XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold is going down. It may continue next week.On the last trading day of this week, the bears attacked strongly and continued to refresh the recent lows, reaching the lowest point near 3325 before stopping.
From Monday's 3345 to 3440, it closed near 3337. This week, it also walked out of the large range roller coaster pattern, and all the strengths in the previous period did not exist. Under the continuous downward trend, the bulls were also vulnerable, and there was not even a strong rebound, which indirectly explained the strength of the bears in the short term.
As for the current trend, the bears are likely to continue to be strong, and before there is a symbolic upward breakthrough, we still need to maintain the idea of shorts to operate. The current upper pressure is maintained near 3350, which is also the bottom position touched for the first time in the previous period. It is possible that it will be transformed into a top-bottom conversion pattern; and the strong support level below is near 3310.
When the Asian market opens next Monday, we need to pay close attention to whether there is a gap problem on both the bulls and bears. After three consecutive negative daily lines, all the moving average systems have been broken, and it is also likely to form a resonance pressure pattern. On Monday, gold will first touch around 3350 and continue to short. The profit range will be around 3330-3320, and the stop loss will be 3360. If the European session is stronger, you can adjust the point before the US session.
XAUUSD H1 BUYING SETUPScenario:
Gold is showing strong buying momentum 📈. The best entry points are around the H1 FVG (Fair Value Gap) and Order Block (OB) zones. Wait for confirmation signals in either of these areas.
Gold could take off 🚀 from the FVG or OB. Once you see confirmation in any of these zones, take the entry ✅.
Use a small lot size and follow strict risk management rules ⚠️💰.
Stay disciplined and trade smart! 🧠📊
XAUUSD – healthy correction, ready to bounce from 3,338Gold is retracing within an ascending channel after facing rejection at the FVG zone near 3,402.800. This pullback is seen as a healthy correction, with confluence support around 3,338, which previously acted as a springboard for bullish momentum.
As long as price holds above this zone, a rebound toward 3,402 remains likely.
Primary scenario
Buy zone: 3,338
Target: 3,402
Invalidation: Break below 3,320
Note
Weak volume near the FVG zone may cause short-term consolidation, but the broader trend still favors buyers.
Welcome Back! Gold Trading Strategy & Key Zones to WatchIn this week’s welcome back video, I’m breaking down my updated approach to XAU/USD and how I plan to tackle the Gold markets in the coming days. After taking a short break, I’m back with fresh eyes and refined focus.
We’ll review current market structure, identify key liquidity zones, and outline the scenarios I’m watching for potential entries. Whether you’re day trading or swing trading gold, this breakdown will help you frame your week with clarity and confidence.
📌 Covered in this video:
My refreshed trading mindset after a break
Key support/resistance and liquidity zones
Market structure insights and setup conditions
What I’ll personally avoid this week
The “trap zones” that might catch retail traders off guard
🧠 Let’s focus on process over profits — welcome back, and let’s get to work.
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Signal 1
🟢 Buy @ 3365.350
🔴 SL @ 3359.209
🟢 TP @ 3373.538
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Signal 2
🟢 Buy @ 3359.090
🔴 SL @ 3351.558
🟢 TP @ 3369.133
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Trading Idea XAUUSD 🎯 Trade Ideas Based on Structure
1. Long Reversal Play (Buy)
📍 Entry: If price retests the support zone around 3,356–3,366 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, pin bar)
🎯 Target: 3,390–3,402 (resistance zone)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Just below 3,355
💡 Why? Buying into support with confirmation aligns with the projected rebound idea
2. Sell into Resistance
📍 Entry: If price rallies to 3,390–3,402 and stalls with weak candles or bearish divergence
🎯 Target: Back to support zone (~3,366 or lower)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 3,405
💡 Why? Fading into resistance follows the broader trend while using the shaded zone for timing
3. Breakout Trade (Buy)
📍 Trigger: If price breaks cleanly above 3,402 and closes with strong momentum
🎯 Target: Look toward next resistance (~3,410+)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below breakout candle (~3,390)
💡 Why? Signals a trend shift or strong bullish move against the recent downtrend
🧠 Smart Trading Tips
Let the candles lead the decision—watch for confirmation before jumping in
Stick to the higher probability zones and avoid overtrading in the middle
Use volume or RSI to filter false breakouts or weak entries
Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?
The 30-minute chart reveals gold prices in a mild downtrend, but the sluggish decline hints at weakening bearish pressure. This could set the stage for a temporary price recovery before any further downward movement.
Critical Insights:
- Fading Bearish Strength: The downtrend persists, but its slowing pace suggests seller exhaustion.
- Key Support Zone: With prices hovering near a major support area, a bullish reversal becomes plausible.
- Upside Potential: A resurgence in buying momentum may propel gold toward 3,394.60, a significant resistance level.
Market Dynamics:
1. Possible Short-Term Reversal: Shallow bearish trends near support often precede upward corrections.
2. Bullish Opportunity: A breakout past nearby resistance could fuel a rally toward 3,394.60, creating a swing trade setup.
3. Downside Risk: If support fails, the bearish trend may extend, though weak selling pressure limits immediate declines.
Strategic Approach:
- Entry Consideration: Long positions near current support levels could capitalize on a rebound.
- Risk Management: A drop below support would negate the bullish outlook, warranting a stop loss.
- Confirmation Signals: Bullish candlestick formations or increasing volume would strengthen reversal prospects.
Concluding Thoughts:
Gold’s tepid bearish momentum near a crucial support level raises the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Traders should watch for confirmation—if the recovery gains traction, 3,394.60 may come into play. Conversely, a support breakdown could renew downward pressure.
GOLD IN A WEAK BEARISH MOVE IN 30M TIME FRAME CHARTGold in a Weak Bearish Move – Temporary Rebound Ahead?
