GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists Amid Weak Fundamentals ? FX:GBPUSD continues to show weakness both technically and fundamentally. The price action has shifted clearly from the previous upward channel to a clear downward structure, and sellers are still in control.
From a technical perspective, the pair has failed to hold above key resistance levels and continues to respect the descending trendline. Each retest of the upper boundary has been met with rejection. With this structure intact, the path of least resistance remains downward, targeting the next support level.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar is recovering, while the British pound faces pressure as UK economic indicators, including growth and inflation, point to a downturn. As long as these conditions persist, GBPUSD is unlikely to make a significant recovery.
Unless the descending trendline is broken with conviction, the bearish trend remains dominant, with further declines likely toward lower support zones.
USDGBP trade ideas
28.08.25 GBP/USDPound Regains Confidence — Key Target Above 1.3600
Market Overview:
The British pound is strengthening against the US dollar after rebounding from the 1.3400 support zone. The bullish momentum is building, with the price heading towards the 1.3600 resistance. A breakout here could pave the way towards the strategic 1.3800 target.
Technical Signals & Formations:
ABCD bullish pattern forming.
Support at 1.3400 has held strong.
MACD shows strengthening momentum.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.3400, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3600, 1.3800
Scenario:
Main (bullish): a break above 1.3600 could drive price towards 1.3800.
Alternative (bearish): a move back below 1.3400 may trigger pressure towards 1.3200.
GBPUSDprice is in a uptrend and we reach to long term down trend line with a high momentum and it has a high probabilities to break down trend line and at least we go toward the next resistance area and there,we assess the price on that level to consider if there is a correction there or strongly keep moving to uptrend....
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook ~ BuyThis week my favorite bullish setup with a risk reward ratio of 1:4. This ratio valid for coming week only because price may form new supply zones during the period that can narrow down the movement range in our favor.
However,.marked demand zone stays valid overall. Apply risk management to enjoy trading experience.
A classic head and shoulders pattern long setup Price made a huge move down and clear the previous support (purple 1 zone) . Initially I thought it was about to change direction and I was waiting for a retest but sellers failed to make that previous support into resistance instead they struggled with a few candles above the zone and also above the 30 day moving average, before buyers stepped in again pushing price back up and eventually closing above the previous high .when I saw that I waited to see what will happen next, and guess what? It found support again on that zone(purple 1 zone ) I wait for a shift to the upside on the 4 hour chart, a retest and a momentum candle with it closing above the MA, I saw that and took the trade. Initially my stops were below that low (the first low on the 4H chart but I moved it to about 82pips away from my entry, and it was good move on my part even though I wasn't thinking of it. Because price went back down and it almost took me out but it rejected just 5 pips shy before going up and closing above the lower high (now) I got in at (making a upside shift)
GBP/USD - 1D OutlookDear Friends in Trading,
## CORE PCE TODAY - Be safe!
Very nice classic - Inverse H&S
1) A break above neckline is crucial to confirm if price respects the BULL structure
2) A dip into discount may be perceived as a broken structure.
3) The structure can potentially add another shoulder to collect liquidity.
4) Structures are rarely perfect.
5) But the neckline will the tell the story.
Keynote:
We close three crucial candles today. 1D + 1W + 1M
I know I'm stating the obvious.
Let's see what September brings.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
GBPUSD – Key Support Decision Zone | Bullish or Bearish Setup.Analysis: GBPUSD is currently trading near 1.34500 and is approaching an important decision zone. The next move will depend on how price reacts around the nearest support.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
If GBPUSD breaks below 1.34300 – 1.34100, I will look for shorts.
Target Zone: 1.32200 – 1.31500 (strong support + order block).
🔺 Bullish Scenario
If the support 1.34300 – 1.34100 holds, GBPUSD could bounce higher.
Upside Target: 1.35700 (resistance zone).
🔎 Analysis
Price is consolidating near a crucial support level.
A breakdown = bearish continuation, while rejection = bullish bounce.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering either side.
⚠️ Risk Management: This is my personal analysis only. Always use a stop-loss and trade safely with proper risk allocation.
💬 If you find this analysis useful, please like, comment and share to support my work.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST
📈 GBP/USD Weekly Forecast – Q3 | W35 | Y25
A bullish end to the week has shaken up price action, with price closing right into our mid-range time frame POI. Initially, we’ll be watching for short setups, but caution is key — the weekly candle closing above the 50 EMA signals potential continuation to the upside.
