Stellar (XLM): Looking For Breakout | Breakout + Re-TestStellar is going to a breakout, a breakout which will give us a good opportunity for a long position. Now, we might see some smaller rejection and correction from current area, but we still will be witing for breakout, not going to enter earlier into trade here.
Better safe then sorry yea?
Swallow Academy
XLMUSDT trade ideas
Stellar XLM price analysisToday, the price of CRYPTOCAP:XLM rose quite dramatically, doing so at a critically important moment, but trading volumes are slightly insufficient for final confirmation.
Now let's look at what we wrote for the OKX:XLMUSDT chart four months ago: “It would be ‘right’ to test $0.19-0.20 before the start of strong growth.”
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The minimum was $0.19976 — do we "check" and "done" that?
📈 If so, then the price of #XLM should not fall below $0.226 anymore.
And ahead lies only growth in the price of the #Stellar token to at least $0.50, or even $0.60.
🏆 Well, and about the global goal for #XLMUSD we wrote in the previous idea — read, analyze, and turn information into profit!
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XLM/USDT;FREE SIGNALHello friends🙌
Given the good price growth, you can see that the price has entered a channel, which has caused the price to form a flag...
Now, with a strong channel breakdown by buyers and their entry, you can enter the trade with risk and capital management and move with it to the specified targets.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
XLMUSDT Forming Falling WedgeXLMUSDT (Stellar) has recently delivered an impressive breakout from a prolonged downtrend, indicating strong bullish momentum following the completion of a falling wedge pattern. This pattern, known for its high probability of signaling a bullish reversal, was confirmed as price exploded upward with increasing volume — a textbook breakout scenario. After a period of consolidation, Stellar surged sharply, catching the attention of both technical analysts and long-term investors.
Volume is playing a key role in this rally. The sharp rise in buying pressure is a strong sign that institutional and retail investors are accumulating XLM, possibly in anticipation of a sustained move. The breakout zone now acts as a major support area, and we may see price revisit this level briefly before resuming its next upward leg. If the bullish sentiment continues, we can expect gains in the range of 40% to 50%+ from current levels, with strong momentum and follow-through likely in the short term.
The broader sentiment around Stellar has been improving as well, with increased interest in its blockchain utility, particularly in the cross-border payments space. As investor confidence builds and momentum traders join in, the probability of another leg higher strengthens. Technical setups like this, combined with solid fundamentals and growing on-chain adoption, provide compelling opportunities in a recovering market.
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XLM - Stellar - Possible Short coming up - This is Why?Reading the chart (annotations in sync with chart):
1. Location: Fib over-shoot - possible sellers
2. Largest up volume - possible sellers in there
3. Mountain shape PVR - increasing volume as wave progress
4. Abnormal SIs at top (could be closing positions but it also could be sellers absorbing buy orders.
Risky Entry but with better RR enter now. stop above tops, target blue AVWAP
Conservative Entry with worse RR: wait for the break downwards of red AVWAP, target blue AVWAP.
Enjoy, wave and speed index reading!
Is Stellar ready to rally 26% toward 0.55 target?Hello✌
let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Stellar 📈.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT has surged through multiple daily resistance levels this past week, resembling a powerful breakout 🚀. It is now approaching a key daily support that aligns with the 0.26 Fibonacci retracement level. If this support holds, there is potential for a 26% gain, with a target price of 0.55 📈.
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Stellar Eyes 14% Upside, Targeting 0.30$Hello✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Stellar 📈.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT has convincingly broken above its daily descending channel resistance 📈 and is holding near a strong support level. This setup suggests a potential upside of at least 14%, aiming for a target price of $0.30 🚀.
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Stellar (XLM) Rejected Hard—Brace for $0.25 Next?On the daily chart of XLM/USDT, price has made a steep, parabolic rise, pushing directly into a well-established resistance zone around $0.5155. This level has historically capped price moves, evident from several prior swing highs clustering near this area. The rally itself unfolded rapidly, without significant consolidation, leaving a series of untested supports in its wake.
This combination—a near-vertical climb into resistance—often signals buyer exhaustion. Indeed, the rejection candle formed right at the $0.5155 ceiling, which strengthens the bearish argument.
Below the current price action, there is a broad support zone between $0.3347 and $0.3504. This area previously acted as resistance earlier in the year and is likely to attract some buying interest if price pulls back decisively. Beneath it lie deeper supports around $0.2500, $0.2268, and $0.2000—levels that remain untested during this move up.
While the chart does not display volume bars, the sheer steepness of the final leg suggests momentum was likely unsustainable. Often, such aggressive spikes without healthy consolidation result in a retracement of 30–50% or more.
One critical factor to watch is whether price manages to reclaim and hold above $0.5155. Failure to do so implies that sellers remain in control, raising the probability of a broader pullback toward the mid-$0.30s or lower.
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📉 Why This Setup Leans Bearish
This chart structure supports a bearish thesis because:
• Price is reacting strongly to historical resistance.
