NATGAS: When Triangles Go FlatGAZ is acting up again! Had to bail and re-enter. Just playing the trend and indicators.
Instead of forming a clean wedge, it’s just chopping sideways now. Though the wedge pattern could still play out.
USDNTG trade ideas
LONG ON NATURAL GASNatural gas has given us a nice CHOC (change of character) to the upside to start a upward move from a major demand zone.
I will be buying natural gas to the next level of supply.
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NATGAS TRADING PLANSlowly, very slowly, I'm transitioning from trading based on waves to trading waves through the filter of key levels and trend-moving averages.
Levels make me see scenarios that I used to ignore before.
Also, very slowly, I'm letting go of the habit of holding positions for too long.
Key levels for the next week are as follows:
Colored levels are a given. They act as magnets but also confirm the direction if the price continues pushing downward from the moving averages.
They will serve as confirmation of a trend reversal if the price breaks upward, retraces, and bounces off the levels and moving averages.
Such a filter + rules and avoiding tilt will ensure a return to profitable trading.
"NATURAL GAS PRICE THEFT IN PROGRESS – JOIN THE HEIST!"🔥 XNG/USD HEIST – BEARISH LOOT AWAITS! SWIPE & ESCAPE BEFORE THE COPS ARRIVE! 🔥
🌍 Greetings, Fellow Market Robbers! (Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🚔💸
🚨 Mission Briefing:
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Intelligence™🔥, we’ve identified a prime robbery opportunity in the XNG/USD (Natural Gas) Energy Market. Our Bearish Heist Plan is locked & loaded—long entries are a trap, and the real loot lies in the downside escape.
🎯 Heist Strategy:
Entry (Swipe the Loot!) 🏦
"The vault is cracked! Bears are distracted—time to steal!"
Sell Limit Orders preferred (15m-30m pullback entries).
DCA/Layering Strategy for maximum loot efficiency.
Stop Loss (Escape Route) 🚨
SL at nearest swing high (4H basis) – 3.480 (Day/Swing Trade)
Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, & number of orders.
Target (Police Evasion Zone) 🎯 2.900 (or earlier if cops close in!)
🔪 Scalpers’ Quick Heist:
Short-side scalp ONLY!
Big money? Go direct. Small stack? Join the swing robbers.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! 🚗💨
⚡ Why This Heist? (Bearish Forces at Play)
Fundamentals: Oversupply, weak demand, storage glut.
Technicals: Overbought, trend exhaustion, reversal signals.
Sentiment: Bulls are overconfident—perfect trap setup!
📰 Breaking News Alert (Stay Sharp!)
High-impact news = Volatility spikes!
Avoid new trades during releases.
Trailing SL = Your Shield. (Lock profits before the cops raid!)
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to fuel our next robbery! More loot = More strategies! 🚀💰
⚠️ WARNING (Legal Escape Plan):
Not financial advice!
Your risk, your loot.
Markets change—adapt or get caught!
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED, ROBBERS! 🐱👤🔥
Natural gas BUY at supportNatural gas is at a support level. BUY for target back up to the 3.80 range
NATGASThis weekly chart of Natural Gas (Spot) shows the price currently trading around 2.976 USD, sitting directly on a long-term ascending trendline and a horizontal support zone near 2.82–2.85 USD. The support has been tested multiple times in the past, reinforcing its importance as a key demand area. The stochastic oscillator at the bottom is deep in the oversold region, hinting at potential reversal conditions.
The recent candles show a downtrend channel that has just been broken to the upside, suggesting the possibility of a trend change. A highlighted green box indicates the potential upside target area around 4.04 USD if the rebound from support continues. This aligns with a technical bounce expectation after prolonged downside pressure.
Overall, the chart implies a bullish short-to-medium-term outlook if the support holds. A break below the ascending trendline would invalidate this scenario and could trigger deeper declines. However, with strong confluence of trendline, horizontal support, and oversold momentum, the probability of an upward move appears favorable.
Natural Gas is getting ready for Spike moveFollowup for Prvious published idea 31 July
Natural Gas well fitted in Diamond pattern satisfied all its characteristics
Breakout can happen by gapup opening on Monday
Now atleast for next all temperature are look positive
Natural Gas Shows Signs of Bullish Wave CompletionNatural Gas Shows Signs of Bullish Wave Completion
Natural gas is struggling to drop below 2.92, which could mean the current bullish wave is coming to an end.
Since NG is moving in a clear correction, we might be in the 5th wave—this could either be the start of a larger bullish move or part of a corrective pattern.
Looking at how the price has moved in the past, I believe it's more likely that a bullish wave is forming and could continue into next week.
