Trade ideas
CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL price executed a clean SMC breakout above the descending trendline, shifting structure into bullish order-flow as liquidity above recent highs was taken and demand stepped in. Time Frame 10H.
Buy!
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USOIL Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 60.13 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 59.69
Recommended Stop Loss - 60.41
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude Oil at Key Levels Ahead of Tomorrow’s Major US DataCrude oil has been consolidating near critical support and resistance zones over the past few sessions. With tomorrow’s high-impact U.S. economic data, including the interest rate decision, volatility is expected to spike.
A break above resistance could trigger a strong bullish move, while a failure to hold support may lead to a sharper short-term decline. Traders should watch the reaction closely, as the announcement is likely to determine the next directional bias in oil, especially given current technical levels and recent trend patterns.
🛢 Key Scenarios:
Bullish: Price breaks resistance decisively → potential upward wave.
Bearish: Support fails → short-term drop, possible continuation of prior downtrend.
XTI/USD (Crude Oil) – 4H Trendline Analysis (Updated)🛢️ XTI/USD (Crude Oil) – 4H Trendline Analysis (Updated)
Crude oil has officially broken out of the bearish green trendline, meaning the downtrend lost its dominance for the first time in months. Buyers are now trying to build a new bullish structure, and that yellow “safety line” is the heart of this shift.
1️⃣ Trend Status
Bullish attempt active as long as price stays above the yellow safety line.
First breakout above the green trendline confirms bears are weakening.
2️⃣ The Safety Line (Yellow) — The Most Important Level
This trendline is literally the switch between bullish continuation and bearish collapse.
✔ Above the safety line → bullish continuation
Price can push toward:
61.00 → 61.80 → 62.00
❌ Any break below the safety line → downtrend resumes
If the yellow trendline breaks, it indicates:
Loss of bullish structure
Re-entry into bearish pressure
Potential drop toward 59.07 → 58.20
This is exactly where your trendline strategy shows its power.
3️⃣ Expected Movement
Your projection is on point:
A small retest → bounce → continuation toward the upper zones.
As long as oil respects the safety line, buyers stay in control.
✨ Final Summary
Trend: Bullish attempt
Key level: Yellow safety line
Break above: Leads to 61–62
Break below safety line: Indicates the downtrend is back in full control
If you want, I can format this into a TradingView-ready caption with your signature Avo.Trades style.
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 60.11
Target Level: 57.09
Stop Loss: 62.12
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL:LIVE TRADEHello friends
you can see that we had a decline and the sellers were in power until the support was determined with Fibonacci, where buyers entered and were able to support the price.
Now, with Fibonacci, we have determined a resistance area for buyers that can move up to there, but considering the main trend, which is negative, the price increase is an opportunity for a sell trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL Price Analysis & Bearish Trade Execution🛢️ Asset: WTI “USOIL” – Energies Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Day/Swing Trade)
📉 Plan: Bearish Plan Confirmed
Momentum is weakening, liquidity pockets are exposed at the lower ranges, and the structure favors downside continuation. Price remains vulnerable to deeper drawdowns as volatility compresses.
🎯 Entry:
ANY PRICE LEVEL ENTRY
(Execute based on your personal confirmation rules, premium/discount zones, or volatility triggers.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Risk Guide):
This is the Thief SL @ 58.500 🛑
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), kindly adjust your SL based on your own strategy, volatility preference, and personal risk model.
Note: I am not recommending that you use only my SL. You can make money and take money at your own risk.
💰 Target:
Strong support + oversold conditions + liquidity trap identified below, so kindly aim to escape with profits.
🎯 Our Target: 55.500
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending using only my TP. It is your own choice—you can make money and take money at your own risk.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
1️⃣ Brent Crude – “UKOIL”
Often moves in the same direction as WTI due to shared global demand/supply themes.
If UKOIL breaks structure first, USOIL usually follows shortly after.
2️⃣ Natural Gas – “NATGAS”
Not directly correlated but reacts to energy-sector sentiment.