• The rally was parabolic, making it prone to sharp corrections.
• There is no clear consolidation base above the breakout point.
• Several untested support levels remain below current price, which the market may revisit.
If this move is indeed an exhaustion spike, the next phase is typically a retest of the last major consolidation area around $0.3504–$0.3347.
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📊 Potential Bearish Trading Setup
Here is a structured trading idea to consider:
Short Entry Zone:
• Retest of the $0.5155–$0.5200 resistance area.
• Look for confirmation by way of bearish candlestick patterns (shooting star, bearish engulfing, or consecutive rejection wicks).
Stop Loss:
• Conservative stop above $0.6374 to allow for volatility.
• Alternatively, a tighter stop just above $0.5200 if using smaller size.
Targets:
• First target: $0.3504 (major support).
• Second target: $0.2500.
• Third target: $0.2000–$0.2268 (deeper retracement zone).
$XLM/USDT Breakout Alert: 80% Move on the Table?CRYPTOCAP:XLM just broke out of its downtrend after months of being stuck in a falling channel.
The breakout came with a strong 12% pump, and price is now holding above both the trendline and the 40MA, a solid bullish sign.
If this move holds, we could see XLM push toward the $0.4540 zone (that’s nearly 80% up).
A quick retest around $0.2646 might be the next best entry.
XLMUSDT SPOT PLAY – LORD MEDZ JOURNAL UPDATEFramework: SMC x Goldbach | Chart TF: 1W | Asset: Stellar (XLM)
📆 Update Date: July 2025
📌 Disclaimer: This is for journaling purposes only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
🔍 Observing the Macro: The Wyckoff Legacy Lives On
Looking left on the weekly chart, Stellar (XLM) executed a textbook Wyckoff Accumulation structure back in November 2020, forming a solid base at the lows. That structure didn’t just sit there — it sponsored a 1,004% rally, breaking key structure and running external liquidity with clean aggression.
What makes this setup particularly compelling in 2025 is the retest narrative. Price has gradually retraced back into the original demand zone, revisiting that same accumulation origin — not with panic, but with controlled compression and absorption.
Following this retest, XLM has already begun an impressive move away from the zone, signaling potential for continuation.
📈 Current Playbook Setup
✅ Demand Revisit: Price has returned to the very zone that birthed the 2020 pump — a validated origin of strength.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) occurred earlier this cycle, confirming accumulation completion.
✅ Retest of Accumulation Range happened cleanly, just before this fresh impulse.
From an SMC and Goldbach lens, this is a premium long-term opportunity for spot holders, not futures traders. The structure, timing, and liquidity align for a macro bullish leg.
🎯 Targets of Interest
🟦 External Old Liquidity at $0.79 – First major target, where past wicks were left unchallenged.
🔺 Goldbach Projected High at $1.96 – Ultimate macro target, representing a potential +596% move from current levels.
This aligns with the Goldbach model’s high-probability expansion zones and historical confluence levels, not just speculation.
🧠 Conclusion & Outlook
We’re now in a phase where smart money has loaded, the latecomers haven’t arrived yet, and the chart is whispering re-accumulation. This is shaping up to be the second great leg of the XLM cycle, potentially echoing the 2020–2021 explosion.
The move away from demand has begun. The targets are mapped.
As always: no leverage, no noise — just spot and time.
📓 Lord MEDZ Signing Off
✍️ This post is part of my private trading journal and is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
🔒 This setup is for SPOT HOLDING — not futures trading.
xlmusdt trading opportunityXLMUSDT has exhibited a breakout from a falling wedge formation, the price is anticipated to perpetuate its antecedent bullish trajectory.
We have demarcated a specific zone on the chart that we refer to as the 'bull important zone.' This region is earmarked for its potential as an accumulation zone. The rationale behind selecting this area is grounded in its historical significance where the price has found robust support, thus offering an attractive risk-reward ratio for long entries.
Risk management protocols dictate that a stop loss be judiciously placed below the recent all-time low (ATL) at approximately $0.0703 to safeguard against unforeseen bearish reversals and to preserve capital.
The proximate objective for this trading setup is delineated as the 'immediate setup target' on our chart.
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From Resistance to Support: XLM Sets the StageXLM had been consolidating under a descending trendline since early 2025. But today, we saw a strong breakout backed by solid momentum.
What’s even better?
It flipped a key resistance zone into support — classic breakout, retest setup.
If bulls hold this level, the next leg up could be explosive.
DYOR, NFA
Stellar 2025 Bull Market, ATH Targets, Price Action & MoreA very interesting chart. What is interesting here is how obvious it is that the correction is over. Stellar produced a massive bullish breakout in November 2024, more than 700% growth. After a strong move, there is always a correction. After the correction ends, we get the resumption of the initial move, in this case a bullish wave.
