GBPUSD oversold bounce back supported at 1.3180The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3180 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3180 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3370 – initial resistance
1.3430 – psychological and structural level
1.3480 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3180 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3140 – minor support
1.3110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 1.3180. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD DAILY CHART ANALYSIS - 4TH AUG 2025GBP/USD Daily Chart Setup – August 4, 2025:
I'm watching for price to reach the yellow imbalance zone between 1.35066 and 1.34538, which will be my designated sell zone. My final take-profit target for GBP/USD short positions is set between 1.29434 and 1.27423.
GBPUSD Short Re-Entry at Inverse SIBI Post NFP GBP/USD
Setup Overview
Price opened the week with a gap at 1.32765 following Friday’s underwhelming NFP. Asian session low formed at 1.32535 before a London-session re-entry tapped the inverse 1-hour SIBI level at 1.32765. This retest offers a high-probability short setup, targeting the Asian low and Friday NY PM low for optimal reward.
Entry & Exit Levels
Order Level Pips from Entry
Entry 1.32765 —
Stop Loss 1.32900 13.5
Target 1 1.32535 23
Target 2 1.32161 404
Risk/Reward Ratios
Target 1 R:R ≈ 1.7 (23 pips gain vs. 13.5 pips risk)
Target 2 R:R ≈ 3.1 (41.4 pips gain vs. 13.5 pips risk)
Trade Criteria
Entry triggered on a clear rejection candle at the 1-hour inverse SIBI level (1.32765)
Confirm on volume spike and bearish wick formation
Stop just above the recent high to protect against NFP-driven volatility
Confluence Factors
Weekly opening gap resistance at 1.32765
Friday’s NFP spike tapped into the daily SIBI high
Asian low at 1.32535 and NY PM low at 1.32161 provide clear, logical targets
Notes & Next Steps
Adjust position size to risk no more than 1% of account equity
Monitor US CPI and Fed speaker calendar for potential volatility twists
Annotate this idea on your TradingView chart, set alerts at entry and target levels, and review price action around London close
Good luck with your trade—stay disciplined, and may the odds be in your favor!
The Day AheadMacro Data:
US June factory orders fell 9.3% due to a big drop in aircraft orders. Excluding transport, orders rose 0.2%, but core capital goods fell 0.7%, pointing to weaker business investment. Manufacturing PMI stayed in contraction for a 4th month.
Japan July monetary base fell 3.9% y/y, showing reduced liquidity despite steady interest rates.
Switzerland July CPI was flat, with annual inflation at just 0.1%, staying very low.
Earnings:
Palantir expected strong revenue growth (~+38% YoY) from government and commercial AI work, but valuation is high.
Vertex seen with steady sales and profits from its drug portfolio.
MercadoLibre expected ~28–29% YoY revenue growth from e-commerce and fintech.
Williams Cos forecast stable earnings from energy infrastructure.
Mitsubishi UFJ reports later this week.
Conclusion:
US data points to slowing manufacturing and business investment.
Japan’s monetary base drop signals gradual tightening.
Switzerland’s inflation is very subdued.
Earnings focus is on high-growth names like Palantir and MercadoLibre—markets will watch if results can justify rich valuations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD is forming the falling wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● GBPUSD is attempting a reversal from the lower boundary of a descending channel after forming a short-term double-bottom near 1.3138.
● Price is now climbing toward 1.3258 resistance, supported by bullish divergence and a break of the local falling wedge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The USD is under pressure ahead of key NFP data, as ISM manufacturing misses weighed on Treasury yields.
● Positive UK PMI and consumer lending data have supported GBP, with BoE policy expectations firming above neutral.
✨ Summary
Long bias above 1.3138. Breakout targets 1.3258 ➜ 1.3423. Setup valid while price holds above 1.3110 support.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish reversalThe Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance, and could reverse to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3381, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop is at 1.3475, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3172, which is a multi swing low support.
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GBPUSD(20250804)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
① The US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 jobs in July, far below the expected 110,000; the previous two months saw a significant downward revision of 258,000 jobs, prompting traders to fully price in two Fed rate cuts before the end of the year.
② The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July unexpectedly fell to 48, below the expected 49.5 and the lowest level since October 2024.
③ The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for July reached a five-month high.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3242
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3412
1.3348
1.3307
1.3177
1.3136
1.3073
Trading Strategy:
On a break above 1.3307, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 1.3348. On a break below 1.3242, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 1.3177
Heading into pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support.
Pvot: 1.3368
1st Support: 1.3132
1st Resistance: 1.3594
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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GBPUSD currency to reach a more consistent bearish expectationsOur analysis found that the current market for the future trend of the currency to reach a more consistent bearish expectations, mainly benefited from the improvement of macroeconomic indicators and liquidity environment easing.