Gold prices are currently displaying a weak bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, suggesting that the downtrend may be losing steam. Despite the downward movement, the sluggish pace indicates that sellers lack strong conviction, which could lead to a short-term price recovery before any further decline.
Key Observations:
- Weak Bearish Trend: The price is falling, but with decreasing momentum, often a sign of exhaustion among sellers.
- Critical Support Level: Gold is trading near a major support zone, where buying interest could emerge, triggering a bounce.
- Potential Rebound Target: If buyers step in, the price could rise toward 3,394.60, a key resistance level.
Market Implications:
1. Short-Term Reversal Likely: Weak bearish moves often precede temporary rallies, especially near strong support levels.
2. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above immediate resistance could push gold toward 3,394.60, offering a swing trading opportunity.
3. Bearish Continuation Risk: If support breaks, the downtrend may resume, but the current lack of strong selling pressure reduces immediate downside risks.
Trading Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity: Traders might consider long positions near support, targeting 3,394.60.
- Stop Loss: A break below the current support level would invalidate the rebound setup.
- Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or rising volume to confirm the reversal.
Final Thoughts:
While gold remains in a short-term bearish phase, the weak downside momentum and proximity to support suggest a possible pullback. Traders should monitor price action closely—if the rebound holds, 3,394.60 could be the next target. However, a failure to hold support may extend the decline.
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Trade with proper risk management.*
XAUUSD| Smart Money Confirmations LoadingBias: Bullish
HTF Overview: Price has just tapped into the 30-minute order flow zone after clearing out sell-side liquidity. This area aligns cleanly with bullish intent and prior structure.
LTF Focus: Currently waiting for lower timeframe confirmation — ideally a clear CHoCH or internal flip. Once smart money confirms this zone with a shift, I’ll look to enter and ride the momentum.
Target: Initial focus is on the 5-minute highs as a short-term objective. While price could continue toward 30-minute highs, structure suggests the recent 5M high is a more immediate and realistic target, making it a smarter move to secure profit around that level.
Mindset Note: Not in a rush — letting price speak first. The confirmation is what separates a guess from a smart move.
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,393.33 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Well although I didn't take the trade, we pushed down as per my last analysis. I have currently marked my areas of interest for scalp buy / sell trades. Big G gets a shout out. Lower time frame confirmation is always a must. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the current 4 hour candle closes.
XAU/USD: Bullish Reversal with Inverted Head & Shoulders PatternTechnical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe. We are seeing a classic bullish reversal pattern that could offer a solid long opportunity.
The Pattern: Inverted Head and Shoulders (IH&S)
As highlighted on the chart, an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern has clearly formed.
Left Shoulder: The initial dip and recovery.
Head: A lower dip, marking the potential bottom of the recent downtrend.
Right Shoulder: A higher low, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers are stepping in at higher prices.
This pattern signals a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Confirmation and Trade Setup
The key to confirming this pattern is the neckline, which has been acting as a significant resistance level. We have now seen a decisive candle break and close above this neckline, providing the confirmation we need to consider a long position.
Here is the trade idea based on the chart:
Entry: A long position is initiated right after the breakout of the neckline, around the 3,428.542 level. A potential entry could also be on a retest of this broken neckline, which would now act as support.
Stop Loss (SL): To manage risk, the stop loss is placed below the low of the Right Shoulder at 3,419.498. A move below this level would invalidate the bullish pattern.
Take Profit (TP): The profit target is determined by measuring the height from the Head to the neckline and projecting it upwards from the breakout point.
Primary Target (TP1): 3,445.548. This target also aligns well with the '2' Fibonacci extension level, adding extra confluence to the trade.
Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers a favorable Risk/Reward ratio of approximately 1.88, making it an attractive trade from a risk management perspective.
Additional Confluence
Moving Averages: The price is now trading above the key moving averages, which are beginning to curl upwards, suggesting building bullish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: While the Stochastic is in the upper region, in a strong bullish move, it can remain overbought for an extended period.
Conclusion
The confirmed breakout from the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15M chart presents a compelling bullish setup for XAU/USD. The defined entry, stop, and target levels provide a clear and actionable trade plan.
Buy Plan – XAUUSD (Gold Spot) | 15M Chart📈 Buy Plan – XAUUSD (Gold Spot) | 15M Chart
Entry Reason:
Price reclaimed liquidity below the internal range and formed a bullish shift in structure. A valid bullish dealing range was confirmed, supported by the 200 EMA and 4H T2.3 zone.
✅ Entry Zone:
➤ Entry taken after confirmation above short-term swing high
➤ Liquidity sweep confirmed below M15 consolidation
➤ Bullish FVG + support from HTF zone
🎯 Target:
TP1: 3,440.86 (1R)
TP2: 3,451.07 to 3,459.18 (Eyes above – possible reversal or continuation zone)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Placed below most recent swing low: 3,416.51
Below liquidity & invalidation of bullish structure
🧠 Bias:
Bullish (short-term continuation expected)
Reclaim above EMA and HTF zone respected
📌 Key Notes:
Watch price behavior near 3,451.07–3,459.18 for potential reversal or breakout
If price fails to maintain strength above 3,440, consider locking partial profits
Monitor 15M and 1H structure for any sign of internal break
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,427.91.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,460.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU / USD Weekly ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the gold chart before the overnight sessions get underway, I have marked my areas of interest for potential scalp buy / sell trade set ups on the weekly chart. This is just speculation and more of a visual of why the areas are of interest to me. Let's see if we push up some more to the top of the candle's body to the left and then see if we reject or start filling wicks. Being tomorrow is the half way point of the week, I can see gold pushing down to take out some of the leveraged long trades still in profit from today's move up. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out. Be well and trade the trend.