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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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GBPUSD 1.3600 support retestThe GBPUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.3600 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.3600 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.3825 – Near-term resistance 1.3865 – Minor swing high 1.3900 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.3600 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.3550 – Initial support 1.3500 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.3600 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - US Employment, NFP in focus Thursday, July 3 – Market Focus Key Economic Data: US: June Jobs Report – Crucial for gauging labor market momentum and Fed rate expectations. ISM Services PMI (June) – Offers insight into the largest sector of the economy. May Trade Balance, Factory Orders, Initial Jobless Claims – Together provide a fuller picture of external demand, industrial health, and labor market stress. China: Caixin Services PMI (June) – Reflects private sector service activity and post-pandemic demand strength. UK: June Official Reserve Changes – Could hint at FX intervention patterns or reserve rebalancing. Italy: Services PMI (June) – A regional gauge of Eurozone service sector strength. Canada: May International Merchandise Trade – Key for assessing external demand and commodity flow impact. Switzerland: June CPI – Critical for SNB policy outlook, especially post recent rate cut. Central Bank Highlights: ECB: June Meeting Account – May provide clarity on the timing and pace of further policy normalization. Fed: Bostic Speaks – Watch for clues on his stance regarding rate cuts amid mixed data signals. BoJ: Takata Speaks – Important for any policy tone shift as the market eyes potential tightening. BoE: June Decision Maker Panel (DMP), Q2 Bank Liabilities & Credit Conditions Surveys – These offer insights into business inflation expectations and credit supply constraints, key for the BoE’s future policy path. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBP/USD Slides with Fiscal WorriesGBP/USD edged lower toward 1.3625 in Asian trading, pressured by a sharp selloff in UK government bonds and growing fiscal concerns. Gilts suffered their biggest drop since October 2022 after the government’s decision to cut welfare benefits and mounting doubts over the Chancellor’s political future. Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, noted: “The drop isn’t limited to the British Pound, UK gilts are also under heavy selling. It seems to be a broader crisis of confidence in the Labour government.” Resistance is at 1.3675, while support holds at 1.3570.
by ChartMage
GU-Thu-03/07/25 TDA-UK political turmoil triggers market selloffAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! I don't give signals blindly, people should learn and understand the skill. Following blindly signals you won't know how to manage the trade, lot size and replicate the move over time. That's why you need active real time discussions. Trading is not get rich quick scheme! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Proven Results | GBP/USD Trade Recap & Premium Signal AccessYesterday’s trades achieved 75% of all target levels, showcasing the consistency and precision behind my strategy. Today followed with another strong performance—first a successful long trade, then a clean short setup based on evolving price action and structure. These aren’t random calls—they’re calculated, disciplined, and backed by real-time analysis. If you're looking for reliable forex signals that actually deliver, my premium service offers: 🔔 Instant trade alerts with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit 📊 Clear trade breakdowns and market logic 💬 Direct access for questions and guidance 💵 Affordable plans designed for serious traders Join a growing community of traders who are turning insights into results. 📲 Subscribe now and start trading with confidence.