We combined with news and professional analysis reports, identified "policy support", "economic recovery" and other key words accounted for a significant increase in the proportion of market participants in a positive mood, promoting the formation of a long atmosphere.
The capital flow model shows that cross-border capital inflows have increased, and institutional investors are gradually increasing their holdings of the currency, indicating that there is sufficient support on the capital side to enhance the sustained upward momentum of the price.
It is recommended that investors combine the signals from our system to reasonably plan the position layout, especially in the market adjustment to grasp the timing of entry and achieve cost optimization.
Position Management Recommendations:
Layout in batches, control the overall position ratio, avoid over-concentration, and pay attention to risk points in time to ensure capital safety.
GBPUSD Long1. Broader Market Structure
The overall trend currently shows a bearish bias. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred at 1.28790, where price broke below the previous higher low, signaling a potential shift in sentiment. This was confirmed by a Break of Structure (BOS) at 1.28257, where price broke through another significant support, confirming the downtrend continuation. These breaks suggest sellers are gaining control, and further downside movement is more likely unless key levels are reclaimed.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
There is a visible supply zone around the 1.28790–1.28257 region, where price previously dropped sharply—this indicates a strong supply area, as sellers overwhelmed buyers there. On the demand side, we observe zones forming near 1.27340 and lower around 1.26990. The reaction from 1.27340 has been relatively weak, with shallow bounces, implying limited buyer strength. If price drops into the 1.26990 area and buyers step in more aggressively, it may provide a firmer base for a reversal.
3. Price Action in Marked Region
Within the bordered area you highlighted, price is consolidating slightly below 1.278, failing to reclaim previous minor highs. It’s hovering below both the CHoCH and BOS levels, confirming seller pressure. The most likely scenario is a short-term retest of the broken structure around 1.282, potentially providing a better price for sellers to re-enter before continuation downward. However, if price fails to bounce and breaks below 1.27340, we should expect a deeper push into the lower demand zone at 1.26990.
4. Trade Bias, Direction, and Invalidation
The current trade bias is bearish, with expected continuation to the downside as long as price remains below 1.28257. The key invalidation level for this bearish outlook is a close above 1.28790, which would flip the structure back in favor of buyers and invalidate the bearish continuation.
5. Momentum and Candle Confirmation
Momentum favors sellers, with candles showing more aggressive pushes downward and smaller, hesitant pullbacks upward. No strong bullish engulfing or reversal patterns are currently visible, reinforcing the bearish pressure.
GBPUSD showing clear downtrend - 4HMarket structure still bearish on GBPUSD
making consistent Lower Highs and Lower Lows
Price just bounced back near previous support area, now acting as resistance.
Planning to short from this zone, expecting downtrend to continue
Timeframe: 4H
Entry: 1.33068
Stop Loss: 1.36220
Take Profit: 1.29864
1:1 RR looks good with trend direction
This is just my personal view, not any financial advise
GU| Bullish Structure | Waiting for 30M CHoCH + OB Mitigation(Refined & Structured):
• Pair: GBPUSD
• Bias: Bullish
• 4H Overview: Bullish structure is given with strong intent. A major higher high was broken to the upside. Price swept significant sell-side liquidity and inducement, then mitigated a refined 4H OB with a clean smart money reaction—clear buyer interest.
• 30M Structure: Currently watching for a proper change of character (CHoCH). Still in analysis mode. Waiting for the lower high on the 30M to be breached and liquidity taken before considering execution.
• Entry Zone: Once price confirms with a CHoCH and mitigates the 30M internal OB, I’ll drop to the 5M to hunt for final confirmation before executing.
• Targets: 5M to 30M structural highs depending on price delivery.
• Mindset Note: The best setups come to those who wait. No rush. Let price do the talking. My trigger isn’t just structure—it’s precision and patience working together.
GBPUSD Possible long.-In the monthly (higher timeframes), GBPUSD is bullish.
-In the weekly timeframe, the was a momentous price reaction at the 1w Hidden Invalidation, making it a very strong area of liquidity and unlikely to be broken further in the short term period but maybe tested.
In the the daily and timeframe GU is bearish, but it is just a possible higher timeframe retracement, but still we are looking for opportunities in that retracement too.
-Above is our high probability low risk idea.
Could the Cable rise from here?The price is reacting off the support level and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3251
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3137
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Take profit: 1.3379
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GPBUSD: BULLISH?The British Pound (GBP) has demonstrated a notable recovery in recent trading sessions, regaining some upside momentum on Friday. Despite this rebound, The GBP/USD pair's technical setup suggests that a rally towards the 1.3400 psychological level is necessary before any further drop. The pair's ability to breach this level will likely determine its short-term trajectory, with a successful break above paving the way for further gains and a failure to break above potentially leading to renewed selling pressure.
GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
FX:GBPUSD