GBP/USD – 15M Key Swing SetupPrice is testing the swing high zone with two possible paths depending on reaction. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play.
Bullish Plan:
Break & hold above swing high (~1.3566) → Push toward strong high (~1.3580) → Continuation to P1D High (~1.3595)
Bearish Plan:
Reject from swing high → Break swing low (~1.3541) → Drop toward P1D Low (~1.3510)
Key Zones:
🔴 Swing High: 1.3566
🟢 Swing Low: 1.3541
🟢 P1D Low: 1.3510
Patience will pay — let the market confirm direction before entry.
USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSDWhile Retail Sales headline missed, the Control Group and manufacturing data were strong, and import prices point to potential inflation pressures. Net effect: USD likely to strengthen.
For GBPUSD
• A stronger USD means GBPUSD is likely to fall (USD appreciation vs GBP).
• Unless the UK has strong upcoming data, this could push GBPUSD lower in the short term.
Here is my short prediction for gbpusd
GBPUSD Big Bullish Move incoming.GGBPUSD as trending to the upside quite a few months, breaking above 1.3450 leaving behind a Trapped zone for the sellers which is weekly Flip level which happened right before the breaking up and also the market created a liquidity Zone which is intended to further Trap the the seller, and it is acting as a Double Bottom area, i hope sellers will be trapped the next week and righ after that we look for our bullish positions.
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce off the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3472
1st Support: 1.3366
1st Resistance: 1.3590
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GBPUSD → Breakout of resistance after consolidationFX:GBPUSD is rebounding from strong daily resistance with the aim of consolidating its pre-breakout potential. The fundamental background for the pound is positive...
GBPUSD has a strong market structure. A false breakout of resistance at 1.3589 is forming. The level could not be broken on the first attempt, MM may form a correction or consolidation for a retest of resistance with the aim of a breakout and further growth. Focus on the liquidity zone at 1.35, 1.3488. The dollar is in a downward movement within the global bearish trend. Despite conflicting news, the index continues to decline, giving the pound a chance...
Resistance levels: 1.3589
Support levels: 1.3521, 1.3488
The market needs consolidation in order to break through this barrier. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, which is already supporting the market, we can expect a rebound from support with the aim of continuing growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSDOffice for National Statistics has released GDP report which Measure the Change in the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy;
Frequency Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health.
The latest UK economic data for the second quarter of 2025 and recent monthly figures show a mixed but generally positive picture:
GDP grew by 0.4% month-over-month in June (actual 0.4%, forecast 0.2%, previous -0.1%)
Preliminary GDP growth for Q2 was 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, beating the 0.1% forecast but slowing from 0.7% in Q1
Construction output rose by 0.3% month-over-month, matching expectations and improving from -0.5% previously
Goods trade deficit widened slightly to -£22.2 billion (forecast -£21.7B)
The Index of Services grew by 0.4% over the past 3 months, exceeding forecasts of 0.2%
Industrial production increased by 0.7% month-over-month, more than doubling expectations of 0.3%
Manufacturing output grew by 0.5%, slightly above the 0.4% forecast and recovering from -1.0% previously
Preliminary business investment fell sharply by 4.0% quarter-over-quarter, well below the forecasted 0.1% rise
The results suggest the UK economy avoided a recession in Q2, with growth driven by stronger services, construction, and industrial production. However, business investment remains weak with a significant contraction, indicating cautious corporate sentiment. The widening trade deficit also adds to economic challenges.
Analysts note this growth is partly influenced by stockpiling and activity brought forward ahead of changes in US tariffs and stamp duty. While growth is better than expected, underlying momentum remains fragile, with inflation pressures and business uncertainties creating headwinds.
Overall, the UK economy shows moderate expansion but faces challenges from weak investment, trade imbalances, and inflation, complicating prospects for sustained growth. Policymakers remain cautious about balancing inflation control with growth support.
#gbpusd
GBPUSD Channel Up started a new Bullish LegThe GBPUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 2025 bottom. Right now, the pattern has already initiated the new Bullish Leg.
With the 1D RSI having rebounded on the 30.00 oversold level, it draws comparisons to the first Bullish Leg o the Channel Up. That made a +7.59% rise to hit its 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, our medium-term Target is set a 1.40575.
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GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD
GBP/USD at Weekly Supply – Is the Pound About to Collapse?Technical Outlook:
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.3535, testing a significant weekly supply zone between 1.3500–1.3600. The recent bullish impulse has brought price back into a strong confluence area marked by prior distribution in late July. The RSI is approaching overbought levels on the daily chart, suggesting a potential short-term exhaustion of buying momentum. My base scenario anticipates a rejection from the current zone, with the possibility of a retracement toward 1.3250–1.3150, aligning with the next demand area and historical price reaction. The projected short-term pattern shows a potential lower high forming before a deeper move down toward the yearly lows.
COT Positioning:
USD Index (as of 05 Aug 2025): Non-commercials decreased longs by -2,561 and slightly increased shorts (+313), showing a minor bearish tilt for USD in the short term.
GBP Futures: Large specs significantly reduced longs (-22,164) while also trimming shorts (-889), with commercials adding substantial long exposure (+20,125). This shift indicates reduced speculative confidence in GBP upside, while commercial buying suggests hedging or value positioning. Overall, COT data tilts toward a potential GBP correction rather than sustained breakout.
Seasonality:
GBP/USD historically underperforms in the second half of August across 5, 10, and 15-year averages. The 20-year tendency shows a mild decline starting mid-month into early September, aligning with the current resistance test and potential for downside momentum.
Sentiment:
Retail sentiment shows 66% short vs. 34% long. The majority of retail traders are positioned against the recent bullish push, which could fuel a brief squeeze higher before reversal. However, the confluence of COT, technical resistance, and seasonality keeps the medium-term bias bearish.
Conclusion & Bias:
Primary scenario: Short bias from 1.3530–1.3600 supply zone targeting 1.3250, then 1.3150 if momentum confirms.
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.3650 would weaken the short setup and open the path toward 1.3700–1.3750.
SELL GBPUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.3SELL GBPUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.3657
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT: take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with........
GBP/USD Extends Rally After Breaking Key TrendlineHello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:GBPUSD ?
Today, the pair continues its winning streak, currently trading around 1.358. Broad selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) has fueled GBP/USD’s bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, the pair has successfully broken above the descending trendline and closed higher, adding further strength to the bulls.
Price is now testing immediate resistance, and the formation of a head-and-shoulders pattern is showing strong potential. If this setup completes, the next target could be the resistance at the 1.374 high.
What about you — where do you think GBP/USD is heading next? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has rejected the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 1.3592
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3691
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3401
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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