USDCHF trade ideas
Lingrid | USDCHF Potential Bullish Move Following Level BreakoutFX:USDCHF surged from a higher low and is now retesting the broken structure near 0.802, maintaining its position within the broader upward channel. A clean bounce from this zone would confirm the bullish structure, targeting the upper channel resistance near 0.815. Pullback and higher low structure support continued upside movement with short-term consolidation possible. A breakout from the consolidation box could accelerate momentum toward the resistance area.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.802 – 0.805
Buy trigger: Bullish confirmation above 0.805
Target: 0.815
Invalidation: Drop below 0.796
💡 Risks
False breakout near 0.805 may lead to rejection
Failure to form higher high would invalidate bullish sequence
Momentum divergence could slow rally near resistance
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USD/CHF Rally Threatens ReversalThe July opening range broke to the topside on the heels of yesterday’s FOMC rate decision and takes USD/CHF back above the 25% parallel- a weekly close back above the April lows at 8040 tomorrow would suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Look for initial support near 8103 today for guidance.
Initial topside resistance objectives eyed at the 1.618% extension of the monthly advance and the 61.8% retracement of the May decline at 8222/46 backed by the median line, currently near the 83-handle. Key lateral resistance stands at 8380-8416- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range, the 2024 low-close, the 2023 low-week close (LWC) and the 2024 yearly open (an area of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached).
Support rests at the yearly LWC at 7946 with a break / close below 7881 needed to mark resumption of the broader multi-year downtrend. Subsequent support objectives seen at the 2011 LWC at 7769 and the 2011 low-close at 7669.
Bottom line: USD/CHF is threatening a larger reversal within the broader downtrend. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 8040 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with weekly close above 8103 on Friday needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the August open.
-MB
USDCHF - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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FX Wars Episode 6 - The return of the USDA simple idea, which I will gradually fill with life:
The USD returns and with it the claim to its FX throne.
Act 1:
📊🔮🇺🇲 US retail sales, which will be published today at 14:30, will be higher than consensus expectations.
🟡-> the US consumer is alive and well and will continue to keep the US economy afloat.
Further acts will follow ✅️
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry and could drop from this level towards the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.8153. which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 0.8243, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8067, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/CHF hoping lower. before major up turnA note to myself:
- remember no matter what happens. its a 50/50 chance you are right. even with a winning
strategy.
- whats going on inside of yourself. why? whats it trying to tell you?
- what have you learned about yoursefl?
- be patient, take a breathe and be aware of FOMO
- Its not about quantity. its about quality.(choose MAX. 3 trades a week)
- stick to your plan. load up on quality trades.
- RISK MANAGEMENT is the key to being a successful trader AND Risk Reward Ratio minimum 1:3 w
Liquidity Grab Complete? Why USDCHF Could Be Heading South📉 USDCHF remains firmly in a downtrend on both the weekly (1W) and daily (1D) timeframes. The recent bullish retracement is now confronting a critical resistance zone 🔒 — defined by a descending trendline and a daily order block between 0.8150–0.8200.
🧱 Price action at this level shows clear signs of rejection, aligning with a bear flag formation, which could pave the way for continued downside toward the 0.7800–0.7600 region.
📊 Fundamentally, the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to gain strength, supported by Switzerland’s stable economic outlook and ongoing safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from dovish Fed expectations and rising political uncertainty in the US 🇺🇸.
🔮 From a Wyckoff/ICT perspective, this upward move appears to be a liquidity grab into a premium zone, with smart money likely distributing positions before initiating a new markdown phase. A sell bias is favored below 0.8200, with downside targets set at 0.8000 and beyond.
📅 Keep a close eye on this week’s US NFP and Swiss CPI releases — both could inject fresh volatility into the pair.
USD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅USD_CHF price went up sharply
But a strong resistance level was hit at 0.8152
Thus, as a pullback is already happening
And a move down towards the
Target of 0.8113 shall follow
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF Smashes 0.8090 Resistance, good to buy on dips USDCHF breaks significant resistance 0.8090 on board-based US dollar buying. It hits an intraday high of 0.81058 and is currently trading around 0.081003.
Technical Analysis Points to Further Upside
The pair is trading above the 55-EMA, 200 EMA and below 365 EMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating a mixed trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8135, any break above targets 0.8170/0.8215/0.8250.
Support Levels and Potential Declines
On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8060; any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8020/0.7980/0.7920/0.7860/0.7800.
