USOIL-crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high.
So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows.
If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify.
Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal.
WTICOUSD trade ideas
USIOL: Trading Strategy for Next WeekAfter reaching the key resistance level, USOIL started to decline. In the trading next week, when it reaches the vicinity of the resistance level of $64.5, you can continue to go short.
All the signals I sent have been profitable, and I will continue to send accurate signals.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
usoil sell@64.5-65
tp:63-61
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 63.133 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.366..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SHORT OIL Break of support and retest**Oil Sell Setup:**
1. **Entry:**
- Sell at rejection of 0.50 daily Fib + 20 MA confluence
- Wait for bearish confirmation candle
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Place above recent swing high
3. **Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Recent swing low
- Target 2: Previous major swing low
- Target 3: Major support level from higher timeframe
4. **Confirmations:
- Rejection candles at confluence zone
- Failed attempts to close above 20 MA
5. **Management:**
- Scale out at targets
- Move stop to breakeven at first target
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices.
Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Long trade
30min TF overview
🛢 WTICOUSD – Buy-Side Trade
📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 AM (New York Time)
📍 Session: London AM
📊 Entry Timeframe: (5m)
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 63.238
Take Profit: 66.619 (+5.54%)
Stop Loss: 63.036 (–0.32%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 16.74
Reasoning - Narrative
This WTI Crude Oil long trade was initiated during the London AM session, a time when commodity markets often see increased activity and institutional positioning. The trade followed a sharp reaction off a discounted price zone, which aligned with a previously unmitigated bullish order block on the intraday chart.
Before entry, price performed a liquidity sweep below 63.10, triggering stops from earlier long positions and clearing out sell-side pressure
USOILThis chart for WTI Crude Oil presents a bullish continuation setup following a rebound from the support level around 61.50. After breaking above a minor consolidation range, price is now retracing slightly before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The chart highlights a target at63.95, just below the upper resistance zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area.
Technical Breakdown:
- Support Level: Firm bounce near 61.50, confirming demand.
- Minor Breakout: Price broke above local structure and retesting for continuation.
- Resistance Zone: Located near64.00, target aligns with historical supply.
- Next Target: 63.95
Volume spikes during the bounce suggest strong buyer interest. A clean break and hold above 63.00 could open the path toward the $63.95 target. Traders may look for bullish price action confirmation for entry.
USOIL – Wedge Whisper Turned Rejection Roar
Crude just whispered its next move — and it’s not looking bullish.
After a clean rising wedge breakdown, price is now retesting the underside of the structure, right inside a high-volume supply zone (62.75 - 64.50). This zone screams rejection, especially with that wick-heavy rejection candle teasing a deeper move.
This setup aligns with classic market psychology — buyers trapped at the top, smart money looking for that short squeeze to the downside.
Short Bias Activated
Sell Zone: 62.75 - 64.50
Target: 54.25
Invalidation: Break and close above 64.60
If this plays out, it’s a straight-up slide to the next major demand zone. Eyes on volume and rejection confirmations!
WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash.
Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term.
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Crude Oil Hits a Ceiling — Will This Confluence Break or Bounce?Price tapped the 65.2 resistance zone (yellow line) and immediately pulled back — showing some hesitation around that confluence of resistance (horizontal + trendline).
This zone has acted as a ceiling before, and now it's back in play.
What I’m Seeing:
- Clean rejection from 65.2
- A clear rising trendline still holding below
- Bearish wicks showing early signs of hesitation
- Confluence of red and green trendlines (compression forming?)
Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
I’m personally watching for either:
✅ A strong break above the confluence for possible long entries
❌ Or a rejection followed by confirmation for a short setup
The breakout could be clean — or it could trap bulls/lure bears… staying patient.
Levels in Play:
- Resistance: 65.2
- Support: 63.5
Possible breakdown below the green TL could shift the short-term bias
No setup, no trade.
My edge is in waiting — not chasing.
Cheers!
pClem Trades
WTI Crude 23-Apr 2025WTI showed some move up after some headlines related to sanctions imposed by the US on Iran.
Potential scenarios to monitor:
• The inability to sustain a move above the $65 level may suggest that bullish momentum remains limited, which could potentially open the door for a revisit of the previous support area near $55.
