GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLAN 2**PAIR & DATE:** GBPUSD – 30 Aug 2025
**PLAN ID:** GBPUSD-2025-08-30-v1
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**PLAN OVERVIEW:**
* Category: Intra-Day
* Trade type: Breakout–Retest / Sweep–Reversal
* Direction: BUY
* Confidence: 74%
* Min R\:R: 1:3
* Status: VALID
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**MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE:**
* Trend: WITH (H4/D1 recovery structure intact, higher-low forming)
* Macro Bias: WITH (USD softer post-data; GBP supported by BoE hawkish hold expectations)
* Implication: Room for extended upside toward recent H4 swing highs; manage TP trail if momentum extends into London–NY overlap.
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**🎯 LEVELS CARD – Primary Setup (Higher Probability)**
* Entry: 1.3490 – 1.3500 (H1 demand / breakout retest of intraday structure)
* Stop Loss: 1.3455
* TP1: 1.3545
* TP2: 1.3580
* TP3: 1.3620 (stretch if GBP bid continues)
* Order: Market after confirmation (H1 bullish engulf / BOS above intraday high)
* Session Preference: London → NY overlap
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**EXECUTION CHECKLIST:**
1. News gate (15m pre / 30–60m post) – no GBP/USD red risk within window.
2. Price taps primary zone during London/NY.
3. Confirmation: H1 bullish engulf / BOS above minor swing.
4. Execute market order after close.
5. Partial at TP1 → SL to BE → trail.
6. Exit if invalidation breach below SL zone.
7. Skip if no trigger.
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**FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS:**
* CB Bias: BoE leaning hawkish hold; Fed neutral-dovish tilt.
* Rate Path: GBP OIS shows <20% cut probability this year; USD OIS pricing 50–60bps cuts in 2025.
* Key Data (7d): US ISM, NFP; UK PMI final, GDP monthly.
* Cross-Asset Sentiment: DXY softening; UST yields drifting lower; equities firm; VIX subdued.
* Positioning: COT shows GBP modest net-long build; retail flow net-short GBPUSD.
* Macro Lean: Mild GBP+ tailwind vs USD.
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**MARKET MAP:**
* D1/H4 structure: Higher-low structure post-pullback; resistance 1.3580–1.3620.
* Liquidity pools: PDH 1.3519; equal highs \~1.3580; weekly high 1.3620.
* OB/FVG: Fresh H1 demand at 1.3490–1.3500; small unfilled FVG above PDH.
* Play type: Breakout–Retest continuation.
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**RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT:**
* Risk per idea: 1–2%; basket cap: 2%.
* Min R\:R: 1:3; ATR & spread filters pass.
* Trail stops by H1 structure once TP1 hit.
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**CONFIDENCE:**
74% — HTF bullish recovery + macro GBP tailwind + H1 demand retest with clean liquidity targets.
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**FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE:**
Zone is fresh; first touch pending. I will buy on confirmation from 1.3490–1.3500, SL 1.3455, targeting 1.3545 / 1.3580 / 1.3620. If TP1 hit, move SL to BE and trail. Stay flat if invalidated before trigger.
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**POST-TRADE JOURNAL (End of Plan):**
Outcome + lesson: \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_
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