conversely, the Canadian dollar has faced pressure from weaker domestic manufacturing activity, with the S\&P Global Canada Manufacturing PMI falling to 45.3, marking the sharpest contraction since May 2020 . Additionally, recent U.S. tariff announcements on Canadian goods have introduced further uncertainty, potentially impacting Canada's export-driven economy. The Bank of Canada may consider easing monetary policy to counteract these challenges, which could further weaken the Canadian dollar. In summary, USDCAD is poised for a potential breakout above 1.3850, driven by a combination of technical patterns and fundamental factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and economic indicators to confirm the continuation of this upward trend.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I KL - Monthly OB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
11
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
USD/CAD - Wedge Breakout (06.05.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3893 2nd Resistance – 1.3928 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
USD/CAD: Time to Go Long?On the monthly chart, USD/CAD has found strong support, signaling a potential bullish continuation. With anticipated USD strength in the coming weeks, there’s a clear opportunity for the pair to move higher. We are targeting 1.40180 as the first objective, with the potential to extend towards 1.41500 if momentum continues. On the daily chart, the price is showing signs of weakness but also bullish intent, suggesting a possible retracement before a move higher. Ideally, a pullback into the 1.38490 – 1.38450 zone would offer a high-probability long entry.
Long
by Wiiso
1
USDCAD Analysis: Buyers Defend Key Level Ahead of NFP DataUSDCAD Analysis: Buyers Defend Key Level Ahead of NFP Data Since April 20, USDCAD has been moving sideways without a clear trend. However, in recent days, the pair has found strong support around 1.3780 for the second time, suggesting that buyers are actively defending this zone. With the upcoming NFP data, there's potential for a bullish move. If the report fuels buying momentum, USDCAD could rise toward the resistance levels at 1.3855 and 1.3890, as seen on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
USDCAD LONG POSSIBILITY SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 1.3821 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup. From a technical perspective, the AI algorithm has recognized a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 1.3821 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum. Profit targets are defined at 1.3855 and 1.3904, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
Long
by FOREX_CRYPTO_MASTER
1
Canadian Dollar vs US Dollar: Recovering from The Bearish HugsIn previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key factors that have driven the U.S. outperformance over the past decade. The U.S. market dominance is largely due to the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach, and significant investor inflows. Underperforming Internationally Markets outside the U.S. have faced challenges such as multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger U.S. dollar, and the decline of high-growth tech sectors. The Valuation Gap By 2025, U.S. equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend) Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also heavily dependent on the US dollar. Factors include optimism around the following three main themes. DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION. De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the dominant global reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend involves a shift away from the centrality of the US dollar in global economic transactions and towards alternative currencies, assets or financial systems. Reasons for De-dollarization The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors: Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses the dollar's dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty. Rise of emerging economic powers: Emerging economies such as China and groups such as the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to US influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures. Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts such as the war in Ukraine have increased efforts by countries such as Russia to withdraw dollars from their reserves to avoid sanctions. Summary De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the US dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce reliance on the dollar. Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization is challenging the entrenched role of the dollar, but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon. Instead, it is leading to a more multi-polar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments in the US. Technical Test The main technical chart is presented in a weekly perspective, reflecting the performance of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD over the long term. With the positive dynamics of the relative strength indicator RSI(14) continuing, a breakout of flat resistance near the level of 0.72 is noted, with the prospect of a possible price increase to 0.80, parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to historical maximums, in the horizon of the next five years. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
1
Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3850 level. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3900 resistance. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3815 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4000 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3890 and recently declined below the 1.3850 support against the Canadian Dollar. There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3820. The bulls are now active near the 1.3770 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3892 swing high to the 1.3768 low. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3800 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3815 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3815. If there is an upside break above 1.3815, the pair could rise toward the 1.3845 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3892 swing high to the 1.3768 low. The next major resistance is near the 1.3890 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.3950 resistance zone. Immediate support is near the 1.3770 level. The first major support is near 1.3720. A close below the 1.3720 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3640. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3550 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