The 0.786 Fib. retracement level worked as support. 7-April. There is an interesting dynamic around this level. Back in July 2023 as XLMUSDT was rising resistance was found around 0.2000. Very close to this level. We then had the late 2024 bullish wave and the correction that ended in early April this year. Support was found exactly at the 0.786 Fib retracement level and this level matches 0.2000. This is the purple line on the chart. Resistance turned support.
After this support zone was hit and confirmed Stellar moved to produce an initial breakout and on the 16-June week, 22-June, we get a higher low. This higher low signals the start of the next bullish wave with a target around 0.9100. This is the next target for the current move but not necessarily where the bull market cycle will end. Can be but not necessarily, the action can move higher.
Growth potential from current price to our target goes to 257%. Coming from the August 2024 low, this same target would give a total of 1,099%. Seeing how strong the first jump was, it is likely that Stellar will go higher in this 2025 bull market.
We have another target between $1.25 and $1.35.
Let's focus on the market and the bigger picture.
Stellar has already proven that it will be a top performer in this cycle. Back in late 2024 XLM outperformed many projects, we can expect the same pattern to repeat in this bullish continuation.
The fact that there are no new lows also signals strength. We saw many pairs hitting new all-time lows in April and June, this is not the case here. And this is also good.
This is a proven project so it is easy to go in big.
Last time the meat of the move unraveled in just two weeks. Something also to keep in mind. Something similar would allow us to profit from the entire XLM wave and then browse the market for new opportunities.
Remember, the market is set to grow for 6 months in the least or it can extend and grow for years. While some pairs go down, others will be going up. When some pairs stop going up, others being down will recover and grow. The market will cycle between this and that, here and there; in the end, everything grows; that's the definition of a bull market. A rising wave lifts all boats.
Notice the long-term consolidation phase, it lasted more than 900 days and then we had a very strong bullish breakout. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the move that follows. This is only the beginning, there will be more.
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Namaste.
Stellar (XLM) Price Analysis - Potential Breakout ScenarioThis chart provides a technical analysis of Stellar (XLM) against Tether (USDT) on a daily timeframe, highlighting a potential breakout scenario. The price has been trending downward, approaching a key support area. The green arrow indicates a possible upward movement if a confirmed low is established below the highlighted zone. Key levels to watch include the support at around 0.2396 and the resistance trendline. Analysis conducted on TradingView as of July 06, 2025, 10:33 AM BST.
XLM Stellar - Classic Lesson 15 said Long Lesson 15 methodology (annotations in sync with the chart):
1. Support (this where buyers can come in)
2. Largest dn volume wave after a while - Look left - buyers came in previously at the same location.
3. Placed AVWAP and waited for price to cross upwards and pullback again on AVWAP
4. Entry signal PRL with abnormal SI 11.2 (price has a hard time to move down - absorption) after the pullback and that's our entry.
Enjoy!
Coming down!I see three corrective waves in front of me that have been completed and concluded with an ending diagonal pattern. Please be careful of the possible upcoming decline.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Stellar (XLM) Makes History Amid 78% Price Surge This WeekBINANCE:XLMUSDT is currently trading at $0.46, up 78.5% over the past week . However, the altcoin faces resistance at $0.47, a level it has struggled to breach in recent days. The ability to break this resistance is crucial for continued growth, as it will determine whether XLM can push higher.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT futures market activity has also surged, with Futures Open Interest hitting an all-time high of $520 million in the last 24 hours. This indicates that traders are increasingly interested in the asset's derivatives, which are capitalizing on its rise.
Given the strong sentiment from futures traders and the technical indicators, it is likely that BINANCE:XLMUSDT will push past the $0.47 resistance and target $0.50 in the coming days . A successful breakthrough could lead XLM toward its next target at $0.56, marking an eight-month high. This would signify continued strength for the asset.
However, if the broader market sentiment shifts or investors begin to sell their holdings, BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face a significant pullback. If the price falls below the key support levels of $0.43 and $0.41 , it could slide further to $0.35, which would invalidate the current bullish outlook.
Buy Trade Strategy for XLM: Powering Fast and Inclusive PaymentsDescription:
This trading idea highlights XLM (Stellar Lumens), the native asset of the Stellar network — a blockchain platform built to enable fast, low-cost, and borderless financial transactions. XLM is designed to facilitate cross-border payments and connect financial institutions, payment systems, and individuals, especially in underbanked regions. Backed by the Stellar Development Foundation and partnerships with major global players such as MoneyGram, Stellar is focused on real-world use cases, making XLM a compelling project in the global payments and remittance sector.
With growing institutional interest and real-world utility, XLM stands out as a fundamental player in blockchain-based financial inclusion. However, despite its strong fundamentals, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. Factors such as global economic conditions, regulatory changes, and evolving technologies can significantly impact price action and project development.
Disclaimer:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like XLM involves substantial risk, including the potential for total loss of capital. You should always perform your own research, understand your risk tolerance, and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XLM wait for entryXLM tends to show strong volatility and often moves ahead of the broader market during BTC rallies.
We're monitoring for a retracement and a potential rebound from a significant support level.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.