• A confirmed move and stabilization above the $65 mark may indicate scope for a continued recovery toward the $72 area.
• Around the $72 level, price action may face a decision point — a lack of further upward momentum could see a pullback toward $65, while sustained buying interest might support a move toward the $80 area.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Crude Oil oversold bounce back resistance at 6600WTI Crude Oil is showing bearish sentiment, in line with the current downtrend. Recent price action appears to be an oversold bounce back. A break below a key consolidation zone, could add pressure to the downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6600 (former support, now resistance), 6670, 6750
Support: 6323, 6165, 6045
Bearish Outlook:
Price has broken below 6600, which was a key intraday consolidation level. If WTI sees a short-term bounce but fails to break above 6600, it could resume its downward move toward 6323, then 6165, and possibly 6045 over time.
Bullish Scenario:
If WTI breaks above 6600 and closes above it on the daily chart, the bearish setup would be invalidated. This could open the door for a short squeeze rally toward 6670, then 6760.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bearish below 6600. A rejection at this level would reinforce the downside bias. However, a confirmed break and daily close above 6600 would shift the outlook to bullish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Crude Oil Tests Critical Support Level at $65.10FenzoFx—Crude Oil is consolidating below the $65.10 resistance, trading around $64.30. The price remains above the 50-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, confirming a bullish trend. However, the Stochastic Oscillator crossing above 20 signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential pullback.
If oil stays below $65.10, a bearish wave could follow, targeting $62.31 and then $61.75.
Bullish Scenario: A close and stabilization above $65.10 could trigger the uptrend, targeting $67.60.
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Heading into Fibonacci confluence?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as and overlap support.
Pivot: 65.19
1st Support: 61.85
1st Resistance: 67.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Oil Short: Ending Diagonal and Rising WedgeI propose that Oil is a good short candidate because of what I am seeing:
1. Rising Wedge
2. Ending Diagonal within the Rising Wedge
I propose 3 entry points for shorting but mention that if you are shorting at the top of the trendline, to cater for false breakout, meaning more allowance in your stop.
Good luck!
Crude Oil Breaks Out — Is $65.5 the Next Wall?Price started its bullish move in the first week of April, and since then, it’s been making higher lows. Today’s candle broke cleanly above a key trendline, and price is now heading toward the $65.5 resistance, which could act as a critical decision zone.
Key Levels:
- Support: Around $63.2
- Resistance: $65.5 (next major wall)
- Setup: Trendline Breakout
What I’m Watching:
When price gets to 65.5, I’ll be looking for:
- A strong breakout (maybe even retest + continuation) to hold my buy
- Or a clear rejection to scale out or re-evaluate
I’m staying patient. I’ve picked my setup and I’m sticking to it — no jumping around. Let’s see how this plays out.
Cheers!
pClem Trades
MAY 1-1-1 TRADING CHALLENGEI’ve been thinking about how messy trading can get.
One day you're watching a video on scalping, the next you're trying to swing trade five different pairs. Then before you know it, your screen is cluttered with a million indicators, your confidence is shot, and your results? Even worse.
So for the month of May, I’m doing something different.
I’m calling it the 1-1-1 Challenge
1 Mentor. 1 Instrument. 1 Setup.
For me, that means:
- I’m sticking with Tori as my mentor. No other videos, no mixed signals.
- I’m focusing only on Crude Oil. That’s my chart, my market.
- And I’m trading only Trendline Breaks. Clean and simple.
That’s it. Pure focus. Pure discipline.
Let’s see what happens when I stop trying to trade everything — and start mastering one thing.
If you’ve been feeling the same kind of overwhelm, maybe this challenge is for you too.
Want to join me in May?
Let’s go all in:
1 Mentor
1 Instrument
1 Setup
I'll be sharing my progress and documenting my journey here. Follow me!
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
sell:64.5-65
tp:63-62
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Long From Support Explained
There is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will go up
from the underlined key daily support.
As a confirmation, the price violated both a neckline of an inverted
head & shoulders pattern and a resistance line of a falling wedge
on an hourly time frame.
Goals: 63.780 / 64.275
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