XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Outlook (23 July): Bullish Structure Retesting Key ZonesGold (XAUUSD) โ 23 July Analysis
Structure, patience, and precision define today's opportunity
The market remains in a clear uptrend , and the current M15 structure is undergoing a healthy pullback phase following yesterdayโs strong bullish breakout. This retracement brings the price into key zones where continuation setups may form โ if confirmed.
๐ Market Structure Overview
โข Bullish Breakout: On July 22, price made a strong impulsive move upward from the demand base at 3384โ3390 , confirming bullish strength and shifting short-term structure to the upside.
โข Current Pullback: After printing a local high around 3439 , the market is retracing toward lower support zones. The pullback is expected and may offer long entries if price respects key areas and confirms.
๐ Key Reversal Zones to Watch
1. Order Block (OB) Zone
Range: 3417 โ 3412
โ This zone is the origin of the last bullish impulse.
โ Price is nearing this key zone.
โ If M1 confirms with internal structure shift + BoS , we may have a valid long setup.
โ Target: Previous high at 3438โ3440
2. Deeper Demand Zone
Range: 3390 โ 3384
โ This is the base of the prior impulsive leg.
โ If price breaks below the OB with momentum, this deeper zone may act as stronger support.
โ Potential swing entry zone with better R:R
๐ Trade Scenarios for Today
๐น Scenario 1: Rejection from OB Zone (Likely Intraday Setup)
โ Wait for M1 to confirm via micro ChoCh + BoS inside 3417โ3412 zone.
โ If confirmed, plan for long entry with SL below zone.
โ Target: 3438โ3440
๐น Scenario 2: Break Below OB โ Retest at Deeper Demand Zone
โ If OB zone fails, wait for price to drop into 3390โ3384.
โ Look for M1 confirmation before executing any long position.
โ This setup may offer a higher-quality entry with improved R:R.
๐ Trade Plan:
โ Wait for confirmation before entry (e.g., M1 structure shift + BoS)
โ SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips
โ Risk-Reward: Always 1:3 minimum
โ No confirmation = No trade
๐ฏ Summary
โข Primary Bias: Bullish โ monitoring OB zone (3417โ3412) for long setup
โข Alternative Setup: Buy from 3390โ3384 demand if deeper retracement unfolds
โข Discipline: Let the market validate your plan. Never force a trade.
๐ Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold Break of channel resistance next target is 3360-3375Gold was trending in down trend but now it has broken the resistance and is likely to go up.
XAUUSD Best Buying Zone for Today ๐ Gold Market Update โ Buy the Dip Strategy ๐ช
As we know, gold is currently in a selling trend and has dropped nearly 700 pips. However, here are some potential buy dip zones to watch:
๐น First Buy Zone: 3370โ3365
๐น Second Buy Zone: 3360โ3350
๐ There's a good chance for a bounce from these levels.
โ ๏ธ Note: Youโre trading against the trend, so make sure to apply proper risk management! ๐ก๏ธ
Gold momentum is about to explode, is 3400 still far away?
๐กMessage Strategy
Gold prices rose as expected on Friday as a weaker dollar and continued geopolitical and economic uncertainty boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,353.25 an ounce, down 1.1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.4% to $3,359.70. Gold prices remained largely stable around $3,350 an ounce this week.
The trend of gold prices is currently mainly affected by the following three factors:
1. US economic data supports the US dollar
The latest US real estate data is generally positive, and building permits and new housing starts data are both above expectations. The recovery of the real estate market has reduced market concerns about economic recession, which has provided some support to the US dollar, thereby constituting a certain suppression on gold.
2. Fed policy differences trigger market games
Fed officials have obvious differences in their statements on monetary policy. Christopher Waller, a Fed governor, prefers to directly cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July, worried about economic slowdown and weak job market. San Francisco Fed President Daly believes that two interest rate cuts in 2025 are "reasonable", but is wary of the impact of excessive tightening policies on the job market.
On the contrary, Fed Governor Kugler is more hawkish, believing that recent tariffs have been transmitted to consumer prices, and high interest rates should continue to be maintained, and it is not appropriate to cut interest rates for the time being. The existence of differences has caused market expectations to waver, and gold has fallen into consolidation.