A sharp move in NATGAS can shift commodity-flow risk appetite.
3️⃣ Canadian Dollar – “USD/CAD”
CAD strengthens when oil prices rise and weakens when oil drops.
For a bearish USOIL plan, watch for USD/CAD upward pressure.
4️⃣ S&P 500 Energy Sector – “XLE”
Tracks major oil companies.
Weakness in XLE often signals upcoming pressure on crude.
5️⃣ OPEC Headlines + API/EIA Reports
Sudden supply changes or inventory spikes can trigger fast volatility.
Keep monitoring these events closely during active trades.
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#TradingView #USOIL #CrudeOil #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingIdeas #Forex #Commodities #Bearish #RiskManagement
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USOIL - WTI - D1Market Structure
Oil has been in a long-term downtrend, but the chart now shows a clear break of the descending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Price reacted strongly from the blue liquidity zone (55.18 – 57.95) — a major demand area where institutions often buy.
This zone has now formed a double bottom / accumulation structure, indicating strong bullish interest.
2. Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Liquidity BUY Area)
55.18 – 57.95
Multiple liquidity sweeps below 58.00.
Strong reversal candles confirmed buyers.
This is the base for the upcoming bullish leg.
🔴 First Major Resistance / Target
65.36
Previously strong support → now resistance.
Likely first stop for the new bullish trend.
🔴 Second Target Zone (Medium-term)
70.21
Previous major swing level.
A strong resistance zone where partial profits make sense.
🔴 Final High-Probability Target Zone (Premium Supply)
75.86 – 78.00
Large supply area.
Strong reaction expected here.
Best area for large players to sell again.
3. Price Action Outlook
Main Scenario – Bullish Reversal (High Probability)
Price has broken out of the descending structure.
A clean retest or shallow pullback is expected above 58–60 USD.
Strong bullish leg toward:
✔ TP1: 65.36
✔ TP2: 70.21
✔ TP3: 75.86 – 78.00 (Major target zone)
Why bullish?
Break of trendline = momentum shift.
Liquidity sweep at major demand zone.
Multiple rejection wicks show strong buyer control.
No bearish continuation structure forming.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 58.39
Target Level: 57.94
Stop Loss: 58.69
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Decoding the ‘Geometric Time Bomb’ Ticking Under Crude OilThe article argues that WTI Crude Oil is at a critical inflection point on 10 December 2025, due to a combination of astrological timing and price-cycle geometry (via a variant of W.D. Gann theory).
Because the planet Neptune (considered the “ruler” of oil in this framework) is “stationing direct” today — at the very end of its “home” sign — the article suggests that today may mark a structural low or the start of a sharp move.
According to the article, oil is currently “coiled” in a tight range between $57.00 and $60.82. A breakout from that range would set the tone for the next ~ 90 days (until the spring equinox).
Avoid trading the breakout today — the article warns that “Neptune days” are prone to false moves and whipsaws.
Instead, watch for a dip towards $57.00–$57.50. If price touches that zone and quickly reclaims ~ $58.00, that would be regarded as a strong “Neptune Reversal” — a buy signal according to the author.
The expectation is that once the superseding energy of Mars (entering Capricorn soon) kicks in, a more structural bull rally may begin — “smart money” accumulation implied.
US OILHI GUYS,
I have stopped trading us oil after i posted or shared a price sell pattern that failed to work.
i will be waiting for the duration of 511days to trade again.
NOTE. My technical analysis is saying that there is a historical manipulation on the previous RT WEEKLY, which definitely has to affect the currently on-going situation to the RT DAILY Incoming buy pattern .
