USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY H4 AnalysisUSDJPY Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 148.668 and higher to 150.538. If no, Can rally between 143.981 or even lower to 142.410. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.๐ค
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 148.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 145.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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USDJPY ANalysis week 26Fundamental analysis
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged and forecast only a small cut in 2026-2027 due to concerns about high inflation. The number of officials opposing a rate cut this year increased. The Israel-Iran conflict escalated, the US may attack Iran but is waiting for Tehran's response, causing the Japanese Yen to appreciate thanks to its safe-haven role.
Japan and the US have not reached a trade deal, the risk of higher tariffs before the July 9 deadline. The US dollar is near a one-week high, supporting the USD/JPY pair, but investors remain cautious due to the lack of new economic data.
Technical analysis
USDJPY is rising quite strongly and reacting at the resistance zone of 146.200. There is a possibility of a price gap next week, so trading early will be quite risky. The trading range is expected to be clearer at the resistance and support zones. 146,800 and 147,700 are noted as the two important upper boundary zones. 145,400 and 144,400 will be important support zones with a very strong buyer force waiting.
Trading Signals
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live)
Sell Limit 146.00
Stop Loss 146.80
Take-Profit 1 144.50 โ if hit, move stop to breakeven
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days
2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00)
Sell Limit 145.20
Stop Loss 146.00
Take-Profit 1 144.00
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed
Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
Lingrid | USDJPY Breakout Could Trigger Strong Bullish RallyFX:USDJPY is approaching a retest of the 144.20โ144.30 support band after rebounding from a wedge breakdown and reclaiming structure within a broader ascending formation. Price remains under the downward trendline, but a successful bounce here could fuel another push toward 146. A higher low above 144.20 would confirm bullish intent.
๐ Key Levels
Buy zone: 144.20โ144.40
Sell trigger: breakdown below 144.00
Target: 146.00
Buy trigger: breakout and hold above 145.00
๐ก Risks
Rejection at the downward trendline limits upside potential
Failure to hold the 144.20 base could reverse the bullish structure
JPY strength from macro news could suppress breakout attempts
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ๐ฉโ๐ป
Mega long for the year 2027-2030Here is an idea for USDJPY pair. Im looking for a long term long position when price sweeps liquidity and react at the OrderBLock and FVG marked in my analysis. First of all, I expect a market shift in the near term, as i marked it(shift soon). Maybe a short position there wont be bad
*USDJPY| Weekly Breakdown - Bulls Took OverUJ was all bullish this week, no question about it. The chart made it clearโ30M structure stayed intact, and market flow shifted heavily in favor of the buyers.
Liquidity was taken along the way, with higher lows stacking up clean, setting the stage for further continuation to the upside.
Not overcomplicating this oneโbulls won the battle, and structure confirmed it. Now we look for smart ways to join that strength as price builds momentum into next week.
Stay with the flow, not against it.
Bless Trading!
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 144.27 occurred when the RSI indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, but the strong U.S. labor market data offered a high probability of the dollar strengthening against the yen, which I decided to take advantage of. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 145.06.
The confident growth in U.S. non-farm employment recorded in May exceeded experts' expectations' causing noticeable fluctuations in currency, markets. The publications of data showing the creation of 139,7000 new jobs versus the forecasted 127,000 instantly strengthened the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on the Japanese yen. The yen's reaction to the news was immediate: the currency weakened significantly against the dollar. Investors perceived the data as a signal of the strength of the U.S. economy and the likely continuation of Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy. Furthermore, the stable unemployment rate in the U.S. recorded at 4.2%, also reinforced the market's optimistic sentiment.
Today's data shows that Japan's GDP for the first quarter was revised upward, which helped the yen recover slightly from Friday's losses against the U.S. dollar. However, despite the positive revision, Japan's economy still faces serious challenges. Weak domestic demand and an aging population continue to pressure growth, while geopolitical uncertainty poses additional obstacles. The Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see approach and has no plans to raise interest rates for now, which had previously provided good support to the the yen. Strong growth in bank lending also contributed to increased demand for the yen.
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis โ Bullish Breakout Ahead?๐ USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis โ Bullish Breakout Ahead? ๐๐น
The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance.
๐ Key Observations:
๐ต Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation.
๐ Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe.
๐ Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900.
๐ข Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) โ a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point.
๐ Trading Outlook:
โ
A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup.
โ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal.
๐
Watch Levels:
Resistance: 145.800 โ 146.000
Support (breakout retest): 145.200 โ 145.500
Bullish Target: 148.900
๐ข Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. ๐ฅ๐
DOLLAR; ITS A WRAP.We are done with the week. If you've not been profitable no need for panic cause the market never stops running.We will still have plenty of opportunities to come, what's important is to remain calm and sane and prepared for a new week.
Always trust the process and have a lovely weekend.
USDJPY-bias long Bullish indications:
Major support respected
Inverted HS formation in 15 min time frame.
Inverted hammer candle in 4 hr
Bullish divergence in 1 hr
Trend line resistance broken .
Bearish indications:
Lower lows lower highs.
Trade plan bias long @ 140.815
SL:140.429
TP1:141.300
TP2:141.708
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.574.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.101.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Yen Edges Higher as Inflation SurgesThe Japanese yen traded stronger near 145 per dollar, rebounding as Japanโs core inflation rose for the third straight month to 3.7%, its highest since January 2023. The data strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue policy tightening.
Earlier in the week, the BOJ held rates at 0.5% but highlighted how rising wages are being passed on to consumers, keeping inflation elevated. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized a data-driven path forward, keeping the door open for more hikes if needed.
The key resistance is at $145.30, while the major support is located at $142.50.