#USDCAD: Two Major Buying Zones, Patience Pays! As previously analysed, USDCAD is expected to decline towards our predetermined entry point. We anticipate a bearish US Dollar for the remainder of the week, which will ultimately lead USDCAD to reach the entry zone. Three distinct target areas exist, collectively worth over 1100 pips. Each entry point, stop loss, and take profit is clearly defined. We wish you the best of luck and safe trading. Thank you for your support. If you wish to assist us, we encourage you to consider the following actions: - Like our ideas - Provide comments on our ideas - Share our ideas Kind Regards, Team Setupsfx_ Much Love ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
USDCAD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: This is a bit tricky one on the first sight you can see there is more longs than shorts, but !! And this where many traders makes mistakes when they are looking to the just current COT data. We can see that since march longs has dropped from the 165k to 1002K this is bearish. Net positions also going down. while the long % exposure is still 85% long it mostly go much lower. Also price action confirms lower prices, but I think healthy pullback is in play. So we got framework and bias now we need to look for setups. Which I will again use my CLS method. /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
2
USD/CAD 4H CHART PATTERNUSD/CAD Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: Trend Line Breakout Reversal Target: 1.44000 1. Overall Market Structure The chart depicts a clear downtrend, followed by sideways consolidation near a horizontal support line. A descending trend line captures the bearish structure, which has now been challenged by recent bullish momentum. 2. Support Zone & Rejection The price has respected the support zone multiple times, forming a strong base. Repeated bounces off this level suggest accumulation, where buyers are building positions. 3. Breakout Confirmation Price action is attempting to break above the descending trend line, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish. The "Entry Long" point marks an ideal breakout zone, where traders could enter with confirmation (strong bullish candle close above the trend line). 4. Target Projection: 1.44000 The projected target is 1.44000, aligning with a major resistance level (previous structure highs). This makes the trade a trend reversal play, aiming to capture the first major upward swing post-breakout . 5. Risk Management A stop loss should be placed just below the support line or recent swing low to guard against a false breakout. The trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entered on a retest of the breakout zone.
Long
by Trend_logic
USDCAD swing longsFrom fundamental analysis on CAD futures derived from "barchart.com". Currently as of writing (Monday 30th April 2025), we can see the CAD futures price increasing from this day but the Open Interest has been decreasing steadily so we can anticipate a reversal soon for the futures price (to flip bearish), which means bullish PA for USDCAD (this could also give you a slight insight/confirmation to DXY’s potential price). Technicals outlined in chart using price action.
Long
by anthonyogbuah
The possible uprising of USDCAD, 4hr1. Technical Analysis • Trendline + Horizontal Support A clearly defined uptrend line, drawn from the March ’24 low through the August and April pullbacks, intersects the 1.3810–1.3850 area. That same zone has flipped from support to resistance and back again over the past year, marking it as a high‑probability reversal point. • Bullish Divergence On the 4‑hour RSI, the most recent price low dipped slightly below March’s low while RSI held higher. This divergence at a key support zone suggests selling momentum is exhausted and buyers may be stepping in. • Entry, Stops & Targets • Entry: Look for a clean bullish 4H candle (pin bar, engulfing bar, etc.) around 1.3820–1.3850, where trendline and horizontal support converge. • Stop: Place below 1.3680, under the April swing low and next structural demand area. • Target 1: 1.4168 (recent mid‑range swing high) • Target 2: 1.4467–1.4542 (major supply zone from late 2024) This setup offers roughly a 1:4 risk‑to‑reward ratio if both targets are reached. • Higher‑Timeframe Confirmation A daily close back above 1.3850 would reinforce this zone’s support role. Wait for that or a clear 4‑hour bullish pattern before committing. 2. Fundamental Analysis • Oil Price Pressure WTI has slid toward the low‑$60s on OPEC+ supply increases and softer Chinese demand. With Canada heavily reliant on oil revenues, lower crude prices tend to weaken CAD against USD. • Policy Divergence The Bank of Canada remains on hold at 2.75% and markets anticipate cuts later in 2025, while the Federal Reserve holds funds rates at 5.25–5.50%. That yield gap supports USD strength. • Growth Differential Canada’s Q1 GDP underperformed expectations—soft energy and mining output—whereas U.S. growth is still running near 2–3%. The disparity favors USD. • Risk Sentiment Elevated U.S.–China trade tensions and global growth concerns have nudged markets into risk‑off mode, a backdrop in which USD typically outperforms commodity‑linked currencies like CAD. Bottom Line With a multi‑touch trendline and horizontal flip level converging around 1.3820–1.3850, coupled with RSI divergence and dovish CAD fundamentals versus a still‑hawkish Fed, this is a textbook long setup. Wait for a convincing 4‑hour bullish signal in the zone, use a stop under 1.3680, and target 1.4168 first, then 1.4467–1.4542.
Long
by AnalysisExpert
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25 USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅Daily low rejection ✅1' order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT