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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold. Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold. From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week. On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again. On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285. A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
XAUUSD LIVE OUTLOOK – JULY 23, 2025Good evening, traders—let’s get this right, no mistakes. Gold hit 3,438, then pulled back and found support exactly in the 3,380–3,390 zone. Here’s your precise update: 🔸 HTF OVERVIEW (H4 → H1) New High & Liquidity Sweep: A clean breakout to 3,438 invalidated every old supply. Primary Demand: Price settled into the 3,380–3,390 H4 order block (untested FVG beneath). H1 confirms this blue zone as the critical buy area. Invalidated Supply: No valid sell zones until we carve fresh structure above 3,438. 🔹 LTF PRECISION (M30 → M15) M30 Flow: Spike to 3,438, then instant drop into 3,380–3,390. Volume spiked on the decline, then eased as price held. M15 Structure: Inside 3,380–3,390, watch for a clean BOS above 3,395—that’s your bull‑bear pivot. Until then, this zone is the edge of the knife. 🎯 KEY ZONES & TRIGGERS Buy Zone #1 (Live): 3,380–3,390 Confluence: H4 order block + unfilled FVG + H1 swing low Trigger: M15 BOS above 3,395 and retest. Buy Zone #2 (Backup): 3,350–3,360 For a deeper pullback—untested H4 demand. Sell Zone: 3,420–3,438 Confluence: unfilled H4 FVG + premium supply Fade only on clear M15 rejection (pin‑bar/engulf). Decision Pivot: 3,395 Above = bullish continuation; below = stand aside. ➡️ ACTION PLAN Longs: Enter on M15 close above 3,395 and retest; targets at 3,420 then 3,438. Shorts: Only on rally into 3,420–3,438 with a decisive rejection candle. Invalidation: A sustained break below 3,380 warns of a deeper flush toward 3,350–3,360. 🚀 CALL TO ACTION If this nailed your edge, smash that Like, Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper updates, and Boost this post so your fellow traders don’t miss these live levels! Drop a 🔥 if you’re ready to strike the next move. Disclosure: I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their chart feed. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bearish From now Price : 3423 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
16
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025 Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence. Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17. Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade. Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285 SL 3280 TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330. Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271 SL 3266 TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320. Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by begbutwas
XAU/USD 01 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Technical Analysis of Gold Chart (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour TimeframeTechnical Analysis of Gold Chart (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Timeframe Following the heavy selling pressure seen in recent days, the price of gold has now reached a zone that has repeatedly shown reactions in the past. This green-colored support area can currently play a decisive role in the market’s next move. Price Movement Outlook: Scenario 1 – Bullish Correction Move: If buyers manage to take control of the market in this zone, it is expected that gold will gradually pass through intermediate resistance levels and first enter the medium-term resistance area. If momentum is maintained, the price could then move toward higher highs. This move can be interpreted as a technical correction against the recent bearish wave and may attract short-term traders until reaching strong supply zones. Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Downtrend: Conversely, a confirmed break of this support with high volume and strong bearish candles could lead to a further decline in price toward previous lows. In this case, the blue-colored area at the lowest part of the chart would serve as the next demand zone. Key Point: The market is currently in a decision-making phase. Confirmation of reactions at this support area is extremely important in determining the market’s future direction. Therefore, entering the market prematurely without waiting for confirmation of price behavior could involve high risk.
FX:XAUUSD
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
XAU/USD 29 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉. So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔. If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
Gold price final game: 3300Gold price final game: 3300 Today's gold price is on the verge of collapse, but the direction divergence still exists, with long and short intertwined. Pay attention to the 3300 support. The entire triangle convergence and oscillation pattern has been broken, and the important support platform before 3330 points has been broken. Regardless of how the policy is announced, shorting is inevitable. Next, the bulls will enter the final bottom-picking stage: Buy: 3300-3310 Stop loss: 3290 Target: 3330-3340+ Technical analysis: Short-term support level: 3300 Short-term resistance level: 3330-3345 Market sentiment: The gold market sentiment presents a pattern of long and short intertwined and weak volatility. In the short term, pay attention to the $3300 support level and the Fed's interest rate cut policy signal. If the Fed turns to interest rate cuts or geopolitical conflicts escalate, gold may resume its upward trend. Daily operation suggestions: Long-term thinking: Bottom-picking thinking: Bottom-picking range: 3300-3310 Stop loss: 3290 Target: 3330-3345+ Short-term thinking: Trend-following thinking: High-altitude range: 3320-3330 Stop loss: 3345 Target: 3300-3280-3250 Final game of gold price: 3300 Today's gold price is on the verge of collapse, but the direction divergence still exists, and long and short positions are intertwined. Pay attention to the 3300 support. The entire triangle convergence and oscillation pattern has been broken, and the important support platform before 3330 points has been broken. Regardless of how the policy is announced, shorting is inevitable. Next, the bulls will enter the final bottom-picking stage: Buy: 3300-3310 Stop loss: 3290 Target: 3330-3340+ Technical analysis: Short-term support: 3300 Short-term resistance: 3330-3345 Market sentiment: The gold market sentiment shows a pattern of mixed long and short positions and weak volatility. In the short term, pay attention to the $3,300 support level and the Fed's interest rate cut policy signal. If the Fed turns to interest rate cuts or geopolitical conflicts escalate, gold may resume its upward trend. Daily operation suggestions: Long-term thinking: bottom-picking thinking: bottom-picking range: 3300-3310 Stop loss: 3290 Target: 3330-3345+ Short-term thinking: trend-following thinking: high-altitude range: 3320-3330 Stop loss: 3345 Target: 3300-3280-3250
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa-2025
Report - 28 jully, 2025Executive Summary In a historic move to defuse transatlantic trade tensions, the United States and the European Union have struck a landmark agreement imposing a 15% blanket tariff on EU goods. The deal, brokered between President Trump and EC President Ursula von der Leyen, includes sweeping European commitments to increase purchases of American energy and military equipment—amounting to more than $1.35 trillion. This not only averts a trade war but realigns fiscal, defense, and industrial policy across the Atlantic. Meanwhile, Germany will escape EU sanction for deficit overruns due to elevated defense spending, and China has intensified its diplomatic push to lead AI governance, openly challenging U.S. technological hegemony. These developments unfold amid a broader recalibration of global capital flows, with Chinese investors pouring record funds into Hong Kong equities, Brazil doubling down on BRICS despite tariff threats, and private equity investors increasingly opting for liquidity over continuation vehicles. All these signals point to a shifting world order, where economic fragmentation, tech rivalry, and military investment dominate the strategic calculus. Market Reactions Markets have reacted with cautious optimism. The resolution of the US-EU dispute has removed one of the most immediate risks to global trade, stabilizing risk sentiment. Equities across developed markets are firmer, while defense, energy, and industrial stocks in the U.S. have caught a fresh bid. European auto and export sectors remain under scrutiny given the tariff imposition, despite the broader stability. The dollar softened slightly on expectations that the trade deal will reduce the likelihood of retaliatory disruptions, even as tensions over chip tariffs and Brazil’s alignment with BRICS persist. Gold briefly rallied but then settled as inflation expectations were tempered by diplomatic de-escalation. Oil prices remain subdued as demand signals remain weak despite energy reordering. Fiscal and Political Implications The US-EU agreement marks a major geopolitical win for Trump. The EU's commitment to spend $750 billion on U.S. energy and $600 billion on military procurement illustrates a fundamental pivot in the bloc’s external policy alignment. Politically, this underscores Washington’s ability to extract economic concessions under threat of tariffs—further validating Trump’s unilateralist negotiation style. Germany’s exemption from EU deficit procedures further highlights Brussels’ strategic flexibility in an era where defense is taking precedence over fiscal austerity. Berlin will be allowed to run a deficit of 3.3% of GDP in 2025, thanks to a “national escape clause” invoked to cover expanded defense spending. This sets a precedent for other member states to follow suit, potentially unleashing a wave of fiscally supported rearmament across the EU. Meanwhile, China's unveiling of a 13-point AI governance plan signals an emerging regulatory bifurcation in global technology. The push for a UN-backed AI governance body—and the positioning of its open-source models for Global South collaboration—challenges U.S. regulatory primacy and may spark a new front in the AI cold war. Strategic Forecasts The medium-term outlook is increasingly defined by strategic spending, tech sovereignty, and the weaponization of trade. The U.S. will likely continue to deploy tariffs not just for balance-of-trade concerns, but also to enforce strategic compliance. This tactic will carry mixed implications for global markets: inflationary near-term, but ultimately supportive of U.S. industrial and defense equities. Europe’s gradual pivot toward U.S. alignment will create internal friction, especially among member states hesitant to cede strategic autonomy. At the same time, China’s AI diplomacy and Brazil’s defiance of U.S. tariffs will continue to fragment global consensus, creating an increasingly multipolar and protectionist macro environment. Continued uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s independence—as Trump ramps up pressure on Powell—will contribute to short-term volatility in bond and currency markets. The likelihood of delayed rate cuts or a politically forced pivot is increasing. Risks and Opportunities Risks include renewed tariff escalations, especially targeting tech, chips, and Brazil. Europe’s fiscal leniency could spook bond markets if perceived as unsustainable. In private equity, continuation vehicle fatigue risks forcing markdowns across illiquid portfolios. Opportunities emerge in defense, energy, and AI-linked equities. The U.S. stands to benefit from a surge in industrial demand, while Chinese tech firms could capitalize on regulatory arbitrage in emerging markets. Open-source AI adoption will favor hardware and semiconductor