David_Wilson1

David_Wilson1

I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S....

David_Wilson1

When Bitcoin prices dip to $101,900—despite the prevailing bearish sentiment—a rational long-position strategy can still be formulated by weighing long-term investment value against potential short-term rebound opportunities. The analysis below covers entry timing, position management, and risk control. I. Entry Timing Judgment (1) Technical Signals ...

David_Wilson1

Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers' Pressure When the U.S. Nimitz Carrier Strike Group arrived in the Arabian Sea as scheduled on June 22, forming a dual-carrier deployment with the Carl Vinson, London gold spot prices fell slightly by 0.04% to $3,367.09/oz—a phenomenon of "gold prices falling instead of rising under the shadow of...

David_Wilson1

Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Price Movement and Market Sentiment The crude oil market on last Friday (June 21) resembled a roller coaster that slightly dipped at the end. WTI crude oil futures closed at $74.93 per barrel, down 0.28% from the previous day, but still up 2.67% for the entire week; Brent crude oil fell more, dropping 2.33% to close at...

David_Wilson1

Today, Bitcoin's price is like a ball caught between two forces, swaying around $103,300. On one side, the Fed just said "let's wait and see" (latest report states the impact of tariffs is uncertain, so no hurry to cut rates), putting a temporary brake on leveraged crypto speculators. On the other side, Middle East tensions are on a rollercoaster—Israel and Iran...

David_Wilson1

Entry Timing: Wait for Catalysts, Find Optimal Positions The Federal Reserve's latest report states that interest rates will remain on hold, but future rate cuts will proceed at a slower pace—originally projected to reduce rates by 50 basis points this year, but now possibly only 25 basis points annually, akin to pressing the brake pedal gently without fully...

David_Wilson1

The Middle East currently resembles a barrel filled with gunpowder, ready to explode at any moment. Israel and Iran continue to attack each other—Israel bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, while Iran fired missiles at Israeli cities. More worryingly, the U.S. may decide to join the conflict within the next two weeks, and five U.S.-UK aircraft carriers are converging...

David_Wilson1

Bitcoin prices hovered around $103,300, retreating from the $104,000 threshold seen in previous days and showing an overall volatile adjustment trend. The market has experienced a notable correction recently, with prices dropping significantly from earlier highs, but currently stabilizing around $103,000. Such fluctuations have left many investors confused about...

David_Wilson1

I. Next Week's Trend Analysis Geopolitics: Middle East Tensions Like an Unattended Gas Stove The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is akin to a gas stove left burning in a kitchen, poised to explode at any moment. Last week, Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and reportedly killed an Iranian nuclear scientist, prompting Iran to retaliate against...

David_Wilson1

Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Geopolitics: Tensions Propel Oil Price Expectations The Middle East has long been a "powder keg" for the crude oil market, and recent developments have intensified tensions. Military conflicts between Iran and Israel continue to escalate—Iran’s latest attacks injured approximately 50 people in Israel. Controlling the Strait of...

David_Wilson1

Bitcoin prices have fluctuated frequently in recent days, presenting a complex landscape. Looking at price data from the past week, Bitcoin has seen significant volatility. On June 13, triggered by Israel's airstrikes on Iran that escalated tensions in the Middle East, Bitcoin hit a low of $102,614 per coin—edging close to the $100,000 threshold. As of June 20,...

David_Wilson1

Recent geopolitical tensions remain high, particularly in the Middle East where conflicts between Israel and Iran continue to generate new developments. Earlier this week, Iran was hit by an Israeli airstrike, a piece of news that instantly triggered a sharp rally in gold prices, pushing the metal to an intraday high of $3,450 per ounce. However, subsequent news...