🧠 Smart Shorts Only:
If you’re taking shorts from current highs, consider waiting for a clear 5M or 15M break of structure (BOS) to confirm price is ready to fill the daily imbalance and head toward the daily 50 EMA.
🎯 Short-Term Targets for Shorts:
Equal Lows
Daily Imbalance
Daily 50 EMA
⚠️ Manage short positions aggressively — higher time frame trend remains bullish.
📌 Key Bullish POI:
Note the daily order block left behind after the explosive move on Friday, Aug 22, 2025. Though currently sitting below the daily 50 EMA, this will be our primary long execution zone.
A wick rejection from this area would provide a solid long entry, in alignment with the HTF trend.
🧭 Game Plan:
We have a clear, clean range in play. Now it’s all about:
Waiting for a confirmed shift in structure on lower time frames
Validating the setup with confluences
Executing with precision and discipline
Let the market come to you — not the other way around.
Stay patient, stay smart, and trust the process.
— FRGNT 💼📊
GBPUSD: The Rally Hits a Wall at the Daily Break of StructureEvery powerful trend eventually meets an obstacle it cannot immediately overcome. For the GBPUSD rally, that obstacle has appeared in the form of a major daily break of structure level. The upward momentum has stalled, and the price action is now signaling a potential correction. This analysis breaks down the high-probability short setup that has formed at this critical juncture.
The bullish move on the GBPUSD pair was halted by the daily Break of Structure (BOS D) level. The liquidity sweep from this level was carried out via a manipulation in the form of a 4H order block .
A mitigation of and reversal reaction from this order block would confirm the price's intention to correct, at a minimum, to the daily FVG below.
As an additional condition for opening a short position from this zone, I am considering the 61.8% or 78.6% local Fibonacci retracement levels .
► The first potential entry scenario involves the price reaching the 61.8% level and finding acceptance below it.
► If this level is broken, the second scenario will come into effect, which involves the price reaching the 78.6% level, also with a confirmed hold below it.
► Invalidation: The invalidation of the short scenario would be a break of the 78.6% level.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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GBP/USD – 30M | Supply Zone RejectionGBP/USD has been in a clear downtrend, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, price has tapped into a key supply zone around 1.3480 – 1.3490, where sellers are expected to regain control. A short position is triggered with:
Entry: 1.3480
Stop Loss: 1.3490 (above supply zone)
Target: 1.3450 (nearest demand)
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with the broader bearish momentum.
If sellers maintain pressure, we may see further downside continuation toward 1.3440 and below.
#GBPUSD #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #FX
GBPUSD Long Setup: Strong Services & Weak USD in FocusToday, we will examine the long position of GBPUSD ( OANDA:GBPUSD ) together from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis :
GBP Strength Signals:
CPI y/y: 3.8% vs 3.7% expected → higher inflation → less likelihood of rate cuts → supports GBP.
Flash Services PMI: 53.6 vs 51.8 expected → strong service sector → positive for GBP.
GBP Weak Signals:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 47.3 vs 48.2 expected → contraction in manufacturing → short-term pressure on GBP.
USD Weak Signals:
US Unemployment Claims: 235K vs 226K expected → weaker labor market → negative for USD.
Summary:
Overall, data favors GBP over USD. Short-term to medium-term, GBPUSD is likely to show upside momentum, driven by strong services, higher inflation, and weaker USD labor data. Watch for upcoming US data or Fed comments that could change this bias.
Note: Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will publish soon.
Note: Tomorrow, we will have Fed Chair Powell speak.
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Now let's take a technical look at the GBPUSD on the 4-hour timeframe .
GBPUSD is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.343-$1.313) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , GBPUSD seems to have completed the corrective waves . The first signal to confirm the end of the corrective waves could be the break of the upper line of the descending channel . The corrective wave structure is most likely a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect GBPUSD to rise to at least $1.357 AFTER the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Second Target: $1.363
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3326 USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPUSD DAILY ADVANCED STRUCTURE+SMA+EMA GBPUSD ,FOLLOW THE STRUCTURE and look into a possible double top structure and get ready for selloff. The fed federal fund rate will be holding a strong market sentiment and Tylor RULE might be applied during FOMC VOTING PROCESS.
Allow fed do their job and swing into action.
trading is 100% probability
think like a hunter
if you like this chart or have a divergent view come to the comment section and share your perspective respectfully.
GOODLUCK
GOD BLESS US DOLLAR .
Bullish bounce off major support?GBP/USD is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3390
1st Support: 1.3270
1st Resistance: 1.3520
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