Long
by TheSayyamGroup
GU-Wed-02/07/25 TDA-Market positioning not the best atmAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! Another factor that plays huge your trade setups, ideas is market positioning. Your ideas might be good, but with bad market positioning there's high chance price might stop you out before going to your direction. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 2, 2025 GBPUSDOn Wednesday, during the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair is trading unchanged at around 1.37450. However, dovish statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and growing concerns about the budget may put pressure on the dollar in the near term. Investors are awaiting the ADP report on US employment for June, which will be released later on Wednesday, in the hope of new momentum. Powell said on Tuesday that the US central bank would be patient about further interest rate cuts, but did not rule out a rate cut at its July meeting, although the decision would depend on incoming data. According to the CME FedWatch tool, short-term interest rate futures now price in the probability of a rate cut in July at almost 1 in 4, up from less than 1 in 5 previously. Investors are concerned about US President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending bill, which could increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion. The bill will return to the House of Representatives for final approval. Fiscal concerns could dampen optimism and contribute to a decline in the US dollar. As for the pound sterling, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said last week that there are currently signs of a weakening UK labor market and stressed that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. The UK central bank is expected to cut interest rates three times by the end of 2025, bringing them to 3.5% to combat sluggish economic growth and a weakening labor market. Rate cuts are expected in August, September, and November 2025, with possible quarterly reductions. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.37450, SL 1.37900, TP 1.36750
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD – Multi-Timeframe Bearish Divergence | Trend Weakening AcGBPUSD – Multi-Timeframe Bearish Divergence | Trend Weakening Across the Board 🐻📉 Hey traders 👋 GBPUSD is flashing clear signs of weakness, and this time it’s not just on the lower timeframes. We’re seeing bearish divergence on the 4H, Daily, and Weekly charts — a rare alignment that typically signals a bigger move is brewing. 📉 Technical Breakdown 4H: Price pushing higher, but RSI lagging = short-term exhaustion Daily: Momentum fading, divergence forming against structure Weekly: Long-term bearish divergence developing = macro weakness That kind of multi-timeframe divergence doesn’t just whisper — it screams caution for bulls. 💵 DXY (Dollar Index) Just Hit 0.71 Level DXY tapping into a key fib level (0.71) — suggesting a short-term correction or pullback If DXY cools off temporarily, GBPUSD might fake a bounce or wick up But once that correction is done, expect GBPUSD to resume its slide This is where timing becomes everything. 🎯 Trade Strategy Already short from current divergence signals? ✅ Good spot. Stop-loss: Reasonable level above last high or structure break — no need to choke the trade If SL gets hit: Don’t chase — wait for next bearish divergence or retest fail, then re-enter with structure confirmation This is about patience, not prediction. The setup is clean — now it’s all about execution.
Short
by MAAwan
Short Scalp With Swing OpportunityGBPUSD formed a perfect wedge top, setting up a potential short opportunity in the next days. 1. The move is composed of a clear 3-Push Pattern. 2. The last push/leg is the strongest, indicating a possible exhaustion (Climatic Move). 3. At the top of the last leg, there's a sequence of 5 bars with lots of overlapping - Al Brooks' Final Flag Pattern With a good bearish signal bar, it's worth scalping part of the position towards to the 20 EMA and swing the rest of it until the Bull TL.
Short
by lestercrest
Sintra Signals: Central Banks Stay Cautious The ECB Forum in Sintra brought together the heads of the world’s most influential central banks—Lagarde (ECB), Powell (Fed), Bailey (BOE), Ueda (BOJ), and Rhee (BOK). Across the board, central banks are remaining cautious and data-driven, with no firm commitments on timing for rate changes. Fed Chair Powell said the U.S. economy is strong, with inflation manageable despite expected summer upticks. He noted tariffs have delayed potential rate cuts and confirmed the Fed is proceeding meeting by meeting. BOE’s Bailey highlighted signs of softening in the UK economy and said policy remains restrictive but will ease over time. He sees the path of rates continuing downward. BOJ’s Ueda noted headline inflation is above 2%. Any hikes will depend on underlying core inflation which remains below target.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD – Short-Term Entry Model (Price Action Based)Education time! This is a quick-execution on GBPUSD this London session based on a failed breakout and structure shift. Price initially broke above the previous high but failed to sustain the breakout. The second push failed to print a higher high (HH), signaling potential exhaustion. Once the higher low (HL) that led to the failed HH was broken to the downside, a valid short setup was confirmed. The trade targets the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the initial move that failed to hold above the high. 📉 Result: The setup played out cleanly, hitting the target with a +17 pip gain.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
GBP/USD Trade Update: Re-Entry After SL Hit – Bullish Bias MaintAfter the initial stop-loss was triggered, price action has realigned with the original bullish outlook. Market structure remains intact, and the recent move appears to be a liquidity sweep rather than a full reversal. I’ve re-entered the buy position at a more favorable level, with a clear invalidation point and defined upside targets. This re-entry reflects confidence in the broader setup and a commitment to disciplined execution. Sometimes, the best trades require patience and a second entry when the market shakes out weak hands. 📈 Follow for live trade updates, risk management insights, and GBP/USD strategy breakdowns. 💬 Let’s navigate the volatility with precision and purpose.
Long
by TheSayyamGroup