NOTE MY strategy is if i make a loss on a pair twice a week, it simply means everything will always go south (wrong)
this is why i always recheck the 6month the 12month and possibly the 24 month if they have a historical manipulation or a new structure that i have never seen then i stay away from investing, but i track down the history because it will definitely happen again next year or the years to come.(future)
FOR THOSE THAT SOLD EARLIER ON THE RT WEEKLY U CAN HOLD, HOWEVER FOR THOSE THAT ARE TRADING NOW WELL KEEP AT IT
An initial bullish trend is emerging in crude oil.(I) Supply-Demand Dynamics: OPEC+’s Backing vs. Surplus Pressure, Short-Term Balance Unbreakable
On the supply side, OPEC+ has explicitly decided to suspend production increases in the first quarter of 2026. The ongoing production cut of 3.24 million barrels per day continues to underpin the market. Moreover, the implementation of the production capacity assessment mechanism will reduce disputes over output quotas, sending a clear policy signal to stabilize oil prices.
However, the short-term supply glut remains unresolved. U.S. crude oil production has stabilized at a record high of 13.862 million barrels per day. Non-OPEC+ countries such as Brazil and Norway are continuously ramping up their production capacity. The IEA predicts that the global oil market will face a supply surplus of nearly 4 million barrels per day in 2026. Record-high inventories (reaching a four-year peak) and 200 million barrels of crude oil stranded at sea are exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Demand growth remains sluggish. The slow recovery of the global economy is restricting oil consumption. The IEA estimates that the annual demand growth rate will only be 0.8 - 1.2 million barrels per day. Refined oil consumption in Europe and the United States is weak, while inventory replenishment demand in Asia is characterized by a short-cycle pattern, which is unable to form sustained support for oil prices. Amid this fragile balance between supply and demand, oil prices lack the momentum for a unilateral trend.
(II) Geopolitics: Low Risk Premium, Acting as a Disturbance Rather Than a Trend Driver
The situation in the Middle East is in a delicate balance. The return of Russian troops to southern Syria has formed a strategic buffer zone, restricting Israel's military operations and temporarily easing the security risks to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. There are no signs of an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The market has partially priced in expectations of either easing or tightening sanctions on Russia, and Russia has maintained the stability of its oil exports through shadow fleets. In the short term, geopolitical factors may only trigger technical rebounds, but they are unlikely to change the volatile pattern dominated by fundamentals.
(III) U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate: Rising Dovish Expectations, Suppressive Effect Marginally Eased
Expectations of a Fed interest rate cut in December have strengthened. The market forecasts that interest rates will gradually adjust toward the neutral range of 3.00% - 3.25%. The U.S. Dollar Index has broken below the key support level of 99 and is currently fluctuating around 98.95, with a potential downside risk of 5% - 7% in the subsequent period.
Crude oil maintains a negative correlation of approximately -0.65 with the U.S. dollar. The weakening of the U.S. dollar reduces the procurement costs for non-U.S. dollar countries, marginally easing the downward pressure on oil prices and providing monetary support for a rebound.
(IV) Technical Outlook: Key Resistance Nearby, Defined Volatility Range
WTI crude oil is currently trading at $60.09, closely approaching the 50-day moving average ($60.2) and the previous high-volume trading zone, which together form short-term resistance. On the downside, the key supports are focused on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $58.8, and the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at $57.9 serves as a strong support level.
On the daily chart, the RSI indicator stands at 52, which falls in the neutral range. The MACD red histogram is shrinking, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish momentum. In the short term, WTI crude oil is expected to fluctuate in a narrow range, with resistance between $60 and $60.5 and support between $58.8 and $59.
Next week's crude oil trading strategy
buy:59-59.5
tp:60-61-62
sl:58.5
WTI Oil approaching key support!Following three consecutive days of gains, the price of WTI Oil sank by more than 2.0% yesterday and fell below 3M support at US$59.46 (which is now labelled as resistance).
The trend continues to favour sellers, with further underperformance likely to occur if the 6M support at US$58.34 is taken out. Beyond this level, a bearish scenario could unfold, targeting 2025 lows of US$55.15, closely shadowed by key support between US$53.87 (1Y) and US$54.19 (3M).
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
CRUDE OIL Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has broken beneath the rising trendline and retested a supply cluster, confirming an SMC bearish shift as buy-side liquidity was swept before displacement pushed price lower. A continuation toward the target discount zone remains likely. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL: 08/12/2025 daily analysisOil prices held steady as traders monitored India's increased purchases of Russian crude and Ukraine's stepped-up attacks on Russian energy assets. WTI stayed near $60 after recent gains, while Putin promised uninterrupted fuel shipments to India ahead of US trade talks.
