USD/CHF H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.7976 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.7910 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.8069 which is an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Trade ideas
USDCHF: Could be telling a story of break-retest-reversalThe price action on the USDCHF presents an opportunity of structural transition. The descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance, has contained each rally attempt beautifully. This trendline is marked by multiple rejections, reflected bearish dominance, a controlled downtrend in motion.
The recent movement though could signal a shift. The market has started to break above this descending structure, and it could early suggest that bearish momentum is weakening.
I will be waiting for the price to return to the broken trendline, treating former resistance as newfound support. It’s a confirmation pattern in order to filter false moves, a structure retest that reinforces breakout reliability.
From this base, I am expecting it to target the 0.81900 level, as shown. This area coinciding with horizontal resistance that aligns with previous reactions. Such levels as natural “gravitational pivots”.
An ideal approach here would involve observing the character of the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with declining bearish volume and forms higher lows on lower timeframes, it strengthens the bullish case.
The trendline break on the chart is not just a signal, it’s a storyline unfolding. It marks a shift with a story. And if volume, price structure, and timing align as they appear poised to, this move could be the first move in a broader upside correction or trend reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
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USDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8050 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.7970
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8093
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Still looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changedStill looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changed. The level on the chart? That’s where buyers jumped in before. Makes sense to target it again.
So… why do we say there are "suffering buyers" at this level?
Let’s rewind a bit (see Chart #2) and imagine price at the point marked on the chart.
At that moment, price had clearly returned to a visible local level — 0.8123 — a zone that naturally attracted traders to jump in on the fly , or triggered limit orders .
But here’s what happened next:
Selling pressure overpowered buying interest — and price moved swiftly lower .
That’s when those buyers got caught.
That’s when the pain started.
🔍 What Makes This Level Special?
Broker data from open sources confirms that open positions are still sitting at this level — meaning a lot of traders are underwater, hoping for a recovery that may never come.
It’s not just technical structure.
It’s crowded sentiment , failed expectations , and trapped capital — all wrapped into one.
🧠 This is what we call a "suffering trader" zone — and it often becomes a magnet for future selling .
📌 Follow along for more breakdowns on flow, positioning, and market sentiment .
USDCHF long term bullish playHello,
The USDCHF is back to where it last traded in mid 2011. This reflects a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc, erasing over a decade of gains. It suggests growing investor demand for safe-haven assets like the franc — possibly driven by concerns around U.S. interest rate policy, inflation trends, or broader global uncertainty. The last time the dollar was this weak against the franc was more than 13 years ago.
While a weaker dollar is seen as good for the United States, we see a long term buy opportunity for this pair from the current level based on technical analysis. The pair is now trading at the bottom of the range.
Next week will be an important time for this pair as we wait for the inflation data. This will be key in guiding what the FED might do during the next meeting towards the end of the month.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8070
1st Support: 0.7927
1st Resistance: 0.8157
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USDCHFUSDCHF If the price can stay above 0.78590, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
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>>GooD Luck 😊
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USDCHF Forming Descending ChannelUSDCHF is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe. The structure has been respecting this pattern for several months, and we are now approaching a potential breakout zone. Price recently tapped the midline of the channel and showed early signs of bullish rejection. I'm closely monitoring this pair as it builds momentum for a possible bullish reversal, either from a deeper retest at the lower channel boundary or directly breaking above the upper trendline.
On the fundamental side, today's shift in sentiment around the US dollar is quite clear. After a series of weaker US inflation reports and growing market anticipation of a Fed rate cut, USD has come under pressure. However, the Swiss franc is also showing signs of weakness, especially after the Swiss National Bank became the first major central bank to cut interest rates earlier this year and is likely to remain dovish through the remainder of 2025. This monetary policy divergence creates space for USDCHF to rally as investors price in a potential stabilization or rebound in the dollar.
Risk sentiment also plays a role here. With global equities slightly pulling back and geopolitical tensions simmering, safe haven demand is mixed. While CHF typically benefits in risk-off environments, the lack of recent SNB hawkishness gives USDCHF bulls a clearer edge, especially if US data stabilizes or improves.
Technically, I’m anticipating a potential false break to the downside before a sharp bullish wave toward 0.8300 and beyond. Momentum indicators are flattening, and with volume starting to pick up on bullish candles, this setup has potential. I’ll be looking to add further confirmation as price approaches the lower trendline or breaks out with clean structure. Keep a close eye — this setup could turn into a strong profit opportunity in the coming days.






















