SILVER UP IN THE DAY BY +0.84% DESPITE A RELATIVE STRONG DOLLAROn Monday April 28, 2025, President Donald Trump announced plans to ease the impact of his automotive tariffs, aiming to alleviate concerns from automakers and consumers. In response to this, the dollar index started making recovery from previous week losses, however the dollar index is somewhat steady around 99.29 as markets awaits the key events this week.
From technical standpoint, Sliver prices was supported at 32.66 which aligns with EMA 50 and is seen approaching a resistance zone, where 33.66 per ounce stands to be the peak of the zone. Having tested this supply zone in retrospect, this level could halt price movements. But a brake above this level could open room for further bullish rally with potential target around 34.00 and 34.40. On the other hand, a bearish momentum would likely drive prices towards 32.78. A break below this price level opens up room for further decline with potential target around 32.10 acting as two weeks low. Further break out of the levels are not ruled out according to technical analysts.
UPCOMING CATALYST.
On the radar this week: Markets await the JOLTs report today, April 29, at 6:00 PM GMT+4, followed by U.S. GDP Q/Q, Employment Cost Index, and Core Price Index tomorrow, April 30, at 4:30 PM GMT+4.
Focus would be shifted to The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy statement and economic outlook on Thursday, while the U.S. jobs report will wrap up the week on Friday.
These key events could trigger some market volatility.
XAGUSD trade ideas
Silver INTRADAY breakout retest supported at 3247Silver INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 3247
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3383
Resistance Level 2: 3414
Resistance Level 3: 3457
Support Level 1: 3247
Support Level 2: 3184
Support Level 3: 3112
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Silver Falls to $33.00 on Trade OptimismSilver (XAG/USD) slipped to around $33.00 on Tuesday as safe-haven demand eased amid improving U.S.-China trade sentiment and a stronger U.S. dollar. Optimism grew after Trump suggested tariff rollbacks and China granted exemptions. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed ongoing talks and positive proposals. Markets now await key US data, Q1 GDP, PCE inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls for clues on Fed policy.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 33.80. In case of its breach 34.20 and 34.85 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, first support is at 32.50. 31.40 and 30.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
Potential bearish drop?The Silver (XAG/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 33.12
1st Support: 32.16
1st Resistance: 33.67
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SILVER WILL GROW|LONG|
✅SILVER made a retest of
The horizontal support area
Around 32.75$ while trading
In an uptrend and we are now
Seeing a bullish rebound
Which reinforces our bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Weekly Silver Analysis - Issue 208 (Free)The analyst believes that the price of XAGUSD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 33.0203 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 32.8151.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
#XAGUSD 1HXAGUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is approaching a key resistance zone on the 1-hour timeframe. Previous reactions at this level suggest that sellers have been active, making it an important area to monitor for potential price rejection.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may be considered if the price gets rejected from the resistance area with bearish confirmation signals. A failure to break above the resistance could lead to downward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider selling near the resistance zone after clear confirmation of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Positioned above the resistance area to protect against unexpected breakouts.
- Take Profit: Aim for nearby support levels or previous lows.
Market Sentiment:
As long as the price respects the resistance level and bearish confirmations appear, selling pressure could increase. A clear breakout above resistance would invalidate the current bearish setup.
A new entry point in the ongoing rallyIt's time to go long on silver again.
The trend is upward, and the growth continues. We've seen a pullback after the price reached the 33.50 level — a good opportunity to re-enter. Nothing has changed fundamentally; my view on the metal remains the same. The uptrend is intact, and I believe we're just at the beginning of the move. Higher targets are ahead.
I plan to continue following the trend carefully — exiting positions when risks arise and re-entering if there are confirmations of further growth.
Stop is set at the 32.95 level.
SILVER 4H New Week OutlookSo we had a market structure shift on TVC:SILVER : Order block + Strong Move + Imbalance. I am looking a continuation to the downside, my eyes are on the Sellside Liquidity zone. I will make an entry based on how price reacts to the Balanced Price Range zone (The zone with overlapping Fair Value Gaps). Patience is our best friend now. Happy Trading Week.
Aggressive Buyers and Their Financial Adventures.In our previous idea, despite the fear and stress in the stock market, we predicted that the mighty crab buyers would charge in with full force.
Toward the end of the idea, we anticipated these energetic crabs would get tired around the $31 mark, needing a deep dive and a price drop to catch their breath.
However, their dive wasn’t as deep as expected, and fresh buyers, inspired by the Cypher pattern, jumped into the market at $31.
Now, we expect these crabby buyers to hit their next exhaustion point around $33.2, where they’ll likely need a long and deep rest—because even crabs can’t keep snapping forever!
SEYED.
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 33.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 32.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 34.51
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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SILVER Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a local
Uptrend and the price made
A retest of the horizontal
Support level around 32.83$
From where we will be
Expecting a rebound and
A move up on Monday
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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SILVER: Short Trading Opportunity
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry Level - 33.096
Sl - 33.729
Tp - 31.949
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 33.100
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 33.330
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,308.7.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,462.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVERSilver’s supply-demand dynamics in 2025 are characterized by persistent deficits and surging industrial demand, setting the stage for significant price action. Here’s how these factors are shaping the market:
Supply Constraints and Deficit Dynamics
Fifth Consecutive Annual Deficit
The silver market is projected to face a 182 million-ounce deficit in 2025, continuing a five-year trend of demand outpacing supply. Key drivers include:
Production stagnation: Global silver supply has declined over the past decade, with 2024 production at 1.03 billion ounces, insufficient to meet demand of 1.21 billion ounces.
Recycling limitations: Industrial applications (e.g., electronics, solar panels) often result in permanent silver loss, reducing recyclable supply.
Geopolitical and Mining Risks
Mexico and Russia, which collectively contribute ~21% of global production, face regulatory changes and geopolitical tensions, further straining supply.
New deposits in Poland (potential 150M ounces/year by 2030) offer long-term relief but minimal impact for 2025.
Demand Drivers Fueling Price Pressure
Industrial Demand Surge
Solar energy: Accounts for 15–20% of total demand, driven by global net-zero initiatives.
AI and tech: Silver’s conductivity makes it critical for semiconductors and 5G infrastructure.
EVs: Rising adoption increases silver use in batteries and electrical components.
Monetary and Safe-Haven Demand
Declining gold-to-silver ratio (88:1 as of March 2025) suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold, historically a precursor to rallies.
Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflationary pressures boost silver’s appeal as a hedge.
Price Action Implications for 2025
Factor Bullish Catalysts Bearish Risks
Supply Persistent deficits, mining disruptions Polish deposits (long-term)
Demand Industrial growth, safe-haven inflows Economic slowdown reducing industrial use
Macro Weak USD, geopolitical tensions Trade wars (e.g., Trump tariffs)
Bullish: Analysts at Citi, UBS, and Saxo Bank forecast $38–$50, citing supply deficits and industrial momentum.
Speculative: Potential for $70–$100 if deficit narratives accelerate, though contested due to recycling and new supply.
In summary, silver’s supply roof breakout in 2025-marked by structural deficits and industrial demand growth-supports a bullish outlook. While short-term volatility from profit-taking or trade policies may occur, the confluence of constrained supply and expanding applications positions silver for sustained upward momentum.