USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD Ahead of BoE rate decisionThe GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a oversold really within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3255 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3255 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3440 – initial resistance
1.3510 – psychological and structural level
1.3600 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3255 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3210 – minor support
1.3170 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 1.3255. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead - Bank of England rate decisionThursday, August 7 – Market Summary
Macro Data Highlights:
US: Q2 nonfarm productivity, unit labor costs, June consumer credit, wholesale trade sales, NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations, and weekly jobless claims – all key indicators for inflation and labor market dynamics.
China: July trade balance and foreign reserves – vital for assessing global demand and export strength.
Japan: June leading and coincident indices – offering a read on future and current economic activity.
Europe:
Germany & France: June industrial production and trade/current account balances.
France: Also reports Q2 wages – watched for inflation insights.
Sweden: July CPI – closely followed for Nordic inflation trends.
Central Banks:
Bank of England: Policy decision and Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey – key for GBP and UK rates.
ECB: Economic bulletin release and comments from Rehn – context on Eurozone economic outlook.
Fed: Bostic speaks – potential insight into US policy direction.
Corporate Earnings:
Heavy day for global earnings with key reports from:
Pharma/Healthcare: Eli Lilly, Gilead Sciences, Kenvue, Sandoz, Peloton
Autos/Industrials: Toyota, Siemens, Deutsche Telekom, Rheinmetall, Maersk, ConocoPhillips
Tech/Media: Atlassian, Datadog, Block, Take-Two, Pinterest, Twilio, Warner Bros Discovery, Rocket Lab
Other: Sony, Expedia, Flutter Entertainment, Vistra, NuScale Power, Maplebear (Instacart)
Auctions:
US: 30-year bond sale – important for long-end yield curve developments.
Conclusion:
A highly active day across macro, central banks, and earnings, with particular focus on US labor data, BoE's rate decision, and a flood of major earnings. Market volatility may pick up as investors digest mixed signals from economic data and company guidance.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD - Daily Bearish movement inbound📉 Long-Term Sell Plan – Major Bearish Reversal in Play
Pair/Asset:
Timeframe: 4H / Daily / Long-Term Outlook
Bias: Strong Bearish
Entry Zone: 71% Premium Level Retest
Target Zones:
🔹 3M Target (1.21000)
🔹 Monthly Imbalance Zone (1.16000)
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Head & Shoulders Formation
Classic reversal structure at the top of the range.
Neckline has been broken, confirming loss of bullish momentum.
✅ Break of Daily Structure (D-BOS)
Multiple structure breaks confirming a full bearish market shift.
Price is no longer respecting previous higher lows.
✅ Retest of 71% Premium Level
Price has pulled back precisely into the 71% Fibonacci retracement zone, aligned with:
The broken neckline
Previous external range high
Overlapping Supply Zone
✅ Breakout & Retest Setup
The market has broken down and is now in a classic retest phase, offering optimal entry for continuation shorts.
✅ EMA Rejection + Trendline Break
Price rejected the EMA during the retest – a strong dynamic resistance confirmation.
Long-term trendline has also been decisively broken.
📌 Sell Plan:
Sell Zone: Around the 71% level after confirmed rejection
Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder / supply zone
Take Profits:
TP1: 3M target zone
TP2: Monthly imbalance target
🚨 Risk Management
Trade with confirmation. Watch for rejection candles or lower-timeframe BOS around the 71% level before executing.
🗓️ Market Outlook:
With structure shifting, liquidity taken, and premium pricing retested, we’re in a prime position for long-term distribution. Keep an eye on key zones and trail stops accordingly.
🔔 Like and Follow for more clean structure-based trade setups!
GBPUSD SWING: SHORT OPPORTUNITYHi there,
Of all the USD pairs, I think GBPUSD is the weakest and I speculate lower prices.
At the very least, to hunt the equal lows the market created by not taking the previous low just before the monthly FVG. That action is suspect - it will induce buyers and drop more shorts on them.
Anyways, watch out for my next post.
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPUSD LONGCheck comment for the proper multi-timeframe layout due to TradingViews publishing restriction
MT5 screenshot also attached.
Still moving in line with the bullish bias I shared in Monday’s post.
Things may shift eventually, but for now — we ride it.
4H supply in control, aligned with weekly demand. 5M demand held strong.
Waited for price to return to the mapped zone, dropped to 15s for execution.
Tapped out after 3RR achieved — not more, not less.
Same system. Same pair. Different day.
GBPUSD Head & Shoulder Pattern for sell target 1.3100#GBPUSD daily head & shoulder pattern has been formed. price broke below neckline last week which is 1.30705 level. Price is moving upside as a pullback without volume. Institutional traders did profit target in their short position. Institutions are waiting price test their supply zone for another leg lower. split your risk into two positions i.e 1st order as 1.3529, 2nd order as 1.3574, stop loss: 1.3605. Medium term target: 1.3100, while 1.3215 is also level of interest for profit taking.