3. Inflation expectations determine the medium-term direction of gold prices
The June CPI data from the United States showed signs of rising inflation, which may cause the Federal Reserve to postpone the pace of interest rate cuts.
๐Technical aspects
From the 4H chart, gold is currently oscillating in an obvious symmetrical triangle, forming a consolidation pattern in the short term.
Bollinger Band indicator: The middle track of the Bollinger Band is at $3345, the upper track is at $3405, and the lower track is at $3280. The current price is running near the middle track, indicating that volatility is converging and there is an expectation that a direction will be chosen soon.
Support and resistance: The current key support level is $3,280; short-term support is 3,300, and the upper resistance is $3,380. After breaking through, it is expected to test the previous highs of $3,451 and $3,499.
MACD indicator: The MACD histogram is gradually converging, and the DIFF line (3.19) and the DEA line (1.91) are in a sticky state, indicating that the momentum is exhausted and the probability of short-term shocks is high, but once the volume breaks through, the trend may form quickly.
RSI indicator: The RSI indicator is currently at 53.64, which is in the neutral area and has not entered the overbought or oversold area, indicating that the market is still waiting for new direction signals.
Overall, the analysis believes that gold is at the end of a symmetrical triangle, and the technical side shows that it is about to face a breakthrough. The direction choice may appear tonight or early next week, and the idea is still mainly low-level bulls.
๐ฐStrategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330๏ผSL๏ผ3300๏ผTarget: 3370-80,3400
GOLD Analysis : SR Interchange , Reversal Zone + High Break๐ง Market Context & Structural Overview:
Gold has been trading within a clearly defined bullish structure after forming a rounded base pattern in early July, indicating accumulation by smart money. The market recently broke through a key horizontal resistance (previous swing high), marking a potential bullish continuation phase. However, we are now witnessing a pullback โ a healthy corrective phase โ that is currently testing multiple high-probability confluences.
๐งฑ Key Technical Zones Explained:
๐น 1. SR Interchange Zone โ High Probability Reversal Area:
This area (roughly between $3,360 and $3,380) acted as previous resistance (supply) and has now flipped into support.
This is a textbook Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip) โ a concept where prior resistance becomes new support.
Traders often look for entries here, especially when it aligns with other technical factors.
๐น 2. Curve Line Support โ Dynamic Buyer Strength Indicator:
A curved trendline, often referred to as a parabolic support, has been respecting price structure for over two weeks.
Price is now sitting exactly on this support, signaling potential for another impulsive bullish leg if momentum builds.
๐น 3. Supply Zone Completed โ Correction Phase Active:
The supply zone above (approx. $3,420โ$3,440) has already been tapped and respected by the market.
This โcompletedโ supply may now act as resistance unless broken with strong volume โ we now watch how price reacts at the current pullback zone.
๐ What the Candles Are Telling Us:
The latest candles show some hesitation from sellers โ wick rejections and smaller body candles hint at buyer interest at this level. However, confirmation is crucial. We want to see a bullish reversal pattern such as:
Bullish engulfing
Morning star
Pin bar (hammer)
Break and retest of minor resistance inside the SR zone
๐ฎ Scenarios to Watch:
โ
Scenario 1 โ Bullish Continuation (Ideal Setup):
If a bullish reversal forms at this support zone:
Expect a potential rally back to the $3,420โ$3,440 resistance area.
If this zone breaks with high volume, price could target the major supply zone near $3,465+, where weโll need โNeeded Volumeโ for a decisive break.
โ ๏ธ Scenario 2 โ Bearish Breakdown (Alternative View):
If the curve support and SR zone fail to hold:
Expect a drop towards $3,345 โ $3,320 โ where next structural support lies.
This would suggest a deeper retracement or range formation before bulls can regroup.
๐งฉ Strategy & Psychology:
โWe want bullish pattern here.โ
Youโve highlighted the importance of not entering impulsively. This is about trading with confirmation, not prediction. Waiting for a valid bullish pattern reduces risk and increases probability.
This is where smart traders win โ waiting patiently for confirmation at a zone of confluence.
๐ง Learning Mindset โ Why This Zone Matters:
Combines horizontal support, curved trendline, and broken structure retest.
This zone is the battleground between bulls and bears โ whoever wins here will likely control short-term momentum.