exporters, particularly in Asia. Asset Impact Analysis Gold (XAUUSD): Gold showed initial strength on trade fears but retraced as the deal lowered immediate inflation risk. With Powell’s position under political threat and long-term fiscal expansion in play, the bullish bias remains intact. Expect gold to test $3,400 in Q3 if Fed guidance shifts dovishly. Near-term support lies at $3,300. S&P 500 (SPX): Markets welcomed the trade clarity and defense spending surge. Industrials, defense, and energy are clear beneficiaries, while tech gains from relaxed macro pressure. Continued pressure on Powell could add volatility. Dow Jones (DJIA): Dividend-heavy Dow components in defense and manufacturing are poised to outperform. Trade normalization and fiscal leniency in Europe favor global cyclicals. USDJPY: With Japanese inflation slightly below forecast and the BoJ still cautious, yen strength is capped. U.S. political drama may induce mild USD weakness but not enough to break 145 convincingly. DXY (US Dollar Index): The dollar may weaken modestly as tariff resolution reduces safe-haven demand and the Fed comes under pressure to cut. A break below 103.00 would confirm a bearish turn. Crude Oil (WTI): Oil remains stuck in a neutral range. Although the EU will buy more U.S. energy, weak demand signals and lackluster PMI data keep prices rangebound. A breakout above $72 requires more forceful geopolitical tension.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan 🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟 "The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!" 🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel: XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇 🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!) 🏴‍☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves): Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone) "Wait for the breakout, then ambush!" 🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits): Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00 Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!) 🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes) Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!) Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!) Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!) (Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!) 💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!) Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!) Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00 Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!) ⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead! News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment. Stay sharp—markets shift fast! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits! 🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Hybrid Gartley-Elliott Wave Trade Setup on Gold Detailed Analysis & Prediction:** This trade setup merges two powerful frameworks: a **bearish Gartley pattern** indicating a short-term pullback, and an **Elliott Wave interpretation** suggesting bullish continuation via wave five. --- ### 🧠 Thought Process: 1. **Gartley Pattern Completion:** - The chart shows a completed bearish Gartley pattern with point D aligning around the **3,372 level**. - As per harmonic rules, point D typically signals a reversal zone, suggesting a short-term drop. 2. **Projected Pullback:** - A drop is expected toward the **3,323 support zone**, which coincides with previous swing lows and Fibonacci retracement confluence. - This area likely marks the start of **wave five** in the Elliott Wave count — indicating that the bearish move is simply the final corrective wave before continuation. 3. **Wave 5 Bullish Opportunity:** - Once price reaches the 3,323 zone and shows reversal confirmation, a strong bullish push is expected to begin. - This aligns with historical wave structures and momentum indicators showing possible trend exhaustion. --- ### 🎯 Profit Targets: | Target | Type | Price (USD) | |--------|-----------------------|---------------| | TP1 | Fibonacci 1.0 | 3,447.875 | | TP2 | Fibonacci 1.27 | 3,536.025 | | TP3 | Fibonacci 1.618 | 3,649.640 | --- ### 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy: | Level | Type | Price (USD) | |-----------|---------------------|---------------| | SL1 | Conservative | 3,246.111 | | SL2 | Aggressive | 3,198.444 | ---
TVC:GOLD
by Elrouby
Hybrid Gartley-Elliott Wave Trade Setup on Gold – Bearish Dip In📊 Detailed Analysis & Prediction:** This trade setup merges two powerful frameworks: a **bearish Gartley pattern** indicating a short-term pullback, and an **Elliott Wave interpretation** suggesting bullish continuation via wave five. ### 🧠 Thought Process: 1. **Gartley Pattern Completion:** - The chart shows a completed bearish Gartley pattern with point D aligning around the **3,372 level**. - As per harmonic rules, point D typically signals a reversal zone, suggesting a short-term drop. 2. **Projected Pullback:** - A drop is expected toward the **3,323 support zone**, which coincides with previous swing lows and Fibonacci retracement confluence. - This area likely marks the start of **wave five** in the Elliott Wave count — indicating that the bearish move is simply the final corrective wave before continuation. 3. **Wave 5 Bullish Opportunity:** - Once price reaches the 3,323 zone and shows reversal confirmation, a strong bullish push is expected to begin. - This aligns with historical wave structures and momentum indicators showing possible trend exhaustion. Profit Targets: | Target | Type | Price (USD) | |--------|-----------------------|---------------| | TP1 | Fibonacci 1.0 | 3,447.875 | | TP2 | Fibonacci 1.27 | 3,536.025 | | TP3 | Fibonacci 1.618 | 3,649.640 | --- ### 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy: | Level | Type | Price (USD) | |-----------|---------------------|---------------| | SL1 | Conservative | 3,246.111 | | SL2 | Aggressive | 3,198.444 |
TVC:GOLD
by Elrouby