How could GBPUSD react to the BoE's rate decision?We are waiting for the BoE today to deliver its rate decision. Although we know the potential outcome, still, the reaction in MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD will be heavily monitored.
Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:GBPUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Pound break despite the MPC meeting is comingWhile a BoE rate cut of 0.25% is widely anticipated today, the market's focus will be on the post-meeting guidance, which could clarify the future path of monetary policy. The decision is influenced by a weakening labor market and a significant government deficit of 51 bln USD. A dovish stance could lead to a faster pace of cuts, dampening the pound.
From a technical perspective, the GBPUSD pair has broken above the EMA78, signaling further potential gains. However, it is currently facing resistance at 1.33800. A break above this level could see the pair test the next resistance at 1.3440. Conversely, a failure to hold this level could lead to a fall toward the support at 1.3150.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategis at Exness
GBPUSD: Bullish Ahead of BOE Rate Decision!GBPUSD: Bullish Ahead of BOE Rate Decision!
Since yesterday, GBPUSD has started a short-term upward move, driven by the tariff mess and the potential impact it could have on major economies. At least those are the ones who will be facing these moves.
On the other hand, the market is predicting a rate cut by the FED in September and this could be another reason why the USD is weak so far. It may not make much sense, but that is the situation.
GBPUSD is in a good position to rise further, however today we have the Bank of England interest rate decision. Market participants expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% versus the current 4.25%. The impact on the market remains unclear in my opinion.
It is a bullish situation with the Bank of England ahead. There is a high risk.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D7 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | D7 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD
GBP/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it: (A different perspective)
** POC = Institutional Point of Control
** Today is BOE Interest Rate Decision - 25BP cut expected
KEYNOTE:
Via the grape vine: 95% chance of FED $ rate cut in September.
We are already seeing the institutional adjustments in this regard.
I will wait for the BOE IR decision to either fail or validate the Break-Out Support
If the support is validated, the potential for a bull rally is high.
I'm not sure where the pair will find the necessary resistance for a correction.
BOE could potentially provide the catalyst we need.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
GBPUSD: Overextended move meets with supportAfter a steep and aggressive sell-off, price has tapped into a clear zone. This recent move wasn't gradual: it was impulsive and sharp, which tells us one key thing: exhaustion is likely.
The overextension into it without any meaningful pullback typically highlights imbalance, where price moves ahead of structure and becomes vulnerable to correction. But price doesn’t move in straight lines forever. Markets that fall too quickly tend to burn out just as fast. When such aggressive pushes meet with a clean, resistance like this one, they often trigger the exact opposite, a snapback correction.
I am now watching for signs of absorption and accumulation. This could play out in the form of sideways candles, wick rejections, or a sudden reversal spike. These are early signs that smart money might be stepping in.
My projected target would be toward the 1.33700 area, from the last impulsive drop. It’s a classic mean reversion setup, not just technical but psychological. Traders who chased the move late may find themselves trapped, fueling the correction as they’re forced to exit.
GBPUSD InsightWelcome, dear subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Several key figures at the Federal Reserve continue to make dovish remarks.
Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, stated that “it might be appropriate to adjust the federal funds rate in the short term.”
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook noted that “large-scale revisions like those seen in the July jobs report typically occur when the economy is at an inflection point.”
Susan Collins, President of the Boston Fed, commented that “the July employment data sent concerning signals.”
- The White House revealed that Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed interest in meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump.
Foreign media report that Trump is pushing for a “three-way meeting” involving President Zelensky, following his potential meeting with Putin next week.
Key Economic Event This Week
+ August 7: Bank of England interest rate decision
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The GBPUSD pair eventually broke below the 1.34000 level, retreating to around 1.31500. Although it has since rebounded, it’s unclear whether the upward momentum will hold.
To sustain the bullish trend, the pair must break through the 1.34000 resistance zone. If it succeeds, further gains up to the 1.37000 level are likely.
However, failure to overcome this resistance could result in a further decline toward the 1.30000 level.
GBPUSD(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3334
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3420
1.3388
1.3367
1.3301
1.3280
1.3248
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3367, consider buying, with the first target price being 1.3388. If the price breaks below 1.3334, consider selling, with the first target price being 1.3301 .
Pound-Dollar Intraday Outlook – 6th July 2025 - Long Idea.
Following yesterday’s bullish break of internal structure, our bias remains firmly on the buy side. We’re anticipating a continuation toward the nearest daily resistance level.
Stay sharp and active—opportunities may develop quickly.
#GBPUSD #ForexOutlook #IntradayAnalysis #ForexSignals #TradeSmart #PriceAction #MarketUpdate #BullishBias #TradeUp #ForexTrader
Bearish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3373
1st Support: 1.3267
1st Resistance: 1.3459
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Disclaimer:
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