Newer traders can study this as a classic example of multi-confluence trading, which combines price action, market structure, and dynamic trendlines.
Excellent Profit on my Selling ordersAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with recent results and will take early weekend break (no need to Trade more). If however you decide to Trade today, Sell every High's on Gold / no Buying until Monday's session (my practical suggestion)."
I have successfully re-Sold Gold from #3,338.80 with set of Selling orders, first batch I have closed around #3,327.80 Support for the fractal and second batch on #3,320.80 / another Support in extension / Highly satisfied with my Profits. I was aware that if Gold invalidates #3,318.80 Support / #3,310.80 extension can follow my Profit was already great to allow myself to Risk more which can backfire anytime.
Technical analysis: Not a bad start of the Trading week overall as the Price-action followed yesterday's session Gravestone Doji reversal formation into series of Bearish Hourly 4 chartโs candles, Gold is settling for a new Higher Lowโs within former Hourly 4 chartโs Descending Channel. Despite this, the Weekly (#1W) candle remains on a (# -1.83%) and mostly Bearish values on my instruments. Daily chart continues to pile heavy Selling pressure on Gold so Technically my Short positions will see their value. The current Price-action is exactly on the Higher Lowโs Upper zone as there is significantly more potential on the downside and as a results I do expect #3,300.80 psychological benchmark test as current decline is directly correlated with uptrend extension on DX (# +1.03%) and will most likely close the week in green values.
My position: I will continue re-Sells starting with #3,332.80 Resistance and my continuation will be re-Sell every High's on Gold unless Gold closes the market above #3,352.80 benchmark.
"XAU/USD Hits Major Demand โ Is a Relief Rally Brewing?"๐ก XAU/USD (Gold) โ Demand Zone Rejection in Play | Bullish Correction Ahead?
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 25, 2025
Created by: AllyPipsExpert
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Dynamic S/R, Trendlines
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๐ Technical Analysis & Key Insights:
๐ธ 1. Market Recap โ Distribution & Downtrend Confirmation:
After the Break of Structure (BOS) near 3385, gold confirmed a bearish reversal following the distribution phase at the top resistance zone around 3445โ3460.
Bearish momentum was sustained by a descending trendline, paired with a bearish Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) crossover.
๐ธ 2. Major Zone Tagged โ Key Demand Area Tested:
Price has now reached the critical demand block at 3320โ3340, a zone that previously initiated bullish impulse on July 18โ19.
The current bullish projection (in blue) reflects potential short-term recovery or correction phase, following oversold conditions and historical support strength.
๐ธ 3. Bullish Reversal Potential โ Short-Term Retracement?
The blue arrow reflects a likely bullish retracement toward 3360โ3380, aligning with trendline retest and potential Kumo rejection.
Expect sellers to re-enter if price retests former BOS/imbalance zone, creating scalp or swing sell setups on confirmation.
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๐ง Confluences & Technical Highlights:
Confluence Point Description
Demand Zone Strong previous accumulation at 3320โ3340
BOS Retest Area Key liquidity level now acting as resistance
Ichimoku Cloud Price below cloud = bearish bias maintained
Descending Trendline Reinforces bearish structure unless broken
Price Action Rejection wick at demand + potential short squeeze
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๐ฏ Trade Outlook:
๐งญ Bias: Short-Term Bullish Rebound โ Long-Term Bearish Continuation
๐ฉ Support: 3320 โ 3340
๐ฅ Resistance: 3360 โ 3385 (BOS & Trendline zone)
๐ Scenario: Bounce โ Retest โ Continuation lower (unless breakout confirmed)
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๐ Why This Chart Could Be Featured:
โ
Multi-layered Analysis: BOS, zones, cloud, price action, and psychological zones used together.
โ
Forward-Looking: Projects the next logical market reaction instead of just explaining the past.
โ
Clean, Structured, Educational: Layout and visuals guide the viewer through logical trade steps.
โ
Value-Packed: Provides actionable levels and flexible scenarios โ helpful to traders of all levels.