For now, I’m watching two short-term targets at 3.23 and 3.37.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Natural Gas XNG: Trend Reversal or Just a Retracement?Natural Gas (XNG) has been trending bearish 🔻, but we’re now witnessing a bullish market structure shift ⚡— particularly visible on the 4H timeframe ⏱️. At present, price is overextended and pressing into a key resistance zone 📈🧱. I’m watching closely for a retracement back into equilibrium 🔄 within the previous price swing. This could offer a short-term scalp or day trade short setup 🎯.
Should price hold firm at support after the pullback 🛑, we could then begin building a bullish bias and look for long opportunities 📊— depending on how price action develops from there. 🚨 This is not financial advice.
U.S. Hot temperature boosted natural gas prices. For how long?U.S. Hot temperature boosted natural gas prices. For how long?
U.S. natural gas futures rose ~2% August 6 due to near-record LNG export flows and forecasts of hotter-than-normal weather through late August, boosting air conditioning demand and gas use by power plants (over 40% of U.S. electricity). Despite a hot summer, record production has kept gas stockpiles ~6% above normal, with storage likely to grow further.
Technically, price seems to form bullish wedge since mid - August. Price successfully tested the level of 3.0000, still can go on a retest of this level soon once again before some mid-term bullish momentum occurs. Additionally, according to seasonals, since the second half of the august, natural gas prices go bullish due to the beginning of the shoulder season.
LNG Outlook: Supply-Demand Differential Dropped Below the MedianThis analysis was prepared by Dr. Igor Isaev in cooperation with Anastasia Volkova, LSE analyst.
Current prices vs. price spread 10 days before expiration by month since 2010
(The top left graph)
Contract U is trading at the same level as the average price 10 days before expiration for all expired contracts over the previous 15 years. The futures prices of the Fall 2025 contracts are trading even closer to the median values on the expiration date, while remaining within the interquartile range. Prices of the 2026 and 2027 Winter contracts are declining but have not yet broken through the upper quartile values.
Current forward curve vs. 2020-2024
(The top graph in the middle)
Although the 3-year delivery contract prices as of 2025 have approached the levels of similar 2023 and 2024 contracts, a pronounced forward curve skew remains in the near-term (1-2 years) and distant (5-6 years) delivery segments.
Current inventory and forecast for next week compared to 2019-2024
(The top right graph)
For week 31 (July 28 —August 03), we expect a +16 BCF gain in storage. The fill rate is confidently holding above the median for the preceding 5 years. Injection rates maintain positive dynamics. If the current supply and demand balance stabilizes, reaching levels similar to 2024 peak values is possible. The weather and seasonal phenomena of late summer — early fall remain a restraining factor.
Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks comparing 1994-2024
(The lower left graph)
In the current, 32nd week, the weather is holding steady, reflecting the average values from observations over the past 30 years. Although the seasonal peak HDD+CDD has almost passed, next week (33) is forecast to have significantly above average HDD+CDD values.
Explanation of the chart: candles represent quantiles for 30 years from 1994 to 2024. Red dots 2024, green 2025, blue prediction 2025.
Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994-2024 by region
(The lower graph in the middle)
Looking by region, we see elevated HDD+CDD at week 33 in almost all regions.
Weekly cumulative supply/demand differentials compared to 2014-2024
(The lower right graph)
In the current 32nd week, the supply-demand differential has fallen below the median, almost to the edge of the lower interquartile range. On the demand side, we see a strong decline in consumption by power generation and a recovery in LNG exports. On the supply side, production continues to grow, but imports from Canada have dropped.
Natural Gas Bullish Recovery?Nat gas has recovered key technical levels with a strong rally today.
Looking at the daily chart we got a close above the 7 MA staging a potential 3 bar surge setup.
Nat gas looks to be targeting 3.18 in the near term...
Inventory report tomorrow: 10B forecast for inventories.
A potential arbitrage opportunity setting up for EQT, upside calls for next week.
Natural Gas SpotFormed Gartley though break 0.786 ratio but allowed upto starting point , also forming ABCD pattern, appear ib wave B or X later will decide b or X which wave . Let see. I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is not buy , sell , hold recommendation. Only personal view for educational purpose. Thanz. if goes wrong no offence.
Natural Gas Prices Fall to Yearly LowNatural Gas Prices Fall to Yearly Low
Analysing the chart on 22 July, we constructed a descending channel and assumed that natural gas prices would continue to form a bearish market structure of lower highs and lower lows. Since then, the market has declined by almost 10%.
As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas prices are hovering around the psychological level of $3.000/MMBtu. Earlier this week, gas was trading around $2.940/MMBtu — the lowest level of 2025.
