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USOIL trade ideas

WTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks CollideWTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks Collide WTI crude hovered around $64 on August 25, steady after last week’s gains as traders balanced U.S. rate-cut expectations with geopolitical risks. The Fed is seen 85% likely to cut rates in September, boosting demand outlooks. Supply concerns persist after Washington threatened 50% tariffs on Indian imports over Russian oil purchases, while India signaled it will keep buying from Moscow. Stalled Russia-Ukraine talks and renewed attacks on energy infrastructure add to uncertainty.
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Crude Oil pauses as fed meets supplyOil steadied after a strong week, with WTI holding around $63. Markets are balancing the Fed’s signal of rate cuts, which could support demand, against rising supply from OPEC+ that risks creating an oversupply. The U.S. also moved to double tariffs on Indian imports in retaliation for its continued purchases of Russian crude, though Indian refiners signaled they’ll keep buying from Moscow. Risk assets gained broadly on expectations of easier monetary policy, but analysts cautioned that underlying fundamentals still point to downside risks. On the geopolitical front, Washington has intensified efforts to end the war in Ukraine, with Trump warning of “massive sanctions” on Russia if no deal is reached soon. On the technical side, the price of crude oil is currently testing the resistance area consisting of the 61.8% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level and the dynamic resistance between the 50 and 100-day simple moving averages. The Bollinger bands have somewhat contracted, showing that volatility in the market for crude might be slowing down for the time bein,g while the Stochastic oscillator is pushed near the extreme overbought levels, hinting that there might be a bearish correction in the upcoming session,s possibly retesting the lows of $62. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Bearish Outlook: Short Position Based on Technical and FundamentBased on a detailed assessment of key support and resistance levels, as well as recent fundamental news, I believe the price is set to decline. The current price action is approaching a critical resistance zone, which has historically proven to be a strong reversal point. Combined with bearish market sentiment driven by , the outlook for the asset appears to be skewed to the downside. The risk-reward ratio on this short position is favorable, with the potential for significant profit if the price breaks THE ACCTUAL PRICE. I will be monitoring this trade closely for any signs of reversal or further confirmation of bearish momentum.
FXOPEN:XTIUSDShort
by mohamedmed10
Bearish continuation?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 65.65 1st Support: 60.66 1st Resistance: 70.97 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
2
OILUSD Testing 64.576 ResistanceWTI Crude Oil rebounded from the 61.717 support zone and is now pushing into the 64.576 resistance area, where sellers previously stepped in. Support at: 63.090 | 61.717 | 59.869 | 55.451 Resistance at: 64.576 | 66.280 | 70.265 | 75.329 🔎 Bias: Bullish: A breakout above 64.576 could fuel momentum toward 66.280. Bearish: Rejection here may lead to a retest of 63.090 and possibly 61.717. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSD
by SPOT_FX
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support. Entry: $62.90 – $63.20 Stop-Loss: $61.95 Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00 RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅ Why this works: Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white). Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks. HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot). Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white). Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1. Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure) 🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile! ⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly. 💬 Thoughts on this setup?
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JudasSwingClub
WTI4H In this series of analyses, we have reviewed trading perspectives and short-term outlooks. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current asset price, and the market’s reaction or breakout at this level will determine the next price trend toward the specified targets. Important note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight significant levels ahead of the price and potential market reactions to these levels. The provided analyses are by no means trading signals!
CFI:WTI
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
USOIL Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 63.76 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 63.02 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