XAUUSD clean to dropXAUSD CLEAN TO DROP for the next 3 weeks
I will bee waiting for this set up and now all that we need is patience
XAUUSD NEW OUTLOOKXauusd buy from 3360
Tp1 3370
Tp2 3380
Tp3 3390
Stope Lose 3350
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
XAUUSD Price Analysis โ Support Zone Reaction & Potential XAUUSD Price Analysis โ Support Zone Reaction & Potential Bullish Reversal
๐ Market Structure Overview
The chart shows a clear bullish market structure characterized by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a strong upward trend that recently corrected into a key support zone around 3360โ3340.
This correction phase may be coming to an end as price reaches a high-probability demand area, with bullish reaction forming at the support level.
๐ง Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown
๐ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms institutional activity and directional bias.
๐ After a strong uptrend and BOS on July 22โ23, a healthy retracement has taken place toward a major demand zone.
The support level is aligning with past consolidation and previous BOS zones, providing confluence for a bullish bounce.
๐ Technical Confluence
โ
Volume Profile (VRVP) shows strong buyer activity at current levels.
โ
The price is reacting within the support box with a small bullish candle, indicating potential accumulation.
โ
A clean liquidity sweep may have occurred just below minor lows, shaking out weak hands before a move upward.
๐ฏ Forecast
If price holds above the 3360 level, and bullish confirmation continues (e.g., break above minor lower highs), we can expect:
Short-term target: 3400
Major target: 3440 (marked resistance zone)
โ ๏ธ Invalidation: A clean break and close below 3340 may lead to deeper correction or change in structure.
๐ Educational Title Suggestion
"Smart Money Reaction at Demand: XAUUSD Poised for Reversal from Key Support"
Gold approaches wedge resistance -Breakout or Fakeout incoming?Gold is trading within a rising wedge pattern, showing consistent higher lows and repeated rejections near the 3400 resistance zone.
Price is now approaching the upper trendline, an area of prior wick rejections and potential liquidity grab.
A confirmed breakout could signal continuation, while failure to sustain above this level may indicate bearish divergence or a reversal setup.๐๐
Gold on the magic level, pullback?Gold reached a key level i was waiting for more than a week. The area from 3325 till 3350 is the real support zone that could lead the price to pullback. In H1 and M15 timeframe i can see a reversal pattern, that let me join this trade with a small risk (due to the RR ratio). I will increase my size if NY will give us a better scalp opportunity
Gold price analysis July 25Gold Analysis โ D1 Uptrend Still Maintains, But Needs New Momentum
Yesterdayโs trading session recorded a D1 candle closing above the Breakout 3363 zone, indicating that buying power in the US session is still dominant. This implies that the uptrend is still being maintained, although the market may need a short-term technical correction.
In todayโs Tokyo and London sessions, there is a possibility of liquidity sweeps to the support zone below before Gold recovers and increases again in the New York session.
Important to note:
The uptrend will only be broken if Gold closes below the 3345 zone on the D1 chart.
In this case, the 3320 level will be the next support zone to observe the price reaction and consider buying points.
For the bullish wave to continue expanding towards the historical peak (ATH) at 3500, the market needs stronger supporting factors, which can come from economic data or geopolitical developments.
๐ Support zone: 3345 โ 3320
๐ Resistance zone: 3373 โ 3418
๐ฏ Potential buy zone:
3345 (prioritize price reaction in this zone)
3320 (in case of breaking through 3345)
๐ฏ Target: 3417
XAUUSD (Gold) Buy Setup โ VSA & Fibonacci Confluenceโ
Entry Zone: 3,411 โ 3,404 (Key demand zone + 50%-61.8% Fib retracement)
๐ฏ Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,446 (previous swing high)
๐ฏ Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,452 (extension target above resistance)
๐ Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,404 (beneath demand zone to avoid false breaks)
๐ Technical Insight:
Climactic volume seen on the initial rally signals strong professional interest in the move upward.
As price retraces, volume has decreased significantly, indicating lack of aggressive selling pressure (No Supply).
The shaded demand zone aligns perfectly with the 50%โ61.8% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a high-probability area for Smart Money accumulation.
Look for a Test Bar or Spring within this zone on low volume as confirmation of supply exhaustion.
If price confirms with a wide spread up-bar on increased volume from the zone, this will signal the beginning of a markup phase, in line with VSA principles.
๐ Bias: Bullish as long as price respects the demand zone. Aggressive traders can scale in near the demand area; conservative traders should wait for confirmation of demand dominance before entering.