According to media reports, the price decline is driven by both high production levels and favourable weather forecasts for August, the hottest month of the year. What might happen next?
Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart
We have updated the descending channel, taking into account the recent fluctuations in natural gas prices.
The chart shows that bearish momentum remains intact — the rise from point B to C appears to be a corrective rebound within the prevailing downward trend, with the following developments:
→ point C formed in the 0.5–0.618 area, which corresponds to classic Fibonacci retracement levels following the A→B impulse;
→ the former support at 0.365 has now become resistance.
Bulls may hope that the current sentiment could shift following tomorrow’s natural gas storage report (scheduled for 17:30 GMT+3). A drop in inventories could potentially trigger a bullish impulse on the XNG/USD chart.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural GasBearish bat pattern formed though first target achieved not able to post on time when detected but still there is room and also wave B may be folding and moving for wave C new low possible but time wise still one up may come but that possibly be selling opportunity.
Supply surplus pressure XNG price despite demand increaseFundamental:
Natural gas (XNGUSD) continued its decline, driven by high storage levels and surplus supply. Despite a 6.8% increase in demand for the week ending 30 Jul, the daily average supply surplus remained at 3.6 bln cubic feet, boosting underground working storage capacity to near the five-year average high. The persistent supply surplus could exert further downward pressure on natural gas prices.
Technical:
The price remains within the descending channel. Unless broken decisively, trend favors lower prices.
If the RSI hits oversold and the price breaks $2.91, the next target could be testing the long-term support at $1.85.
Reversal would require a break and close above the descending channel and above clustered EMAs, ideally crossing $3.07 (EMA50) and $3.16 (EMA100).
MACD bullish cross with RSI rising above 50 would confirm a potential upward momentum.
Price may oscillate between current support ($2.91) and resistance ($3.16-$3.30) if volume and volatility remain low, consolidating before the next major move.
Natgas - At support zone2 hr chart. natgas in support zone. Longs can be tried with appropriate SL as per appetite
Shorts should definitely be cautious here. trading longs , short term trade
Natural Gas spotBullish Crab pattern may form, but over all sell on rally as ichimoku cloud break in weekly but fallen too much so need to be careful. Level of crab pattern completion spotted in chart.
Bearish forcast On Naturalgas Keypoints -
1. +48 Bcf EIA storage build beat forecasts and the 5-year average, signaling excess supply
2.U.S. dry gas production hit 108.1 Bcf/day
3.The next major downside level will be at $2.574. With fundamentals pointing to an oversupplied market and only short-term weather demand offering support, near-term sentiment remains bearish.
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Sell NATGAS into OCT/NOVNatalie has fromed a H&S and has broke through all of the supporting EMAs leading to most of the indicators turning bearish.
My approach for the forseeable is seeling bounces until the winter season approaches.
Of course Natalie is extremely susceptible to trend changes due to economical data and has to be monitored closely. Currenlty I'm a bear.
Only selling once it breaks and retests, where I will once again reasses based on economics such as storage, production, imports and demand.
Target around $2.5 where interestingly a gap (red rectangle) sits from Nov - 24.
Elliot Wave (although not a great fan) kind of aligns as well as the 0.786 fib level which began forming at the beginning of 2024.
Storage | Volatility | Price Outlook
U.S. natural gas markets are stabilizing as volatility trends back toward seasonal norms.
📉 Volatility has dropped from 81% in Q4 2024 to 69% in mid-2025
🏪 Storage is currently at 3,075 Bcf,
🔻 4.7% lower YoY
🔺 5.9% higher than the 5-year average
🚢 LNG exports remain strong—up 22% YoY and 74% above the 5-year average
🔌 Domestic demand is seasonally weaker but steady
➡️ Despite being below last year’s levels, storage surplus vs. the 5-year average acts as a soft ceiling on price.
➡️ Historical analogs suggest a fair value range between $2.50–$3.20/MMBtu in the short term.
📊 Current price action around $3.00–$3.40 looks slightly overheated unless a fresh catalyst emerges (heatwave, export spike, etc.).
🧭 Watching for:
Injection trends over the next few weeks
Cooling demand in power sector
Resistance around $3.40
Support near $2.80
Natural Gas Rebounds from Key SupportNatural gas has bounced off its strong support level and is showing signs of upward movement, particularly evident on the hourly chart. Dips are being bought up, with the price quickly returning to previous levels.
Downsides: The downtrend is still in place (though it may potentially be broken), and there's a relatively long stop-loss below yesterday’s candle low at 2.98.
📝Trading Plan
Entry: buying gold at the current level
Stop Loss: 2.98
Target: 3.36, 3.62, and 4.20.