# USOIL Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy# USOIL Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy * Current Position: 64.581 (August 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) --- * **Market Overview & Fundamental Backdrop** *# Key Market Drivers: *OPEC+ Production Increase**: Starting August 2025, OPEC+ nations increased output by 548,000 barrels per day *Bearish Supply Outlook**: EIA forecasts Brent crude falling from $71/barrel in July to $58/barrel in Q4 2025 *Inventory Build**: Global oil inventories rising due to supply exceeding demand *Current Price Action**: USOIL down 14.91% year-over-year, testing critical support zone --- * **Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis** *# **Monthly/Weekly (Swing Analysis)** **Elliott Wave Analysis:** - Currently in Wave C of a corrective ABC pattern from 2024 highs - Major support confluence at 63.88-64.72 zone (previous significant lows) - If support fails, next target: 58-60 range (EIA fundamental target alignment) **Wyckoff Analysis:** - Phase C of Distribution: Testing support after distribution top - Volume analysis suggests institutional selling on rallies - Support test at current levels critical for future direction *# **Daily Timeframe** **Harmonic Patterns:** - Potential Bearish Bat pattern completion around 66-67 resistance - AB=CD pattern suggests 62-63 as next measured target if support breaks **Ichimoku Analysis:** - Price below all major Ichimoku levels (bearish) - Kumo (cloud) acting as resistance around 67-69 - Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bearish cross occurred *# **4H/1H Analysis** **Key Levels:** *Resistance**: 66.50, 67.20, 68.00 *Support**: 64.00, 63.88, 62.50 **RSI Analysis:** - 4H RSI: 35-40 range (oversold territory) - Divergence watch: Any bullish divergence could signal temporary bounce **Bollinger Bands:** - Price at lower band, suggesting potential oversold bounce - Squeeze pattern developing, indicating volatility expansion ahead **VWAP Analysis:** - Daily VWAP: 65.80 (price below - bearish) - Weekly VWAP: 67.20 (strong resistance) *# **Intraday (5M-30M) Analysis** **Moving Averages:** - 20 EMA: Acting as immediate resistance at 64.80 - 50 SMA: Dynamic resistance at 65.50 - 200 SMA: Key level at 67.00 **Gann Theory Application:** *Square of 9**: Next support at 63.00 (significant Gann level) *Time Cycles**: 14-21 day cycle suggests potential reversal zone by August 28-30 *Gann Angles**: 2x1 angle support at 63.50 *Price Squaring**: 64² = important mathematical support --- * **Weekly Trading Strategy (August 26-30, 2025)** *# **Monday, August 26** **Setup**: Support Bounce Play *Entry**: 64.20-64.40 (if holding above 63.88) *Stop Loss**: 63.70 *Target 1**: 65.20 *Target 2**: 65.80 *Risk-Reward**: 1:2 *# **Tuesday, August 27** **Setup**: Breakdown Play (if Monday support fails) *Entry**: Break below 63.80 with volume *Stop Loss**: 64.30 *Target 1**: 62.50 *Target 2**: 61.80 *Risk-Reward**: 1:2.5 *# **Wednesday, August 28** **Setup**: Range Trade *Long Entry**: 63.00-63.20 *Short Entry**: 65.50-65.80 *Range SL**: 50 pips *Range Targets**: Opposite side of range *# **Thursday, August 29** **Setup**: Momentum Follow *Bullish**: Above 65.80 with volume → Target 66.50 *Bearish**: Below 63.00 → Target 61.50 *Stop**: 40-50 pips from entry *# **Friday, August 30** **Setup**: Weekly Close Strategy *Focus**: Position for next week based on weekly close *Above 64.50**: Bullish bias for next week *Below 63.50**: Bearish bias for next week --- * **Risk Management Framework** *# **Position Sizing** - Maximum risk per trade: 2% of account - Daily loss limit: 4% of account - Weekly loss limit: 8% of account *# **Market Hours Focus** *Best Volatility**: 13:30-17:00 UTC (US session) *Asian Session**: 01:00-08:00 UTC (lower volatility) *Overlap Periods**: Highest volume and best setups --- * **Geopolitical & Macro Scenarios** *# **Bearish Catalysts** 1. **OPEC+ Further Production Increases**: Could push prices to $58-60 range 2. **US Strategic Reserve Releases**: Additional supply pressure 3. **China Economic Slowdown**: Reduced demand expectations 4. **Recession Fears**: Global demand destruction *# **Bullish Catalysts** 1. **Middle East Tensions**: Any supply disruption risk 2. **OPEC+ Production Reversal**: If they halt planned increases 3. **Hurricane Season**: Potential Gulf of Mexico disruptions 4. **Geopolitical Tensions**: Russia-Ukraine, Iran tensions *# **Probability Assessment** *Bearish Scenario (60%)**: Break below 63.88 → Target 58-60 *Neutral Scenario (25%)**: Range-bound 63.50-66.50 *Bullish Scenario (15%)**: Recovery above 67.00 → Target 70-72 --- * **Key Economic Events to Watch** *# **This Week** - EIA Crude Oil Inventories (Wednesday) - OPEC+ Meeting Minutes/Statements - US GDP Data - China Manufacturing PMI *# **Next Week** - Non-Farm Payrolls - OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report - China Trade Balance --- * **Technical Confluence Summary** *# **Strong Support Zone: 63.00-63.88** - Previous significant lows - Gann Square of 9 level - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement - Wyckoff support test zone *# **Key Resistance Zone: 66.50-67.20** - Weekly VWAP - 200-day SMA - Ichimoku cloud base - Volume profile resistance --- * **Trading Recommendations** *# **Short-Term (1-2 weeks)** **Bias**: Bearish below 65.00 **Strategy**: Sell rallies, buy only on oversold bounces *# **Medium-Term (1 month)** **Bias**: Bearish **Target**: 58-60 range based on fundamental outlook *# **Long-Term (3-6 months)** **Bias**: Range-bound to bearish **Range**: 55-70 with periodic volatility spikes --- *Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always use proper risk management and consider your risk tolerance before trading.* For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by sunya
USOIL Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 63.760. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 63.300 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
US Crude oil Spotits neo wave alternative count for wave 1 of wave C in lower degree and it wave C of Wave 2 or Wave A let see. Earlier posted little different wave 1 count and wave 2 count for wave C let see which one fit as in progress . In both case near $67 is invalidation point. Also bearish gartley and other harmonic pattern developed which I shown in charts in previous post. I am not SEBI registered analyst and its not buy , sell and hold recommendation and having position in it in mcx.
CFI:WTI
by ManishDamani663ab2f2a8cf4dde