Ukraine’s strikes on energy infrastructure tightened loadings and lifted physical crude prices, but rising global supply from OPEC+ and major producers, such as the US, Brazil, and Guyana, keeps oversupply fears alive. The oversupply of crude oil in 2026 appears to be prevailing, pushing futures toward the low-$60s through 2026. For now, fresh market outlooks from the EIA, IEA, and OPEC are due this week.
On the technical side, the crude oil price corrected to the downside after finding resistance around the $60 mark, which is the psychological resistance of the round number as well as the 38.2% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, it is testing the support of the 50-day simple moving average, while the Stochastic oscillator is moving towards neutral territory. The moving averages are validating the overall ebarish trend while the Bollinger Bands are sufficiently expanded to support any significant move in the short term.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 62.24
1st Support: 56.51
1st Resistance: 65.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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USOIL strong down trend entry on consolidation breakdown USOIL Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
USOIL continues to show strong downside momentum, with sellers maintaining control. Price is currently respecting the downtrend structure, and a consolidation breakdown below 59,100 is confirming further bearish pressure.
📉 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 58,300
Next Major Support: 56,400
As always, ensure you are using proper risk management and wait for clear confirmations before entering any position.
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CRUDE OIL OPENING WEDGE|LONG|
✅WTI OIL has broken out of the expanding wedge, signaling bullish displacement as we move away from prior sell-side liquidity. A corrective retest of the breakout zone could fuel continuation toward premium draw-on liquidity. Time Frame 12H
LONG🚀
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WTI Weekly Forecast (week 50)Bias: Mildly Bearish → Range-Bound
Expected Range: $55.50 – $60.00
Most Likely Zone: $57.00 – $59.00
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1️⃣ Overall Market Viev
→ Bearish forces dominating
Global supply remains abundant: U.S. shale output steady, Brazil & Guyana rising.
OPEC+ cuts are not tight enough to flip sentiment to bullish.
Weak macro data in Europe/China continues to cap demand expectations.
→ No strong geopolitical premium right now
Markets are pricing no major disruption in Russian or Middle Eastern flows.
Without a risk premium, oil trades on fundamentals → which are soft.
→ Technical conditions
WTI still sits inside a descending channel, with repeated failures near $60.
Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) show lower highs → sellers remain in control.
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2️⃣ Weekly Price Outlook
Base Case (60% probability): Mild Bearish Drift
WTI holds below $60, spends most of the week between $57–59.
Momentum gradually pulls price toward $56–57.
Range Case (30% probability): Sideways Trading
No strong catalysts this week → WTI chops inside $57–60.
Bullish Upside Surprise (10% probability)
Only likely if:
Large EIA draw
Major supply outage (pipeline, terminal, Russia/Turkey/Mideast)
OPEC+ signals stricter compliance
Would push WTI to $60.50–62.00.
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3️⃣ Key Levels for the Week
Support
$57.00 → primary support
$55.50 → major weekly floor; break = trend acceleration lower
Resistance
$59.00 → first sell zone
$60.00–60.50 → big resistance; break needed to flip bullish
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4️⃣ Catalysts to Watch This Week
📊 EIA Inventory Report (Midweek)
Bearish if: crude builds +1.5M or more; gasoline/distillate builds
Bullish if: crude draws –3M+ with strong product demand
🌍 Geopolitics
Russian export flows
Middle East shipping/lng/oil terminals
OPEC+ commentary (compliance, voluntary cuts)
📉 Macro Data
USD strength
US PMIs, jobs data
China industrial demand signals
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⭐ Bottom Line
WTI is expected to remain under pressure this week, trading mostly in the $57–59 range with a downside bias toward $56. A breakout above $60 is unlikely unless a major bullish catalyst appears.






