July 22, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Currently watching the 3450โ3452 zone closely โ a key resistance area. Strategy remains to buy on pullbacks, but if price fails to break this resistance, short setups become more favorable. Keep an eye on 3426 support โ if it breaks, bearish momentum may strengthen. As always, observe price action at key levels and adjust accordingly.
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
โข 3460 โ Resistance
โข 3450โ3452 โ Critical resistance zone
โข 3440 โ Resistance
โข 3435 โ Resistance
โข 3426 โ Key support
โข 3405 โ Support
โข 3400 โ Psychological level
โข 3375 โ Support
โข 3364 โ Support
๐ Intraday Strategy:
โข SELL if price breaks below 3426 โ target 3420, then 3415, 3410, 3405
โข BUY if price holds above 3434 โ target 3440, then 3445, 3450, 3455
๐ If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Bottoming out? Be wary of the market.After a sharp drop to around 3300 on Monday, gold rebounded, reaching a high of around 3330 so far.
From the 1-hour chart๏ผGold has now broken out and stabilized within the hourly chart's downward trend channel. The key upward level is currently around 3330. If it breaks above 3330 again, caution is advised; it may test 3345-3350. Conversely, if it fails to break above 3330, gold may consolidate between 3300-3330 before the non-farm payrolls release.
From a short-term 15-minute perspective, the current 15-minute range has been broken out and stabilized. The current situation is unfavorable for bears. Based on the trend, a breakout above the 15-minute range would indicate a rebound. However, until 3330 holds, the 3320-3330 range is the only option. However, the current trend favors a bullish pullback, so I'm not too keen on shorting. Therefore, focus on support at 3320.
If it fails to break below 3320, enter a long position near 3320. The upper target is the top of the 3345-3350 range.
Daily gold analysisDaily gold analysis
A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart
The trend is up, we may see more upside
All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments.
He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me
XAUUSD Bullish ScenarioAccording to the data in the chart, the price has proven its bullishness by breaking important levels. Overall analysis can be buying at $3340 towards the target of $3450. On the other hand, if the price breaks $3340 with strength, the bullish scenario can fail.
Gold vs US Dollar (XAUUSD) Technical AnalysisIf OANDA:XAUUSD gives us a strong bearish close below 3,365, Iโm expecting momentum to kick in fast. With New York opening up, a swift move to 3,345 is on the table a level weโve already marked in the Discount PD Array.
But if price holds steady around 3,365 and shows signs of rejection, Iโm watching for a sharp bounce. A solid rejection with a spike could send gold back up to fill the imbalance and tag 3,388.
Perfect Long Opportunity on Gold? Fibonacci & Price Action AlignThis is a 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from TradingView (via Capital.com) with Fibonacci retracement levels and a long trade setup.
Chart Summary:
Timeframe: 15-minute
Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: $3,390.01
Trade Type: Long (Buy) position
Technical Setup:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 at $3,390.44
0.5 at $3,388.69
0.618 at $3,386.95
0.786 at $3,384.46
Entry Area: Around 0.5 to 0.618 levels (~$3,388โ$3,386)
Stop-Loss: Below 1.0 level (~$3,381.30)
Target: Just below the 0 Fibonacci level (~$3,396.09)
This setup suggests a potential retracement-based bounce after a significant drop. The trader is betting on a reversal from the Fibonacci support zone with a tight stop below $3,381 and aiming for a recovery up to $3,396.
Gold Price Analysis July 23๐ Gold Trend Analysis โ Strong Uptrend but Signs of Slowdown
Gold continued to set a new peak for the week when closing the day above 3430 โ confirming that the uptrend is still dominant. However, buying power is starting to slow down as the market formed a fairly wide range, around 50 prices in today's session.
Profit-taking pressure at high prices can create a short-term correction, opening up two-way trading opportunities for flexible investors.
๐ Important technical levels (Key Levels):
๐ป Resistance zone & Sell zone:
3445: Price rejection zone โ can consider selling if price fails to break through.
3463: Strong Sell zone โ expect increased supply here.
๐ฏ Sell target:
3405: Nearest support, target for short-term sell orders.
๐ข Buy Setup:
3402: Breakout zone in US session โ if price breaks strongly through this support with good volume, consider buying on the next uptrend.