Indicators (4-hour chart)
CCI (50) - Bullish
Directional Movement Index - Bullish
Trading Strategy Recommendation
It is good to buy on dips around 0.8090 with a stop-loss at 0.8058 for a TP of 0.8170/0.8215.
USDCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 0.8107The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8107, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8084 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7965, followed by 0.7927 and 0.7900 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8107 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8130, then 0.8160.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8084. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USD/CHFUSD/CHF Overview:
After a downward correction in recent weeks, the USD/CHF pair appears to be finding some support around the 0.80000 - 0.79800 levels. We are observing signs of price consolidation, which could indicate a potential bullish bounce.
Trade Details (Pending Order):
Order Type: Buy Limit
Entry Point: 0.80080
This point was chosen based on a previous support area and the price's attempt to consolidate above it.
Stop Loss (SL): 0.79720
The stop loss is located below a clear local low and below the psychological support level of 0.80000 to provide adequate protection.
Take Profit (TP): 0.80800
This level targets a retest of a previous resistance area, or as a conservative target for the first bullish bounce.
Risk Management:
Distance to Stop Loss: 36 pips (0.80080 - 0.79720)
Distance to Take Profit: 72 pips (0.80800 - 0.80080)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): 1:2
This ratio is considered excellent and provides a good opportunity for profit compared to the potential risk.
Additional Considerations:
Traders are monitoring upcoming economic data from the United States and Switzerland.
A decisive break above 0.79720 could invalidate this idea, while a break above 0.80800 could open the door to further upside.
Disclaimer:
This is merely an analytical trading idea and is not intended as investment advice. Please manage your risk consciously and conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.81000 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.81000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates Gains
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward the 0.8120 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8040 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990 on the hourly chart.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from the 0.7910 support. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.8000 resistance zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8040. A high was formed at 0.8079 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7911 swing low to the 0.8079 high.
There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 0.8080. The main resistance is now near 0.8120.
If there is a clear break above the 0.8120 resistance zone and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8200. If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 0.7990 level.
The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.7950 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level.
The next key support is near 0.7910. A downside break below 0.7910 might spark bearish moves. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.7850 level in the near term.
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USDCHF possible bullish reversal for 0.8110#USDCHF forming higher high and higher low in daily time frame. broker initial resistance level as 0.8064 but did not hold price above it. need patient for pullback to test demand zone for another leg higher. Price could not breach lower low level 0.7873 and start moving higher. there are two different demand levels for long i.e. 0.7956 & 0.7626. stop loss below 0.7910 i.e 0.7985. target: 0.8110
USDCHF → The resistance retest ended with a false breakoutFX:USDCHF tested resistance at 0.805 - 0.806 and formed a false breakout without the possibility of continuing growth. The global trend is downward...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth (reaction to news), the currency pair also moved to distribution to 0.8050. The price failed to break through resistance, forming a false breakout. USDCHF is consolidating below resistance, and a breakdown of the local structure could trigger a decline.
The dollar index is also facing fairly strong resistance and may continue its downward trend, which will also affect the decline in the USDCHF price.
Resistance levels: 0.805, 0.806, 0.81
Support levels: 0.800, 0.794, 0.791
If, within the current consolidation, the price begins to fall and break the local structure, then we can expect the decline to continue towards the specified targets!
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF Technical Analysis – Potential Rejection from Resistance USDCHF Technical Analysis – Potential Rejection from Resistance
🔍 Chart Overview:
Current Price: 0.80456
Resistance Zone: 0.80760 – 0.81009
Support Zone: 0.79000 – 0.79236
Price Action: The pair has rallied into a strong resistance zone but is showing signs of exhaustion.
📌 Key Observations:
Volume Profile Insight:
Price has entered a low-volume area near resistance, indicating potential weakness in demand above 0.80800.
Resistance Rejection:
Price tested the 0.80760–0.81009 resistance range and failed to break through decisively.
A potential fake breakout or bull trap could be forming.
Bearish Projection:
If price confirms rejection from resistance, we may see a drop toward the support zone (0.79000 – 0.79236).
This would complete a classic resistance-to-support rotation.
Bearish Confirmation:
A bearish candle formation or break below 0.80350 can trigger short entries.
Ideal risk-reward favors a short setup here.
📉 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
Entry Zone: 0.80750 – 0.80950
Stop Loss: Above 0.81100
Take Profit Target: 0.79250
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5
🔻 Summary:
USDCHF is trading near a major resistance zone with weak bullish momentum. If confirmed, a sharp reversal toward support is expected, making this a potentially strong short opportunity.