USDGBP trade ideas
ENTRY UPDATE FOR GBPUSD SHORT BIAS EARLIER DROPPEDGBPUSD has reached the daily order block, which is the second zone we’ve been monitoring for potential shorts.
Market Structure Overview:
A clear Change of Character has formed on the hour-control timeframe, indicating a possible market reversal.
Price is in the retracement phase, moving back into the supply zone above — our preferred area for entry.
From this zone, we expect price to continue aligning with the new bearish trend.
Plan:
Wait for confirmation within the supply zone, manage risk properly, and follow the trend.
GBPUSD: Reached a clear zone, watching for reversal cluesThe market has recently pushed upwards with momentum.
What we’re looking at here is a leg started with a beautiful initial rejection, the kind I love trading and forecasted previously:
Price is now reaching a clear level that might provoke a small term reaction.
And when price finds its feet in these kinds of zones, I immediately think of what opportunity is offering: If price gives us a confirmation cue, that might be the signal to get involved: not just in candlestick structure but also in volume behavior.
Target: 1.34340
It's a risky setup as this leg has pushed up with strength
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
short ideaafter reaching major resistance area. looking for possible shorts . waiting for confirmation This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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GBPUSD is gradually moving towards ATHGBPUSD has a strong “step” structure. The trend is strong, with each consolidation ending in an upward distribution. There is a possibility that a breakout and consolidation above the resistance level of 1.3592 could trigger another distribution.
GBPUSD rose to 1.3590 (+0.2%) after the release of quarterly statistics: the UK economy grew by 0.3% (forecast: +0.1%), despite a slowdown from 0.7% in Q1. This is the ninth positive session out of ten, and the exchange rate has strengthened by 3.5% since the beginning of August.
Scenario: A breakout and consolidation above 1.3592 would be positive for continued growth. The medium-term target is 1.375.
Bearish turn on GBPUSD?Last night I was looking at the GBPUSD following through to around 1.37-1.38. Then I saw something on the chart that caught my eye. I believe that currencies are always range trading if you take the time frame out long enough. I saw a top a few weeks ago at 1.36. Could the GBPUSD continue this as a temporary top on the market? RSI over 70 and the price is in the middle of a Smart Money Concepts sell area.
GBP|USD LONG SETUP | 14 AUGBias: Bullish / Long Bias for the Day
💥 Suggested Signal – Buy on Pullback:
Entry: Long between 1.3550–1.3570 (on dip/consolidation)
Target:
Primary: 1.3600
Secondary extension: 1.3625–1.3650
Stop-Loss: Below 1.3535 (invalidates bullish structure)
🔍 Why It’s Valid:
Strong confluence: recent H4 breakout, fib alignment, and bullish momentum
Action Forex
DailyForex
FXStreet
.
Dollar weakness and dovish Fed expectations support continued push
Reuters
+1
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4. Watch-Out Zones / Risk Areas
Bearish trigger: If GBP/USD breaks below 1.3535–1.3540, bias may shift neutral or bearish intraday.
Resistance reaction: Price rejection from 1.3600–1.3620 with reversal candlesticks = potential short opportunity.
The Day Ahead Data releases
US: July PPI, initial jobless claims
UK: Q2 GDP, July RICS house price balance
Eurozone: June industrial production, Q2 employment
Italy: June general government debt
Australia: July labour force survey
Central banks
Fed’s Barkin speaks
Norges Bank policy decision
Earnings
Applied Materials
Deere
Adyen
JD.com
Tapestry
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GBPUSD higher on upbeat UK GDP dataThe GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation breakout rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3466 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3466 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3675 – initial resistance
1.3730 – psychological and structural level
1.3790 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3466 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3414 – minor support
1.3390 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 1.3466. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD H4 | Could the price reverse from here?The Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3576, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.3676, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3474, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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DeGRAM | GBPUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● GBPUSD has extended gains after retesting the breakout zone, confirming bullish control within a recovering channel structure.
● Sustained buying pressure targets 1.3750, with intraday pullbacks expected to hold above 1.3500 for trend continuity.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● BoE policymakers signaled vigilance on inflation persistence, boosting sterling demand alongside stabilizing UK bond yields.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 1.3500; targets 1.3750. Invalidation below 1.3420.
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GBPUSD 4H: Is the bullish momentum sustainable? After a very strong bullish candle on 1st August the bulls have been riding the uptrend. We can see clear all the beauty of Price action(HH, HL) and finding dynamic support on the EMA(20).
Now(at 17:53 AEST) it seems the price is struggling to break the 1.3594 Resistance level. On 27th July this resistance level blocked the bulls upward move so based on that we may see another retracement back around 1.35621 level or even further down.
On the Fundamental side there are just a few not critical for the USD around 22:30(AEST) but one critical one, the PPI(Exc Food & Energy) YoY at the same time so be careful. Also consider any (weird) comments from Trump that also can change market direction.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 14, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
Signs of cooling in the US labor market have pushed futures to expect a series of rate cuts before the end of the year. This, in turn, could lead to a decline in the dollar against the pound sterling. Federal fund futures traders now estimate the probability of a 25 basis point (bp) cut at the September meeting at nearly 94%, compared to 85% before the inflation data was released.
Investors are preparing for the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) report on Thursday. The overall PPI is expected to show a 2.5% year-on-year increase in July, while the core PPI is expected to show a 2.9% year-on-year increase for the same period.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released on Tuesday showed that the UK unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.7% for the three months to June, in line with estimates. This is the highest rate since July 2021. Meanwhile, average earnings excluding bonuses remained at 5.0% for the three months to June.
Traders will be watching the UK's second-quarter GDP report closely, as it may provide some clues about the direction of interest rates in the country.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3610, SL 1.3570, TP 1.3670
DeGRAM | GBPUSD fixed above the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● GBPUSD broke above 1.3425 resistance, confirming a breakout from the descending channel and maintaining higher lows within the current rising structure.
● Price action targets the 1.3575 resistance zone, with momentum supported by a clean breakout retest pattern.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Weak US ISM services PMI and softer dollar demand enhance GBP upside, while UK GDP beat expectations, signaling resilience in economic activity.
✨ Summary
Long above 1.3425; target 1.3575. Setup remains valid while price holds above 1.3310.
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GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
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"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD